Tips for Tikay

[hummuspie]

Get in!!!!!!

[claypole]

All aboard the Barnet bus - if it wasn't tempting fate Keith is buy you a pint in Dublin

Cheeky trixie up as well hudd, swin, Brentford.

[bobby1]

some good footy results there, Barnet bet getting interesting now Keith.

[horseplayer]

well done lads

[The Camel]

Friday is huge.

Cheltenham v Barnet. First time I've been interested in a result from the Cotswolds outside of March.

Hereford v Plymouth. At this point, we need a Hereford win imo. Although a Plymouth win will make them totally safe, the bottom two need to catch up a bit!

Dagenham v Burton. Dagenham's big chance to get out of the mire. They've won their last 2 and 3 out of 4. A win here and they are virtually safe.

Macclesfield v Shrewsbury. This is tough.. But Plymouth beat the Shrews. One time for the Silkmen.

[claypole]

Friday is huge.

Cheltenham v Barnet. First time I've been interested in a result from the Cotswolds outside of March.

Hereford v Plymouth. At this point, we need a Hereford win imo. Although a Plymouth win will make them totally safe, the bottom two need to catch up a bit!

Dagenham v Burton. Dagenham's big chance to get out of the mire. They've won their last 2 and 3 out of 4. A win here and they are virtually safe.

Macclesfield v Shrewsbury. This is tough.. But Plymouth beat the Shrews. One time for the Silkmen.

Out of interest Keith, as someone who makes a living this way, assuming you have had a lrage bet would you consider greening out if there was liquidity in the market at any stage or stick with it?  No worries if you dont want to share - just really interested in your thought processes as I always find these spots tough. Thin I know, but I have some juicy bets on RvP and Newcastle (Hcap and w/o top 6) and its been a real challenge.  Things a bit clearer now so glad I have held the lot - but I really struggled with the decision making process when it was tigther (and none of the three are home and hosed yet)

[The Camel]

Friday is huge.

Cheltenham v Barnet. First time I've been interested in a result from the Cotswolds outside of March.

Hereford v Plymouth. At this point, we need a Hereford win imo. Although a Plymouth win will make them totally safe, the bottom two need to catch up a bit!

Dagenham v Burton. Dagenham's big chance to get out of the mire. They've won their last 2 and 3 out of 4. A win here and they are virtually safe.

Macclesfield v Shrewsbury. This is tough.. But Plymouth beat the Shrews. One time for the Silkmen.

Out of interest Keith, as someone who makes a living this way, assuming you have had a lrage bet would you consider greening out if there was liquidity in the market at any stage or stick with it?  No worries if you dont want to share - just really interested in your thought processes as I always find these spots tough. Thin I know, but I have some juicy bets on RvP and Newcastle (Hcap and w/o top 6) and its been a real challenge.  Things a bit clearer now so glad I have held the lot - but I really struggled with the decision making process when it was tigther (and none of the three are home and hosed yet)

I'll green out if I reckon the new price is value..

After tonight I would make Barnet about 5/2 to go down. If I could lay 2/1 or less, I'd green out. If i could lay 6/4 I'd switch my position totally and back them to stay up!

Greening up just to make sure you make a profit is fine if you never bet and hate risk.

But a professional gambler should never do it. It's pissing equity against the wall.

[claypole]

Cheers...I havent greened out as I am a pro lol - I wish.  Gl us with the Barnet bet, happy with my 11/2 late addition

[TheDazzler]

I see no reason why Fulham should be marginal favs to win at Bolton other than maybe respective league positions.
Bolton have won their last 3 prem games and Fulham were somewhat fortunate to beat an out of form Norwich in their last match after losing their previous three matches (without scoring a goal).
Bolton have the Muamba motivation plus the pressure of needing the result, which they seem to be thriving on. Fulham have only won 2 away and are the lowest scoring away side (8 goals).
Recommend £25 on Bolton @ 7/4 with Bet365.

[tikay]

April Account  - 7am April 4th.

