Tips for Tikay

[Tonji]

I like the Gomez bet too fwiw although think it is better to bet 6-1 fgs and 9/5 anytime with Paddy Power rather than ew.

As it happens, I just checked & whilst I am "full up" on FGS @ 6/1, they would allow me anything up to £71 on Gomez ANYTIME.

Any thoughts on taking some of that?

9/5 is value for sure.  I make him about 6/4 which is generally in line with the market.

This train is gathering its own momentum, we may as well go for it now.

We have £50 @ 9/5, Paddy Power, Gomez ANYTIME, Bayern v Barcelona.

ON


Champions League Matches Bayern Munich v Barcelona Money-Back Special
23-04-2013 19:45
Anytime Goalscorer
M Gomez @ 9/5
Your Bets

Win
Single: M Gomez @ 9/5
1 line at £50.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £50.00
Potential returns: £140.00
No: O/23146337/0000298

http://www.gomezbutton.de/

I celebrated by pressing the button  

[tikay]

We should back Dortmund HT-FT @ 4/1 now i think.  7/4 just to win the game is decent too but think the HT-FT is better as it is a bit stale.  For the HT-FT I make half kelly a gbp63 bet but I do think they will go off shorter than they are at the moment based on tonights result.

Thanks Stu.

On a roll, we have had Half Kelly plus a bit.

We have £65 @ 4/1, BetFred, Dortmund over Real Madrid, HT/FT.

ON

    Bet placed, its reference is127/133

Bet ref: 127/133 £65.00 Single
Market   Selection   Price   Hcp
Dortmund v Real Madrid
Double Result
   Dortmund - Dortmund    4/1    
Total stake   £ 65.00
Estimated return   £ 325.00
Full stake   £ 65.00
Full estimated return   £ 325.00

[redarmi]

well done tonight reds

what makes you think they will go shorter based on tonight?

personally i think mourinho has spotted how to beat bd and i am quite confident r madrid will go through

not sure having your most influential player agree a move to your big rivals (in league terms) a day before a game like this is ideal either

Just the fact a German team has hammered a Spanish team.  Relative value etc.  Obviously Barca had injuries etc but Dortmund are already a favourite for the game but these prices assume Real are a favourite and I can only see the market going one way after tonight.  I must confess I am not totally sure it is the correct move but I think it will happen.  i would be very confident that they will go off significantly shorter than 4/1 -FT.

[horseplayer]

well done tonight reds

what makes you think they will go shorter based on tonight?

personally i think mourinho has spotted how to beat bd and i am quite confident r madrid will go through

not sure having your most influential player agree a move to your big rivals (in league terms) a day before a game like this is ideal either

Just the fact a German team has hammered a Spanish team.  Relative value etc.  Obviously Barca had injuries etc but Dortmund are already a favourite for the game but these prices assume Real are a favourite and I can only see the market going one way after tonight.  I must confess I am not totally sure it is the correct move but I think it will happen.  i would be very confident that they will go off significantly shorter than 4/1 -FT.

good luck mate

[scotty2hatty]

Gomez Button is com

[horseplayer]

I like the Gomez bet too fwiw although think it is better to bet 6-1 fgs and 9/5 anytime with Paddy Power rather than ew.

As it happens, I just checked & whilst I am "full up" on FGS @ 6/1, they would allow me anything up to £71 on Gomez ANYTIME.

Any thoughts on taking some of that?

9/5 is value for sure.  I make him about 6/4 which is generally in line with the market.

This train is gathering its own momentum, we may as well go for it now.

We have £50 @ 9/5, Paddy Power, Gomez ANYTIME, Bayern v Barcelona.

ON


Champions League Matches Bayern Munich v Barcelona Money-Back Special
23-04-2013 19:45
Anytime Goalscorer
M Gomez @ 9/5
Your Bets

Win
Single: M Gomez @ 9/5
1 line at £50.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £50.00
Potential returns: £140.00
No: O/23146337/0000298

http://www.gomezbutton.de/

I celebrated by pressing the button  

lol brilliant

i just had a press

[Tal]

It's all setting up nicely for Mourinho.

[horseplayer]

tikay max bet alert

corals 13-8 as are some other firms

WALSALL at crewe

 
Following
 
Official Crewe AlexVerified account
‏@crewealexfc
Alex boss Steve Davis has confirmed he will name a full academy 11 for the final game of the 2012/13 season against Walsall.

obviously crewe have an excellent academy e.t.c but there is no way the price wont crash on walsall

[horseplayer]

obviously walsall have nothing to play for now either but as others have said that can be overestimated

worse case scenario walsall decided to field a slightly weakened side and the bet is still going to be at best price

[Tal]

Wal?

Sall?

Walsall?

As in...Walsall?!

You want Fred to bet on Walsall?


NURRRRRSE!!

[horseplayer]

Wal?

Sall?

Walsall?

As in...Walsall?!

You want Fred to bet on Walsall?


NURRRRRSE!!

against an all academy eleven i would back a league two side

[tikay]

tikay max bet alert

corals 13-8 as are some other firms

WALSALL at crewe

 
Following
 
Official Crewe AlexVerified account
‏@crewealexfc
Alex boss Steve Davis has confirmed he will name a full academy 11 for the final game of the 2012/13 season against Walsall.

obviously crewe have an excellent academy e.t.c but there is no way the price wont crash on walsall

Deffo a Max?

Can still get 13/8 with Coral, which just beats Betfair, currently 2.54.

[Tal]

Wal?

Sall?

Walsall?

As in...Walsall?!

You want Fred to bet on Walsall?


NURRRRRSE!!

against an all academy eleven i would back a league two side

Have we consulted the Kralculator?

[tikay]

obviously walsall have nothing to play for now either but as others have said that can be overestimated

worse case scenario walsall decided to field a slightly weakened side and the bet is still going to be at best price

Walsall nothing to play for? Are you serious? Eso Kral told us they were going for everything.

[horseplayer]

tikay max bet alert

corals 13-8 as are some other firms

WALSALL at crewe

 
Following
 
Official Crewe AlexVerified account
‏@crewealexfc
Alex boss Steve Davis has confirmed he will name a full academy 11 for the final game of the 2012/13 season against Walsall.

obviously crewe have an excellent academy e.t.c but there is no way the price wont crash on walsall

Deffo a Max?

Can still get 13/8 with Coral, which just beats Betfair, currently 2.54.

yep im sticking my neck out here

once this news is digested in the morning and the coming days there is no way the price will last imo

however good an academy x1 is or isnt a whole team is a brave move at once