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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13547802 times)
exstream
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« Reply #94590 on: February 01, 2015, 02:00:27 PM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/new-england-patriots-at-seattle-seahawks/bill-belichick-hoodie-colour

He has wore the previous

Super Bowl 36: Blue Windbreaker
Super Bowl 38: Blue Windbreaker
Super Bowl 39: Grey Hoodie
Super Bowl 42: Blue Polo
Super Bowl 46: Grey Hoodie

any other 7/4?
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« Reply #94591 on: February 01, 2015, 02:04:21 PM »

Brady mvp 21/10 is surely too big at bwin.  Decent unders on bf.  Must be worth £50.  All the sharps are on Seattle which is the only downer for the bet.
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« Reply #94592 on: February 01, 2015, 02:06:50 PM »

31-Jan mattyhollis   williamhill   1-Feb    Misc.   katy perry's first song superbowl half time   this is how we do it   12/1   10
31-Jan tal   betfair sportsbook   1-Feb    Misc.   katy perry's first song superbowl half time   last friday night   33/1   10
31-Jan tal   williamhill   1-Feb    Misc.   katy perry's first song superbowl half time   dark horses   15/2   20
1-Feb    TightEnd   betvictor   1-Feb    NFL   superbowl   under 47.5 points   20/21   21
1-Feb    TightEnd   bet365   1-Feb NFL   superbowl   H1 Under 24.5   10/11   11
1-Feb    Graham C   betvictor   1-Feb NFL   superbowl   H 2 highest scoring half   20/21   21
1-Feb newportlad wiliamhill   1-Feb    NFL   superbowl   Lynch o88.5 rushing   10/11   33
1-Feb    TightEnd   ladbrokes   1-Feb    NFL   superbowl   Vereen o41.5 rush and rec   10/11   22
1-Feb    TightEnd   ladbrokes   1-Feb    NFL   superbowl   seattle FG 1st scoring play   4/1   15
1-Feb    TightEnd   coral   1-Feb    NFL   superbowl   Blount 1st TD   12/1   5
1-Feb    TightEnd   coral   1-Feb    NFL   superbowl   Chancellor MVP   40/1   5
1-Feb    TightEnd   coral   1-Feb    NFL   superbowl   Collins MVP   150/1   5
1-Feb    TightEnd   betvictor   1-Feb NFL   superbowl   Blount MVP   25/1   5

£182
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« Reply #94593 on: February 01, 2015, 02:08:23 PM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/new-england-patriots-at-seattle-seahawks/bill-belichick-hoodie-colour

He has wore the previous

Super Bowl 36: Blue Windbreaker
Super Bowl 38: Blue Windbreaker
Super Bowl 39: Grey Hoodie
Super Bowl 42: Blue Polo
Super Bowl 46: Grey Hoodie

any other 7/4?

Thanks

before i saw the odds i though Grey, its usually grey! not at 2/5 though

i can't get on at PP for the 7/4, PP is off limits for us and has been for ages
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« Reply #94594 on: February 01, 2015, 02:12:20 PM »

Brady mvp 21/10 is surely too big at bwin.  Decent unders on bf.  Must be worth £50.  All the sharps are on Seattle which is the only downer for the bet.

the quarterback Dutch is 2/5

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/new-england-patriots-at-seattle-seahawks/mvp-a-quarterback

Wilson didn't win it last year. could seattle win two in a row and Wilson not get it in consecutive years? possible (it would have to be a hell of a defensive performance which it might well be ) but 11/4 Wilson is very tempting too

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/new-england-patriots-at-seattle-seahawks/superbowl-mvp 

could or should we play both? one or the other? neither?

tricky
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« Reply #94595 on: February 01, 2015, 02:15:21 PM »

Brady mvp 21/10 is surely too big at bwin.  Decent unders on bf.  Must be worth £50.  All the sharps are on Seattle which is the only downer for the bet.

the quarterback Dutch is 2/5

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/new-england-patriots-at-seattle-seahawks/mvp-a-quarterback

Wilson didn't win it last year. could seattle win two in a row and Wilson not get it in consecutive years? possible (it would have to be a hell of a defensive performance which it might well be ) but 11/4 Wilson is very tempting too

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/new-england-patriots-at-seattle-seahawks/superbowl-mvp  

could or should we play both? one or the other? neither?

tricky

wilson is 4.9 on bf don't take 11/4.  I have no view on the game tbh but i am sure bwin are just trying to suck people in for the game with the brady price to get their action on other markets.  They could easily be top going 19/10 on oddschecker.  Just looks a giveaway ev hoover to me.

