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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16357276 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #99285 on: April 18, 2015, 09:57:34 AM »

You won't have had to scroll down half as far in the golf Tighty, as Knoxy showed some true metal with a -7 to move up to -3 and a share of 27th. 4 shots off the place money.

#forgottenalready     #neverovertilitsover    #shoddyjournalism   Wink Grin

thank you

in a rush this morning!
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KarmaDope
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« Reply #99286 on: April 18, 2015, 10:33:24 AM »

According to the books we are underdogs - 13/10 best price. I think that's factoring the Blues having the home advantage over 7 games. If the Wild win tonight, I think that price flip flops.

In terms of talent I think the two teams are very similar. I believe that the Wild have the edge in defense and in goal but the Blues have the edge up front as they have more offensive depth. However, again in my opinion, I believe the Wild's roster and system is built for the playoffs and their aggressive forechecking and tight gap control will enable them to smoother the Blues offense. I think the Wild will triumph in 6.

The Wild took game one to go a game up in the best of 7 series. The Wild restricted the Blues to just 21 shots, some way down on the 31 they'd averaged in the regular season. Maintaining that sort of statistic will be key to winning the series. Only BV have gone up with new prices but it's 8/13 Wild, 13/10 Blues.

One bet to watch when the rest of the books release their prices - Tampa Bay to win their series against the Red Wings. The Wings took game one 3-2 but were outshot 46-14 which is pretty much unheard of in playoff games. The Lightning are a much more talented team in my opinion, and no doubt the bookies know all of the above. However, if they're pricing things systematically, their prices could be out and if they are 13/10 or higher, I'd rec £20.

in the history of the NHL play offs teams that lose the first game of the seven game series win the series 31.6% of the time

found that out last night. interesting. or not

best price currently is just under evens, that we can access

if you want to keep an eye on it and prod if the price gets there

http://www.oddschecker.com/ice-hockey/nhl/tampa-bay-lightning-detroit-red-wings/series-winner

Calling Marky...or MP.

Currently 23/20 standout price with the green bookie from over the water that Fred cant get on with.
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« Reply #99287 on: April 18, 2015, 10:55:04 AM »

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« Reply #99288 on: April 18, 2015, 10:59:06 AM »

£20 available of mine with PP for Fred if you'd like
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Peter-27
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« Reply #99289 on: April 18, 2015, 10:59:24 AM »

Renault admit both Red Bulls and both Toro Rossos are at risk of retirement in Bahrain, which would scupper our Verstappen bet  http://sky.me/1b593ZY 

The Ferrari's look competitive with the Mercedes in free practice

 Click to see full-size image.


I'm not massively concerned about the Verstappen bet, I would have still put the bet on at the same odds even after that statement Smiley Renault are just trying to lower expectations.
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cish n fhips
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« Reply #99290 on: April 18, 2015, 12:01:38 PM »

Avid reader but don't post at all.

Leeds are in absolute turmoil going into Charlton game

Charlton /FT

11/5 Fred

Any value!

GL to all.

Stuey
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Jamier-Host
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« Reply #99291 on: April 18, 2015, 12:17:23 PM »

I know we don't do spreads but someone else might have an opinion on this and/or want to get involved for a snooker sweat.

I have a ton ups bet I like. Chap called Zhang Anda you can buy his tournament ton ups @ 11. Came through qualifying getting a big century in each round (all 130+) along with another dozen or so 50+ breaks. Playing Joe Perry so shouldn't be a walkover and therefore potential for a bonus match or two for a fun sweat if he can be one of the (normal in recent years) 1st round upsets. No negative make up to market so you know your max exposure but fighting chance of a tidy upside.

Wouldn't be going mad on it as could easily lose with no big break, but I like that he's got his eye in with a few competitive long format matches (including scalping Wenbo) and clearly not averse to racking up a decent break.

1.1 surely?



Would have plenty on that if you're laying Smiley
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doubleup
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« Reply #99292 on: April 18, 2015, 12:58:21 PM »

I know we don't do spreads but someone else might have an opinion on this and/or want to get involved for a snooker sweat.

