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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16602351 times)
horseplayer
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« Reply #42390 on: June 01, 2013, 03:20:40 PM »

In laymans terms, can someone explain to me how the bookies know how it is sent from mobile, ipad or lappy?

was thinking this

i tried to just do the £20 through the hills mobile site but online (if that makes sense) but it did not work

so i presume they must have a detection system of sorts?
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tikay
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« Reply #42391 on: June 01, 2013, 03:21:27 PM »

hills going 2-1 d approach mobile only

max £20

Does Fred want to do this, given the book we have?

I took it, £20 @ 2/1, but I can keep it off thread if it does not suit our bulging book.

You did it for the thread, so should be on thread.   Dawn Approach is a very good result for us even though it may not appear so given the list you put up earlier.

Why is Dawn Approach such a good result? Because it negates the O'Brien threat? Or because of all the Offer situations?
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« Reply #42392 on: June 01, 2013, 03:24:15 PM »

In laymans terms, can someone explain to me how the bookies know how it is sent from mobile, ipad or lappy?

You've downloaded the mobile version of the app, so it will be registered that way.
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« Reply #42393 on: June 01, 2013, 03:24:31 PM »

Best do this before the race.  Think Mars should go down to me as that was the free bet from one of mine.  I think it os correct that the other 3 O'Brien horses go to Chompy as I was just finding offers that added a bit of +EV to his wishes.

Think this is fair.

Hope they all lose (except maybe Mars!)
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #42394 on: June 01, 2013, 03:25:11 PM »

Re:  Ajjaadd lay -  assuming 15.5 has been taken - looks a fair chance of laying the rest

I'm happy to take anything unmatched personally if required, let it ride down to Adz or myself, or lay rest at 15.5 Huh?

any of above fine by me

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« Reply #42395 on: June 01, 2013, 03:26:07 PM »

tikay do you have a headache yet?

Smiley
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« Reply #42396 on: June 01, 2013, 03:26:36 PM »

assume all matched now anyway
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« Reply #42397 on: June 01, 2013, 03:28:11 PM »

hills going 2-1 d approach mobile only

max £20

Does Fred want to do this, given the book we have?

I took it, £20 @ 2/1, but I can keep it off thread if it does not suit our bulging book.

You did it for the thread, so should be on thread.   Dawn Approach is a very good result for us even though it may not appear so given the list you put up earlier.

Why is Dawn Approach such a good result? Because it negates the O'Brien threat? Or because of all the Offer situations?

Mainly because it keeps the bigger O'Brien bet alive, but we also get paid free bets on some offers.  Might look bad for today's battle, but good for the war.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #42398 on: June 01, 2013, 03:29:32 PM »

Derby Stakes

I'm a bit befuddled  by all our bets, a lot of these are "Offer-Related", & some are to protect the O'Brien Classic Winners bet.

I think this is what we seem to have......


Chopin, £50 @ 10/1, money back if Dawn Approach wins.

Liber Nauticus, £25 @ 4/1, Free Bet if Irish Filly wins. (Irish trained, presumably?)

Ruler of the World, £25 @ 8/1, Free Bet if 2nd

Mars, £25 @ 15/1. FREE BET

Festive Cheer, £15 @ 20/1, Free Bet if Dawn Approach wins

Mirsaale, £10 EW @ 100/1

Galileo Rock, £10 EW @ 40/1

Battle of Morengo, £40 @ 11/2, Free Bet if Dawn Approach wins.


The O'Brien "No Classic Winners" bets are....

£130 @ 9/2

£17.50 @ 8/1


Today is Leg 4 of 5.

Jeez, we must have covered most of the field!

Liber Nauticus ran in the Oaks yesterday.  So don't think we need to worry about an Irish filly winning this.  
We have Ocovango to win the Arc, so a big run from that would be nice, and we really don't want the O'Brien horses to win.

Could be a first, we have backed 4 of these that we need to boo loudly!


My mistake.
Apologies.
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tikay
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« Reply #42399 on: June 01, 2013, 03:29:35 PM »

Re:  Ajjaadd lay -  assuming 15.5 has been taken - looks a fair chance of laying the rest

I'm happy to take anything unmatched personally if required, let it ride down to Adz or myself, or lay rest at 15.5 Huh?

any of above fine by me



It has all been matched.

Is that good?
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« Reply #42400 on: June 01, 2013, 03:30:28 PM »

assume all matched now anyway

Yup.
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« Reply #42401 on: June 01, 2013, 03:31:25 PM »

Re:  Ajjaadd lay -  assuming 15.5 has been taken - looks a fair chance of laying the rest

I'm happy to take anything unmatched personally if required, let it ride down to Adz or myself, or lay rest at 15.5 Huh?

any of above fine by me



It remains on thread and down to you I think.  

2nd is good too!
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #42402 on: June 01, 2013, 03:32:00 PM »

tikay do you have a headache yet?

Smiley

Head spinning here.

Off to bed straight after the Derby to calm down. Sleep, not tupping.
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« Reply #42403 on: June 01, 2013, 03:32:57 PM »

We have a freeroll which was the plan fwiw ,  Ajjaadd now drifting badly
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tikay
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« Reply #42404 on: June 01, 2013, 03:35:58 PM »

Best do this before the race.  Think Mars should go down to me as that was the free bet from one of mine.  I think it os correct that the other 3 O'Brien horses go to Chompy as I was just finding offers that added a bit of +EV to his wishes.

Think this is fair.

Hope they all lose (except maybe Mars!)

All agreed, I assume Mere will enter accordingly.
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