Investments

Fraser, Blackburn DNB, (lost, £40)

DoubleUp, Westwood, Masters, (£20, unsettled)

horseplayer, SL opening p'ship, (£30, WON, returned £56)

horseplayer, Masters Debut, Garrigus (£10 @ 16/1, BS, unsetttled)

hummuspie, Swindon, Swindon, (WON, £50 @ 17/20, returned £92.50)

TOTAL Invested (April) = £150

Returns

horseplayer, SL openers, £56

hummuspie, Swindon, £92.50

Total returns £148.50

_________________________________


Profit/Loss April

£150 - £148.50 = £1.50 loss, including £30 unsettled.

Unsettled bets carrierd forward - Anderson, Barnet (x2),£150, all of which has been accounted for in prev months accounts.

Unsettled bets April, Westwood Masters, £20, Garrigus, (2 bets, £30)

[tikay]

Daily Summary.


I missed the SL Test recommend, & the price has gone now, so "no bet". (Now trading @ 4.1). We can't take bad prices......

"huumuspie" put up a Double, both won, but I only placed a single. (I beat the price, too!). Well done huumus.

Barnet lost - Friday evening on the thread should be quite something.

Several recommends were Posted yesterday, but I had time/work issues, & never got on. I'll work through them now.

4 days into the month, we are £1.50 down, but with £30 of Masters bets paid for within that.

[tikay]

A "double" was put up yesterday.

Unless the "Judges" (copyright Eso Kral) say otherwise, I'm firmly opposed to doubles, trebs & accas, except in certain circumstances. Bookies, of course, adore such bets, as they get 2/3/4 or more shots at busting us.

[tikay]

Sidenote.

There were 6 "bettable" football matches last night, 2 in the CL & 4 in the FL.

Of those 6 games, the favourites (4/11, 1/4, 5/6, Evens, 5/6, & 5/4) ALL won.
 
Football betting volumes on Monday & Tuesday are massive these days, & the bookies took a pretty big hit last night, almost balancing out the wonderful Saturday they had.

Swings & swongs.

[tikay]

I see no reason why Fulham should be marginal favs to win at Bolton other than maybe respective league positions.
Bolton have won their last 3 prem games and Fulham were somewhat fortunate to beat an out of form Norwich in their last match after losing their previous three matches (without scoring a goal).
Bolton have the Muamba motivation plus the pressure of needing the result, which they seem to be thriving on. Fulham have only won 2 away and are the lowest scoring away side (8 goals).
Recommend £25 on Bolton @ 7/4 with Bet365.

Quite like that Dazz, though it's not until Saturday.

Currently both Teams can be backed at around 7/4.

See.....

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/bolton-v-fulham/winner

I'm going to put £25 on now, & if there is no strong evidence presented itt otherwiwse, I'll put another £25 on later.

ON

£25 @ 7/4, Bet365.

[tikay]

Although a mere Novice Chaser amid the seasoned handicappers on here I thought i would post a selection for perusal!

Walsall to beat Chesterfield at Evens this Saturday on the basis that

Chesterfield are dire at the moment and were punted against by you on here vs Sheff Utd last week and over the last 9 games have Lost 5 Drawn 3 and Won 1 and currently are on a 3 game losing run.
Walsall over the same period despite being down the bottom echelons are P9  Won 2 Drawn 6 Lost 1 and have beaten Sheff Utd at home 3-2 and were winning away at Sheff Weds 2-1 until a 95th minute equaliser in that run.

I would suggest £25 win at Evens with your Skybet colleagues unless the "Judges" decide against it.

ON

£25 @ Evens, Blue Square.

Walsall @ evens  
Market
 Win/Draw/Win
 
Event
 English League 1
Walsall v Chesterfield
2012-04-07 15:00:00
 
Bet Type
 
Bet Type
 Win Single
 
Unit Stake
 £25.00
 
Number of Units
 x1
 
Total Stake
 £25.00
 
Time and Date Placed
 2012-04-04 08:31:30
 
Receipt Number
 O/0891659/0000015