Tips for Tikay

[BigAdz]

Please don't stop the photos boss. They are the only thing on this thread I truly understand!

[tikay]

Please don't stop the photos boss. They are the only thing on this thread I truly understand!

The ones I uploaded this morning were perhaps a little risque for Fred, so are on my Diary instead.

More seriously, the Daily Photo Montages were such fun to do, & I so wish I had time to still do them every day, I could tell a story with photos better than words.

I really must try & find time to start doing them again, even if only once or twice a week. Or I could free up some time by retiring, &  then I could stay up all night & watch stuff like the NFL Draft. Which, I must say, was faintly ridiculous, but the Tighty running commentary with added Camel one-liners was better than a Live Update.

[Doobs]

Fred should back Murphy for the world champs snooker.


He's playing the best, Trump is no way playing better and he's half the price.

whilst Murphy is in good form and Trump is streaky, is Murphy really going to beat Trump then Ronnie to get even an e/w part up?

No sir

I can see Ding beating Selby and then beating White/Walden/Milkins (Ding/Selby will be 1/3 to win their quarter final)

I think he is better e/w value than Murphy, purely because of the topography of the draw.

Ding 13/2, Murphy 11/1 when I last looked

ding got next to no chance v selby imo

A little bit of an exaggeration.
 
Obviously the head to heads aren't everything, but it is worryingly close for our Selby bet.

http://www.cuetracker.net/pages/h2h.php?ID1=2&ID2=3

[Doobs]

First Lieutenant should have been a loser.  He needed to finish 2nd to the Mullins horse to get a free bet, so should be a -£25 to me. 

[tikay]

Suggest Fred backs Rock on Ruby £25 e/w in the 17.30 at Punchestown tomorrow with BetVictor.  Take the 4/1 available, as they are best odds guaranteed.  The offer makes it a winning bet despite the 11/2 or so available on betfair.  Evens the place beats Betfair by a margin too.

FWIW I am a big fan of Hurricane Fly, but 1/3 looks mighty short, so those without the BetVictor offer aren't getting a bad price at 11/2, and I think the 9/2 e/w in several places is a marginal winning bet even without thinking Hurricane Fly looks mighty short.

So in addition think thread can take an additional £25 e/w at 9/2 with Ladbrokes (Boyles declined me, and suspect PP will limit you)

Thanks Doobs.

I've been a little waylaid the last few days, & I'm not sure where we are with all these Free Bet things, but I'm sure you are across it.

Oddly, Paddy Power DID allow me the same bet, they Maxed me at a total of £52.68, so we just managed the £25 EW. PP have an amazing ability to know my bad bets, as they Restrict the winners & allow me all I want on losers.

We have.....

£25 EW, Rock On Ruby, BetVictor, 5.30 Punchestown, MONEY BACK IF 2nd TO A WILLIE MULLINS TRAINED WINNER.

And....

£25 EW Rock On Ruby, Paddy Power, 5.30, Punchestown.

ON
17:30


 
ROCK ON RUBY (EW)
 
(Horse Racing Outright)
 
Odds: 4/1
Stake: 50.00
 
Possible Return:  175.00


___

PUNCHESTOWN 17:30 RABOBANK CHAMPION HURDLE GRADE 1 2m
26-04-2013 17:30
Win or E/W
Each Way Odds: 1/4 places 1,2
Rock On Ruby @ 4/1 (GP)
 
Your Bets When placing an E/W bet, your total stake will be double the amount you enter in the stake box.
Single: Rock On Ruby @ 4/1
2 lines at £25.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £50.00
Potential returns: £175.00
No: O/23146337/0000300

 
Total stake: £50.00
Free bets voucher: £0.00
Total Cost: £50.00

[tikay]

First Lieutenant should have been a loser.  He needed to finish 2nd to the Mullins horse to get a free bet, so should be a -£25 to me. 

So it was.

Bugger. (Official).

I will amend the Spready in tomorrow's numbers.

[TightEnd]

The TE bet won

The QB and WR bets lost

QB we needed 2 got 1

Wr needed 4 got 3

I was affronted at myself. Appalled.

In my defence, although we knew it was a poor year for these positions, to see only 5 players at QB, WR,RB, TE drafted in the first round was the lowest since 1975.

