Tips for Tikay

[horseplayer]

bet suggestion DANIEL AGGER topscorer for denmark in euro 2012 at 16-1 ( a few firms left) £20 win

reasoning

has 6 goals in 46 caps (not bad and on that alone should be third fav in here he is 9th)

the two obvious rivals are nicolas bendtner the much maligned striker but has a decent record for denmark and the seemingly never ageing flying winger dennis rommedahl. in the last few games denmark have played with bendtner on his own upfront with two wide support strikers.

The big swing to this bet is that for whatever reason Daniel Agger seems to have taken over penalty duties and scored a penalty tonight against austraila in a friendly (rommedahl and bendtner both were on pitch at time and have taken them previously)

I am pretty confident that two maximum will land this bet and even one might.

anyway i await some other views with interest but dont expect the 16-1 will last as he is a sea of blue tonight on oddschecker after taking over penalty duties.

[Horneris]

norrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr it was 33s last week with Paddy Power. I went to bed hoping to ask a contact to get me on in the morning as Paddy Power don't let me bet with them and by the morning the price was long gone.

Don't know if I can bring myself to back him at less than half the price even though its probably still a bet.

[hector62]

Rugby League  Hull KR v Warrington.

Hull KR's home form is solid, they have beaten Huddersfield there this season, and they are in good form with a come from behind victory last week against their local rivals Hull 32-30. Warrington are a good team, a 70 point victory last week shows that, but it is not ideal preparation for a dog-fight and that is what I think this will be. Warrington like to play an expansive game in the sunshine but showers and wind are forecast. What makes this a decent bet though are the odds of 5-1 for a Hull KR victory.

Suggest £20 Hull KR win with BWin @ 5-1 and  £5 saver on the draw @ 33-1 with Paddy Power or W Hill.

[tikay]

Daily Update as @ 0945, Sunday June 3rd

LOSS on month = £95

Unsettled Bets £1,167.50

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=8

[tikay]

Daily Summary as at 0945, Sunday June 3rd.

Whisper it quietly, but we actually made a profit yesterday. Small, very small, & maybe luckily, due to a last minute change of attack on Astrology in the Derby. Maybe it was in the stars.

Cricket.

Our other County Cricket match ended up as a draw, so both this week's boomers became bummers. Tighty is currently in hiding.

Football

We were on Belguim, we had a good price, & Belguim looked half-decent, though perhaps that reflects England's less than stellar efforts. Anyway, we losted.

Golf

In the Wales Open, we are still in with a chance. We had Coetzee to get beaten over 72 holes by 3 different players.  One of them, Noren, has been back home in Sweden for 2 days, so that went well. Of the remaining two, heading into the final day.....

Siem 4 under

Manassero 1 under

Coetzee? 3 under.

So we are still very much in with a shot at winning the remaining two encounters, losing both, or splitting them. 

In The Memorial, on a brute of a course, Stricker was quietly playing himself back in with a chance to sneak into the money, before managing a 4 hole sequence of bogey, bogey, bogey, triple bogey. 6 shots dropoped in 4 holes, & he still ended 10 behind the leader, & 5 or 6 behind the leading bunch. The bet is not dead yet, but the Priest has been put on standby.

Entertainment.

Our boy - sorry, MANTIS's boy - got turned over in the semis I believe. Clearly a bent coup.

In fact, we had great fun for a tenner, & got to abuse MANTIS for weeks on end, though he acted as if he was almost used to it. Pretty good value, I'd say.

Click to see full-size image.

[Xpressman]

Morning All

Having £25 on Sara Errani  to Beat Svetlana Kuznetsova  at 2.56 betfair to kick off the day .....had a lousy day healthwise yesterday ....

Feel a lot brighter today ...So hope my Betting is too  !!

[tikay]

Morning All

Having £25 on Sara Errani  to Beat Svetlana Kuznetsova  at 2.56 betfair to kick off the day .....had a lousy day healthwise yesterday ....

Feel a lot brighter today ...So hope my Betting is too  !!

Morning Ian, glad to hear you are feeling better, hope it continues.

[Xpressman]

Morning All

Having £25 on Sara Errani  to Beat Svetlana Kuznetsova  at 2.56 betfair to kick off the day .....had a lousy day healthwise yesterday ....

Feel a lot brighter today ...So hope my Betting is too  !!

Morning Ian, glad to hear you are feeling better, hope it continues.

Thank you matey ....... Just Heard that Errani is on a 5-0 losing streak to Kuznetsova....... I love the Underdog bets !!

[tikay]

What's coming up?

Not too much today.

Three golf bets, as explained above, I'd settle for at least one of the three Coetzee wagers to get home, to at least get a return. The Stricker bet will need a miracle day, even though we are EW. We had 30/1, so we must expect huge variance in these, & we only need 1 or 2 big prices to get home every year to be in fair shape.

