Tips for Tikay

[Ash1591]

So do a number of bets to place get added in the thread everyday? When I get a bit of money in April I will probably get involved.

[Karabiner]

So do a number of bets to place get added in the thread everyday? When I get a bit of money in April I will probably get involved.

If you read the thread from the beginning for a few pages I'm sure that you'll get the gist of it.

[arbboy]

Small update on the Portland NBA Division bet. Perhaps the biggest game of the season for that bet took place last night with Portland beating their only division contenders Oklahoma City to lock up the tiebreaker and extend their lead to 6 games in the win column with OKC having 23 games left to play and Portland 25.

Yes was a key win.  On top of that okc big two players are both out injured for the next few games. Unconfirmed when they will return which should give us a couple more losses to play with. 1/6 Portland looks more than a fair price moving forward for those who don't mind a short one for 6 weeks max.

[Larry David]

I have no idea what kind of price you have on Portland but I don't think thunder will be concerned about chasing Portland down, they are bang on the 8th spot right now and will want to make sure Durant and Westbrook are healthy before risking further injuries, get these two back on the court and thunder can match up v any team.  Suns and pelicans are on the heels of the thunder and this will be their concern,not winning the division.

Good Luck 

[arbboy]

I have no idea what kind of price you have on Portland but I don't think thunder will be concerned about chasing Portland down, they are bang on the 8th spot right now and will want to make sure Durant and Westbrook are healthy before risking further injuries, get these two back on the court and thunder can match up v any team.  Suns and pelicans are on the heels of the thunder and this will be their concern,not winning the division.

Good Luck 

Think fred is on at 10/11.  They might have to settle for 8th spot at best given their win/loss deficit and injury situation.

[arbboy]

6/4 Stoke v Everton in midweek looks a tasty price.  I like the bet anyway before you add in the scheduling factor of Stoke having an extra day's rest.  They will have played back to back home games with plenty of prep time/rest whereas Everton will have to travel back from London on a day's less rest after their game with Arsenal today where they are highly likely to have had little possession and done a lot of chasing the ball for long periods.  Pretty hard to see how they can go much bigger than this.  Solid £50 recommended bet for those who want an interest.

I would say these two teams are very close to being of equal ability (sporting index season points quotes suggests Everton are slightly superior still based on the remaining games) so with the scheduling factor on top i couldn't make Stoke anything like a 6/4 shot for this game.  Add in Everton's potential motivation for a 2nd road game in 3 days at Stoke given they can't make the European spots in the EPL but are safe from relegation with their minds probably focused more on the Europa League long term.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/stoke-v-everton/winner

[RickBFA]

Shame about the politics.

Like others have said, read it every day and still enjoy it even though it's lost some knowledable posters.

If it does close, I would like to say a big thank you to Tikay and Tighty for their efforts.

I think Aaron may be right about Blonde being a poorer place without it, I think Tikay has mentioned diminishing numbers on blonde and no TFT will only reduce numbers significantly.

[swinebag22]

6/4 Stoke v Everton in midweek looks a tasty price.  I like the bet anyway before you add in the scheduling factor of Stoke having an extra day's rest.  They will have played back to back home games with plenty of prep time/rest whereas Everton will have to travel back from London on a day's less rest after their game with Arsenal today where they are highly likely to have had little possession and done a lot of chasing the ball for long periods.  Pretty hard to see how they can go much bigger than this.  Solid £50 recommended bet for those who want an interest.

I would say these two teams are very close to being of equal ability (sporting index season points quotes suggests Everton are slightly superior still based on the remaining games) so with the scheduling factor on top i couldn't make Stoke anything like a 6/4 shot for this game.  Add in Everton's potential motivation for a 2nd road game in 3 days at Stoke given they can't make the European spots in the EPL but are safe from relegation with their minds probably focused more on the Europa League long term.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/stoke-v-everton/winner

I think stoke at home are an autobet at the moment. 6/4 certainly feels too big against an Everton side who seem to be taking the Europa league very seriously.

Without wishing to get ridiculed for after timing, what were your thoughts on Stoke to beat Hull yesterday at 19/20. I'm not the biggest fan of betting on the prem as I assume the prices are correct in such high volume markets, but this seemed too big as well.

[exstream]

6/4 Stoke v Everton in midweek looks a tasty price.  I like the bet anyway before you add in the scheduling factor of Stoke having an extra day's rest.  They will have played back to back home games with plenty of prep time/rest whereas Everton will have to travel back from London on a day's less rest after their game with Arsenal today where they are highly likely to have had little possession and done a lot of chasing the ball for long periods.  Pretty hard to see how they can go much bigger than this.  Solid £50 recommended bet for those who want an interest.

I would say these two teams are very close to being of equal ability (sporting index season points quotes suggests Everton are slightly superior still based on the remaining games) so with the scheduling factor on top i couldn't make Stoke anything like a 6/4 shot for this game.  Add in Everton's potential motivation for a 2nd road game in 3 days at Stoke given they can't make the European spots in the EPL but are safe from relegation with their minds probably focused more on the Europa League long term.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/stoke-v-everton/winner

I think stoke at home are an autobet at the moment. 6/4 certainly feels too big against an Everton side who seem to be taking the Europa league very seriously.

Without wishing to get ridiculed for after timing, what were your thoughts on Stoke to beat Hull yesterday at 19/20. I'm not the biggest fan of betting on the prem as I assume the prices are correct in such high volume markets, but this seemed too big as well.

