Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

One bet to add

-£9 Aaron Rdgers comeback player of the year

As we saw, he won MVP

Gronkowski won Comeback player of the year with 37 of the 50 votes

(Rolando McClain 7, Jeremy Maclin 7, Kyle LOLrton 1)

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000466440/article/rob-gronkowski-wins-comeback-player-of-the-year

So he was TOO GOOD for "Comeback POY"?

Out of order. That's some way to lose a bet!

[Supernova]

Quite like the look of the overs for Marshawn Lynch tonight.
Currentky over 88.5 with Bill Hill.
If Seattle are going to win the Superbowl, then they are going to have to run the ball successfully. Lynch is the major factor in this. As long as Seattle can keep it close, then they will stick with the running game, and try to tire out New Englands Defence.  They managed this very well against Green Bay in the Championship game. Lynch rushed for  112 yards in the 2nd hallf of that game.

Recommend Marshaw Lynch over 88.5 yards  £50 @ 10/11 with Bill Hill

[tikay]

Quite like the look of the overs for Marshawn Lynch tonight.
Currentky over 88.5 with Bill Hill.
If Seattle are going to win the Superbowl, then they are going to have to run the ball successfully. Lynch is the major factor in this. As long as Seattle can keep it close, then they will stick with the running game, and try to tire out New Englands Defence.  They managed this very well against Green Bay in the Championship game. Lynch rushed for  112 yards in the 2nd hallf of that game.

Recommend Marshaw Lynch over 88.5 yards  £50 @ 10/11 with Bill Hill

Hello, err, Sharon..........

[Supernova]

Quite like the look of the overs for Marshawn Lynch tonight.
Currentky over 88.5 with Bill Hill.
If Seattle are going to win the Superbowl, then they are going to have to run the ball successfully. Lynch is the major factor in this. As long as Seattle can keep it close, then they will stick with the running game, and try to tire out New Englands Defence.  They managed this very well against Green Bay in the Championship game. Lynch rushed for  112 yards in the 2nd hallf of that game.

Recommend Marshaw Lynch over 88.5 yards  £50 @ 10/11 with Bill Hill

Hello, err, Sharon..........

Oops.. this should have been posted under Newportlad.  I'm using her laptop at the moment and forgot that i was logged in under her account.

[Omm]

+£400 Aaron Donald NFL Defensive rookie of the year, came in at 20-1. Nice to get a big price ante-post in after a few near misses

What a wonderful spot that was, thank you.

Top tipping Tighty, thanks very much.

[TightEnd]

another tiebreak at melbourne, another profit..2 from 2 thanks Mr Beetle

[tikay]

another tiebreak at melbourne, another profit..2 from 2 thanks Mr Beetle

Good work!

February has started rather encouragingly.

Having said that, presumably we'll have a good few hundred at stake tonight, though it will be spread across a wide basket of bets, so we can't do the lot. Can we?........

[Marky147]

One bet to add

-£9 Aaron Rdgers comeback player of the year

As we saw, he won MVP

Gronkowski won Comeback player of the year with 37 of the 50 votes

(Rolando McClain 7, Jeremy Maclin 7, Kyle LOLrton 1)

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000466440/article/rob-gronkowski-wins-comeback-player-of-the-year

So he was TOO GOOD for "Comeback POY"?

Out of order. That's some way to lose a bet!

I was thinking about this one, and wondered if he wasn't in the mix because he played postseason last year?

If Gronk played postseason, obv not, but it's the only reason I could think of...

[TightEnd]

ok i am going to put the superbowl bets on starting soon

time for anyone else to holler if they have anything through to about 7pm when i disappear to, of all things, a superbowl party

by the end of the superbowl party i doubt i will be invited to another one, as the chances of me being non-nerdy are remote

[sonour]

Hope we're not being slowrolled, but the NFL Network scroll bar is saying


It's on the NFL homepage


'Rams DT Aaron Donald wins AP Defensive Rookie of the Year'

The Rams defensive tackle finished the 2014 season with 9 sacks.


I thought the awards ceremony started at 9pm ET?


Incred stuff, Rich 

Thank you Rich.

[TightEnd]

two of the things i put up yesterday were under H1 and under the game

byeweekpicks.com analysed both of these this morning, just out

they say

"My algorithm has this game at Ne 22-Seattle 21.7, hence a total of 43.7.  As we know, Seattle’s defense is very good (2nd in eff vs the run and 3rd vs the pass).  The Pats defense is slightly above average at 12th vs the run (effic rating) and 10th vs the pass.  After Wilson’s terrible game last week, the Seahawks will be focusing on the run game and gain Wilson’s confidence back (especially in the 1st half) and will want to run the ball to eat clock and keep Brady off the field.  The Hawks ran the most in the NFL this year and passes the second least.  NE’s strength is exploiting other team’s weaknesses.  Seattle’s only relative weakness on defense is giving up yards up the middle, so I think the Pats will try to pound the ball also.  Super Bowls tend to start out slow because neither team wants to make a mistake first…In 30 out of 48 Bowls the 1st half score was less than the 2nd half including 13 out of the last 16."

