Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

Pillar to post again. Not bad for a novice.

Post to post if you wouldn't mind.

Pillar to post means getting knocked about.

Great performance nonetheless reminiscent of Tied Cottage iirc.

Yes, I got a little excited, what a drama, & what a story for the connections.

[Marky147]

Pillar to post again. Not bad for a novice.

Post to post if you wouldn't mind.

Pillar to post means getting knocked about.

Great performance nonetheless reminiscent of Tied Cottage iirc.

Yes, I got a little excited, what a drama, & what a story for the connections.

Relentless.

[tikay]

Commisserations to all those who had their dreams crushed, but never saw any hard luck stories.

Next case.

[nirvana]

Commisserations to all those who had their dreams crushed, but never saw any hard luck stories.

Next case.

Cheers tickers

[tikay]

Nina way too good.

[Marky147]

Nina way too good.

Horse didn't do too badly

[Peter-27]

Peter 27, 1/100 you have skysports F1 HD on 24/7

You must be like a cat on a hot tin roof in anticipation for the start of the OZ grand prix

That looks like value to me, should be more like 1/1000000 ..  

I have watched every race since I was 4 (I'm now 22), plus I used to work for Williams, so you could say I'm somewhat interested

Australian GP  

[Larry David]

  Peter, Keep an eye on them markets, I know already you are going to be one step ahead.

[Peter-27]

Peter - I assume you are massive unders of McLaren points at 155?

How bad do you think it could get for them?  Surely they will outdevelop teams over time?

I seriously doubt McLaren will finish in the top five all season, so I can't imagine they will reach 155 points. What market is this for? Link?

Their car may well develop during the season, but the major factor in the current era of F1 is the powertrain - that's the reason Mercedes are so dominant, despite not having the most aerodynamically efficient car. Powertrain development is limited by regulation, it's done on a token system. Until the end of the season the tokens available per manufacturer are:

Renault 12, Ferrari 10, Honda 9, Mercedes 7.

Would take me ages to go into exactly what this all means, but in theory the Renault & Ferrari powertrain should develop more than Honda over the season - so I can't really see McLaren jumping up the grid too far. Additionally, don't forget that Honda are starting way behind their rivals.

Sporting Index season points (sell priceS)

Merc 660
Ferrari 338
Williams 326
Red Bull 282
McLaren 155
Lotus 95
Force India 72
Toro Rosso 66

Hmmm, never come across Sporting Index before! Just had a look, not entirely sure I understand how this buy/sell concept works.

Could someone explain?

http://www.sportingindex.com/spread-betting/motor-racing/formula-1/mm4.uk.meeting.5057058/formula-1-2015-constructors-season-points

[Larry David]

Buy at 10 goals for example for £10, the result is 20, you make £10 for every one over 10, etc etc, the result is 4 you are 6 off so you lose £10x6. along them lines.

Don't bother myself but I am sure some on here do.

[sonour]

I'm crap with the maths on this sort of stuff, but Betfair SB have 3-1 on McCoy to ride a winner today.

Hargam 13-2
Ned B 9-2
Carlingford 11-1
Princely Conn 10-1
Fletchers Flyer 20-1

If someone could run the numbers, but that seems ok to me? Wont recommend until someone confirms if its good or not!

Anyone from Team Maths around, to run these numbers? Doobs is busy actuaryating, & Argue seems to be on a sabbbatical.

Wish I knew the formula but these odds come to : 25740/1980 , 25740/2860, 25740/2340, 25740/2574, 25740/1287

Which when added together make :  25740/11041 = 2.33  , which makes it a great bet I think!

Feel free to correct the high school maths workings :p

The maths for future reference is as follows:-

First turn the fractional odds into decimal odds by adding 1

13/2 = 7.5 decimal
9/2 = 5.5
11/1 = 12.0
10/1 = 11.0
20/1 = 21.0

Next find the percentage chance of the selection winning by dividing into 100

100 / 7.5 = 13.33 %
100 / 5.5 = 18.18 %
100 / 12 = 8.33 %
100 / 11 = 9.09 %
100 / 21 = 4.76 %

Now add all these Percentages together as anyone will win the bet, a OR b OR c OR d OR e

Equals 53.69 %

Now convert this back to decimal odds

100 / 53.69 = 1.86

So about 5/6

[Larry David]

Better example here, 57 laps(correct me if I am wrong)

How many laps of the Australian Grand Prix will Peter 27 miss at this years grand prix, I will bet £50 at  35 laps you will miss, I will be £1750 in debt  

[sonour]

Can't quite remember what he does but he works in the industry.

[doubleup]

Peter - I assume you are massive unders of McLaren points at 155?

How bad do you think it could get for them?  Surely they will outdevelop teams over time?

I seriously doubt McLaren will finish in the top five all season, so I can't imagine they will reach 155 points. What market is this for? Link?

Their car may well develop during the season, but the major factor in the current era of F1 is the powertrain - that's the reason Mercedes are so dominant, despite not having the most aerodynamically efficient car. Powertrain development is limited by regulation, it's done on a token system. Until the end of the season the tokens available per manufacturer are:

Renault 12, Ferrari 10, Honda 9, Mercedes 7.

Would take me ages to go into exactly what this all means, but in theory the Renault & Ferrari powertrain should develop more than Honda over the season - so I can't really see McLaren jumping up the grid too far. Additionally, don't forget that Honda are starting way behind their rivals.

Sporting Index season points (sell priceS)

Merc 660
Ferrari 338
Williams 326
Red Bull 282
McLaren 155
Lotus 95
Force India 72
Toro Rosso 66

Hmmm, never come across Sporting Index before! Just had a look, not entirely sure I understand how this buy/sell concept works.

Could someone explain?

http://www.sportingindex.com/spread-betting/motor-racing/formula-1/mm4.uk.meeting.5057058/formula-1-2015-constructors-season-points

One slight problem is that if you sell in this market ie bet that they will accumulate less than 155 points, you have to tie up a lot of money because the theoretical maximum points are so much higher than 155.  (Unless there is a stop loss but there doesn't appear to be)

I think that you would have to deposit about £700 to bet on £1 a point.

[JohnCharver]

@Tightend, what do you have in the last race? Tips from this thread that is?

Blood Cotil

Cheers. Played next sensation.

Good luck

hosed it, n1, nice price