Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

I know we have a decent portfolio already but to my eyes one price stands out after the first round.

Leader of the US FedEx cup rankings and 3 wins under his belt Jimmy Walker is 3 off the lead, is smack bang in the "good " day 2 tee times, and at 60s on betty worth a sneaky 5 er on the win market.

More than happy to be told it should be ew and its not so good on the terms etc, but when I see he is a bigger price than Lowry/Manessero etc, seems an out of line price.

Thanks Adzy.

Not sure if Tighty is around, so I've invested a whole fiver just in case, as I can't see that price lasting. We got exactly 60 (59/1).


£5 @ 60, Betfair Exchange, Jimmy Walker

BET PLACED

[tikay]

I know we have a decent portfolio already but to my eyes one price stands out after the first round.

Leader of the US FedEx cup rankings and 3 wins under his belt Jimmy Walker is 3 off the lead, is smack bang in the "good " day 2 tee times, and at 60s on betty worth a sneaky 5 er on the win market.

More than happy to be told it should be ew and its not so good on the terms etc, but when I see he is a bigger price than Lowry/Manessero etc, seems an out of line price.

Thanks Adzy.

Not sure if Tighty is around, so I've invested a whole fiver just in case, as I can't see that price lasting. We got exactly 60 (59/1).


£5 @ 60, Betfair Exchange, Jimmy Walker

BET PLACED

I assume this does not fall foul of the restriction Betty made on those who bet 8 places on the Sportsbook. I hope not, but too late now......

[tikay]

Open Golf.

I know we set out to invest X, & have prretty much loaded it all up, but if there are any obvious opportunities, such as the one Adzy just Posted, keep Posting them. Value is value.

 

[TightEnd]

I know we have a decent portfolio already but to my eyes one price stands out after the first round.

Leader of the US FedEx cup rankings and 3 wins under his belt Jimmy Walker is 3 off the lead, is smack bang in the "good " day 2 tee times, and at 60s on betty worth a sneaky 5 er on the win market.

More than happy to be told it should be ew and its not so good on the terms etc, but when I see he is a bigger price than Lowry/Manessero etc, seems an out of line price.

Thanks Adzy.

Not sure if Tighty is around, so I've invested a whole fiver just in case, as I can't see that price lasting. We got exactly 60 (59/1).


£5 @ 60, Betfair Exchange, Jimmy Walker

BET PLACED

We already have £10 e/w with Betfred at 80-1

Need to read the small print to see if this voids the 8 places for our book, unfortunately

[DungBeetle]

Not that I am recommending increasing our position, but the odds on India in this test match still looks too big to me.  They are right in this by posting 300 on this wicket. 

[BigAdz]

Doh, Bollox, sorry. Thought I was being clever too.

Mucho Aplogo,


Edit. From the stuff posted earlier, only voids it if you lay them back...I think!

[Doobs]

I know we have a decent portfolio already but to my eyes one price stands out after the first round.

Leader of the US FedEx cup rankings and 3 wins under his belt Jimmy Walker is 3 off the lead, is smack bang in the "good " day 2 tee times, and at 60s on betty worth a sneaky 5 er on the win market.

More than happy to be told it should be ew and its not so good on the terms etc, but when I see he is a bigger price than Lowry/Manessero etc, seems an out of line price.

Thanks Adzy.

Not sure if Tighty is around, so I've invested a whole fiver just in case, as I can't see that price lasting. We got exactly 60 (59/1).


£5 @ 60, Betfair Exchange, Jimmy Walker

BET PLACED

We already have £10 e/w with Betfred at 80-1

Need to read the small print to see if this voids the 8 places for our book, unfortunately

I did check it yesterday and I think it was just lays that disqualified you.  But please don't try this at home.  Everyone else should definitely stay away from the exchange during the Open.  It just isn't worth the risk.  

Edit. It must have been the day before yesterday that I checked.  I can't find the small print now, if anybody has a copy please post it.

[TightEnd]

The forecast for Hoylake today

Click to see full-size image.

First day with a proper nasty mountain finish in the TdeF today. Expect a shake-up in the general classification which is currently...

We have Valverde e/w

Click to see full-size image.

Especially for tikay

Click to see full-size image.

Pujara made 28 yesterday. Another start, but no more

Click to see full-size image.

India dodged a bullet. England bowled poorly for 2 and a half sessions, and could have knocked them over for 150

Click to see full-size image.

Meanwhile in the CPL yesterday..http://www.espncricinfo.com/caribbean-premier-league-2014/engine/match/743145.html

Narine bowled a wicket maiden..in the super over!




