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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16548793 times)
redarmi
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« Reply #20745 on: November 18, 2012, 05:24:59 PM »

Dallas are obviously one of the main teams to take on week in weekout due to their popularity. I think we should be with Cleveland +7.5 the only reasoning being that Dalllas are unpredictable and overbet and Cleveland are imo slightly underrated. Recommend £30 at 5/6 Cleveland to beat Dalls +7.5 with Betfred, Hills or Coral.

I tend to agree but Haden is a very big injury for Cleveland.
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« Reply #20746 on: November 18, 2012, 05:25:48 PM »

Dallas are obviously one of the main teams to take on week in weekout due to their popularity. I think we should be with Cleveland +7.5 the only reasoning being that Dalllas are unpredictable and overbet and Cleveland are imo slightly underrated. Recommend £30 at 5/6 Cleveland to beat Dalls +7.5 with Betfred, Hills or Coral.

not when they are missing Joe Haden. Just failed a fitness test. Huge loss, they've conceded 30 of 36 TDs with him missing.

Pittsburgh(+3.5) and Arizona (+9.5) for me this weekend
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« Reply #20747 on: November 18, 2012, 05:26:12 PM »

Quite like the cleveland bet and agree with the reasoning that opposing the mug money that gets piled on Dallas every week. Also the times I have seen Cleveland this year they aren't quite as bad as you might think.
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redarmi
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« Reply #20748 on: November 18, 2012, 05:26:24 PM »

Should probably add that i am on Cleveland too so not putting downer on it just adding to the discussion.
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tikay
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« Reply #20749 on: November 18, 2012, 05:29:17 PM »

Dallas are obviously one of the main teams to take on week in weekout due to their popularity. I think we should be with Cleveland +7.5 the only reasoning being that Dalllas are unpredictable and overbet and Cleveland are imo slightly underrated. Recommend £30 at 5/6 Cleveland to beat Dalls +7.5 with Betfred, Hills or Coral.

Thanks Kuku.

Given the comment, & injury news, do you still fancy this?

I will get on if you do.
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tikay
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« Reply #20750 on: November 18, 2012, 05:30:56 PM »

Yeah saw the tote error myself earlier. Didn't do it as i'm almost certain they will claim palpable and also like you say they may very well close the account, it's like a negative freeroll.

Hope u get it away with it though!

Personally think Mvg is even still value at 1-3 tonight, i'd make him a 1-5 shot& I like the-3.5@5-6 with ladbrokes also.

Barney said how absolutely exhausted he was after the Hamilton match and although he's playing well it's nowhere near Mvg well.

Both Waites and Winstanley played pretty decent yet the young dutchman brushed them aside with sheer ease, i'm still not sure the books get how much better he is playing than anyone else right now.


However, if I were to recommend a bet for the final tonight i'd say the 6/1 with Betfred for a 170 check out looks an absolute steal.

Mvg got 2 yesterday and 1 today. Not only that but Whitlock style he is constantly leaving himself on that number, also Barney is no mug himself at checking out.

This is as low as 4-1 elsewhere which is about the right sort of price.

Recommend £20 with betfred @6-1 for a 170 check out.

Thanks Dom.

Any views on this from the Darts lads?

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« Reply #20751 on: November 18, 2012, 05:32:25 PM »

Dallas are obviously one of the main teams to take on week in weekout due to their popularity. I think we should be with Cleveland +7.5 the only reasoning being that Dalllas are unpredictable and overbet and Cleveland are imo slightly underrated. Recommend £30 at 5/6 Cleveland to beat Dalls +7.5 with Betfred, Hills or Coral.

Thanks Kuku.

Given the comment, & injury news, do you still fancy this?

I will get on if you do.

Yep I had accounted for the injury. Goes without saying that there is huge respect for Red´s view on all things gambling but I still think we have a good bet.
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tikay
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« Reply #20752 on: November 18, 2012, 05:41:23 PM »

Dallas are obviously one of the main teams to take on week in weekout due to their popularity. I think we should be with Cleveland +7.5 the only reasoning being that Dalllas are unpredictable and overbet and Cleveland are imo slightly underrated. Recommend £30 at 5/6 Cleveland to beat Dalls +7.5 with Betfred, Hills or Coral.

Thanks Kuku.

Given the comment, & injury news, do you still fancy this?

I will get on if you do.

Yep I had accounted for the injury. Goes without saying that there is huge respect for Red´s view on all things gambling but I still think we have a good bet.

Excellent, thank you. I assumed you had, as you are a bit whizz at NFL, but thought I'd better check first. Agree as to respect for reds views, too.

We are on.

£30 @ 5/6, BetFred, Cleveland Brownies +7.5 v Dallas Cowboys.


ON


Cleveland Browns @ Dallas Cowboys
Handicap Match
 Cleveland Browns 5/6 +7.5
Total stake £ 30.00
Estimated return £ 55.00

Full stake £ 30.00
Full estimated return £ 55.00
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Nico29
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« Reply #20753 on: November 18, 2012, 05:45:07 PM »

Yeah saw the tote error myself earlier. Didn't do it as i'm almost certain they will claim palpable and also like you say they may very well close the account, it's like a negative freeroll.

Hope u get it away with it though!

Personally think Mvg is even still value at 1-3 tonight, i'd make him a 1-5 shot& I like the-3.5@5-6 with ladbrokes also.

