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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 13446371 times)
stumpythefish
Full Member
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Posts: 178
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #98415 on:
April 05, 2015, 11:16:37 PM »
Quote from: stumpythefish on April 05, 2015, 10:15:39 PM
The masters
jb holmes 66/1 corals Big hitter only played masters once and finished in t25 currently at his highest ranking of 19th £5e/w?
whoops just clicked onto tonights golf and hes joint leader doubt he will be 66/1 anymore
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Junior Senior
Hero Member
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Posts: 4628
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #98416 on:
April 05, 2015, 11:23:11 PM »
Quote from: tikay on April 05, 2015, 07:51:10 PM
Quote from: T_Mar on April 05, 2015, 07:48:38 PM
BV have got a Masters market for Top British Player - They're the only ones but are going 1/4 odds 1,2,3, which is fantastic given its effectively a dead 8 with 3 improbables at 80/1, 250/1, 250/1
Paul Casey probably has the best form coming in to this but for some reason is 5th on the list at 7/1... He's having another good week this week in Houston and has played well at Augusta in the past. If the bad weather comes his distance of the tee will become more of an advantage over the likes of poults and plod who for some reason are shorter than him in the betting.. Rose is fav but hasn't been in great form himself. You could argue cases for Westy and Donaldson but at the prices Casey stands out
There is no bf market to compare unfortunately, but I wouldn't really want to lay Casey for for a place at Evs in this, and we get 7/4 .. I think this is a really great EW spot.... I'll let you decide stakes if you want to get involved, but its a really strong bet for me
Paragraph One says it all, well spotted.
We can't really have a bad bet here, can we?
Thank you.
This is a good bet.
Its a 5 runner field with 3 places paid.
Here is a FACT.
Westwood will NEVER win at Augusta. He putts no better than an average county player so can't happen. However i expect him to take one of the top 3 places in this bet a lot of the time, but not guaraneted.
I also think Poulter isnt good enough around augusta so the only danger is Rose. Donald is too short and has been out of form. Casey doewnt have a geat majors record but has a strong all round game and is coming into form.
As others have said, we cant really have a bad bet here.
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exstream
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 2511
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #98417 on:
April 05, 2015, 11:29:29 PM »
Quote from: stumpythefish on April 05, 2015, 11:16:37 PM
Quote from: stumpythefish on April 05, 2015, 10:15:39 PM
The masters
jb holmes 66/1 corals Big hitter only played masters once and finished in t25 currently at his highest ranking of 19th £5e/w?
whoops just clicked onto tonights golf and hes joint leader doubt he will be 66/1 anymore
Ban.
Logged
kukushkin88
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 3892
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #98418 on:
April 05, 2015, 11:33:18 PM »
Quote from: stumpythefish on April 05, 2015, 11:16:37 PM
Quote from: stumpythefish on April 05, 2015, 10:15:39 PM
The masters
jb holmes 66/1 corals Big hitter only played masters once and finished in t25 currently at his highest ranking of 19th £5e/w?
whoops just clicked onto tonights golf and hes joint leader doubt he will be 66/1 anymore
66's still available.
Logged
doubleup
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 7057
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #98419 on:
April 05, 2015, 11:42:27 PM »
Quote from: Junior Senior on April 05, 2015, 11:23:11 PM
Quote from: tikay on April 05, 2015, 07:51:10 PM
Quote from: T_Mar on April 05, 2015, 07:48:38 PM
BV have got a Masters market for Top British Player - They're the only ones but are going 1/4 odds 1,2,3, which is fantastic given its effectively a dead 8 with 3 improbables at 80/1, 250/1, 250/1
Paul Casey probably has the best form coming in to this but for some reason is 5th on the list at 7/1... He's having another good week this week in Houston and has played well at Augusta in the past. If the bad weather comes his distance of the tee will become more of an advantage over the likes of poults and plod who for some reason are shorter than him in the betting.. Rose is fav but hasn't been in great form himself. You could argue cases for Westy and Donaldson but at the prices Casey stands out
There is no bf market to compare unfortunately, but I wouldn't really want to lay Casey for for a place at Evs in this, and we get 7/4 .. I think this is a really great EW spot.... I'll let you decide stakes if you want to get involved, but its a really strong bet for me
Paragraph One says it all, well spotted.
We can't really have a bad bet here, can we?
Thank you.
This is a good bet.
Its a 5 runner field with 3 places paid.
Here is a FACT.
Westwood will NEVER win at Augusta. He putts no better than an average county player so can't happen. However i expect him to take one of the top 3 places in this bet a lot of the time, but not guaraneted.
I also think Poulter isnt good enough around augusta so the only danger is Rose. Donald is too short and has been out of form. Casey doewnt have a geat majors record but has a strong all round game and is coming into form.
As others have said, we cant really have a bad bet here.
Donaldson was second in this bet last year, Gallacher finished 34th on his first Augusta visit. Willett is too short but not an impossibility.
