Tips for Tikay

[jakally]

Buggar, sat in the bath posting is no good......

Makes me happy to know I am not the only one who does that.

FaceTime is is in the OFF mode, fortunately.

Really!! Can't even look at my dinner now.
Anyone want a chicken drumstick and some cherry tomatoes?

[T_Mar]

BV have got a Masters market for Top British Player - They're the only ones but are going 1/4 odds 1,2,3, which is fantastic given its effectively a dead 8 with 3 improbables at 80/1, 250/1, 250/1

Paul Casey probably has the best form coming in to this but for some reason is 5th on the list at 7/1... He's having another good week this week in Houston and has played well at Augusta in the past.  If the bad weather comes his distance of the tee will become more of an advantage over the likes of poults and plod who for some reason are shorter than him in the betting..  Rose is fav but hasn't been in great form himself. You could argue cases for Westy and Donaldson but at the prices Casey stands out

There is no bf market to compare unfortunately, but I wouldn't really want to lay Casey for for a place at Evs in this, and we get 7/4 .. I think this is a really great EW spot.... I'll let you decide stakes if you want to get involved, but its a really strong bet for me

[tikay]

BV have got a Masters market for Top British Player - They're the only ones but are going 1/4 odds 1,2,3, which is fantastic given its effectively a dead 8 with 3 improbables at 80/1, 250/1, 250/1

Paul Casey probably has the best form coming in to this but for some reason is 5th on the list at 7/1... He's having another good week this week in Houston and has played well at Augusta in the past.  If the bad weather comes his distance of the tee will become more of an advantage over the likes of poults and plod who for some reason are shorter than him in the betting..  Rose is fav but hasn't been in great form himself. You could argue cases for Westy and Donaldson but at the prices Casey stands out

There is no bf market to compare unfortunately, but I wouldn't really want to lay Casey for for a place at Evs in this, and we get 7/4 .. I think this is a really great EW spot.... I'll let you decide stakes if you want to get involved, but its a really strong bet for me

Paragraph One says it all, well spotted.

We can't really have a bad bet here, can we?

Thank you.

[T_Mar]

BV have got a Masters market for Top British Player - They're the only ones but are going 1/4 odds 1,2,3, which is fantastic given its effectively a dead 8 with 3 improbables at 80/1, 250/1, 250/1

Paul Casey probably has the best form coming in to this but for some reason is 5th on the list at 7/1... He's having another good week this week in Houston and has played well at Augusta in the past.  If the bad weather comes his distance of the tee will become more of an advantage over the likes of poults and plod who for some reason are shorter than him in the betting..  Rose is fav but hasn't been in great form himself. You could argue cases for Westy and Donaldson but at the prices Casey stands out

There is no bf market to compare unfortunately, but I wouldn't really want to lay Casey for for a place at Evs in this, and we get 7/4 .. I think this is a really great EW spot.... I'll let you decide stakes if you want to get involved, but its a really strong bet for me

Paragraph One says it all, well spotted.

We can't really have a bad bet here, can we?

Thank you.

Agreed, pretty difficult to have a bad ew bet here

[doubleup]

Problem is that the place book is 318% (ignoring the "no hopers"), and the shape of the book doesn't really give me great confidence that there are any big mistakes in the place market side.

So I think that you would have to be sure that the win bet was ev+ to make the EW bet good rather than just picking blind.

[TightEnd]

this was placed before i saw doubleup's post

Outright US Masters 2015 Top Great Britain - Tournament    Paul Casey    7/1    EW 1/4 1,2,3 £25

other suggestions so far

langer top senior
jimmy walker
(consensus speith is too short, no consensus on woods)

i think we are waiting for offers nearer tee time?

[doubleup]

I think Casey is a good bet was just pointing out that it wasn't shooting fish in a barrel 

[doubleup]

walker @ 25-1 with bfsports book 7 place offer can be put on now I think.  The value is in the place side so £25 EW should be bet.  Presumably fred hasn't had an email excluding it from offers?

[TightEnd]

still valid for offers, afaik

e/w 1/4 7 places


US Masters 2015

    25/1
    £831.00
    Jimmy Walker
    Winner
    £25 EW

    Bet Ref: O/0140260/0000134


the aim here as usual is to get a series of bets on, as and when they are identified (hopefully reasonably uncorrelated) to provide a series of things to sweat during the event

at the Open it was £400 worth, it can be more or less than this, depending on what comes up

will leave some firepower for post offers, post draw and on the day in case there are any biases to take advantage of

[Larry David]

One of you mentioned hitting the ball a long way at augusta,it certainly plays into Bubba Watson hands over the last few years.  Another guy in superb form this season is currently -9  in Houston and he hits it as long as most.  66/1 still available.

[tikay]

Big week ahead.

Masters

Grand National

F1 Grand Prix from China, sponsored by Camel.

Boat Race.

[T_Mar]

Problem is that the place book is 318% (ignoring the "no hopers"), and the shape of the book doesn't really give me great confidence that there are any big mistakes in the place market side.

So I think that you would have to be sure that the win bet was ev+ to make the EW bet good rather than just picking blind.

Yeah l still feel Casey is priced wrongly compared to some of the others.. as you've highlighted its clearly not as difficult as I first thought to have a bad EW bet in this market though

Cheers

[maldini32]

Big week ahead.

Masters

Grand National

F1 Grand Prix from China, sponsored by Camel.

Boat Race.

And the IPL. 😁

[tikay]

Big week ahead.

Masters

Grand National

F1 Grand Prix from China, sponsored by Camel.

Boat Race.

And the IPL. 😁

Send more money. We may need it by Sunday.

[stumpythefish]

The masters

jb holmes 66/1 corals Big hitter only played masters once and finished in t25 currently at his highest ranking of 19th £5e/w?