So whilst the bets were placed in expectation of something in the green shaded area, what instead we got was something in the blue shaded area

No point saying we were unlucky, we weren't especially, just the way it panned out



I couldn't sleep I was that disappointed.

[TightEnd]

p.s hope you like the graph. Pretty σ graph to cheer me up

[tikay]

The TE bet won

The QB and WR bets lost

QB we needed 2 got 1

Wr needed 4 got 3

I was affronted at myself. Appalled.

In my defence, although we knew it was a poor year for these positions, to see only 5 players at QB, WR,RB, TE drafted in the first round was the lowest since 1975.

So whilst the bets were placed in expectation of something in the green shaded area, what instead we got was something in the blue shaded area

No point saying we were unlucky, we weren't especially, just the way it panned out



I couldn't sleep I was that disappointed.

Well not as bad as you may think.

The QB & WR bets cost us a total of £15 (the Restrictions helped us), whilst the TE bet, £35 @ 3/10, won back no less than £10.50.

Good value really, even if only for that graph thing.

Is that called a bell graph?

PS - The Michaela Tabb photos are on my Diary. Well worth investigating. In Photo 7, I think it was the flip-flops that caught my eye.

[Karabiner]

Ms. Shin may have got the wrong side of the draw as most of the good scores were posted early yesterday and she was one of the last out. The course appears to have a very tough closing stretch too which could make for an interesting finish.

She was actually cruising at -3 through sixteen holes before double-bogeying the par-3 seventeenth and only parring the par-5 last.

[Doobs]

Ms. Shin may have got the wrong side of the draw as most of the good scores were posted early yesterday and she was one of the last out. The course appears to have a very tough closing stretch too which could make for an interesting finish.

She was actually cruising at -3 through sixteen holes before double-bogeying the par-3 seventeenth and only parring the par-5 last.

So not Ms. Shin impossible yet?

[hector62]

Morning Mr T.

The search for another weekend hat trick begins tonight when Widnes host Wakefield. I usually like to find games where I think points will be hard to come by. I think this may be because when the game kicks off we are already winning and we remain winning until maybe 10 minutes from time and we may lose. When we go for lots of points we start off losing and may only be winning for the last 10 minutes, and I prefer time spent winning to losing. How weird and icecreamish is that ?

Anyway tonight I am opting to be losing for most of the game. Widnes have a plastic pitch and it is more conducive to high scores because of this. Both teams will think their best chance of winning will be by attack rather than solid defence.

Suggest £24 over 55.5 points @ 5/6 Coral or Betvictor.

[Karabiner]

Ms. Shin may have got the wrong side of the draw as most of the good scores were posted early yesterday and she was one of the last out. The course appears to have a very tough closing stretch too which could make for an interesting finish.

She was actually cruising at -3 through sixteen holes before double-bogeying the par-3 seventeenth and only parring the par-5 last.

So not Ms. Shin impossible yet?

As long as your post doesn't self-destruct in the next ten seconds.

[tikay]

Ms. Shin may have got the wrong side of the draw as most of the good scores were posted early yesterday and she was one of the last out. The course appears to have a very tough closing stretch too which could make for an interesting finish.

She was actually cruising at -3 through sixteen holes before double-bogeying the par-3 seventeenth and only parring the par-5 last.

So not Ms. Shin impossible yet?

Oh my, we are on form today......

[tikay]

Morning Mr T.

The search for another weekend hat trick begins tonight when Widnes host Wakefield. I usually like to find games where I think points will be hard to come by. I think this may be because when the game kicks off we are already winning and we remain winning until maybe 10 minutes from time and we may lose. When we go for lots of points we start off losing and may only be winning for the last 10 minutes, and I prefer time spent winning to losing. How weird and icecreamish is that ?

Anyway tonight I am opting to be losing for most of the game. Widnes have a plastic pitch and it is more conducive to high scores because of this. Both teams will think their best chance of winning will be by attack rather than solid defence.

Suggest £24 over 55.5 points @ 5/6 Coral or Betvictor.

No?! I do that!

I like "Unders" because I'm in front for so long. What weird tricks the mind plays, eh?

I shall get aboard shortly.