Casey is the only good bet in the market because he had 3 solid Masters when he was at his best and he is back playing well. The others you mentioned are not in the same form as Casey.
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Doobs
Hero Member
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Posts: 16577
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #98420 on:
April 06, 2015, 01:24:15 AM »
Quote from: doubleup on April 05, 2015, 08:53:09 PM
Problem is that the place book is 318% (ignoring the "no hopers"), and the shape of the book doesn't really give me great confidence that there are any big mistakes in the place market side.
So I think that you would have to be sure that the win bet was ev+ to make the EW bet good rather than just picking blind.
and the win book is 125%? I am with doubleup, it seems pretty easy to have a bad bet to me, especially if we argue that Casey is too big. I don't understand how we got 11-3 = 5 either.
edit Casey now 6/1
«
Last Edit: April 06, 2015, 01:31:21 AM by Doobs
»
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
pleno1
Hero Member
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Posts: 19107
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #98421 on:
April 06, 2015, 01:24:18 AM »
you know who you are.. you have till the time i wake up tomorrow to get back to me or ill make a big deal out of this. I'm happy to fix private, but show me the respect i should receive here.
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Quote from: TightEnd on December 16, 2013, 12:59:59 AM
Worst playcalling I have ever seen. Bunch of fucking jokers . Run the bloody ball. 18 rushes all game? You have to be kidding me. Fuck off lol
Doobs
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 16577
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #98422 on:
April 06, 2015, 01:34:30 AM »
Quote from: pleno1 on April 06, 2015, 01:24:18 AM
you know who you are.. you have till the time i wake up tomorrow to get back to me or ill make a big deal out of this. I'm happy to fix private, but show me the respect i should receive here.
Great timing Pleno, every nutter on the forum is going to think that was aimed at me now.
.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
BorntoBubble
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 5893
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #98423 on:
April 06, 2015, 01:38:09 AM »
Doobs I've done the maths and it's not a good each way market to back you in at 3/1 with 1/5 odds.
If you give me 5/1 I may have a dabble though
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Doobs
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 16577
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #98424 on:
April 06, 2015, 01:51:09 AM »
Quote from: BorntoBubble on April 06, 2015, 01:38:09 AM
Doobs I've done the maths and it's not a good each way market to back you in at 3/1 with 1/5 odds.
If you give me 5/1 I may have a dabble though
Are you backing me in the who shafted Pleno market?
Will lay 5-1, no max.
I will even throw in 7 places*
* max £25 e/w and only available to people who can't spell BETFAIR
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
Karabiner
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Posts: 22740
James Webb Telescope
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #98425 on:
April 06, 2015, 01:57:55 AM »
My money's on Larry the lobbes.
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BigAdz
Hero Member
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Posts: 8152
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #98426 on:
April 06, 2015, 06:26:38 AM »
Quote from: pleno1 on April 06, 2015, 01:24:18 AM
you know who you are.. you have till the time i wake up tomorrow to get back to me or ill make a big deal out of this. I'm happy to fix private, but show me the respect i should receive here.
Should be an interesting day!
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Good evenink. I wish I had a girlfriend.......
BorntoBubble
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 5893
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #98427 on:
April 06, 2015, 09:37:55 AM »
Quote from: Doobs on April 06, 2015, 01:51:09 AM
Quote from: BorntoBubble on April 06, 2015, 01:38:09 AM
Doobs I've done the maths and it's not a good each way market to back you in at 3/1 with 1/5 odds.
If you give me 5/1 I may have a dabble though
Are you backing me in the who shafted Pleno market?
Will lay 5-1, no max.
I will even throw in 7 places*
* max £25 e/w and only available to people who can't spell BETFAIR
Ha yes it was, there was no betfare place market up so was struggling with the maths a bit.
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TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #98428 on:
April 06, 2015, 10:00:28 AM »
Daily Report
Loss on Month £21.12
Outstanding Bets £4109.94
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=23
No bets completed yesterday
In the Premier League, Newcastle's hopes of a top ten finish are fading like a Gateshead sunset. Fast
Click to see full-size image.
Click to see full-size image.
In La Liga, Barca beat Celta Vigo 1-0 to maintain a 4 point advantage over Real
In the NBA
Wns for the Cleveland Cavaliers 99-94 over Chicago. Lebron's first triple-double of the season
The San Antonio Spurs over Golden State. San Antonio still 2 games off winning the division as Houston won, and look likely to just miss out on the title
The LA Clippers over the Lakers 106-78
Click to see full-size image.
Big games today
Crystal Palace v Man C
Watford v Middlesborough
Peterborough v Walsall.
The Peterborough game is Robertson's ninth in charge, if he can make it through the weekend we have a 14-1 winner
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #98429 on:
April 06, 2015, 10:25:16 AM »
The Peterborough game is Robertson's ninth in charge, if he can make it through the weekend we have a 14-1 winner
Ooh, good luck.
I hope Marky got on board, he loves those markets.
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