Tonight in domestic cricket a big night

Essex play Glamorgan in the T20 South group. Essex are through, we want Glamorgan here

In the North group Worcestershire go to Northants, needing a win

Yorkshire host Warwickshire


German Grand Prix practice is underway

[tikay]

I know we have a decent portfolio already but to my eyes one price stands out after the first round.

Leader of the US FedEx cup rankings and 3 wins under his belt Jimmy Walker is 3 off the lead, is smack bang in the "good " day 2 tee times, and at 60s on betty worth a sneaky 5 er on the win market.

More than happy to be told it should be ew and its not so good on the terms etc, but when I see he is a bigger price than Lowry/Manessero etc, seems an out of line price.

Thanks Adzy.

Not sure if Tighty is around, so I've invested a whole fiver just in case, as I can't see that price lasting. We got exactly 60 (59/1).


£5 @ 60, Betfair Exchange, Jimmy Walker

BET PLACED

We already have £10 e/w with Betfred at 80-1

Need to read the small print to see if this voids the 8 places for our book, unfortunately

Bugger!

I'll take it off-thread Rich, my bad. So, to confirm, that £5 is NOT a Fred bet now.

I just checked - the Betfair thingie is for LAYS only, so that's ok too.

[tikay]

I know we have a decent portfolio already but to my eyes one price stands out after the first round.

Leader of the US FedEx cup rankings and 3 wins under his belt Jimmy Walker is 3 off the lead, is smack bang in the "good " day 2 tee times, and at 60s on betty worth a sneaky 5 er on the win market.

More than happy to be told it should be ew and its not so good on the terms etc, but when I see he is a bigger price than Lowry/Manessero etc, seems an out of line price.

Thanks Adzy.

Not sure if Tighty is around, so I've invested a whole fiver just in case, as I can't see that price lasting. We got exactly 60 (59/1).


£5 @ 60, Betfair Exchange, Jimmy Walker

BET PLACED

We already have £10 e/w with Betfred at 80-1

Need to read the small print to see if this voids the 8 places for our book, unfortunately

I blame Tighty for this.

He should have Posted a major summary, of all our Open Golf Bets. If he had, I would have read it.

[tikay]

The Open Day One review

We only have one golfer left on the course, so time for a round up as we have 137 positions to deal with

The positions are

24-Sep   Doobs   Bet365   Jul-2014   Golf   The Open   Jordan Speith   100/1   0.3
11-Jul   doobs   betfair sportsbook   20-Jul   golf   the open   mcdowell   28/1   30
11-Jul   doobs   betfair sportsbook   20-Jul   golf   the open   kaymer   20/1   30
11-Jul   bigadz   betfair sportsbook   20-Jul   golf   the open   ilonen   80/1   30
15-Jul   karabiner   betfair sportsbook   20-Jul   golf   the open   Willetts   150/1   10
16-Jul   doubleup   betfair sportsbook   20-Jul   golf   the open top australian   Rumford   66/1   2
16-Jul   BigAdz   betfair sportsbook   20-Jul   golf   the open   Jimenez   90/1   20
16-Jul   fred   betfair sportsbook   20-Jul   golf   the open   McIlroy   22/1   30
16-Jul   doobs   betfred   20-Jul   golf   the open   D Johnson   40/1   20
16-Jul   doobs   betfred   20-Jul   golf   the open   J Walker   80/1   20
16-Jul   doobs   betfair sportsbook   20-Jul   golf   the open   cabrera   66/1   20
16-Jul   doobs   betfair sportsbook   20-Jul   golf   the open   bjorn   70/1   20
16-Jul   betting emporium   betfred   20-Jul   golf   Top 10 Finish - The Open Championship   kuchar   7/2   20
16-Jul   betting emporium   coral   20-Jul   golf   the open Top Irish Player   lowry   13/2   15
16-Jul   betting emporium   williamhill   20-Jul   golf   the open   furyk   60/1   20
16-Jul   betting emporium   betfair sportsbook   20-Jul   golf   the open   fowler   40/1   20
16-Jul   betting emporium   Ladbrokes   20-Jul   golf   Phil Mickelson / Ernie Els / Bubba Watson   Els 3 ball   11/4   20
16-Jul   hector62   betfred   20-Jul   golf   the open to miss the cut   donald   12/5   20
16-Jul   rickbfa   betfred   20-Jul   golf   J.Furyk / D.Clarke / T.Watson   furyk 3 ball   10/11   22
16-Jul   Tal   coral   20-Jul   golf   Top GB & Ireland Player   lowry   25/1   20
16-Jul   doobs   betfair sportsbook   20-Jul   golf   the open   matsuyama   55/1   20
16-Jul   bobby1   betfair sportsbook   20-Jul   golf   the open   snedeker   66/1   10
16-Jul   bobby1   betfair sportsbook   20-Jul   golf   the open   gallacher   80/1   10
16-Jul   bobby1   betfair sportsbook   20-Jul   golf   the open   dufner   100/1   20
17-Jul   bobby1   ladbrokes   17-Jul   golf    John Singleton / Peter Uihlein / Marc Warren   3 ball betting    Singleton   9/2   20

In terms of the 3 balls for the first round, we had one win and two losers

The winner was

- Furyk -4, four shots ahead of Clarke and Tom Watson

The losers:

- Singleton +8, 9 shots behind Warren -1

- Els, who had a triple bogey on the first, hitting a child on the way and struggled to a 79


The big story of the first day was one we were on the right side of.