Barney said how absolutely exhausted he was after the Hamilton match and although he's playing well it's nowhere near Mvg well.

Both Waites and Winstanley played pretty decent yet the young dutchman brushed them aside with sheer ease, i'm still not sure the books get how much better he is playing than anyone else right now.


However, if I were to recommend a bet for the final tonight i'd say the 6/1 with Betfred for a 170 check out looks an absolute steal.

Mvg got 2 yesterday and 1 today. Not only that but Whitlock style he is constantly leaving himself on that number, also Barney is no mug himself at checking out.

This is as low as 4-1 elsewhere which is about the right sort of price.

Recommend £20 with betfred @6-1 for a 170 check out.

Thanks Dom.

Any views on this from the Darts lads?



6-1 with betfred has gone now but is still available with stan james, doubt it will be around that much longer though tbh.

I'd still make it a bet at the 11-2 with betvictor/365, but at 5's or under i'd prob leave it, hate missing too much of the value.

In the first ten legs today Mvg played some of the best darts i've seen in donks, was Tayloresque.

Think he'll want to put on a real show tonight.
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« Reply #20754 on: November 18, 2012, 05:45:42 PM »

Barney most 180s v Hamilton @4/5
Barney averaging 1 just over 3 legs Hammer nearly 1 every 5 and a half.

Sorry Snowy, I missed that, I have only just got up.

Hope it won for you.
It won 10-4.
Regards the 170 Bet, some firms had priced a 170 in the Tournament @ 8/15 pre Tournament, it didn't last long.The 3 170's have been the only one's of the Tournament so far and i'm not sure if 6/1 is value or not??
Only Bet I like tonight is Barney most 180's @ 6/5, i'd have him the slight Jolly but not strong enough to put it on here.
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tikay
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« Reply #20755 on: November 18, 2012, 05:48:08 PM »

Barney most 180s v Hamilton @4/5
Barney averaging 1 just over 3 legs Hammer nearly 1 every 5 and a half.

Sorry Snowy, I missed that, I have only just got up.

Hope it won for you.
It won 10-4.
Regards the 170 Bet, some firms had priced a 170 in the Tournament @ 8/15 pre Tournament, it didn't last long.The 3 170's have been the only one's of the Tournament so far and i'm not sure if 6/1 is value or not??
Only Bet I like tonight is Barney most 180's @ 6/5, i'd have him the slight Jolly but not strong enough to put it on here.

10-4? Great stuff, well done.

We would deffo have got on, but I was in bed, & that's that.

Noted as to the Barney 180's. We only want stone-cold certs please. Wink
« Last Edit: November 18, 2012, 05:49:45 PM by tikay » Logged

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« Reply #20756 on: November 18, 2012, 05:48:55 PM »


The 170 checkout - Stan James still go 6/1, but I'm going to wait a while for more views, it's a bit this & that right now.
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Nico29
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« Reply #20757 on: November 18, 2012, 05:53:09 PM »

Barney most 180s v Hamilton @4/5
Barney averaging 1 just over 3 legs Hammer nearly 1 every 5 and a half.

Sorry Snowy, I missed that, I have only just got up.

Hope it won for you.
It won 10-4.
Regards the 170 Bet, some firms had priced a 170 in the Tournament @ 8/15 pre Tournament, it didn't last long.The 3 170's have been the only one's of the Tournament so far and i'm not sure if 6/1 is value or not??
Only Bet I like tonight is Barney most 180's @ 6/5, i'd have him the slight Jolly but not strong enough to put it on here.

I'd agree with you if MVG hadn't left the 170 checkout countless times in his last two matches, perhaps he's betting on it too.

In a normal match i'd say 6-7/1 is about right for a 170 bet like this, but with the circumstances of how many times he's going for it I am sure it should be shorter, certainly 5-1 or less.

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TL900
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« Reply #20758 on: November 18, 2012, 05:59:05 PM »

Ill give anyone action who wants browns +7.5 @ evens
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« Reply #20759 on: November 18, 2012, 06:00:30 PM »

Barney most 180s v Hamilton @4/5
Barney averaging 1 just over 3 legs Hammer nearly 1 every 5 and a half.

Sorry Snowy, I missed that, I have only just got up.

Hope it won for you.
It won 10-4.
Regards the 170 Bet, some firms had priced a 170 in the Tournament @ 8/15 pre Tournament, it didn't last long.The 3 170's have been the only one's of the Tournament so far and i'm not sure if 6/1 is value or not??
Only Bet I like tonight is Barney most 180's @ 6/5, i'd have him the slight Jolly but not strong enough to put it on here.

I'd agree with you if MVG hadn't left the 170 checkout countless times in his last two matches, perhaps he's betting on it too.

In a normal match i'd say 6-7/1 is about right for a 170 bet like this, but with the circumstances of how many times he's going for it I am sure it should be shorter, certainly 5-1 or less.


He's playing at such a High standard it's as if he's playing in Exhbhition mode at times for instance since he gpt out the Group stages he's went for a lot more 180's rather than switch, started Legs while aiming for a Bull, took out checkouts with x 2 doubles and as you say setting up and getting x 3 170's.

Just noticed Boyles go 8/11 him over 100.5 average, he has a Tournament average of 102.68 and surely Barney will push him all the way.
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