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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16374752 times)
Tal
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« Reply #45480 on: July 20, 2013, 04:18:38 PM »

Quintana will win this stage, get the King of the Mountains jersey...


...and finish on the podium if he doesn't do too many wheelies tomorrow.
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« Reply #45481 on: July 20, 2013, 04:23:20 PM »

Quintana will win this stage, get the King of the Mountains jersey...


...and finish on the podium if he doesn't do too many wheelies tomorrow.

This will guaranteed a profit of nearly £50 on the Tour

cheapwetsuit put Quintana up at 33/1 ew in April, which was quite a tip

Small losses on Porte and Garmin to offset against the £72 return from Quintana
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Tonji
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« Reply #45482 on: July 20, 2013, 04:25:30 PM »

Quintana will win this stage, get the King of the Mountains jersey...


...and finish on the podium if he doesn't do too many wheelies tomorrow.

This will guaranteed a profit of nearly £50 on the Tour

cheapwetsuit put Quintana up at 33/1 ew in April, which was quite a tip

Small losses on Porte and Garmin to offset against the £72 return from Quintana

great tipping cws 
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TightEnd
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« Reply #45483 on: July 20, 2013, 04:25:31 PM »

Meanwhile in LVCC1 Middlesex returned to form beating leaders Sussex by 10 wickets at Hove

Two thirds of the way through the season Middlesex are certainly in the hunt for the e/w portion of our bet (top 3) at least

All the teams have to play each other though, and much will come down to that bit of luck with weather, injuries etc


LV County Championship - Division One
   Team    Played    Won    Lost    Drawn    Batting    Bowling    Deducted    Points
1    Yorkshire    10    5    1    4    32    25    0.0    149.0
2    Sussex    11    4    1    6    34    26    0.0    142.0
3    Durham    9    5    2    2    21    25    2.5    129.5
4    Middlesex    10    4    2    4    25    24    0.0    125.0
5    Warwickshire    10    3    2    5    23    26    0.0    112.0
6    Nottinghamshire    10    2    3    5    30    24    0.0    101.0
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henrik777
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« Reply #45484 on: July 20, 2013, 04:42:03 PM »

At the third hole, Martin Laird takes a 9 (NINE) to go three over. Sadly, Gallacher is not doing too well, either, 6 over so far today...

1 less person screwing up the 18th yesterday and Lawrie and Ramsay aren't there and we have a freeroll. Now we are struggling to hold onto e/w. Another 9 for Laird would be good though Wink

Sandy
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« Reply #45485 on: July 20, 2013, 04:42:58 PM »

Afternoon.

FWIW I have found the Quintana bet on Stan at 50s on 7th April, if that helps any chasing missing bets?
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cheapwetsuit
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« Reply #45486 on: July 20, 2013, 04:47:15 PM »

Quintana will win this stage, get the King of the Mountains jersey...


...and finish on the podium if he doesn't do too many wheelies tomorrow.

This will guaranteed a profit of nearly £50 on the Tour

cheapwetsuit put Quintana up at 33/1 ew in April, which was quite a tip

Small losses on Porte and Garmin to offset against the £72 return from Quintana

great tipping cws 

Thanks, Tonji and Tighty. I never doubted the young Colombian for a minute Wink

What a great performance he gave us today, and I'm really happy for him that he got himself a stage win to go with his white and polka-dot jersey. It looks like he'll be the face of the TdF for years to come ... which means more work for me spotting some value next time round.

One more day and I can change my avatar.



 
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JaffaCake
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« Reply #45487 on: July 20, 2013, 04:49:55 PM »



Waila is a winner, well done Doobs.

Scraped home.  Can relax a bit now, not drawn a blank.

Yeah, won by about the length of two Routemasters.
Or one of those nice bendy busses
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Tal
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« Reply #45488 on: July 20, 2013, 05:02:14 PM »

How much would Froome have won the TdF by if Thomas and Wiggins had been fit?
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tikay
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« Reply #45489 on: July 20, 2013, 05:51:25 PM »

In cycling, Nairo Quintana of the Movistar team has just won the Tour of the Basque Country after an impressive performance in the final day's time-trial. One of the strongest climbers in the field, he managed to finish second to the TT king Tony Martin, ahead of cyclists more suited to racing against the clock (ie. Alberto Contador (Saxo-Tinkoff), Richie Porte (Sky)). In so doing, he edged ahead of Porte in the general classification and shortlisted himself as a contender for one of this year's grand tours.