The first half of the draw went round in +27, and at the time of writing the second half of the draw is +92. No wind at all this morning and apparently playing a club longer this afternoon in only modest wind

So well done to the team who made sure the selections above were very much skewed towards earlier starters today/late starters tomorrow


Our tournament positions

McIlroy -6, clubhouse leader. is 9/2 favourite in running with Scott 5/1 second favourite

other morning beneficiaries:

Furyk -4
Fowler -3
Matsuyama -3
Jimmy Walker -3
Bjorn -2
Ilonen -2
Gallacher -2
D Johnson -1
Speith -1

Of the afternoon starters only one recorded a round without a birdie, and he's one of ours. Jason Dufner -3

Only Dufner, Adam Scott -4 and Shane Lowry -3 after 16 have made any impression on the leaderboard and as of now only 1 player on the course is in the top 40

We have Lowry top Irish, top GB and Irish, so that is encouraging too

Of the afternoon players in our selections

Kaymer +1
McDowell +2
Snedeker +2
Willett +2

are all creditable

Jimenez +3 slightly disappointing

Cabrera +4 this morning was a rare disappointment, as was Kuchar +1

Rumford +3 is seven shots off the top Australian position

Donald +1 (a missed cut bet) out this morning was ok for us i think. rarely threatened from what i saw
 

Tomorrow we are skewed towards afternoon starters, which suited the last forecast i saw which was wet and a bit windy first thing, drying up later

Just to give a snapshot of one market currently:

Just so Tighty & Adzy don't make the same mistake again.......


 

[sharky_uk]

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Golfers finishing in 1st to 6th position inclusive will be paid out to your place stake at 1/4 as normal, while those finishing in 7th or 8th position will be paid out to your place stake at 1/4 odds with a maximum stake of £25.

Betfair Extra Place Terms & Conditions:
You can only take part using one account. Exchange bets, Exchange multiples and in-play bets are not included in this promotion. If you have previously received a notification excluding you from promotions you will not qualify for an each-way bonus placed playout if your golfer(s) finishes 7th or 8th. Customers can back more than more than one selection using one account.
Place your pre-tournament Sportsbook each-way singles bet on The Open Championship Outright Winner market. Only your first bet placed on the tournament qualifies.
Golfers finishing in 1st to 6th position inclusive will be paid out to your place stake at 1/4* odds (dead heat rules apply). £/€25 maximum qualifying place stake on 7th and 8th positions per customer, per selection. Qualifying bets placed with free bet tokens do not count. If you Cash Out, or place a lay bet on the Exchange in the same market as your Sportsbook bet you will not qualify for a bonus placed payout on this promotion.
You will be credited up to 12 hours after the end of the featured tournament. Free bet tokens valid for 48 hours and available for use on any Sportsbook market. A free bet can only be used once so make sure you use the full stake available to you. The stake is not refunded on a free bet token.

[tikay]

Not that I am recommending increasing our position, but the odds on India in this test match still looks too big to me.  They are right in this by posting 300 on this wicket. 

I thought that was a great score, all things considered.

The weather might mess things up though, thunderstorms & possibly heavy showers today & all weekend, so the Draw must now come into the thinking. England surely can't win this, can they?

[TightEnd]

Not that I am recommending increasing our position, but the odds on India in this test match still looks too big to me.  They are right in this by posting 300 on this wicket. 

I thought that was a great score, all things considered.

The weather might mess things up though, thunderstorms & possibly heavy showers today & all weekend, so the Draw must now come into the thinking. England surely can't win this, can they?

think India will bowl better than England, fuller/straighter

think it could be a very close game

Eng 10/11 Ind 7/2 assumes that Eng will find batting conditions much easier the next two days.

The pitch may be more placid, but not that much. England may even have to bat in dull conditions

Can't understand one team being odds-on here, myself.

gets off soapbox

[TightEnd]

http://www.jamesallenonf1.com/2014/07/all-the-f1-teams-opt-to-play-it-safe-and-run-without-fric-suspension-in-germany/

(my cousin is at Mclaren,a  Chief Engineer)