 New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks Under 47.5 (Total Points - Match) Odds: 20/21 Stake: 21.00 Possible Return:  41.00

   
Under  24.5
NE Patriots vs SEA Seahawks
1st Half Total 3-Way    01/02/2015    
10/11
None    To Run
Stake 11.00    To Return 21.00


GrahamC highlighted quarters and 1st half v 2nd half...byeweekpicks backs some of that up above

i have done 2nd half higher than 1st half for now

 Scoring Props 2nd Half (Highest Scoring Half - Match) Odds: 20/21 Stake: 21.00 Possible Return:  41.00

[TightEnd]

newportsupernova wanted to be on Lynch

01 Feb 2015 - New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks - Marshawn Lynch Total Rushing Yards

Over (88.5) @ 10/11

Stake : £33.00
Estimated Returns : £
63.00
Transaction Reference:
O/0457483/0001205/F

[TightEnd]

Recommendations (£5-20 each)
 
Under 24 1st half points @10/11 Bet365  ALREADY ON
 
Under 47.5points @ 10/11 BetVictor ALREADY ON
 
First touchdown scorer: LeGarrette Blount 12-1 BetVictor/Coral.
 
Superbowl MVP: LeGarrette Blount 25-1 William Hill.

Superbowl MVP (Defensive player fliers) Kam Chancellor 40-1, Jamie Collins 150-1
 
First Scoring Play: Seahawks field goal 4-1 BetVictor/Ladbrokes/Coral

national anthem length over 121.5 11/10 PP if we can get on

your bets (1)

Single - Seattle Seahawks v New England Patriots

Seattle Seahawks Field Goal - |First Score of Game|

Odds: 4/1

1 lines at £15.00 per line

Total Stake for this bet: £15.00

Potential Return:£75.00

Receipt No:O/142640973/0000843


the player stuff is speculative

if i wanted an MVP with my last fiver it would be a quarterback, if i wanted a first TD scorer with the last fiver, Lynch

but for value

1st TD
LeGarrette Blount12/1NE Patriots @ SEA Seahawks - 01/02/2015
Stake £5.00
Estimated Return:£65.00
Total Stake: £5.00
Potential Return: £65.00


your bets (1)

Single - Super Bowl XLIX

LeGarrette Blount (NE) - |Super Bowl MVP|

Odds: 25/1

1 lines at £5.00 per line

Total Stake for this bet: £5.00

Potential Return:£130.00

Time : 1/2/2015-13:15

Receipt No:O/142640973/0000844


your bets (1)

Single - Super Bowl XLIX

Kam Chancellor (SEA) - |Super Bowl MVP|

Odds: 40/1

1 lines at £5.00 per line

Total Stake for this bet: £5.00

Potential Return:£205.00

Time : 1/2/2015-13:16

Receipt No:O/142640973/0000845
    

Jamie Collins150/1NE Patriots @ SEA Seahawks - 01/02/2015
Stake £5.00
Estimated Return:£755.00
Total Stake: £5.00
Potential Return: £755.0

i can't get on o121.5 at 11/10 Paddy Power

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/new-england-patriots-at-seattle-seahawks/national-anthem-length

[TightEnd]

i wanted one more

the quote on Shane Vereen combined yards rushing and receiving is very low

he's the receiving back and won't get the attention Gronk and Blount get

everyone thinks Brady will dink and dunk because it is so difficult to throw on the Seahawks secondary, and most think this means Edelman (quotes are 7 receptions, 70 yards) but the Vereen quotes have flown under the radar yet he'll be the target of screens, 3rd down plays, conservative sub ten yard receiving stuff too

he can be had for 41.5 yards combined

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/new-england-patriots-at-seattle-seahawks/total-rushing-receiving-yds-shane-vereen


your bets (1)

Single - Seattle Seahawks v New England Patriots - Player Props

Over 41.5 - |Rushing + Receiving| - |S Vereen|

Odds: 10/11

1 lines at £22.00 per line

Total Stake for this bet: £22.00

Potential Return:£42.00

Time : 1/2/2015-13:23

Receipt No:O/142640973/0000846

[TightEnd]

right i will pop those onto the spreadsheet and then print out the current book for people to add to as they wish