Tips for Tikay

[Chompy]

Pardew looks a ridic favourite in the next Palace manager market. Scuy have just cut from 8-11 to 4-7 despite 4 being available on the machine. Can't be too careful and that.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/football-specials/crystal-palace/next-permanent-manager

Story in today's Sun...

http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/sport/football/6216968/Crystal-Palace-will-beg-Tony-Pulis-to-return.html

Pulis ruled himself out but these things can change and it's low-risk at double-fig prices imo. Flick in a ten spot at 14 with BMU.

[GlennDuskTillDawn]

No real view or knowledge, but is it wise to bet for or against Poshies right now, with them being so predictably unpredictable? Think we have them to go Up, Down & Middle, none of which are certain to get home.......

Hi,

No unpredictability in the form.

Last 4 games at home and the only win was against League 2 Carlisle in the FA Cup.

I wouldn't go the whole hog and back every option against Posh but believe Doncaster to win a half at that price is the value bet for this match.

[TightEnd]

we already have £70 on this afternoon's game

don-don ht/ft 6/1 20
doncaster   14/5   50

[tikay]

No real view or knowledge, but is it wise to bet for or against Poshies right now, with them being so predictably unpredictable? Think we have them to go Up, Down & Middle, none of which are certain to get home.......

Hi,

No unpredictability in the form.

Last 4 games at home and the only win was against League 2 Carlisle in the FA Cup.

I wouldn't go the whole hog and back every option against Posh but believe Doncaster to win a half at that price is the value bet for this match.

I'm sure you are right, guess I'm a bit Poshed out.

[tikay]

we already have £70 on this afternoon's game

don-don ht/ft 6/1 20
doncaster   14/5   50

Err, go go Donny. I think.

[horseplayer]

A lovely assist in France yesterday

[swinebag22]

Pardew looks a ridic favourite in the next Palace manager market. Scuy have just cut from 8-11 to 4-7 despite 4 being available on the machine. Can't be too careful and that.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/football-specials/crystal-palace/next-permanent-manager

Story in today's Sun...

http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/sport/football/6216968/Crystal-Palace-will-beg-Tony-Pulis-to-return.html

Pulis ruled himself out but these things can change and it's low-risk at double-fig prices imo. Flick in a ten spot at 14 with BMU.

I quite like Popovic here. He has built a very good reputation in the A-leagues and is a bit of a palace lege.


He is best priced 10s (General ). I 'flicked in a ten spot' at 12s after hearing him mentioned on Talksport yesterday. He's maybe too short now, but I can't have Pulis. Him and the chairman will simply not work together. Having said that, Jose ended back at Chelsea, so you never know.

[horseplayer]

Pardew looks a ridic favourite in the next Palace manager market. Scuy have just cut from 8-11 to 4-7 despite 4 being available on the machine. Can't be too careful and that.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/football-specials/crystal-palace/next-permanent-manager

Story in today's Sun...

http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/sport/football/6216968/Crystal-Palace-will-beg-Tony-Pulis-to-return.html

Pulis ruled himself out but these things can change and it's low-risk at double-fig prices imo. Flick in a ten spot at 14 with BMU.

I quite like Popovic here. He has built a very good reputation in the A-leagues and is a bit of a palace lege.


He is best priced 10s (General ). I 'flicked in a ten spot' at 12s after hearing him mentioned on Talksport yesterday. He's maybe too short now, but I can't have Pulis. Him and the chairman will simply not work together. Having said that, Jose ended back at Chelsea, so you never know.

Popovic was mentioned last time a lot (i backed him at massive prices) but they never actually interviewed him

Its worth pointing out his team in the A League are currently third bottom with 3 points. To be fair he has done well in previous seasons

[Karabiner]

Arsenal look very short @ 5/4 away to WHam today especially as we'll probably be fielding another makeshift defence due to Koscielny's questionable fitness. It''ll either be that or Monreal who actually deputises fairly well but I dread to think of him duelling with Carroll for high balls in the box.

The walrus has a decent record against us and Giroud will be a big miss defensively too as he is key for us at corners and the like.

Personally I'd snap anyone's hand off who offerred me a point.

I think fred should consider laying Arsenal @ ~5/4*

* I still want Arsenal to win and will not pretend otherwise should we do so.

[swinebag22]

Not for Fred, but bet £3.65 have City's Stevan Jovetic best price 15/4 to score first against Burnley and this seems way too big. Most firms are 3/1.

I am a bit of a Jovetic fan boy and boldly predicted he would score 20 goals for City this season. Unfortunately he has had no luck with injuries. He was on fire pre-season, and has looked sharp in the few games he has played this season. He is reported to be in line to start after being an unused sub on Friday.

The thing that makes the bet so appealing is the EW terms (unlimited places 1/3 odds)

This makes him 5/4 to score anytime and most firms (including bet £3.65 LOL) have him odds on to score anytime.

I'm flicking £24 EW here.

Redarmi likes this even more than I do. However, Jovetic has drifted to , which looks like City may play the 'false No 9' again and not risk Jovetic from the start. Not sure how the bet is affected by this? I vaguely remember reading on here how some bookies have changed their first/anytime goal scorer t&cs

[horseplayer]

Further news

Tp http://t.co/Hc1wEdyyWH

Looks to have been interviewed by Brighton or at least could be (been matched fairly short for Brighton on machine)

And re Popovic wants full control according to this http://t.co/OIt2EcxX1e

Considering they did not give TP full control cant seem them giving it to a relative rookie

[horseplayer]

Not for Fred, but bet £3.65 have City's Stevan Jovetic best price 15/4 to score first against Burnley and this seems way too big. Most firms are 3/1.

