Tips for Tikay

[ChipRich]

Johnson out for QPR, decent chance Hoilett will play up top with Austin.

10/3 a great bet

Ooh, great news, thanks Keith.

oioiiii, 7/2 looking great. 11/4 best now.

Come on Junior lad.

[tikay]

Now 81/3 after 11, not ideal for Essex..

The three wickets have gone to three different bowlers, including our man, so that is helpful.

[doubleup]

If you have a Lads free bet, might I put forward the suggestion of betting on Europe to win the foursomes 3-1 at 11/2?

Using the prices on oddschecker, I have approximated the true odds for the matches to be  


us   tie   eur
2.26   7.5   2.36
2.01   7.5   2.7
2.31   7.5   2.3
2.83   7.5   1.95

If that's the case the actual odds of 3-1 Europe are 5.15-1

Comments on methodology welcome.

[tikay]

82/4 now, all 4 wickets to different bowlers.

Good opportunity for Mr Azharullah to seal our bet. Essex, not so much.

[tikay]

If you have a Lads free bet, might I put forward the suggestion of betting on Europe to win the foursomes 3-1 at 11/2?

Using the prices on oddschecker, I have approximated the true odds for the matches to be  


us   tie   eur
2.26   7.5   2.36
2.01   7.5   2.7
2.31   7.5   2.3
2.83   7.5   1.95

If that's the case the actual odds of 3-1 Europe are 5.15-1

Comments on methodology welcome.

Looks ideal for our Freebie. On my way, thank you.

[Marky147]

If you have a Lads free bet, might I put forward the suggestion of betting on Europe to win the foursomes 3-1 at 11/2?

Using the prices on oddschecker, I have approximated the true odds for the matches to be  


us   tie   eur
2.26   7.5   2.36
2.01   7.5   2.7
2.31   7.5   2.3
2.83   7.5   1.95

If that's the case the actual odds of 3-1 Europe are 5.15-1

Comments on methodology welcome.

Looks ideal for our Freebie. On my way, thank you.

Weren't preferred odds for freebets > 8/1?

I may well be wrong, often am, but I seem to remember Doobs explaining all the maths behind it, and I thought the equity increased with the price.

[tikay]

If you have a Lads free bet, might I put forward the suggestion of betting on Europe to win the foursomes 3-1 at 11/2?

Using the prices on oddschecker, I have approximated the true odds for the matches to be  


us   tie   eur
2.26   7.5   2.36
2.01   7.5   2.7
2.31   7.5   2.3
2.83   7.5   1.95

If that's the case the actual odds of 3-1 Europe are 5.15-1

Comments on methodology welcome.

Presumably I was too slow, or Lord Grumpy & Dubai beat us to it, but Ladbrokes now go 9/2.

Using your methodology, that kills the logic, I assume?

[doubleup]

bollocks

[tikay]

If you have a Lads free bet, might I put forward the suggestion of betting on Europe to win the foursomes 3-1 at 11/2?

Using the prices on oddschecker, I have approximated the true odds for the matches to be  


us   tie   eur
2.26   7.5   2.36
2.01   7.5   2.7
2.31   7.5   2.3
2.83   7.5   1.95

If that's the case the actual odds of 3-1 Europe are 5.15-1

Comments on methodology welcome.

Looks ideal for our Freebie. On my way, thank you.

Weren't preferred odds for freebets > 8/1?

I may well be wrong, often am, but I seem to remember Doobs explaining all the maths behind it, and I thought the equity increased with the price.

Thanks Marky.

It deffo increases with longer prices, but no idea at what price we ideally start the process.

Anyway, the 11/2 all went, so too late.

[tikay]

bollocks

Quite so, quite so.

[doubleup]

If you have a Lads free bet, might I put forward the suggestion of betting on Europe to win the foursomes 3-1 at 11/2?

Using the prices on oddschecker, I have approximated the true odds for the matches to be  


us   tie   eur
2.26   7.5   2.36
2.01   7.5   2.7
2.31   7.5   2.3
2.83   7.5   1.95

If that's the case the actual odds of 3-1 Europe are 5.15-1

Comments on methodology welcome.

Looks ideal for our Freebie. On my way, thank you.

Weren't preferred odds for freebets > 8/1?

I may well be wrong, often am, but I seem to remember Doobs explaining all the maths behind it, and I thought the equity increased with the price.

yeah it does, but its difficult to find 8-1+ bets that are actually value.  So a reasonably priced bet that is def longer than it should be shouldn't be passed up imo.

[tikay]

Mixed news in the cricket.

Essex 114/5 in 15.4 overs, they are in trouble here.

But.....

Azharullah now has 2 wickets, and is currently Top Northants Wicketerer.

[Karabiner]

bollocks

Quite so, quite so.

I just got on and it's still there.

After noon it started.

[tikay]

bollocks

Quite so, quite so.

I just got on and it's still there.

After noon it started.

Ahh, after Midday?

You are a legend Mr S, on my way.

[Karabiner]

bollocks

Quite so, quite so.

I just got on and it's still there.

After noon it started.

Ahh, after Midday?

You are a legend Mr S, on my way.

Well the Theo 8/1  FGS was anyhow.