I have a ton ups bet I like. Chap called Zhang Anda you can buy his tournament ton ups @ 11. Came through qualifying getting a big century in each round (all 130+) along with another dozen or so 50+ breaks. Playing Joe Perry so shouldn't be a walkover and therefore potential for a bonus match or two for a fun sweat if he can be one of the (normal in recent years) 1st round upsets. No negative make up to market so you know your max exposure but fighting chance of a tidy upside.

Wouldn't be going mad on it as could easily lose with no big break, but I like that he's got his eye in with a few competitive long format matches (including scalping Wenbo) and clearly not averse to racking up a decent break.

1.1 surely?



Would have plenty on that if you're laying Smiley

I obv don't understand the bet - are you saying you expect him to have more than 11 centuries?

ok looked it up its points above 100



« Last Edit: April 18, 2015, 01:00:17 PM by doubleup » Logged
tikay
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« Reply #99293 on: April 18, 2015, 02:04:22 PM »

£20 available of mine with PP for Fred if you'd like

Can you remind me exactly what that is for please, Dan?

Thanks.
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tikay
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« Reply #99294 on: April 18, 2015, 02:11:14 PM »

Avid reader but don't post at all.

Leeds are in absolute turmoil going into Charlton game

Charlton HT/FT

11/5 Fred

Any value!

GL to all.

Stuey

Hello Mr PLO8 man,

No idea about the bet, but it's top price with Baldy, & you are new to Fred, so we have had £10 @ 11/5 with Betfred.

Good luck.

Charlton HT/FT over Leeds.

Bet placed, its reference is 479/521



Bet ref: 479/521 £10.00 Single

Charlton Athletic v Leeds United
Half-Time/Full-Time
 Charlton Athletic/Charlton Athletic 11/5 


Full stake
£ 10.00

Full estimated return
£ 32.00



BET PLACED
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Peter-27
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« Reply #99295 on: April 18, 2015, 03:14:39 PM »

Pre-Qualifying Bets:

To reach Q3: Max Verstappen @ 2.82 AND Carlos Sainz @ 3.55 on the exchange. I believe both Toro Rosso's will be quicker in the cooler temperatures than they showed in practice three. Suggest £10 on Max and £5 on Carlos.

https://www.betfair.com/exchange/motor-sport/market?rfr=63&id=1.118237895

Not much else out there right now, but I am expecting this to be a very messy qualifying, therefore expect lots of value pre-race Smiley
« Last Edit: April 18, 2015, 03:25:56 PM by Peter-27 » Logged

tikay
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« Reply #99296 on: April 18, 2015, 03:24:29 PM »

Pre-Qualifying Bets:

To reach Q3: Max Verstappen @ 2.82 AND Carlos Sainz @ 3.55 on the exchange. I believe both Toro Rosso's are will be quicker in the cooler temperatures than they showed in practice three. Suggest £10 on Max and £5 on Carlos.

https://www.betfair.com/exchange/motor-sport/market?rfr=63&id=1.118237895

Not much else out there right now, but I am expecting this to be a very messy qualifying, therefore expect lots of value pre-race Smiley

Thanks Peter.

We took £5 @ 3.55 for Sainz.

The Boy Max was in to 2.0 when I looked, that's no good, so I put up £10 @ 2.5 to see what happened. A little bit has been taken, but only pennies so far.

(Betfair Exchange, Bahrain, to reach Q3).

2 Bets Placed
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tikay
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« Reply #99297 on: April 18, 2015, 03:42:42 PM »


^^^^

I shall take that unmatched bet down before Qualifying starts if it has not been taken.
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« Reply #99298 on: April 18, 2015, 03:44:07 PM »


^^^^

I shall take that unmatched bet down before Qualifying starts if it has not been taken.

Okay :-)
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DMorgan
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« Reply #99299 on: April 18, 2015, 04:22:44 PM »

£20 available of mine with PP for Fred if you'd like

Can you remind me exactly what that is for please, Dan?

Thanks.

Tampa Bay Lightning to win their NHL playoff series against the Detroit Red Wings at 23/20
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