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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16574195 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #89040 on: October 18, 2014, 09:35:27 AM »

Daily Report

Profit on Month £197.05

Outstanding Bets £4156.26


https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=30


A loss of £30 yesterday with Pulchinella second at Newmarket and the offer double on Estidhkaar and Ivawood falling on a day of big priced winners, horses in winter coats and tacky ground on Future Champions day



Fortunately, we reined it back after the first couple of races and saved £75 of losses on short priced favourites on william hill offers

As talked about yesterday Bautista Agut through to the semi-finals of the ATP Kremlin cup in Moscow. We have, on checking, 20-1 each way about the Argentinian

He plays Gulbis at 1.30pm today and is currently 11/4 3rd favourite of the 4 semi-finalists for the title

 Click to see full-size image.



One postscript to thursday's NFL, the Jets  became the first team ever to have 40 minutes of possession, rush for OVER 200 yards.. commit no turnovers...and LOSE

the day after this, they did one of the most baffling trades for any NFL team in recent history, trading for Percy Harvin from the Seahawks. Who will no doubt solve all their problems




things to watch out for today, tantalising tipster tikay's hope Viztoria at Ascot, Kingsbarn too. Goals galore at Peterborough v Barnsley, the return of the Premier League, Strictly, X-Factor, hoping Fulham beat Norwich to help Symons get the job, the Hughes/Moore battle at Ascot....
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« Reply #89041 on: October 18, 2014, 09:59:46 AM »

Hughes is 1.02/1.03 on betfair

Dont think we need to fret that one! Hughes is having a lot more rides per week than Moore and the market tells us Moore must still be planning his overseas trip before the season ends

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tikay
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« Reply #89042 on: October 18, 2014, 09:59:50 AM »


the day after this, they did one of the most baffling trades for any NFL team in recent history, trading for Percy Harvin from the Seahawks. Who will no doubt solve all their problems

Why is that "baffling" Rich?
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TightEnd
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« Reply #89043 on: October 18, 2014, 10:02:23 AM »


the day after this, they did one of the most baffling trades for any NFL team in recent history, trading for Percy Harvin from the Seahawks. Who will no doubt solve all their problems

Why is that "baffling" Rich?

the Jets are 1-6 and highly unlikely to have a winning season

likely to change coach and general manager at the end of the season

so why trade for a troublesome player who is paid $13m a year who doesn't solve their problems?


the sensible approach is to draft well, use their cap space well and not blow it on splashy trades where the seller usually has by far the best of it

harvin has the stats of a role player yet is paid like a superstar
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« Reply #89044 on: October 18, 2014, 10:02:50 AM »

It's a bit like signing Joey Barton for £25m. He might be exactly what you need, but, in the era of the salary cap, you're gambling on it being worth it. He comes with baggage, despite his talent.
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« Reply #89045 on: October 18, 2014, 10:03:38 AM »

Hughes is 1.02/1.03 on betfair

Dont think we need to fret that one! Hughes is having a lot more rides per week than Moore and the market tells us Moore must still be planning his overseas trip before the season ends



please, you are spoiling my narrative.

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« Reply #89046 on: October 18, 2014, 10:07:39 AM »

Indeed our irish friends of the green variety could well payout tonight if nothing amazing happens this afternoon methinks
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« Reply #89047 on: October 18, 2014, 10:20:14 AM »

as usual tricky getting on at the right prices/terms with non-bookmakers

Betting Emporium

4.05 Ascot

£15 e/w PethersMoon 25-1 1/5 1,2,3 BV. Sportingbet 25-1 1/4 1,2,3 was restricted to £1.60

£20 e/w Western Hymn 20-1 1/5 1,2,3 BV. Alternative was 16/1 1/4 the odds so no difference

i am struggling to access WH Mobile for Cirrus/offer. will keep trying

--


for the opening 2m race, i came up with Pallasator at 8-1 as an e/w alternative to Leading Light, but LL has won in mud too. So I will throw that race open for thoughts.....

--

we have kingsbarn in the mile race but would love to see top notch tonto land it.
--

the mile and a half fillies looks a tough one?

--

the final race looks to be a stormer but no ideas here!

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« Reply #89048 on: October 18, 2014, 10:23:50 AM »

Neil's champions stakes thoughts are up (free to read, no need to register)

http://www.bettingemporium.com/tips/index/44

Ha, I am morphing into Neil.  I backed Western Hymm last night with not want to be bookie BFSB at 18/1 e/w.  I was limited to £6 e/w after what must have been barely a handful of bets ever.  I know thread is restricted too, and frankly didn't want to give them the publicity, so didn't put it up.  
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #89049 on: October 18, 2014, 10:29:48 AM »

as usual tricky getting on at the right prices/terms with non-bookmakers

Betting Emporium

4.05 Ascot

£15 e/w PethersMoon 25-1 1/5 1,2,3 BV. Sportingbet 25-1 1/4 1,2,3 was restricted to £1.60

£20 e/w Western Hymn 20-1 1/5 1,2,3 BV. Alternative was 16/1 1/4 the odds so no difference

i am struggling to access WH Mobile for Cirrus/offer. will keep trying

--


for the opening 2m race, i came up with Pallasator at 8-1 as an e/w alternative to Leading Light, but LL has won in mud too. So I will throw that race open for thoughts.....

--

we have kingsbarn in the mile race but would love to see top notch tonto land it.
--

the mile and a half fillies looks a tough one?

--

the final race looks to be a stormer but no ideas here!



That's just ridiculous.

Fred has over £800 in that Acount, & Tighty has just PM'd me to suggest we withdraw a goodly chunk. Makes no sense to have the account if we can only get £1.60 on a 25/1 shot in a well-traded event.
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« Reply #89050 on: October 18, 2014, 10:35:23 AM »

tikay

if you are able could you get £25 WH Mobile Cirrus des Aigles in the 4.05 Ascot please?

7/4 currently

thanks
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« Reply #89051 on: October 18, 2014, 10:37:43 AM »

tikay

if you are able could you get £25 WH Mobile Cirrus des Aigles in the 4.05 Ascot please?

7/4 currently

thanks

DONE.

Bet placed on WH Mobile, £25 @ 7/4. Money Back as a Free Bet if 2nd.
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« Reply #89052 on: October 18, 2014, 10:48:06 AM »

Not sure if League One has been covered for today but the stand out price looks to be Notts County at home to Crawley.

Few reasons:

Crawley were dire last week. Notts County is not the place for a bounce back result.
County are unbeaten in all comps since playing Bristol City at the end of August.
Josh Simpson (CM) and Izale Mcleod (Main Goal Threat) are both doubts.
County will be expected to perform as its a price reduction day and everyone will want a good result to get some floating fans back.

364 and Viktor have them at 6/5.

I'd suggest £20 on this and maybe float £10 on Notts County -1, 10/3 with Viktor and PatrickPower.
« Last Edit: October 18, 2014, 11:07:44 AM by GlennDuskTillDawn » Logged

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« Reply #89053 on: October 18, 2014, 10:49:11 AM »



A quick "good luck" to Mr Chompy, who returns for Day 2 of the Luton GUKPT today as one of the chip leaders.

I sense he is at the furlong pole, well clear, with a double handful.




 Click to see full-size image.
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« Reply #89054 on: October 18, 2014, 11:14:46 AM »



A quick "good luck" to Mr Chompy, who returns for Day 2 of the Luton GUKPT today as one of the chip leaders.

I sense he is at the furlong pole, well clear, with a double handful.




 Click to see full-size image.


Goodluck Chompy, great to meet you yesterday, hope you do well.
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