Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

I have for you what is, I think, my first ever Bet Recommend.

Only a shortie, but this looks the value spot to end all value spots, the biggest value pie we'll ever eat.






Last weekend, at the Suzuka GP, a dreadful tragedy occurred. A car crashed into the JCB which was being used to remove a car that crashed earlier, & the driver was gravely injured. The Safety Car had NOT been deployed.

There was much talk before that due to the dangerous conditions, the race should have started earlier, later, or not at all. The aftertimers piled into the F1 authorities - "this must never happen again".

Now, one week later, the F1 circus moves to a brand new track @ Sochi, in Russia. It is, essentially, a "street track" in the grounds of the Olympic Park. It is a very technical track, the third longest in the schedule, with lots of ridiculously tight corners.





Almost the entire track is sandwiched between safety fences & walls, with limited run off areas. Worse still, there are very few "escape gates" into which broken down or crashed cars can be quickly & safely removed.  

Click to see full-size image.

The chances of "No Safety Car" must be exceedingly remote, to say the least.

We can get 4/9 "NO SAFETY CAR", with WH, although many have it at 1/3.


http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/russian-grand-prix/safety-car


I recommend £90 to win £40. Best 24 hour interest rate on your money you'll ever see.

Click to see full-size image.

Click to see full-size image.

[TightEnd]

I noted in the usual(ly)   excellent Tighty write up, that UKIP are expected to only get 3 seats at the next election.

I understand the standard "its only a protest by election result" inevitable replies, but I think we are drastically under estimating the general consensus, and ill feeling about immigration.

I know we have a number of wet liberals/say the right thing merchants on here( ), but I suspect people are thinking, it doesn't matter who gets in next time, they will do their best to **** it up, be it economically, health wise, school wise, etc etc. People are understanding that Immigration also has a massive knock on detrimental effect on all of those major factors now too.

With this in mind, I think there is a seaswell of folk out there who will look at Immigration as their main factor when deciding who to vote for, especially in coastal areas most hit by arriving folk.

I was shocked to see that Billy have 5 or more as the bench at 5/4. Looks mighty big to me, and I would expect well in excess of that. I was hoping to get some decent prices on 20/30 plus.

Im not a politician, or spend hours looking at Mori polls etc, but thought this worthy of consideration for the big lump.

Politics aside, thoughts please?

Based on Tighty 128 seat notage, a bump for this. Or are we already on something like this, that I have missed, or am I getting the "just like being at home" treatment, and basically just being ignored?

NB, just another 16-1 winner on racing thread.

I think it is more the fact that very few people ever contribute to political bet conversations, most people (quite rightly probably) couldn't give a....

personally i wouldn't be bullish about UKIPT seats next may

they might keep Clacton, might lose Rochester (assuming they win it in the election coming up) and mainly, because of the structure of the constituencies, their impact will mainly be felt at the margin in the main parties winning or losing seats

the poll i put up yesterday was a "wow factor" outlier

[exstream]

v good start for royal

[ripple11]

I noted in the usual(ly)   excellent Tighty write up, that UKIP are expected to only get 3 seats at the next election.

I understand the standard "its only a protest by election result" inevitable replies, but I think we are drastically under estimating the general consensus, and ill feeling about immigration.

I know we have a number of wet liberals/say the right thing merchants on here( ), but I suspect people are thinking, it doesn't matter who gets in next time, they will do their best to **** it up, be it economically, health wise, school wise, etc etc. People are understanding that Immigration also has a massive knock on detrimental effect on all of those major factors now too.

With this in mind, I think there is a seaswell of folk out there who will look at Immigration as their main factor when deciding who to vote for, especially in coastal areas most hit by arriving folk.

I was shocked to see that Billy have 5 or more as the bench at 5/4. Looks mighty big to me, and I would expect well in excess of that. I was hoping to get some decent prices on 20/30 plus.

Im not a politician, or spend hours looking at Mori polls etc, but thought this worthy of consideration for the big lump.

Politics aside, thoughts please?

Based on Tighty 128 seat notage, a bump for this. Or are we already on something like this, that I have missed, or am I getting the "just like being at home" treatment, and basically just being ignored?

