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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16410386 times)
henrik777
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« Reply #9525 on: June 24, 2012, 08:15:34 AM »

Italy are 10/11 to have more corners than England.

Aside from the Spain game they'd have won the other 2 games.

England lost 11 - 4 v France.

England drew 3 - 3 v Sweden.

England lost 10 - 6 v Ukraine.

Italy lost 7-2 v Spain.  (Spain beat France 7 -3 and France gubbed England)

Italy won 6 - 3 v Croatia.

Italy won 12 - 5 v Ireland.



This is not a traditional game ! England will defend and Italy will have more attacks.

10/11 is pretty big. The longer it stays 0-0 or heaven forbid, England lead, the stronger this becomes and it's bloody good to start with.

Sandy
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MereNovice
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« Reply #9526 on: June 24, 2012, 08:36:00 AM »

It looks like we have two people tipping that Italy will get more corners than England.
I'm inclined to go with that but I'll wait for further opinions.

We also have the £50 "free" bet offer to consider.
We're currently favouring the draw at the end of normal time.

Will the corners bet be available in-play? If so, is there merit in doubling up on the corners for the free-bet?
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/internationals/euro-2012/england-v-italy/most-corners
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aaron1867
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« Reply #9527 on: June 24, 2012, 08:59:44 AM »

It looks like we have two people tipping that Italy will get more corners than England.
I'm inclined to go with that but I'll wait for further opinions.

We also have the £50 "free" bet offer to consider.
We're currently favouring the draw at the end of normal time.

Will the corners bet be available in-play? If so, is there merit in doubling up on the corners for the free-bet?
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/internationals/euro-2012/england-v-italy/most-corners

I would not advise betting in-play, as it's likely to see odds fall
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smashedagain
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« Reply #9528 on: June 24, 2012, 10:09:01 AM »

It looks like we have two people tipping that Italy will get more corners than England.
I'm inclined to go with that but I'll wait for further opinions.

We also have the £50 "free" bet offer to consider.
We're currently favouring the draw at the end of normal time.

Will the corners bet be available in-play? If so, is there merit in doubling up on the corners for the free-bet?
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/internationals/euro-2012/england-v-italy/most-corners

I would not advise betting in-play, as it's likely to see odds fall
Think you have to use the free bet in play Huh?
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MereNovice
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« Reply #9529 on: June 24, 2012, 01:51:28 PM »

Good prospects for a full T20 international today.
Who is going to win?
In any other country in the world I'd have the West Indies as good favourites but in England it's much closer.

England are evens and West Indies 19/20 currently.
http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/england-v-west-indies/england-v-west-indies-t20/england-v-west-indies/winner

Thoughts?
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« Reply #9530 on: June 24, 2012, 02:27:41 PM »

Good prospects for a full T20 international today.
Who is going to win?
In any other country in the world I'd have the West Indies as good favourites but in England it's much closer.

England are evens and West Indies 19/20 currently.
http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/england-v-west-indies/england-v-west-indies-t20/england-v-west-indies/winner

Thoughts?
Under 11.5 for me.
Why are England shorter than the Windies for the T20 World Cup?
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MereNovice
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« Reply #9531 on: June 24, 2012, 02:30:35 PM »

Good prospects for a full T20 international today.
Who is going to win?
In any other country in the world I'd have the West Indies as good favourites but in England it's much closer.

England are evens and West Indies 19/20 currently.
http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/england-v-west-indies/england-v-west-indies-t20/england-v-west-indies/winner

Thoughts?
Under 11.5 for me.
Why are England shorter than the Windies for the T20 World Cup?

Didn't even look for this and the market is no longer available.
What price was available?
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« Reply #9532 on: June 24, 2012, 02:40:51 PM »

Good prospects for a full T20 international today.
Who is going to win?
In any other country in the world I'd have the West Indies as good favourites but in England it's much closer.

England are evens and West Indies 19/20 currently.
http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/england-v-west-indies/england-v-west-indies-t20/england-v-west-indies/winner

Thoughts?
Under 11.5 for me.
Why are England shorter than the Windies for the T20 World Cup?

Didn't even look for this and the market is no longer available.
What price was available?
5/6. Windies went off at 4/5 which looked too short
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MereNovice
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« Reply #9533 on: June 24, 2012, 02:43:30 PM »

Good prospects for a full T20 international today.
Who is going to win?
In any other country in the world I'd have the West Indies as good favourites but in England it's much closer.