The 2013 Tour de France is one for the pure climbers, which is why Chris Froome (Sky) will start as the favourite with Bradley Wiggins (Sky) supposedly targeting the flatter Giro d'Italia. Contador is close behind in the odds department at a shade under 2/1. After watching Quintana's performances in both the Tour of the Basque Country and the Volta a Catalunya (where he won a mountain stage and finished runner-up to a breakaway in the other), as well as Froome's and Contador's in the Tirreno-Adriatico, I believe that Quintana is the strongest climber out of the three.

There are other great climbers in this year's Tour de France: Vincenzo Nibali (Astana) and Joaquim Rodriguez (Katusha) are both formidable in the mountains. Unfortunately, they do not have great teams providing support, which is important over the 21 stages of the Grand Boucle. Also, they are not noted time-triallists, and this year there will be 2 ITT stages. Richie Porte (Sky) has been very impressive this year as well, but he will have to take a back seat while Froome gets the first bite at the apple.

Quintana has just shown his mettle in a time-trial setting, and is surrounded by an incredible team at Movistar, with climbers like Alejandro Valverde, Benat Intxausti, Jose Herrada and Rui Costa to back him up. The only intangible is whether Movistar decide to give him a chance to lead the team, or whether they will choose to remain loyal to the veteran Valverde. Valverde had a bright start to the season, but a crash in the Volta a Catalunya has set him back a bit. One thing is certain ... if he does not perform in the Pyrenees, Quintana will quickly be given the chance to stamp his authority on the race (such as happened with Valverde and Cobo in the Vuelta last year).

All the above leads me to conclude that Quintana has a decent shot at winning the Tour de France, with a podium place more than likely. The value comes with Satan offering 50/1 on Quintana winning (1/5 odds E/W 1,2,3,), whereas Bet365 have him at 13/1 (with the rest jumping between 20s and 33s). Coral are also offering 40/1, but I'd be inclined to think that even 33/1 is giving away money for one of this year's best riders. It also makes me laugh how Satan don't even bother to spell his name correctly (Nario?). Just waiting to be punished.

I recommend £10 E/W @ 50/1 (Stan James).

Thank you Mr Wet Suit, welcome to blonde, & Fred.

Have you been lurking? Good to see you on board, where does that alias come from? Tell us something about yourself, its good to know something about our regulars.

We actually have a Cycling Thread run by a chap called Tonji, it is here.....

http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=59962.0

I have no idea if that bet is good, but we'll welcome you aboard by getting on, though Stan James is off-limits I'm afraid. As it happens, Stan James now go 16/1, (!), & the best prices available are 33/1 in several spots, so we have taken that.

We have £10 EW @ 33/1 (quarter odds 1-2-3) with Wm Hill, Nairo Quintana to win the Tour de France bike race thingie.

ON

29 Jun 2013 - Tour de France-2013 Winner - Outright

Nairo Quintana @ 33/1  EW @ 1/4 1-3

Stake : £20.00 (£10.00 x 2)
Estimated Returns : £432.50Transaction Reference:O/0457483/0000388/F


Bumped for fun.

What great fun we have had with this bet for £20, very well done cws.
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Tonji
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« Reply #45490 on: July 20, 2013, 06:10:19 PM »

How much would Froome have won the TdF by if Thomas and Wiggins had been fit?

Froome & Wiggins don't get on, so the Wiggins "injury" was well timed stage managed  Wink
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Tal
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« Reply #45491 on: July 20, 2013, 06:12:04 PM »

How much would Froome have won the TdF by if Thomas and Wiggins had been fit?

Froome & Wiggins don't get on, so the Wiggins "injury" was well timed stage managed  Wink

So why are they still in the same team? Who moves on for next year?
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tikay
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« Reply #45492 on: July 20, 2013, 06:25:32 PM »

No luck for us in the Irish Oaks, the whole field changed positions in the final 25 yards, and Riposte was run out of it.  Talent pulled hard early, and was never in the race.

Remaining today, Darts, Boxing, and a Greyhound bet.
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Tonji
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« Reply #45493 on: July 20, 2013, 06:30:05 PM »

How much would Froome have won the TdF by if Thomas and Wiggins had been fit?

Froome & Wiggins don't get on, so the Wiggins "injury" was well timed stage managed  Wink

So why are they still in the same team? Who moves on for next year?

In theory it's not a problem if they each ride their own schedule of races & are never in the same squad.

They both know they are in the best team, but Froome has age on his side & now is the No 1 rider.
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Tal
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« Reply #45494 on: July 20, 2013, 06:47:35 PM »

Just shown a picture of Lord (William) Griffiths on the BBC at the golf with some rather unkempt eyebrows.

He is one of the few people around (perhaps even alone in the feat) to have been both President of the MCC and Captain of the R&A. He was also a Law Lord.
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