NB, just another 16-1 winner on racing thread.

I think it is more the fact that very few people ever contribute to political bet conversations, most people (quite rightly probably) couldn't give a....

personally i wouldn't be bullish about UKIPT seats next may

they might keep Clacton, might lose Rochester (assuming they win it in the election coming up) and mainly, because of the structure of the constituencies, their impact will mainly be felt at the margin in the main parties winning or losing seats

the poll i put up yesterday was a "wow factor" outlier

Cameron's message of vote Nigel get Ed and Ed in No.10, is simple and true. Not only does this give a government the vast number of UKIP supporters don't want...but crucial there is no EU referendum. The Tories have months to get to drum this message ....how well it will be taken on board is the big question.
If I had to bet now, I would go under 5.......but momentum is with them....

[Omm]

I noted in the usual(ly)   excellent Tighty write up, that UKIP are expected to only get 3 seats at the next election.

I understand the standard "its only a protest by election result" inevitable replies, but I think we are drastically under estimating the general consensus, and ill feeling about immigration.

I know we have a number of wet liberals/say the right thing merchants on here( ), but I suspect people are thinking, it doesn't matter who gets in next time, they will do their best to **** it up, be it economically, health wise, school wise, etc etc. People are understanding that Immigration also has a massive knock on detrimental effect on all of those major factors now too.

With this in mind, I think there is a seaswell of folk out there who will look at Immigration as their main factor when deciding who to vote for, especially in coastal areas most hit by arriving folk.

I was shocked to see that Billy have 5 or more as the bench at 5/4. Looks mighty big to me, and I would expect well in excess of that. I was hoping to get some decent prices on 20/30 plus.

Im not a politician, or spend hours looking at Mori polls etc, but thought this worthy of consideration for the big lump.

Politics aside, thoughts please?

Based on Tighty 128 seat notage, a bump for this. Or are we already on something like this, that I have missed, or am I getting the "just like being at home" treatment, and basically just being ignored?

NB, just another 16-1 winner on racing thread.

I think it is more the fact that very few people ever contribute to political bet conversations, most people (quite rightly probably) couldn't give a....

personally i wouldn't be bullish about UKIPT seats next may

they might keep Clacton, might lose Rochester (assuming they win it in the election coming up) and mainly, because of the structure of the constituencies, their impact will mainly be felt at the margin in the main parties winning or losing seats

the poll i put up yesterday was a "wow factor" outlier

Personally I can't see it Adz, think we are a few years away from UKIP getting that many seats at a GE and also think that price is a bit skinny.

Great this, political debate along side gaming world championship talk. Where else in the world.....

[Tal]

Tighty, thoughts on the Dallas line today? I'd rather be on your boys with a 9.5 point start.

[Nakor]

http://watch.na.lolesports.com/en_US

Starting now.

Can't believe it, our team look like a bunch of nerds vs the cool kids. 1-0 down.

nerds in computer game will prevail!

gotta say if your not watching at least a bit of this you should, takes a while to understand whats going on if your not a gamer, but thrilling viewing!

game 3 aint looking good is it

was for a while but they seem to be too strong

here we go
finally the teamfight

fantastic, great great game, never thought i would enjoy this sort of thing, very very exciting.

So Gauntlet became a spectator sport where you can win a million bucks?
Who knew.

[TightEnd]

Tighty, thoughts on the Dallas line today? I'd rather be on your boys with a 9.5 point start.

No bet for me. Dallas defense has been scheming well, and helped by the offense and run game keeping them off the field as much, but is still conceding 7 yards a play

It has also only faced QBs this season as follows: Kaepernick, Davis, Locker, Fitzpatrick and a spluttering Brees. Hardly the most threatening in the league

now they have to contain wilson, stop Lynch and keep an eye on Harvin



the really interesting one for me (apart from my BE column bet which i really like) is the Jets as double digit underdogs at home to Denver

over the past 25 years double digit home dogs are 61% ATS, including 19-3 of the last 22.

the ultimate anti-public contrarian type bet. everyone hates it but it wins 

 

[Omm]

v good start for royal

This Insec guy is incrediable, if your not watching it's 2-2, last game and we are hammering them.