England are evens and West Indies 19/20 currently.
http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/england-v-west-indies/england-v-west-indies-t20/england-v-west-indies/winner

Thoughts?
Under 11.5 for me.
Why are England shorter than the Windies for the T20 World Cup?

Didn't even look for this and the market is no longer available.
What price was available?
5/6. Windies went off at 4/5 which looked too short

5/6 was a great price, I think.
Silly me for missing that.

The WI price shortened dramatically when they won the toss.
I wonder how much the toss (and decision) actually matters in T20 games.
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« Reply #9534 on: June 24, 2012, 03:33:35 PM »

That 6's bet does look good.

This is from the BBC website:

Simon Mann,BBC Test Match Special
"Dwayne Smith's first six hit a supporter on the head, which prompted the stadium announcer to ask the crowd to pay attention to the game!"
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MereNovice
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« Reply #9535 on: June 24, 2012, 04:42:36 PM »

Italy are 10/11 to have more corners than England.

Aside from the Spain game they'd have won the other 2 games.

England lost 11 - 4 v France.

England drew 3 - 3 v Sweden.

England lost 10 - 6 v Ukraine.

Italy lost 7-2 v Spain.  (Spain beat France 7 -3 and France gubbed England)

Italy won 6 - 3 v Croatia.

Italy won 12 - 5 v Ireland.



This is not a traditional game ! England will defend and Italy will have more attacks.

10/11 is pretty big. The longer it stays 0-0 or heaven forbid, England lead, the stronger this becomes and it's bloody good to start with.

Sandy

On.

As he first mentioned this bet, I'm going to assign the blame to aaron1867.

aaron1867   BetFred   24-Jun   Football   Euro2012: Italy v England - most corners      Italy   10/11   £55

England v Italy
Team Most Corners
Italy   10/11   
Total stake   £ 55.00
Estimated return   £ 105.00
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« Reply #9536 on: June 24, 2012, 04:52:28 PM »

Bet365 has another of those £50 free in running bets for the England Italy quarter final on Sunday.
I know Tikay didn't really like the 1st one we did (Spain vs Italy) cos we didn't take enough time in deciding which side to take and in the end picked the wrong 'un. As I see it, it doesn't matter what side you take. If we accept that the prices are roughly correct then the only decision we needed to take was low variance (Spain @ 3/4), medium variance (draw @ 12/5) or high variance (Italy @ 4/1). We chose the 'wrong' one with Spain cos it lost but it was the right one cos Fred wanted lower variance due to recent losses. Right bet, wrong result. It happens.
Onto the England Italy match. 7/4 England, 2/1 draw, 15/8 Italy. Personally I'd flip England and Italys price but meh, maybe the prices are rock solid correct. So pick whatever you like and then have your stake doubled. You've got a great bet, whatever you choose.
As £50 is a large bet for my bankroll I did the very low variance of under 2.5 goals in the Spain Italy game @ 1/2, which just squeeked home. In this match I'll be taking Italy + 0.5 @ 1.475 but for Fred with his limitless bankroll Smiley I'd advise the draw which ties in with Pulleins 42% draws in knockout games.

Recommendation: £50 draw @ 2/1 + £50 draw in running.

On.

TheDazzler   Bet365   24-Jun   Football   Euro2012: Italy v England   Draw   2/1   £50

Alarm set for 19:45.

Draw       England v Italy
Full Time Result      24/06/2012      2/1      None      To Run
Stake 50.00   To Win  100.00
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« Reply #9537 on: June 24, 2012, 05:19:57 PM »

i've lost the point of the fred now. Are we just backing high profile events on the main markets on peoples general thoughts plucked from the air? Fred will do its conkers.
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MereNovice
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« Reply #9538 on: June 24, 2012, 05:27:00 PM »

i've lost the point of the fred now. Are we just backing high profile events on the main markets on peoples general thoughts plucked from the air? Fred will do its conkers.

We're backing any reasoned tips that people put forward on any market, hopefully after discussion by other people with interest/expertise in that area.
See http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=56581.msg1589055#msg1589055 for my stated position.
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scotty2hatty
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« Reply #9539 on: June 24, 2012, 05:54:14 PM »

i've lost the point of the fred now. Are we just backing high profile events on the main markets on peoples general thoughts plucked from the air? Fred will do its conkers.

Dubai brought it up a week or so back too. Total minefield now. Hopefully after this losing month we'll get to see some order put in place.
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