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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16431246 times)
sonour
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« Reply #69135 on: February 26, 2014, 03:38:34 PM »

Tikay, how much do you want  on

I'll be in the shop for the lock I. In 20 mins

But 5/1 now Ladbrokes
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tikay
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« Reply #69136 on: February 26, 2014, 03:44:50 PM »

Tikay, how much do you want  on

I'll be in the shop for the lock I. In 20 mins

But 5/1 now Ladbrokes

Could you try & get me another £25 EW please Lisa? 5/1 is fine.
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peejaytwo
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« Reply #69137 on: February 26, 2014, 04:04:42 PM »

jeez,why are they betting e/w in this race?
off shopping....
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sonour
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« Reply #69138 on: February 26, 2014, 04:07:03 PM »

Tikay, how much do you want  on

I'll be in the shop for the lock I. In 20 mins

But 5/1 now Ladbrokes

Could you try & get me another £25 EW please Lisa? 5/1 is fine.

Sorry Tikay. Market suspended at Ladbrokes.
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sonour
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« Reply #69139 on: February 26, 2014, 04:47:14 PM »

Sportingbet 11/2
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rfgqqabc
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« Reply #69140 on: February 26, 2014, 05:09:40 PM »

Sportingbet 11/2

1st innings.
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sonour
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« Reply #69141 on: February 26, 2014, 05:14:54 PM »


http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/south-africa-v-australia/test-series/south-africa-v-australia-%5B3rd-test%5D/top-australia-bowler
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sonour
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« Reply #69142 on: February 26, 2014, 05:17:52 PM »

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ripple11
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« Reply #69143 on: February 26, 2014, 05:20:53 PM »

Recommendation Nathan Lyon top Australia Bowler at 6-1 Ladbrokes

On a slow pitch in Port Elizabeth winning the toss and batting was crucial, as putting a good score on the board was vital. The same is likely in Cape Town, where everything points to a slow and dry pitch on which batting last will be difficult and winning the toss and batting another big advantage.

Looking at the outrights then, obviously a few days out from the match, is tricky. Whoever wins the toss and bats is favourite but at this stage South Africa 5/4, Australia 2/1 and the Draw 5/2 reflects that it is a close series and difficult to predict

From people I know in Cape Town, the pitch is slow and dry currently. With no poespect of rain this is set to continue for the start of the match.

 In the last test on a slow pitch Nathan Lyon took 5 wickets to be top Australian bowler..that as a spinner was in the first innings of the game where it most responsive to quicker bowlers and least favourable for spinners (less footholes to bowl into, less cracks, less dust)

Therefore to see Ladbrokes price up Lyon as 6/1 at top Australian bowler for Cape Town is a major surprise, and could be a price that is 50% wrong, as I think nearer 4/1, possibly 7/2 is closer to the mark.

Slow pitches neutralise Mitchell Johnson's pace threat as we saw in Port Elizabeth and he remains as short as 5/4 with some bookmakers in this market. Ryan Harris, unfortunately and Peter Siddle are not in the best form and Siddle especailly is a more of a stock bowler third seamer on slow pitches

Recommendation
Nathan Lyon top Australia Bowler at 6-1 Ladbrokes

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/south-africa-v-australia/test-series/south-africa-v-australia-%5B3rd-test%5D/top-australia-bowler
.

Can do it a nitty ew for top 3 looks a free bet ?


There are only four possible bowlers (Watson plays, but won't bowl much.)

Would be very unlucky for Lyon to be 4th

The bet is really good if Australia bowl second, having put a score up and the pitch wears a bit

6/1 is (deep breath) the best cricket "value" bet I have seen for some time.


Oh... the oddschecker link indicates "the match odds"..........but my ladbrokes receipt says 1st innings!
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Dubai
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« Reply #69144 on: February 26, 2014, 05:29:11 PM »

The market is nearly always first innings.
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tikay
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« Reply #69145 on: February 26, 2014, 05:41:44 PM »


So, it seems the Market is 1st innings.

We have £20 WIN @ 5/1 with Ladbrokes already. It's unclear if it is 1st Innings only, but probably is.

I can get £20 @ 11/2 with Sporting Bet, 1st Innings only, Win only.

Yes, no?
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horseplayer
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« Reply #69146 on: February 26, 2014, 05:43:17 PM »

confirmed in shop as a first innings only market

even so those who got any bet on any of the 3 bowlers other than Mitch each way have superb bets
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TightEnd
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« Reply #69147 on: February 26, 2014, 05:43:28 PM »

The bet is meant to be first innings only. 11/2, yes. Any ew available?
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horseplayer
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« Reply #69148 on: February 26, 2014, 05:45:07 PM »

lads pulled the each way market

would have suggested upping any bet each way to a max for fred
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tikay
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« Reply #69149 on: February 26, 2014, 05:47:40 PM »

The bet is meant to be first innings only. 11/2, yes. Any ew available?

No, only Ladbrokes were quoting EW, & horsey thinks they have pulled that now. You obviously spotted a rick.

So, do we want £20 WIN @ 11/2 with Sporting Bet? We already have £20 @ 5/1 with Ladbrokes.


http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/south-africa-v-australia/test-series/south-africa-v-australia-%5b3rd-test%5d/top-australia-bowler
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