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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16485903 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #87855 on: September 29, 2014, 09:58:32 AM »

Daily Report

Profit on Month £482.17

Outstanding Bets £3941.26

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=29


A profit of £13 yesterday

Ryder Cup

- Justin Rose finished as top European points scorer for a profit of £88

 Click to see full-size image.




His half up the last and Stenson losing to Reed ensured the win after an afternoon of drama for the bet that at various times saw Rose 4 down in his single

- Ryder Cup losers were

- £10 Jamie Donaldson top rookie, despite achieving 3 points out of 3. As you can see from the table above Mr International Diplomacy 2014 Patrick Reed scored 3.5 points to win this one.



Overall it was a competition where rookies excelled, scoring 13.5 points. I am sure in most Ryder Cups 3 rookie points seals a bet like this

 Click to see full-size image.


- £20 Sergio Garcia Top European. 2.5 points not enough for an each way return

- £25 USA, which looked in trouble from Saturday afternoon

Overall, for the Ryder cup portfolio of bets, a profit of £3. Entirely due to the two Rose bets.

 Click to see full-size image.


 I wonder what price we would have got on Mickelson sticking the knife into Watson in the post match press conference? Sad to see in a way, but pure theatre and great copy for the watching journalists

http://www.golfchannel.com/media/brandel-chamblee-reacts-phil-mickelson/

 Click to see full-size image.


Another loser yesterday was the £20 Kansas City Royals bet. The Royals won their last game of the regular season 6-4 but before they finished news came through that the Tigers, one game ahead, had beaten the Twins 3-0 to secure the division

The Royals now host the Oakland Athletics in the AL wild card on Tuesday night, the winner of the game advancing to meet the Los Angeles Agels of Anaheim in the divisional series. We have an 18-1 ticket on the Royals to win the American League

Ongoing positions

When you have a bet on a team to be relegated and they have Burnley at home, you look on through your fingers. West Bromwich Albion duly demolished the promoted club 4-0 and rose to 10th in the table.

 Click to see full-size image.



The usual busy Sunday NFL schedule

- The Green Bay Packers and our NFL comeback player of the year bet Aaron Rdgers roared into life pulverising the Chicago bears 38-17 in Chicago. Rodgers threw for 302 yards and 4 touchdowns



- The Philadelphia Eagles lost for the first time this season, 26-21 in San Francisco in a really odd game. They scored all their points on defense and special teams becoming only the first team in 72 occurrences of a team scoring three non-offensive touchdowns to lose.

The Eagles main struggle is with injuries to their Offensive line, which has 4 starters out. Yesterday LeSean McCoy, another bet of ours, was held to 17 yards on 10 carries, with no holes in front of him to run into. Things were so bad that down 21-26 with 3 minutes to go the Eagles threw it twice on the one yard line when looking for the winning score rather than give it to McCoy



- In the AFC West the San Diego Chargers, who we have at a very tasty 13/2 to win their division, comfortably beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 33-14 to go 3-1. Philip Rivers' TD-to-INT ratio in 22 games under coach Mike McCoy currently stands at 44:12 which is a big change compared to earlier in his career



- The real disappointment amongst our team bets yesterday was the Pttsburgh Steelers losing in the last seconds to the previously winless Tampa Bay Buccaneers. It's difficult to find a more unpredictable team than the Steelers? Barely beat Cleveland, blown out by Baltimore, they crush Carolina, then lose here



Still morale seems good

coach Mike Tomlin spoke afterwards "Bottom line is we're an undisciplined football team. ... It's inexcusable. ... It's ridiculous.'

- At Wembley the Miami Dolphins came across the Oakland Raiders, an untalented team that performed worse than its talent. Raiders radio voice Greg Papa on the game: "This is an international disaster"

 Click to see full-size image.


As we have Miami to finish bottom of the AFC East this wasn't great news, as Miami, its players made to look like superstars, won to go 2-2 on the season ahead of the Buffalo Bills at 1-3

- Amongst player bets our quarterback Matt Ryan threw for 298 yards against Minnesota. He fell behind Andrew Luck in the passing yards tables

http://espn.go.com/nfl/statistics/player/_/stat/passing

but the good news, as we are on at 16-1 each way is the Atlanta defense is slow, unreactive and has no pass rush. As they will concede a lot of points, Ryan is going to have to make a lot of plays for them to win games

- Kelvin Benjamin of Carolina is one of our Rookie of the Year bets. Yesterday he scored another touchdown and had 76 yards receiving. If you extrapolate bhis numbers through 4 games, he is on pace for 84 catches, 1,316 yards, and 12 touchdowns on 144 targets. If he does that we have a real shot at 20-1 on that bet.

Finally, all for the thread i had to endure watching the X-Factor on Sky plus to see whether our group bet "Only the young"made it through to the final 24. By the time the charade had finished, the group had been re-named "only the bored and old"

The least final words in talent show history must be 'I've made my decision' - Louis Walsh. He proceeded to make six final decisions with an air of complete vacuity, but in the end put only the old through.

 Click to see full-size image.


Next week, the judges houses. Which is terrific news. I don't root for any of our bets to lose, but if it happened quickly here, I'd be relieved

Interesting polling news from Yougov over the weekend, especially if you are on LibDem unders

 Click to see full-size image.


