Tips for Tikay

[Ant040689]

The Boro game looked to be a complete stalemate. I nearly backed the double result of the Middlesbrough/draw but i got greedy. I knew in my heart that Palace were very likely going to win and got very very greedy to not settle for evens odds, I wanted moarrrrr.

Will stick with what i know from now on and do so for much smaller sums!!!

I saw the two chances in the Middlesbrough/Forest game btw and Boro were through one on one at one stage but their man completely fluffed it and didn't even get a shot off. If they could have nicked one that was 5 G's. O well.

Very happy with the Palace and upset others weren't as confident as me about how we were going to smash them, as they didn't get on it themselves for some moolah. No way should that have been evens.

Being top now I assume our odds are going to be less favourable, which is a worry because this season I have been up with sports betting because of our run!

BTW, i bet another £220 on Palace to win pre game at evens to make sure that if Palace won i would be about £30 up at least. £2500 laid for £30, great bet.

Cheers Tighty, Bobby and Tikay for the well wishes as well. I don't quite know what to make of this run, Holloway coming in too is amazing. Please ignore this though and subject change way too much Palace on here solely down to me.

Let's talk about Man City, they should have won that imo. The Balotelli challenge was a clear penalty and that wasn't offside for their disallowed goal!

[Ant040689]

Just backed Barack Obama at 1.22 with the $265 i had left on my Betfair account. After i saw Paddy paid out early i thought why not?

[TL900]

late night basketball game is detroit pistons @ denver nuggets with the lines at denver -10 and 199.5 total points. I like nuggets -10 but I think the better bet is the U199.5.

last season denver had the highest scoring offence in the league and also one of the worst defences and I think that has made the bookies overestimate the scoring nature of this game. So far this season nuggets are averaging <91 points a game (albeit against some v good teams) I do expect them to score heavily tonight, but I think the pistons being so bad will keep this game under 200. Pistons are averaging 88 points a game and are struggling to do that. 2 of the 3 games they have lost this season (0-3) have had the opposition put bench players out for most of the 4th Q because of the blowout nature of the game which has allowed pistons to score some easier points.

I expect this game to be another blowout and I think the nuggets will win by 15 or so. Im on -10 and U199.5 as a double, If i was to pick one bet though I would pick U199.5. Pistons O is just too bad even against a bad defence like denver.

Not to mention the pistons had the 2nd worst road record last year with denver being a very good home side.
Also Denver are a taller team than Detroit so I don't expect them to get many 2nd chance points as I expect Denver to get alot of the rebounds.

GL

[TL900]

booooo they decided to have a silly 64pt 2nd Q the -10 got there though.

[Ant040689]

Thoughts on a possible Middlesbrough/Cardiff double. Both at home. Both around evens.

I know you don't often bet doubles, so either as a single, for yourself maybe. Just think both are in the top 3, have awesome records at home and their oppo have struggled against better opposition away. Plus both are dealing with frustrating away results from last night, so a possible backclash?

BTW you will only ever find me offering views on Championship games, for all that is worth!!! Forgive me for my lack of variety, every time i get my feet wet elsewhere i lose more than i already do in this field!

[tikay]

Daily Summary, as @ 9.20am, Wednesday November 7th

PROFIT on Month = £655.00

Unsettled Bets  - £517.50


https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=14

[hector62]

Morning Mr T. Glad my early expertise about Mr Gascoigne faded away. I have been looking at trying something for this thread but it requires setting up a poll but I can't see if that is possible - any advice ?

[tikay]

Daily Report as at 9.51am, Wednesday November 7th


We kept our powder dry yesterday, & despite a storming start to November, the cash is not burning a hole in our pocket, & we are under no pressure to find a bet.

Our “Obama for President” bet has already been settled, but we still have “Obama to win 330-349 Electoral  College Votes”, whatever that means (£30 @ 6.6). Presumably that will settle today, but I don’t have a clue how we are looking.

Ant’s beloved Palace won 5-0, neatly muddying the water in the “New Manager” thing.

Our Tennis Chap got beaten in his first match, & is now generally 18/1 or thereabouts. This is a bad thing, I believe.

Tom stuck up 2 Basketball bets, one of which won, the other not so much. Fortunately, I had long retired to bed, so no damage done.

Hector briefly led the Gascoigne Family RSQ, flattering only to deceive (to, I suspect, his immense relief), & eventually Tighty took it down for what was, remarkably, his 11th RSQ win. Variance rules.

In other news, Matt Russell, a veteran punter on the gee gees, described a horses hoof as a paw.     

Click to see full-size image.

Click to see full-size image.

Click to see full-size image.

[tikay]

Morning Mr T. Glad my early expertise about Mr Gascoigne faded away. I have been looking at trying something for this thread but it requires setting up a poll but I can't see if that is possible - any advice ?

Morning hector.

Well I've never set up a Poll myself, but I'm told it is easy enough, (even Matt Russell can do them), & anyone is allowed so to do.

However, it can ONLY be on a new, seperate, thread - I don't believe the software allows a Poll to be added to an existing thread.

So, if that "works" for you.....

Exit this thread, so that you are on the Betting & Sports Discussion Board.

On the right hand side of the page, in blue, just below where you see the list of members viewing the Board, you will see "ADD POLL".

Does that fit your needs?

[TommyD]

Obama looking like hitting 332 votes as soon as Florida comes in.  Currently he's up by 0.5%.  Hopefully no legal stuff kicks off and they declare soon.

[doubleup]

Our “Obama for President” bet has already been settled, but we still have “Obama to win 330-349 Electoral  College Votes”, whatever that means (£30 @ 6.6). Presumably that will settle today, but I don’t have a clue how we are looking.

Think it hinges on this where O appears to be ahead

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/us-elections-2012/results/florida


Fred too almost all the available stake on the Obama side, but I did find a few crumbs available on almost the same bet of Romney electoral college votes (including £2 at 29, iirc)

 

[tikay]

Obama looking like hitting 332 votes as soon as Florida comes in.  Currently he's up by 0.5%.  Hopefully no legal stuff kicks off and they declare soon.

No danger of him getting over 349?

[TommyD]

Obama looking like hitting 332 votes as soon as Florida comes in.  Currently he's up by 0.5%.  Hopefully no legal stuff kicks off and they declare soon.

No danger of him getting over 349?

None.  Only Florida left to declare.

[hector62]

Yes that poll thingy will fit my plan perfectly.

I was watching the price of Obama yesterday and he started the morning at 1-7 and by evening he was 1-4 on the site I was watching, almost as swingy as a tennis match. Crazy. I decided at 1-5 to have my biggest ever bet, almost as balla as Ant !

[tikay]

Our “Obama for President” bet has already been settled, but we still have “Obama to win 330-349 Electoral  College Votes”, whatever that means (£30 @ 6.6). Presumably that will settle today, but I don’t have a clue how we are looking.

Think it hinges on this where O appears to be ahead

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/us-elections-2012/results/florida


Fred too almost all the available stake on the Obama side, but I did find a few crumbs available on almost the same bet of Romney electoral college votes (including £2 at 29, iirc)

 

There was a side story to that.

The liquidity must have been very thin indeed, as AndrewT tipped us the bet, I placed it (immediately I assume) & then Andrew found he could not get on!

Self-sacrifice for the cause, can't beat it.