Tips for Tikay

[BiloxiDesire]

I think I may have found a bit of value with the Tennis final in Sydney this week. I was already on Tomic before the start of the Tournament but as it's gone on I've fancied him to win it more and more. He's now in the final against Juan Martin del Potro.

11/4 available in places for Tomic to win.

http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/atp-sydney/juan-martin-del-potro-v-bernard-tomic/winner

A run down of the key points for me as to why Tomic can beat Del Potro:

* Home advantage.
* Tomic won this tournament last year (albeit with nobody of the calibre of Del Potro involved).
* Tomic's dad has been banned from attending all tournaments after assaulting Tomic's training partner last year, he has been allowed to attend this tournament, the first one he has in around 8 months.
* Tomic has drawn Nadal in the first round in the Australian Open so he may see this as his last chance to win anything on home soil this year. Won't be as concerned about Fatigue if he's only expecting to be in one round in the Open.
* Del Potro has already dropped sets against inferior players (Stepanek & Mahut).

Points which put me off slightly:

* H2H record reads 1-0 to Del Potro, on the same surface.
* Tomic possibly a little fatigued from longer semi final, has come out and said possibly tired.

I think that the odds should probably be a little closer to 1/2 & 2/1 than the bookies have marked them up.

Thanks Bilox,

Looks like some great research there, thank you.

Why did Tomic's dad assault his son's training partner? What a thing.

Don't have the faintest idea if this is value, but it's your first Fred Bet I think, & anyway, I got 3/1 (you suggested 11/4) with our very good friends at Camel's favourite bookie, Sporting Bet. Love those guys, love 'em.

Thank you, & good luck.

Looks like we are betting at Events across the globe this weekend, Sydney, Switzerland, USA, & Cardiff.

BET PLACED

Second bet, first one was a spectacular bore-fest which involved a football match being abandoned due to fog and stakes being returned.

Full story here about the Dad, seems like a nice guy 

http://www.news.com.au/sport/tennis/bernard-tomic8217s-father-john-guilty-of-assaulting-tennis-player/story-fndkzym4-1226713465386

[tikay]

Receiving and rushing line is 85.5 with Lads.

Edit - now 90.5

I've searched high & low on that damn site, & I can't find that.

They have moved the Rushing line to 65 though.

[TightEnd]

recieved and rushing is the better bet, if you are having one only

anything 95 or under

Should make up to 100+

[tikay]

I think I may have found a bit of value with the Tennis final in Sydney this week. I was already on Tomic before the start of the Tournament but as it's gone on I've fancied him to win it more and more. He's now in the final against Juan Martin del Potro.

11/4 available in places for Tomic to win.

http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/atp-sydney/juan-martin-del-potro-v-bernard-tomic/winner

A run down of the key points for me as to why Tomic can beat Del Potro:

* Home advantage.
* Tomic won this tournament last year (albeit with nobody of the calibre of Del Potro involved).
* Tomic's dad has been banned from attending all tournaments after assaulting Tomic's training partner last year, he has been allowed to attend this tournament, the first one he has in around 8 months.
* Tomic has drawn Nadal in the first round in the Australian Open so he may see this as his last chance to win anything on home soil this year. Won't be as concerned about Fatigue if he's only expecting to be in one round in the Open.
* Del Potro has already dropped sets against inferior players (Stepanek & Mahut).

Points which put me off slightly:

* H2H record reads 1-0 to Del Potro, on the same surface.
* Tomic possibly a little fatigued from longer semi final, has come out and said possibly tired.

I think that the odds should probably be a little closer to 1/2 & 2/1 than the bookies have marked them up.

Thanks Bilox,

Looks like some great research there, thank you.

Why did Tomic's dad assault his son's training partner? What a thing.

Don't have the faintest idea if this is value, but it's your first Fred Bet I think, & anyway, I got 3/1 (you suggested 11/4) with our very good friends at Camel's favourite bookie, Sporting Bet. Love those guys, love 'em.

Thank you, & good luck.

Looks like we are betting at Events across the globe this weekend, Sydney, Switzerland, USA, & Cardiff.

BET PLACED

Second bet, first one was a spectacular bore-fest which involved a football match being abandoned due to fog and stakes being returned.

Full story here about the Dad, seems like a nice guy 

http://www.news.com.au/sport/tennis/bernard-tomic8217s-father-john-guilty-of-assaulting-tennis-player/story-fndkzym4-1226713465386

Ahh yes, I remember that (non) bet now.

Mr Tomic Snr does seem a nice chap, as you note, though he sems to have memory lapses.


But he could not explain how the French man ended up on the ground.

[tikay]

recieved and rushing is the better bet, if you are having one only

anything 95 or under

Should make up to 100+

Can't find it Rich, & it's making me really really tetchy now, that site is such a mess. Sorry.

[tikay]

recieved and rushing is the better bet, if you are having one only

anything 95 or under

Should make up to 100+

BOOM!

Found it, in under an hour.

Restricted to £27.50 again, but we are on, @ OVER 90.5 yards.

BET PLACED

[Marky147]

recieved and rushing is the better bet, if you are having one only

anything 95 or under

Should make up to 100+

BOOM!

Found it, in under an hour.

Restricted to £27.50 again, but we are on, @ OVER 90.5 yards.

BET PLACED

I tried finding it for you, but got lost myself...

Not to worry anyway, because I was too trigger happy and ploughed straight into the >65.5

[sonour]

Cardiff City 2.15 in William Hill shops for anyone interested.

[tikay]

Cardiff City 2.15 in William Hill shops for anyone interested.

Beats the Dubai.com price handsomely.

[Dubai]

Dubai.com lays more and causes no blisters

[millidonk]

Dubai.com lays more and causes no blisters

http://www.dubai.com/

Lies, I just rang them. They said they were unable to quote me on Cardiff but could sort me out a sick price for the Burj Al Arab.

[GreekWay]

I need some advice from the more experienced punters.

I have found Djokovic to win the Australian Open with a Greek bookie at odds of 2.05 when the top price elsewhere is 1.85 and in Betfair at the moment to be 1.96.

Would you consider the 2.05 price to be value and worth backing?

[JaffaCake]

Defoe Toronto deal done.

Journalists sharpen pencils to link spurs with every striker ever to kick a ball.

[Dubai]

Its probably marginally value. Whether or not its the optimal use for your money given it will be tied up for a few weeks is obviously another matter to consider

[Simon Galloway]

and also the counterparty risk to consider