We will have some RL interest, as we'll do hector's bet shortly.

That apart, most interest is in Euro12, which starts on Friday, I believe. We are building a nice portfolio of bits & bobs, & hopefully we'll get a little fun along the way.

[tikay]

Rugby League  Hull KR v Warrington.

Hull KR's home form is solid, they have beaten Huddersfield there this season, and they are in good form with a come from behind victory last week against their local rivals Hull 32-30. Warrington are a good team, a 70 point victory last week shows that, but it is not ideal preparation for a dog-fight and that is what I think this will be. Warrington like to play an expansive game in the sunshine but showers and wind are forecast. What makes this a decent bet though are the odds of 5-1 for a Hull KR victory.

Suggest £20 Hull KR win with BWin @ 5-1 and  £5 saver on the draw @ 33-1 with Paddy Power or W Hill.

Thanks hector, happy with that, a decent price for the upset, & an outlay of only £25 in total, to give us some Jubilee Sunday fun.

We have £20 Hull KR @ 5/1 with BWin, & £5 the draw @ 33/1 with Paddy Power.

ON

6/3/2012 11:18 AM Single bet   Hull KR - Warrington Wolves (Result (3Way)) Hull KR ? 20.00 5/1

_______________

Super League Hull Kingston Rovers v Warrington Wolves
03-06-2012 15:00
Match Betting
Draw @ 33/1
 
Your Bets Win
Single: Draw @ 33/1
1 line at £5.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £5.00
Potential returns: £170.00
No: O/23146337/0000043

 
Total stake: £5.00
Free bets voucher: £0.00
Total Cost: £5.00

[tikay]

bet suggestion DANIEL AGGER topscorer for denmark in euro 2012 at 16-1 ( a few firms left) £20 win

reasoning

has 6 goals in 46 caps (not bad and on that alone should be third fav in here he is 9th)

the two obvious rivals are nicolas bendtner the much maligned striker but has a decent record for denmark and the seemingly never ageing flying winger dennis rommedahl. in the last few games denmark have played with bendtner on his own upfront with two wide support strikers.

The big swing to this bet is that for whatever reason Daniel Agger seems to have taken over penalty duties and scored a penalty tonight against austraila in a friendly (rommedahl and bendtner both were on pitch at time and have taken them previously)

I am pretty confident that two maximum will land this bet and even one might.

anyway i await some other views with interest but dont expect the 16-1 will last as he is a sea of blue tonight on oddschecker after taking over penalty duties.

Morning horsey, & thanks.

I was a bit wobbly on this, as goalscorer bets are notoriously tough, but I'm glad to see that Brent has since chimed in, & suggested it was probably a grudging bet even at half the odds he spotted.

I actually placed this late last night, at the suggested 16/1. This morning's price with Coral? 11/1......!

So we are on, £20, Agger, top Denmarkish goalscorer, @ 16/1, Joe Coral.



ON

02/6/2012
22.19    Single
To Win  £20.00
 Daniel Agger - Top Denmark Goalscorer - Top Denmark Goalscorer  @ 16/1  @ 17.00
 [/i]

[tikay]

Any further thought on Euro 12 Total Goals?

We have a recommend for under 77.5 I think, & a suggestion that over 80 might be better.

Any more?

[tikay]

Fraser's £200 lay on Betty for Spain @ 3/1?

Undoubtedly a good bet, but I'm going to swerve it.

My Betty account currently has about £400 in it. To do this bet, & still leave myself some "working capital" in Betfair to take up any opportunities on a day to day basis, I'd need to deposit another £600 or so in there, & I'm not overly keen on that.

Remember, to fund the thread, I needed to deposit money in 15 or 16 bookies, & I generally deposit £250 each time, so I have a fair chunk of my working capital tied up already.  I could, of course, withdraw funds as I go along, but it's a factor of my personal time, I just don't have enough hours in the day, so the cash just sits in each account.

[doubleup]

Any further thought on Euro 12 Total Goals?

We have a recommend for under 77.5 I think, & a suggestion that over 80 might be better.

Any more?

The odds for the individual group matches scoring, suggest to me that the unders is more likely.

[Xpressman]

Morning All

Having £25 on Sara Errani  to Beat Svetlana Kuznetsova  at 2.56 betfair to kick off the day .....had a lousy day healthwise yesterday ....

Feel a lot brighter today ...So hope my Betting is too  !!

Wow 2-0 Win, first time she has beaten Kuznetsova on her 6th attempt .... Good start to the Day and my first winning selection on here £39 profit less comm ...............Good tonic to make me feel better ..........

More to follow i hope !!