[exstream]

Early odds see Pinnacle put OMG at 1.7 and Royal Club at 2.2.
All that's needed now is for 365 to follow suit then get on.

365 aren't as good as pinnacle but I would have royal club a fair bit lower than evens that can be had now.
Would bet again on royal club.
Sports-specials-world-lol world championship-royal club.

Peasy. Never in doubt . Uzi, the adc, too good.

Fourth world championship of LoL and Royal Club have made a second final, 2 years in a row.
A final in which Samsung White will probably be something ridiculous like 1/6.

[Kmac84]

If I were playing the General Election/UKIP seats I'd also be on unders.  

I think the tories will come up trumps in the election.  I have thought that fora good while.  

I think Labour will lose a fair few seats in Scotland, but regardless of that as we know whatever way Middle England votes decides what government we get, I can see why people would say in an opinion poll they are voting UKIP, i woudalso reckon many seen what happened in the Scottish Referendum when Murdoch put the poll out about a Yes majority we had every big hitter sent north of the border, I wouldn't be at all shocked if people in England who the daily mail have polled are thinking along the same lines.

Like Tighty, I very much think the Lib Dems are done for.  They are now part of the establishment.  

The chat up here is all about uniting behind the SNP and sending the biggest ever contingent of Nationalist MP's to Westminister.  I don't support that view, I would prefer to see the SNP concentrate on marginal seats they can genuinley win and for a United lef of SSP/Greens/RIC/WFI/LFI/SNP take Labour on in the heartlands.  

It matters very little who the next government are imo as both are committed to the same austerity agenda.  Seems we can't afford to pay a iving wage, look after our poor and disabled, increase the wages for nurses and doctors  but we can afford more war.  #RuleBritania

[exstream]

v good start for royal

This Insec guy is incrediable, if your not watching it's 2-2, last game and we are hammering them.

Insec is the one that draws the lee sin bans in champ select or has the other team first pick the champion.

[Omm]

Early odds see Pinnacle put OMG at 1.7 and Royal Club at 2.2.
All that's needed now is for 365 to follow suit then get on.

365 aren't as good as pinnacle but I would have royal club a fair bit lower than evens that can be had now.
Would bet again on royal club.
Sports-specials-world-lol world championship-royal club.

Peasy. Never in doubt . Uzi, the adc, too good.

Fourth world championship of LoL and Royal Club have made a second final, 2 years in a row.
A final in which Samsung White will probably be something ridiculous like 1/6.

Unbelievable, thanks Ex, along with Tighy's report this has well made my Sunday morning. Let's us have the link when the final is on, love to watch it. Might even ice cream Royal C's

[TightEnd]

Early odds see Pinnacle put OMG at 1.7 and Royal Club at 2.2.
All that's needed now is for 365 to follow suit then get on.

365 aren't as good as pinnacle but I would have royal club a fair bit lower than evens that can be had now.
Would bet again on royal club.
Sports-specials-world-lol world championship-royal club.

Peasy. Never in doubt . Uzi, the adc, too good.

Fourth world championship of LoL and Royal Club have made a second final, 2 years in a row.
A final in which Samsung White will probably be something ridiculous like 1/6.

Well done

we might go for the treble in the final?

profits are £42 and running on this....

[Tal]

Tighty, thoughts on the Dallas line today? I'd rather be on your boys with a 9.5 point start.

No bet for me. Dallas defense has been scheming well, and helped by the offense and run game keeping them off the field as much, but is still conceding 7 yards a play

It has also only faced QBs this season as follows: Kaepernick, Davis, Locker, Fitzpatrick and a spluttering Brees. Hardly the most threatening in the league

now they have to contain wilson, stop Lynch and keep an eye on Harvin



the really interesting one for me (apart from my BE column bet which i really like) is the Jets as double digit underdogs at home to Denver

over the past 25 years double digit home dogs are 61% ATS, including 19-3 of the last 22.

the ultimate anti-public contrarian type bet. everyone hates it but it wins  

 

I wouldn't back the Jets +15 They're just awful and in a mess. They also keep giving false start penalties away.

Fred doesn't have enough money to be spending it on that lot.