QB's coupled are just under 9/10 if you take those prices.  I think that is a bet.  If not victor's 2/1 a qb doesn't win it is a bet.  They are probably both value bets.  I assume it's a monster price any other QB wins it from the bench?  It is a very lumpy 'arb' if you can get on with the firm's in question (bwin/vc) and don't mind taking the chance a reserve QB wins it (must be 50/1 + surely?)

21/10 37/10 (assuming 5% commission on top of the 4.9) and 2/1 not a bad 3 way book as a punter

My personal preference would be to just back the two 'ricks' with bwin and vc.
« Last Edit: February 01, 2015, 02:33:21 PM by arbboy » Logged
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« Reply #94596 on: February 01, 2015, 02:53:44 PM »

2/1/2015 3:19 PM    Single bet    

    open New England Patriots - Seattle Seahawks (Super Bowl XLIX - Played in Glendale, AZ) (Which player will be named the MVP of the Super Bowl?)
    Tom Brady (NE)
    ?

   50.00    3.10

Quarterback Props No (Superbowl MVP To Be Quarterback? - Match) Odds: 2/1 Stake: 50.00 Possible Return:  150.00

so we have to fade R Wilson to win £50
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« Reply #94597 on: February 01, 2015, 03:08:35 PM »

If anyone wants to back Wilson MVP, you'd be better off taking 3/1 on the MVP thanking God first in his post-game acceptance speech. 1/20 shot he does that before anything else. Very heavily and publicly Christian and began his post-game interview  after the Green Bay game with "God is great". Twitter account has lots of religious references.

Of course, you also get the win if anyone else thanks the big man first up. That won't be Brady, by the way, who is well known not to have any religious leanings.

Market is with the Green bookie. LMK Fred if you want some.
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« Reply #94598 on: February 01, 2015, 03:16:57 PM »

current look at superbowl activity in Vegas

http://espn.go.com/chalk/story/_/id/12261273/late-seattle-seahawks-bets-move-betting-lines-pick-em
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« Reply #94599 on: February 01, 2015, 06:02:19 PM »

Evening Mr T.

This weeks tennis action is in France and it has a bad favourite in Monfils who looked out of sorts in Australia. the player I think we should back has already beaten Monfils this year and reached the semifinal of this tournament last year. Jerzy Janowicz has a good serve and if he gets into a rhythm then he will be tough to beat.

Suggest Janowicz £10 e/w @ 12-1 with Ladbrokes.
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« Reply #94600 on: February 01, 2015, 06:13:55 PM »

Evening Mr T.

This weeks tennis action is in France and it has a bad favourite in Monfils who looked out of sorts in Australia. the player I think we should back has already beaten Monfils this year and reached the semifinal of this tournament last year. Jerzy Janowicz has a good serve and if he gets into a rhythm then he will be tough to beat.

Suggest Janowicz £10 e/w @ 12-1 with Ladbrokes.

yup thats on


your bets (1)

Single - 2015 Open Sud de France

J Janowicz - |Tournament Winner|

Odds: 12/1

Each way : 1/2

1 lines at £10.00 per line

Total Stake for this bet: £20.00

Potential Return:£200.00

Time : 1/2/2015-17:41

Receipt No:O/142640973/0000848

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« Reply #94601 on: February 01, 2015, 06:37:08 PM »

Nottingham Forest sack manager Stuart Pearce after 3 wins in 23

fair few Nottingham people read this. Now we have a new manager market to go out, thoughts welcome in due course

Mad Billy?
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« Reply #94602 on: February 01, 2015, 06:51:44 PM »

Nottingham Forest sack manager Stuart Pearce after 3 wins in 23

fair few Nottingham people read this. Now we have a new manager market to go out, thoughts welcome in due course

Mad Billy?

Andy Reid Smiley
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« Reply #94603 on: February 01, 2015, 07:01:27 PM »

2/1/2015 3:19 PM    Single bet    

    open New England Patriots - Seattle Seahawks (Super Bowl XLIX - Played in Glendale, AZ) (Which player will be named the MVP of the Super Bowl?)
    Tom Brady (NE)
    ?

   50.00    3.10

Quarterback Props No (Superbowl MVP To Be Quarterback? - Match) Odds: 2/1 Stake: 50.00 Possible Return:  150.00

so we have to fade R Wilson to win £50

So we have laid Wilson at 2/1 to be mvp effectively for £50.  Good business.  Wasn't sure if you could get on at vc when i put it up.
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« Reply #94604 on: February 01, 2015, 07:40:58 PM »

Nottingham Forest sack manager Stuart Pearce after 3 wins in 23

fair few Nottingham people read this. Now we have a new manager market to go out, thoughts welcome in due course

Mad Billy?

rather than speculate on who gets the poison chalice, maybe a bet on Forest relegation? No transfers in, little signs of loan signing and a weak squad. 33/1 with Baldfred worth a tenner?
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