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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16516664 times)
Tal
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« Reply #80295 on: June 15, 2014, 11:05:19 PM »
Quote from: horseplayer on June 15, 2014, 11:02:14 PM
I am not a drinking man mate but thanks appreciate that

Is there an argument that Messi at 11/10 for MOTM is value here? The voting so far through the Fifa website shows the most "famous" player is winning this nearly every game (bar one)



My only thought on that is that the most "famous" player has often also been the one scoring. Just wondering whether the bias is quite as pronounced as it looks.
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Nico29
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« Reply #80296 on: June 15, 2014, 11:06:23 PM »
Boyles via twitter going even money messi anytime.

1.75 shot on exchange.

Max 40 quid.

http://www.boylesports.com/Betting/Football/Exclusive_Social_Media_Enhancements/Exclusive_Social_Media_Enhancements?navigationid=23.1,161760.1,1218372.1&time=143314
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horseplayer
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« Reply #80297 on: June 15, 2014, 11:06:34 PM »
Fair point Tal

If Messi doesnt score or even play that great and gets it we might have something to work with.
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horseplayer
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« Reply #80298 on: June 15, 2014, 11:10:12 PM »
dont like Bosnia reverting to a 4-5-1 for the first time in a few years here
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Tal
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« Reply #80299 on: June 15, 2014, 11:10:49 PM »
Quote from: horseplayer on June 15, 2014, 11:06:34 PM
Fair point Tal

If Messi doesnt score or even play that great and gets it we might have something to work with.

Not putting you off, obv. Hardly seems like it can be a bad bet. Def becomes more relevant if they win 1-0 through Aguero and Messi still gets it for his assist or something like that.
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« Reply #80300 on: June 15, 2014, 11:16:15 PM »
Quote from: Tal on June 15, 2014, 11:05:19 PM
Quote from: horseplayer on June 15, 2014, 11:02:14 PM
I am not a drinking man mate but thanks appreciate that

Is there an argument that Messi at 11/10 for MOTM is value here? The voting so far through the Fifa website shows the most "famous" player is winning this nearly every game (bar one)

My only thought on that is that the most "famous" player has often also been the one scoring. Just wondering whether the bias is quite as pronounced as it looks.

I've said here and on the other thread that surely he should be odds on favourite in the group stages.

It's a popularity contest so someone would have to substantially outperform him on the pitch in order to get MOTM.  

Messi is now a best price of evens on oddschecker, Betsson go 2.15.  I've already got a decent bit on if Fred does want some.
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Tal
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« Reply #80301 on: June 16, 2014, 01:47:59 AM »
Miami doing a really good impression of not losing.

22-6 with 4:48 left in the first
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tikay
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« Reply #80302 on: June 16, 2014, 01:49:26 AM »
Quote from: Tal on June 16, 2014, 01:47:59 AM
Miami doing a really good impression of not losing.

22-6 with 4:48 left in the first

Bugger, but we took a bit insurance on the Heat at 2/1 I think.
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Tal
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« Reply #80303 on: June 16, 2014, 01:53:57 AM »
Quote from: tikay on June 16, 2014, 01:49:26 AM
Quote from: Tal on June 16, 2014, 01:47:59 AM
Miami doing a really good impression of not losing.

22-6 with 4:48 left in the first

Bugger, but we took a bit insurance on the Heat at 2/1 I think.

Very much the LeBron show so far, although the spurs are fighting back. Leonard getting a three (nothing but net) to get the difference back to seven
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Tal
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« Reply #80304 on: June 16, 2014, 01:56:14 AM »
"James from way downtown!"

NBA Jam reference ftw
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Tal
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« Reply #80305 on: June 16, 2014, 02:08:41 AM »
Leonard has 12 points already.
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« Reply #80306 on: June 16, 2014, 02:20:51 AM »
Was out all night tonight for the footy and tried to get a bet on at hills as my betfair account was empty. Asked for £100 on benzema hattrick @ 25/1 (betfair was 28 to lay at the time). Manager offered £10, and the rest at 9/1! Asked how it could possible be cut by so much and the smug manager told me there are lots of goals being scored so far in this tournament (Hills no hattrick for benzema was priced at 1/100). How are they allowed to get away with this rubbish
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tikay
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« Reply #80307 on: June 16, 2014, 02:24:52 AM »
Spurs now lead!

37-35.

This game is far from over.
« Last Edit: June 16, 2014, 02:27:39 AM by tikay » Logged
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« Reply #80308 on: June 16, 2014, 02:40:56 AM »
Half time, Spurs lead Heat 47-40, after winning the 3rd qtr 25-11.

Game on.
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tikay
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« Reply #80309 on: June 16, 2014, 03:06:40 AM »

Spurs extend the lead to 10 points 5 minutes into the third qtr.
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