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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16389313 times)
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« Reply #44325 on: June 29, 2013, 01:18:08 PM »

Morning Mr M.

In the rugby today I don't see a lot of points. The Lions have made 2 changes to stop the Aussies, Lydiate and Bowe and 2 forced changes which weaken the team Vunipola and Parling. I think Youngs improves the team but that is mainly because Phillips is so bad nowadays - about 6 years past his best. This referee usually lets the game flow and is not so likely to give penalties. I think most of the players will be playing scared of making mistakes and the default action is to take the safe option- apart from Genia who looks a superb player.

Suggest £20 under 44 points @ evens with William Hill.

Anyone looking for a fun bet that is over priced, if we are to assume few points and maybe an Aussie win, could do worse than have a bet with Ladbrokes that all the Lions points are scored by Welsh players. They have this available at 5-1.

this was spot on, not just the tips but the research

the Lions played not to lose in style and selection

Need to attack in Sydney.
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« Reply #44326 on: June 29, 2013, 01:31:52 PM »

Scratch handicap for game 3?
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« Reply #44327 on: June 29, 2013, 01:39:13 PM »

Fancy Australia at scratch. Bit more firepower. You Jamie?
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« Reply #44328 on: June 29, 2013, 02:06:38 PM »

Webber 4th and Di Resta 5th in Silverstone qualifying

Every chance of podiumviatefying tomorrow, especially if the Mercedes goes back on tyre wear

Webber 9/2, Di Resta 16/1 in early race prices post qualifying

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« Reply #44329 on: June 29, 2013, 03:43:46 PM »

Fancy Australia at scratch. Bit more firepower. You Jamie?

Yeah probably - certainly looked more dangerous with ball in hand.  Gotta fancy them to get at least one try.
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« Reply #44330 on: June 29, 2013, 04:15:21 PM »

Bottom half of the ladies draw for the last 16.

Monica Puig (PUR)      v        Sloane Stephens (USA) [17]                     
Marion Bartoli (FRA) [15]   v       Karin Knapp (ITA)                      
Petra Kvitova (CZE) [8]        v       Carla Suarez Navarro (ESP) [19]                     
Kirsten Flipkens (BEL) [20]   v      Flavia Pennetta (ITA)

Odd for the championship:
http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/wimbledon/womens/womens-wimbledon/winner

Kvitova 12/1
Stephens 24/1 (in one place) but 20/1 or shorter generally
Bartoli 40/1
Flipkens 125/1 (in one place) but 100/1 or shorter generally
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« Reply #44331 on: June 29, 2013, 04:17:47 PM »

Bottom half of the ladies draw for the last 16.

Monica Puig (PUR)      v        Sloane Stephens (USA) [17]                     
Marion Bartoli (FRA) [15]   v       Karin Knapp (ITA)                      
Petra Kvitova (CZE) [8]        v       Carla Suarez Navarro (ESP) [19]                     
Kirsten Flipkens (BEL) [20]   v      Flavia Pennetta (ITA)

Odd for the championship:
http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/wimbledon/womens/womens-wimbledon/winner

Kvitova 12/1
Stephens 24/1 (in one place) but 20/1 or shorter generally
Bartoli 40/1
Flipkens 125/1 (in one place) but 100/1 or shorter generally

at 1/3 odds each way one of this lot is a very attractive price to win the half, with a very unlikely shot to nothing on Serena in a final....

one per quarter Bartoli and Flipkens (at the price) for me, but i'm ice-creaming on ladies tennis

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« Reply #44332 on: June 29, 2013, 04:19:00 PM »

tikay

O'Brien is now talking retirement for Camelot

We think your bet for next weekend's eclipse got matched (£10 at 23 on Betfair), and therefore has to be accounted for as a loser

can you check please?
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« Reply #44333 on: June 29, 2013, 04:35:47 PM »

tikay

O'Brien is now talking retirement for Camelot

We think your bet for next weekend's eclipse got matched (£10 at 23 on Betfair), and therefore has to be accounted for as a loser

can you check please?

I can confirm that tikay has £10 matched at 22 on Betfair.
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« Reply #44334 on: June 29, 2013, 04:42:51 PM »

http://www1.skysports.com/formula-1/news/12477/8798389/Paul-Di-Resta-thrilled-to-bounce-back-from-recent-Q1-horrors-with-fifth-on-British-GP-grid

"Having scored points in all-but one of this season's races to date, both Di Resta and Force India have being targeting a breakthrough podium finish to underline the team's strong progress up the field.