It's the Arc this weekend Ectot continues to harden at the head of the market for The Arc, now the 5/1 joint-favourite with Taghrooda

Finally, Andy Murray won his first trophy since Wimbledon last year, beating Robredo in three sets in China, saving five match points on the way

Yes? Yes! (but not the Yes he wanted)

« Last Edit: September 29, 2014, 10:10:24 AM by TightEnd » Logged

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tikay
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« Reply #87856 on: September 29, 2014, 10:23:32 AM »


Thanks Tighty.

In short words, can someone explain what this means?


".....The Philadelphia Eagles lost for the first time this season, 26-21 in San Francisco in a really odd game. They scored all their points on defense and special teams becoming only the first team in 72 occurrences of a team scoring three non-offensive touchdowns to lose....."

What is "scoring a point on defense" & "a non-offensive td"?
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« Reply #87857 on: September 29, 2014, 10:30:50 AM »


Thanks Tighty.

In short words, can someone explain what this means?


".....The Philadelphia Eagles lost for the first time this season, 26-21 in San Francisco in a really odd game. They scored all their points on defense and special teams becoming only the first team in 72 occurrences of a team scoring three non-offensive touchdowns to lose....."

What is "scoring a point on defense" & "a non-offensive td"?

three phases of the game

offense..Touchdowns and field goals via quarterback, running back, receivers etc in the conventional way

defense...stopping the offense, but if the defense intercepts or recovers a fumble and runs that back for a touchdown (we'll leave safeties for now) thats a non offensive TD as points are scored by the defense

special teams...kickoff, punts, scoring via returns in the special teams game


So last night Philadelphia scored 3 7 point touchdowns, one was a punt return, two were interceptions where the defense catches a ball intended from the quarterback for the receiver

These "turnovers" where the defense or special teams wins the ball and changes possession are a vital part of winning NFL games

Have more turnovers than the opposition and more often than not you win the game

Last night was an exception
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tikay
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« Reply #87858 on: September 29, 2014, 10:36:58 AM »


Gotcha, thanks.

PS - Well done on the Ryder Cup "profit", it beats a loss, always a relief to cover when we spend a few bob on these Events.

Think we have BE & Co to thank for Mr Rose?
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« Reply #87859 on: September 29, 2014, 10:48:06 AM »


Gotcha, thanks.

PS - Well done on the Ryder Cup "profit", it beats a loss, always a relief to cover when we spend a few bob on these Events.

Think we have BE & Co to thank for Mr Rose?

Yes

I was looking for the best way to transact the bobby1 theory of having a foot in each top scorer camp....someone from McIlroy/Garcia (and we had a tip of Garcia for that) and someone likely to play all five matches from outside Rory-Sergio in case they didn't perform as hoped

Rose seemed the obvious choice, BE's write up was free so was able to marry the two ideas up

Incidentally, Neil had 7 out of 8 NFL winners last night. Not accessible for the thread as its in a paid package but a good night for subscribers (again)
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« Reply #87860 on: September 29, 2014, 10:55:57 AM »

Was the eighth one Oakland?

 
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« Reply #87861 on: September 29, 2014, 01:24:17 PM »

J-E-T-S...got the +1.5, thought they might do it for a little bit of the third quarter. Very annoying team.
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« Reply #87862 on: September 29, 2014, 01:24:27 PM »

Watford onto manager number 3 for the season.  Billy McKinley.

Hmmm.
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« Reply #87863 on: September 29, 2014, 01:32:08 PM »

Got to be a quiz question in there - Watford have had 4 different "head coaches" in the technical area in 5 matches.

Sannino, Garcia, Martinez, Martinez, McKinley.

Quality maanger rotation.
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« Reply #87864 on: September 29, 2014, 01:43:45 PM »

good work on the golf guys, got a few sweats and a couple of nice winners there.
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« Reply #87865 on: September 29, 2014, 02:05:24 PM »

good work on the golf guys, got a few sweats and a couple of nice winners there.

how was the Ryder Cup in the trading rooms Phil? A bit more predictable than the last one, so more profitable? (I guess)
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« Reply #87866 on: September 29, 2014, 02:09:43 PM »

Tighty seen you mention this couple of times. Donaldson 3/3. He actually lost with westwood  sat morning in 4balls. #beingpedantic
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« Reply #87867 on: September 29, 2014, 02:12:39 PM »

thank you

pedantry is good

3 out of 4!

weekend reports are a struggle due to the scale of the portfolio, i write up notes per sport on a saturday/sunday and when it comes to the next morning to write it i have to decipher them!
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« Reply #87868 on: September 29, 2014, 02:13:56 PM »

bit earlier in the day but Tighty

Tip for tonights Nfl game please? (my usual Monday request)

Thanks
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tikay
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« Reply #87869 on: September 29, 2014, 02:14:58 PM »

good work on the golf guys, got a few sweats and a couple of nice winners there.

how was the Ryder Cup in the trading rooms Phil? A bit more predictable than the last one, so more profitable? (I guess)


Oh yes, I would imagine so....

To be fair, the last one was a bloodbath. Even Lord Grumpy felt sorry for the bookies that time. Well almost.
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