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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 13609750 times)
TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21480 on:
November 26, 2012, 11:19:22 AM »
He's 1/12 and priced like a certainty
We have £140 almost secured
Then Sehwag goes and gets a 100 in Kolkata.....
All the success of the bet, and the punting upside, is in the price. Buy low, sell high.
take the profit
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tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21481 on:
November 26, 2012, 11:21:37 AM »
If we intended to do that, how much do you guys suggest that the Lay be for?
All hypothetical, of course.
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Tonji
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21482 on:
November 26, 2012, 11:28:31 AM »
Quote from: TightEnd on November 26, 2012, 11:19:22 AM
He's 1/12 and priced like a certainty
We have £140 almost secured
Then Sehwag goes and gets a 100 in Kolkata.....
All the success of the bet, and the punting upside, is in the price. Buy low, sell high.
take the profit
Did he take a nasty knock fielding? Is this an injury that will hamper his batting?
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Karabiner
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21483 on:
November 26, 2012, 11:34:07 AM »
Quote from: tikay on November 26, 2012, 11:21:37 AM
If we intended to do that, how much do you guys suggest that the Lay be for?
All hypothetical, of course.
When it's such long odds-on it's immaterial really.
Just lock up most of your profit for £5/£10.
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21484 on:
November 26, 2012, 11:34:38 AM »
Quote from: Tonji on November 26, 2012, 11:28:31 AM
Quote from: TightEnd on November 26, 2012, 11:19:22 AM
He's 1/12 and priced like a certainty
We have £140 almost secured
Then Sehwag goes and gets a 100 in Kolkata.....
All the success of the bet, and the punting upside, is in the price. Buy low, sell high.
take the profit
Did he take a nasty knock fielding? Is this an injury that will hamper his batting?
He did
No indication of any problems from here, he batted in the second innings
Pujara is 1/12 on the machine.
Its Hector's bet, but sticking £240 up to lose £20
If Pujara wins
You win £20@7-1=£140 minus £20 (from the lay) =£120
If Pujara loses from here
You win £240 (from the lay) less £20 (from the back at 7-1) =£220
Currently you are +140 or -£20, you can get to +£120 or +£220
You might decided its not worth the hassle
It might not get matched due to illiquidity
If there is an outlier event you need to remember to act (ie Pujara is ruled out before Friday)
In before I get told my back of the envelope is wrong.....
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I watch the world outside
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tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21485 on:
November 26, 2012, 11:35:06 AM »
Quote from: Tonji on November 26, 2012, 11:28:31 AM
Quote from: TightEnd on November 26, 2012, 11:19:22 AM
He's 1/12 and priced like a certainty
We have £140 almost secured
Then Sehwag goes and gets a 100 in Kolkata.....
All the success of the bet, and the punting upside, is in the price. Buy low, sell high.
take the profit
Did he take a nasty knock fielding? Is this an injury that will hamper his batting?
I see where you are going with that.
Good work Bike & Photo Bloke.
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Karabiner
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21486 on:
November 26, 2012, 11:41:24 AM »
Quote from: TightEnd on November 26, 2012, 11:34:38 AM
Quote from: Tonji on November 26, 2012, 11:28:31 AM
Quote from: TightEnd on November 26, 2012, 11:19:22 AM
He's 1/12 and priced like a certainty
We have £140 almost secured
Then Sehwag goes and gets a 100 in Kolkata.....
All the success of the bet, and the punting upside, is in the price. Buy low, sell high.
take the profit
Did he take a nasty knock fielding? Is this an injury that will hamper his batting?
He did
No indication of any problems from here, he batted in the second innings
Pujara is 1/12 on the machine.
Its Hector's bet, but sticking £240 up to lose £20
If Pujara wins
You win £20@7-1=£140 minus £20 (from the lay) =£120
If Pujara loses from here
You win £240 (from the lay) less £20 (from the back at 7-1) =£220
Currently you are +140 or -£20, you can get to +£120 or +£220
You might decided its not worth the hassle
It might not get matched due to illiquidity
If there is an outlier event you need to remember to act (ie Pujara is ruled out before Friday)
In before I get told my back of the envelope is wrong.....
Why would you want to reverse your position?
Surely just laying a tenner is ample.
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tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21487 on:
November 26, 2012, 11:43:07 AM »
I am with Methuselah Minor here, surely a tenner does the job, nice & neat?
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21488 on:
November 26, 2012, 11:43:33 AM »
You've had all the benefit of being long, there's no upside in being long at 1/12
Go short locking in 85% of the long, and win either way....
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I watch the world outside
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FUN4FRASER
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21489 on:
November 26, 2012, 11:46:14 AM »
I strongly recomend getting with Spurs against Liverpool this Wednesday night in The Premier League.
Spurs played some great football when beating West Ham yesterday and looked well organised at the back now Dawson has been re instated. Live wire Defoe looked sharp up front and the midfield seemed really strong and up for it ,closing down West Ham quickly .Liverpool on the other hand looked average when held to a 0-0 at Swansea, where they played the left side midfielder Downing (replaced by Joe Cole) at left back and the left back Enrique in midfield as a consequence Suarez got little or no service up front. Although Liverpool had a goal disallowed It appears Brendan Rodgers is still experimenting with his formation and has few options on the bench.
With momentum and home support behind them I think Spurs will be well up for this and represent great value especially when you can
back Spurs at 4 -5 (Draw no bet)
with Bet Victor or Sky...Because we have the saftey net of draw =money back ....I think £100 is the bet
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/tottenham-v-liverpool/draw-no-bet
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hector62
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21490 on:
November 26, 2012, 11:46:38 AM »
I want to see at least 2 days of ditherage, maybe a live webcam, input from The Camel and an explanation of ^^^^^^^ please.
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Tal
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21491 on:
November 26, 2012, 11:47:13 AM »
Quote from: TightEnd on November 26, 2012, 11:43:33 AM
You've had all the benefit of being long, there's no upside in being long at 1/12
Go short locking in 85% of the long, and win either way....
I'm with Envelope Man on this.
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tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21492 on:
November 26, 2012, 11:50:26 AM »
Quote from: hector62 on November 26, 2012, 11:46:38 AM
I want to see at least 2 days of ditherage, maybe a live webcam, input from The Camel and an explanation of ^^^^^^^ please.
Shame Fraser posted in between!
Ditherage has commenced.
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Matt.NFFC.
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21493 on:
November 26, 2012, 11:51:31 AM »
Nott'm Forest to win @ Ipswich 7/5 for me.
We had a cracking win at Wolves on Saturday, are playing well and I just can't see Ipswich getting much out of this one.
Cheeky £20 maybe?
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Doobs
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21494 on:
November 26, 2012, 11:51:37 AM »
Quote from: Tal on November 26, 2012, 11:47:13 AM
Quote from: TightEnd on November 26, 2012, 11:43:33 AM
You've had all the benefit of being long, there's no upside in being long at 1/12
Go short locking in 85% of the long, and win either way....
I'm with Envelope Man on this.
Tenner is right. The 7/1 was a good bet. Laying the 1/12 is not nearly as certain to be one. If we must be yellow bellies/green up do it at the minimum cost. We don't want max upside we are just protecting our position.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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