And while not exactly not exactly talking up his chances of doing just that from Sunday, Di Resta acknowledged that qualifying at the head of the third row certainly has increased his chances.

"[We are] not getting away with ourselves," he insisted. "If we get on top of the tyres we will but we've given ourselves a good shot at it."

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/british-grand-prix/winner

You can still get 13-1 a podium by 66-1 winner ew in multiple places

This is a longer price than car/driver packages such as the Ferrari, Lotus who are performing less well and are there on reputation

If the Merc race pace is a struggle, as it might well be, I think this is simply the wrong price
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« Reply #44335 on: June 29, 2013, 05:41:14 PM »

tikay

O'Brien is now talking retirement for Camelot

We think your bet for next weekend's eclipse got matched (£10 at 23 on Betfair), and therefore has to be accounted for as a loser

can you check please?

Apologies, I forgot to check when you last asked. Too busy having a ball out here.

Mere has now correctly confirmed the position.

Sorry.

PS - This is really Chompy's fault, yeah?
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« Reply #44336 on: June 29, 2013, 05:46:42 PM »

Lions lose.
Fred wins.

I'd have been happy for tikay to lose his money.

A common & often fulfilled wish......Wink

What a rich vein of form The Milkman is in, eh? Incredible.


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« Reply #44337 on: June 29, 2013, 06:14:16 PM »

http://www1.skysports.com/formula-1/news/12477/8798389/Paul-Di-Resta-thrilled-to-bounce-back-from-recent-Q1-horrors-with-fifth-on-British-GP-grid

"Having scored points in all-but one of this season's races to date, both Di Resta and Force India have being targeting a breakthrough podium finish to underline the team's strong progress up the field.

And while not exactly not exactly talking up his chances of doing just that from Sunday, Di Resta acknowledged that qualifying at the head of the third row certainly has increased his chances.

"[We are] not getting away with ourselves," he insisted. "If we get on top of the tyres we will but we've given ourselves a good shot at it."

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/british-grand-prix/winner

You can still get 13-1 a podium by 66-1 winner ew in multiple places

This is a longer price than car/driver packages such as the Ferrari, Lotus who are performing less well and are there on reputation

If the Merc race pace is a struggle, as it might well be, I think this is simply the wrong price

scratch that, likely to be relegated to back of grid, car too light on the weighbridge post quali.

sigh...
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« Reply #44338 on: June 29, 2013, 06:42:47 PM »

http://www1.skysports.com/formula-1/news/12477/8798389/Paul-Di-Resta-thrilled-to-bounce-back-from-recent-Q1-horrors-with-fifth-on-British-GP-grid

"Having scored points in all-but one of this season's races to date, both Di Resta and Force India have being targeting a breakthrough podium finish to underline the team's strong progress up the field.

And while not exactly not exactly talking up his chances of doing just that from Sunday, Di Resta acknowledged that qualifying at the head of the third row certainly has increased his chances.

"[We are] not getting away with ourselves," he insisted. "If we get on top of the tyres we will but we've given ourselves a good shot at it."

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/british-grand-prix/winner

You can still get 13-1 a podium by 66-1 winner ew in multiple places

This is a longer price than car/driver packages such as the Ferrari, Lotus who are performing less well and are there on reputation

If the Merc race pace is a struggle, as it might well be, I think this is simply the wrong price

scratch that, likely to be relegated to back of grid, car too light on the weighbridge post quali.

sigh...
Transatlantic rungood.  I was sat here thinking that was still a good price, but can't put a bet on until I land tomorrow. 
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« Reply #44339 on: June 29, 2013, 07:09:12 PM »

7.45 Doncaster

I am very surprised STORM KING is not fav, i am even more surprised it is currently trading at 11-2

Positives : Even if you dismiss last time as a fluke (in listed company) and there's no reason to it's still well handicapped off 90.

Look at his all-weather form off 93 and 94, he finished second to solar deity who won a listed race and then finished 4th off 94. 

They went quite quick in that and the  prominent horses in that race were him, true to form (won a listed race), grey mirage (won a hot handicap), alfred hutchinson (won next two) and bank on me (which it beat that night, fav tonight). 

I think it wants further so will benefit from a more prominent ride, they didn't go mad in that york listed race so he did exceptionally well to close on 100+ rated horses from the rear

Even the run at York in a handicap was in a very strong race and this is not that.

Negatives :

can throw in a shocker

market weakness not a great sign with this trainer


Suggest £30 win at 11/2 (lads or vc bet) happy to back it at any price above 4/1




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