I am a bit of a Jovetic fan boy and boldly predicted he would score 20 goals for City this season. Unfortunately he has had no luck with injuries. He was on fire pre-season, and has looked sharp in the few games he has played this season. He is reported to be in line to start after being an unused sub on Friday.

The thing that makes the bet so appealing is the EW terms (unlimited places 1/3 odds)

This makes him 5/4 to score anytime and most firms (including bet £3.65 LOL) have him odds on to score anytime.

I'm flicking £24 EW here.

Redarmi likes this even more than I do. However, Jovetic has drifted to , which looks like City may play the 'false No 9' again and not risk Jovetic from the start. Not sure how the bet is affected by this? I vaguely remember reading on here how some bookies have changed their first/anytime goal scorer t&cs

Just 365 matching best price i would think rather than anything else

Would personally not be keen on backing such an injury prone striker as Jovetic each way even though i am a fan.

Personally i cant see why he would be rushed back for today, been very impressed with City the last two game without a striker no reason it wont work again today.

[swinebag22]

Not for Fred, but bet £3.65 have City's Stevan Jovetic best price 15/4 to score first against Burnley and this seems way too big. Most firms are 3/1.

I am a bit of a Jovetic fan boy and boldly predicted he would score 20 goals for City this season. Unfortunately he has had no luck with injuries. He was on fire pre-season, and has looked sharp in the few games he has played this season. He is reported to be in line to start after being an unused sub on Friday.

The thing that makes the bet so appealing is the EW terms (unlimited places 1/3 odds)

This makes him 5/4 to score anytime and most firms (including bet £3.65 LOL) have him odds on to score anytime.

I'm flicking £24 EW here.

Redarmi likes this even more than I do. However, Jovetic has drifted to , which looks like City may play the 'false No 9' again and not risk Jovetic from the start. Not sure how the bet is affected by this? I vaguely remember reading on here how some bookies have changed their first/anytime goal scorer t&cs

Just 365 matching best price i would think rather than anything else

Would personally not be keen on backing such an injury prone striker as Jovetic each way even though i am a fan.

Personally i cant see why he would be rushed back for today, been very impressed with City the last two game without a striker no reason it wont work again today.

Don't think he's been rushed back. He was on the bench vs WBA so must be fit enough to play. Agree that  City have been doing well without a no. 9 and there are bigger games for Jovetic to make his comeback in. Indications yesterday were that he will play though. I'm off to watch it so will have a nice live sweat.

[horseplayer]

Enjoy

I actually think backing him win only at 4/1 if he starts obviously is a good bet

[TightEnd]

Morning all...Any strong fancies or opinions out there on today's NFL?

Obviously a minefield for the punters, as we've not got much of a clue as to who's going to be rested/given a run out today. Possible fun money options...

Just a thought - this is probably quite obvious - but should we be considering a bet on JJ Watt scoring a touchdown? Any MVP aspirations he (and his franchise) might have would need a reminder to the judges of how good a season he's had, while some of the others warm the bench. It is a poor game on paper, which no one will be watching with any interest, so making the national papers requires something special.

Also, well, it's the Jaguars and the possibility of him scoring a strip sack can't be overlooked. The Jags' red zone (last 20 yards) defence is actually good, so the obvious plays of giving it to Arian Foster when close up needs to be defended so there might be a gap or two in the endzone for a highlight reel monster.

Am thinking more from the skill position perspective, though.

Any others worthy of consideration in that respect? Maybe Brady anytime with centrepiece of the run-blocking defense, Marcel Dareus out? He hasn't scored a rushing touchdown all season and will almost certainly be rested partway through. Gronkowski is equally so important to the Patriots, it's hard to see him playing much more than half the game

Aaron Rodgers is 11/2 with BMU anytime and does at least have a rushing touchdown to his name this season. The Lions will be getting at Rodgers and will have been encouraged by the performance of the Buffalo Bills against him a fortnight ago. He's had a calf injury this week, mind, and whilst that won't keep him out, it's possible thrashing further limits his involvement and his mobility.

Back to JJ Watt, then. Anytime is a stingy 7/2. However, first TD is 22/1 with the green bookie, who also have double odds if the first touchdown bet scores a second during the game. I know Fred can't get on but I'm happy to accommodate if Fred thinks it's any good (thinly veiled active "we hear you" account brag).

Open to suggestions...

Houston can still make the play offs. win the game must come first, before any thoughts of getting an extra vote for MVP for something that probably won't be influenced too much at this late stage anyway. this would lead me to suggest that first TD is pretty unlikely, and if he is on offense it will be if the game is won/late on

he's got 4 TDs in 15 games, 3 on offense, one an interception so 7/2 anytime doesn't seem out of line, if anything too short

in general as you say its an odd week, i think i would look at the following games for bets, where i know both teams are 100% motivated ie they have something to play for and starters won't be pulled at half time etc

lions at packers (unders?)

bengals at steelers (maybe the steelers -3)

panthers at falcons (overs?)

chargers at chiefs (unders?)