Tips for Tikay

[class]

Cheers Horsey, was on Wise Dan for a small interest.

[Tal]

Newcastle is 11-2 to beat Liverpool today, according to the exchanges.

Liverpool meanwhile attract 1.6, which looks crazy bonkers to me.

I'm sure it will have been priced using algorithms I can't even imagine and by people who understand the sport better than I will ever, but would someone enlighten me a little as to why there is such disparity in the prices?

[tikay]

Daily Summary, as @ 10.30am, Sunday November 4th

PROFIT on Month = £538.00

Unsettled Bets  - £677.50


https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=14

[millidonk]

Newcastle is 11-2 to beat Liverpool today, according to the exchanges.

Liverpool meanwhile attract 1.6, which looks crazy bonkers to me.

I'm sure it will have been priced using algorithms I can't even imagine and by people who understand the sport better than I will ever, but would someone enlighten me a little as to why there is such disparity in the prices?

I'm a liverpool fan but do fancy the magpies' chances today. Prices in no way reflect recent form and think the historical stats have been taken into account a bit too much today. This one is a bit scary though: Liverpool have won 15 and lost none of the last 17 league games at Anfield v Newcastle

edit: BA being out wont help but still.

[Tal]

Liverpool have won 2 games this season in the league yet are 1.6 to beat a decent top half side.

Can't get my head around it.

[tikay]

Daily Report as at 1115, Sunday November 4th

We recorded a profit of £143 yesterday.

Bit of a run going on here, that's 3 from 3 in November, after such a miserable end to October. Swings & swongs.

Two bets won yesterday, both owned by horsey.

George Vancouver, given a peach of a ride by Ryan Moore, gave us a £160 profit, & Wise Dan followed that up for £25. What a Breeders Cup horsey has given us, three winners, including 14/1 & 8/1!

Delighted for horsey, & thats how Fred seems to work, when some of us are yinging, others are yanging, we have a great team of advisers here.

We had a few fun Banzais, too, nothing big, but why not?

There was plenty of football action, but hard to find any value, so I was prety pleased that we held our discipline & did not go looking for iffy stuff. The Bookies had an amazingly good day on the football, & we'd have done our conkers I think.

All good, & Fred is buzzing again.

Excellent.

Click to see full-size image.

Click to see full-size image.

Click to see full-size image.

Click to see full-size image.

[Tal]

Nice!

[tikay]

Nice!

Balance, see?

[Tal]

Nice!

Balance, see?

I did. Channel 4 currently has an American lady with a wonky poppy on. The leaf is on the outside.

Oscar Wilde said they were the only country to go from barbarism to decadence without going through civilisation first

[TheDazzler]

Laying Pool at home is a blind bet for me. Everybody knows the price is too short, the only thing nobody can work out is why it is consistently too short.
Frankly I don't care.
Recommend laying £50 liability to win £81 on Betfair and £10 on Newcastle @ 97/18 with Pinnacle.
Pool win, we lose £60.
Draw, we win £71.
Newcastle win, we win £134.89.

[Tal]

Laying Pool at home is a blind bet for me. Everybody knows the price is too short, the only thing nobody can work out is why it is consistently too short.
Frankly I don't care.
Recommend laying £50 liability to win £81 on Betfair and £10 on Newcastle @ 97/18 with Pinnacle.
Pool win, we lose £60.
Draw, we win £71.
Newcastle win, we win £134.89.

You see now that's what I was trying to say!

[tikay]

Laying Pool at home is a blind bet for me. Everybody knows the price is too short, the only thing nobody can work out is why it is consistently too short.
Frankly I don't care.
Recommend laying £50 liability to win £81 on Betfair and £10 on Newcastle @ 97/18 with Pinnacle.
Pool win, we lose £60.
Draw, we win £71.
Newcastle win, we win £134.89.

That looks VERY interesting.

Any other views?

[tikay]

I'm working tonight (6pm - Midnight), & I need some sleep before I go to work, so a limited ability to place bets today, but keep them coming please, & I'll get them on hopefully.

After I finish work, I'll treat myself, & stay up for the late NFL game, so maybe we'll get some interest there, too.

We already have those First TD NFL bets from Bobby, too.

 

[tikay]

Ooohhhh....



http://www.oddschecker.com/specials/politics-and-election/us-presidential-election/winner

[Doobs]

Can someone explain the price on Liverpool this weekend to me because I don't understand it.  I have looked at it again and again and I cannot comprehend it.

The other week I was mistaken in my belief that Liverpool had improved.  They now appear to be as bad as they were before.  I have laid at 1.59. 

Bump for tikay.  There was lots of agreement on laying Liverpool before this post