Tips for Tikay

[horseplayer]

Mvp question

Was the winner in the market at 100's?

Managed to get on small at 100 via a friend but no screenshots either!`

[Doobs]

Ameobi didnt exactly make a habit of scoring for Newcastle tbf

Be amazed if Ameobi started btw

I am not suggesting backing him for one second 

[TightEnd]

DOOBS/OTHERS

£25 Betfair sportsbook free bet expiry is 9am tomorrow

something for ascot at a price?

[superwomble]

Tighty,

You wrote.....


Superwomble placed the Paddy Power bet £10 at 60-1 AN Other MVP


Did Womble place the bet on Fred's behalf?

If so, I must owe him £10. Let me know please, & I'll sort it pronto.

He did yes

see

http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=56581.78123

OK, thanks.

Am just off to bed here, but I'll write to him in the morning, or, if he sends me his Bank Details in the interim, I will pay him.

PP have settled this as a loser I'm afraid. As for settling up you already did so tikay thanks.

[horseplayer]

http://gfycat.com/CompetentDefensiveGosling

[Chompy]

It's still 1/4 1-2-3-4 in the Golden Boot market and it's 20-1 bar four.

Three of the top four in the market already have two goals, while Messi has one, and all are set for deep runs.

Am thinking there's probably some mileage in hammering all four each-way at those terms.

Neymar 5-1, Messi 6-1, RVP 8-1, Benzema 8-1.

We'd only have to get two in the frame to more or less cover the outlay and would have to run pretty bad to not find the winner.

Thoughts anyone?

[TightEnd]

Quite like the look of Emmannuel Emenike FGS tonight

Was Nigeria's top goalscorer in qualifying, only played the last three games

12 last season for Fenerbache, 1 in 2 for Spartak before that

Golden boot in 2013 African Cup of Nations with Nigeria won, he scored 4 goals and missed the final

looks like he'll be on free kicks



beware of you tube highlights packages, but...



he has motivation to do well http://www.express.co.uk/sport/football/476559/Man-City-Everton-and-Spurs-locked-in-battle-for-Fenerbahce-s-Emmanuel-Emenike

nigeria have to win this, as bosnia looked useful

u2.5 is 1.6 for the game, which implies comparatively little goal threat from iran (queiroz plays 4-4-1-1, or did in qualifying), scored 8 total in 8 games in qualifying and have no goals in 4 of the last 5 games (friendlies included)

we are on nigeria top african nation

6/1 betfair sportsbook marginally beats betfair (very thin market) http://www.oddschecker.com/football/world-cup/iran-v-nigeria/first-goalscorer

[horseplayer]

Looks like a smidgen of value

The first dire game would not surprise me here 0-0 looks a runner to me

[TightEnd]

It's still 1/4 1-2-3-4 in the Golden Boot market and it's 20-1 bar four.

Three of the top four in the market already have two goals, while Messi has one, and all are set for deep runs.

Am thinking there's probably some mileage in hammering all four each-way at those terms.

Neymar 5-1, Messi 6-1, RVP 8-1, Benzema 8-1.

We'd only have to get two in the frame to more or less cover the outlay and would have to run pretty bad to not find the winner.

Thoughts anyone?

can't disagree

France - if we assume they win their group, they get bosnia/nigeria then winner group H (belgium?) and potentially therefore have a run to the semi's avoiding the top 4 in the outright market

Benzema at 8/1, 2/1 a place looks v interesting to me (kicking myself because obviously the above was in place before yesterday)..more so than messi two points shorter

the Dutch win their group? and run through to Italy (win group D?) in the quarters in principle

i think i would be keener on france playing 6 games+ than the dutch

[TightEnd]

It's still 1/4 1-2-3-4 in the Golden Boot market and it's 20-1 bar four.

Three of the top four in the market already have two goals, while Messi has one, and all are set for deep runs.

Am thinking there's probably some mileage in hammering all four each-way at those terms.

Neymar 5-1, Messi 6-1, RVP 8-1, Benzema 8-1.

We'd only have to get two in the frame to more or less cover the outlay and would have to run pretty bad to not find the winner.

Thoughts anyone?

can't disagree

France - if we assume they win their group, they get bosnia/nigeria then winner group H (belgium?) and potentially therefore have a run to the semi's avoiding the top 4 in the outright market

Benzema at 8/1, 2/1 a place looks v interesting to me (kicking myself because obviously the above was in place before yesterday)..more so than messi two points shorter

the Dutch win their group? and run through to Italy (win group D?) in the quarters in principle

i think i would be keener on france playing 6 games+ than the dutch

Correction

winner G France would play winner germany group in QF

[Chompy]

Think if we're doing it, we'd need to do it before the second round of games. And it would want to be a decent chunk on each, say £100 EW x 4 to make it worthwhile. We'd have to run insanely bad to have none of them in the top four come the end, so it's highly unlikely we'd be burning £800.

If Benzema, RVP or Neymar score another two in their next game, those EW terms would vanish.

[TightEnd]

Think if we're doing it, we'd need to do it before the second round of games. And it would want to be a decent chunk on each, say £100 EW x 4 to make it worthwhile. We'd have to run insanely bad to have none of them in the top four come the end, so it's highly unlikely we'd be burning £800.

If Benzema, RVP or Neymar score another two in their next game, those EW terms would vanish.

ok well the first game of the second matches is 8pm tues uk time (brazil)

discuss and decide before then please

perhaps keep tikay away from the thread in the meantime.

[Ironside]

I am a nit 50p each way would be my bet size from my pocket but I like the bets  they really look good to me and as it's tikay so money and chomps tip I suggest £250 ew on all 4

[claypole]

Tighty

I think team news is a must for Nigeria game. Quite like Emninke, although there is a chance he doesn't start him and if he comes on at 0-0 after 60 mins were not in good shape. I really haven't got a clue how he lines up; Nwofer has done well from bench including two v SA when he replaced Shoala - he seems to like Shoala and as you say Emineke probably has best form.  If we go with Emineke Paddy are 6/1 as MBS 0-0 as a free bet, happy to place if no account for you just shout

Moses has a good record for Nigeria, has netted 1/180 mins and has been on penalties as well which would  be a huge bonus.  17/4 888 is big I think against this mob for those that can get on.  Again dependant on team news and putting some sort of formation together.

[Chompy]

Think if we're doing it, we'd need to do it before the second round of games. And it would want to be a decent chunk on each, say £100 EW x 4 to make it worthwhile. We'd have to run insanely bad to have none of them in the top four come the end, so it's highly unlikely we'd be burning £800.

If Benzema, RVP or Neymar score another two in their next game, those EW terms would vanish.

ok well the first game of the second matches is 8pm tues uk time (brazil)

discuss and decide before then please

perhaps keep tikay away from the thread in the meantime.

There won't be any need for latte/sticky buns to get the system up and running once this has been perused in a few hours' time.

Ironside seems to have seconded the idea.

Only 999 possible security code combinations, so don't see anything to stop us now?