They were 2.14 I think at the time arb posted yesterday.

[KarmaDope]

6/4 Stoke v Everton in midweek looks a tasty price.  I like the bet anyway before you add in the scheduling factor of Stoke having an extra day's rest.  They will have played back to back home games with plenty of prep time/rest whereas Everton will have to travel back from London on a day's less rest after their game with Arsenal today where they are highly likely to have had little possession and done a lot of chasing the ball for long periods.  Pretty hard to see how they can go much bigger than this.  Solid £50 recommended bet for those who want an interest.

I would say these two teams are very close to being of equal ability (sporting index season points quotes suggests Everton are slightly superior still based on the remaining games) so with the scheduling factor on top i couldn't make Stoke anything like a 6/4 shot for this game.  Add in Everton's potential motivation for a 2nd road game in 3 days at Stoke given they can't make the European spots in the EPL but are safe from relegation with their minds probably focused more on the Europa League long term.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/stoke-v-everton/winner

I think stoke at home are an autobet at the moment. 6/4 certainly feels too big against an Everton side who seem to be taking the Europa league very seriously.

This, definitely.

Everton have to focus on the Europa now. It's their only chance to get into Europe really, plus its a Champions League spot they're aiming for. Nobody in their right mind puts a top 10 finish in the Prem over the Champs League. I'd be looking to oppose them against most Prem teams this season now.

[Larry David]

Think fred is on at 10/11.  They might have to settle for 8th spot at best given their win/loss deficit and injury situation.


You are probably correct, no point running the two star players into the ground trying to catch Portland.  As long as they keep an eye on the chasing pack.

[arbboy]

Think fred is on at 10/11.  They might have to settle for 8th spot at best given their win/loss deficit and injury situation.


You are probably correct, no point running the two star players into the ground trying to catch Portland.  As long as they keep an eye on the chasing pack.

I also think they will fancy their chances of matching up better with Golden State even as a number 1 if they finish 8 than finish 7th and run into a old school physical memphis team now Perkins has been traded.  OKC GS first round would be an incredible shoot out offensively to watch.

[arbboy]

6/4 Stoke v Everton in midweek looks a tasty price.  I like the bet anyway before you add in the scheduling factor of Stoke having an extra day's rest.  They will have played back to back home games with plenty of prep time/rest whereas Everton will have to travel back from London on a day's less rest after their game with Arsenal today where they are highly likely to have had little possession and done a lot of chasing the ball for long periods.  Pretty hard to see how they can go much bigger than this.  Solid £50 recommended bet for those who want an interest.

I would say these two teams are very close to being of equal ability (sporting index season points quotes suggests Everton are slightly superior still based on the remaining games) so with the scheduling factor on top i couldn't make Stoke anything like a 6/4 shot for this game.  Add in Everton's potential motivation for a 2nd road game in 3 days at Stoke given they can't make the European spots in the EPL but are safe from relegation with their minds probably focused more on the Europa League long term.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/stoke-v-everton/winner

I think stoke at home are an autobet at the moment. 6/4 certainly feels too big against an Everton side who seem to be taking the Europa league very seriously.

Without wishing to get ridiculed for after timing, what were your thoughts on Stoke to beat Hull yesterday at 19/20. I'm not the biggest fan of betting on the prem as I assume the prices are correct in such high volume markets, but this seemed too big as well.

I was going to back them small at 10/11 i made them a 1.75 shot.  Was surprised when they were approaching even money on Friday evening.  Then when they were the other side of 11/10 Saturday morning when i posted i thought we might get to the 6/5 5/4 size as people started to over react to stoke injury's and Hull's recent upswing against poor teams.  Redarmi has been banging on all year about how bad Hull are stats wise to me and they had one shot (not on target) the whole game yesterday.  Bruce has done a good job of getting them results against key teams and will keep them up but fundamentally they look very poor going forward.  People forget Stoke had 3 home losses earlier in the season against Villa, Leics and Burnley(Villa/Leics both had 1 shot on target all game and won 1-0 - Burnley was 73% possession, 14-0 corners and 25-5 shots and lost 2-1) when they totally destroyed the game stats wise and got nothing from the games.  If it wasn't for losing all these 3 home games against the current bottom 3 sides in incredible circumstances Stoke could easily be in West Ham/Soton position further up the EPL.  I still find it amazing in these type of games Stoke are still routinely going off decent odds against.

[Larry David]

Not the greatest of prizes  finishing in the number 1 spot is it, the bookies are not taking any chances with Thunder,as short as 7/2 to win the conference, one of the most explosive teams in the league.  6/1 to win the conference, 10/1 to win the championship, both prices with the same bookmaker.  They won't see much money hanging out that 10/1 price,that makes them and odds on shot in a championship,likely opponents Cleveland.

[arbboy]

Not the greatest of prizes  finishing in the number 1 spot is it, the bookies are not taking any chances with Thunder,as short as 7/2 to win the conference, one of the most explosive teams in the league.  6/1 to win the conference, 10/1 to win the championship, both prices with the same bookmaker.  They won't see much money hanging out that 10/1 price,that makes them and odds on shot in a championship,likely opponents Cleveland.

The OKC prices are crazy imo given the injury doubts all season over their big 2 players, they have to play 4 games out of 7 in all 4 play off series' on the road whoever they play/wherever they finish (ie they can't finish above 5th in the West).  They will really struggle to match up with Cleveland's size in a probable final as well.  OKC are incredibly explosive i agree but it is more than in their current price given the hurdles they have to jump.