Tips for Tikay

[hector62]

Nadal beats Isner ( who beat Djokovic in an earlier round ) 2-0 with both sets going to tie break. I would expect Nadal to almost be joint favourite with Djokovic when the US Open begins in 8 days but I would make him favourite.

[horseplayer]

Southampton signing Osvaldo tommorow

Class act but an absolute nutjob

Not great for the Rodriquez bet or possibly there dressing room but a great talent

[tikay]

Nadal beats Isner ( who beat Djokovic in an earlier round ) 2-0 with both sets going to tie break. I would expect Nadal to almost be joint favourite with Djokovic when the US Open begins in 8 days but I would make him favourite.

Very wise of you to advise us to get on whilst the 100/30 3/1 lasted.

[tikay]

Solheim Singles Sweat (Revised)


Salas, £20 @ 3.3, BetFair

Pressel, £30 @ 4/6, DNB, BetFred.

Korda, £33 @ 8/11, DNB, BetFred.

Masson, £30 @ 23/20, DNB, Boylesport

Recari, £63 @ 21/20, DNB, Boylesport

Icher, £100 @ 13/10, DNB, Boylesport

[redarmi]

Can't have Chelsea as equals (or betters) of the Manchester clubs unless they buy a really top class striker in the next two weeks.

Chelsea backers overestimating the amount of game time Abramovich's play thing Torres is going to get?

They looked great in all areas of the pitch (except Terry obv) but Torres remains out of touch to my eye.

Compared with RVP and Aguero, there's a huge gulf in class imo.

I think today was interesting because last time Mourinho managed Chelsea they were very dominant but played in a very specific way and really did not press home their advantage once they had hit the front.  Mourinho's previous Chelsea sides won a lot of games 1-0 and 2-0 and eased up when they were a couple of goals in front.  As such they never really conformed to the normal poisson distributions that you would expect from teams that were 1.5 goal faves.  Today looked very much the same to me and it may be something we can take advantage of.  A manager certainly has the ability to make all of the odds compilers models wrong if he decides to play in a certain way.  I'm going to run some numbers from last time he was there and take it from there but definitely an interesting angle.

[tikay]

Charley Hull hit a dream of a drive, but it just ran and ran, eventually settling in what looks a nightmare lie just above a bunker.

What composure though, 17 years old, and the gallery at 125 decibels.

[TightEnd]

Can't have Chelsea as equals (or betters) of the Manchester clubs unless they buy a really top class striker in the next two weeks.

Chelsea backers overestimating the amount of game time Abramovich's play thing Torres is going to get?

They looked great in all areas of the pitch (except Terry obv) but Torres remains out of touch to my eye.

Compared with RVP and Aguero, there's a huge gulf in class imo.

I think today was interesting because last time Mourinho managed Chelsea they were very dominant but played in a very specific way and really did not press home their advantage once they had hit the front.  Mourinho's previous Chelsea sides won a lot of games 1-0 and 2-0 and eased up when they were a couple of goals in front.  As such they never really conformed to the normal poisson distributions that you would expect from teams that were 1.5 goal faves.  Today looked very much the same to me and it may be something we can take advantage of.  A manager certainly has the ability to make all of the odds compilers models wrong if he decides to play in a certain way.  I'm going to run some numbers from last time he was there and take it from there but definitely an interesting angle.

this was something I wrote about in my tipping column this morning

"Chelsea under Mourinho are an interesting proposition. All the defensive solidity that was a hall-mark of the previous Mourinho Chelsea era remains, with Cech behind three of Cahill,Ivanovic, Luiz, Terry and Cole but there is now a huge number of attacking options with Mata, Hazard, Oscar and Lampard supporting Torres and/or Demba Ba

It will be interesting to see if the old Mourinho approach of going ahead and then controlling the game applies, compared to the Chelsea last season of all out attack"


very much looked like it was go ahead, control the game and not really worried about running the score up to me today. Probably the opposite of what Pellegrini might do, too

I would be wary of Chelsea supremacies, and favouring backing them to win to nil against bottom half teams in the league at home

"An alternative is to back Chelsea to win to nil at virtually even money with BetVictor and back the combination of a parsimonious approach, Mourinho's style in the Premier League, and Hull City's likely approach to pay off in that way"

http://www.betpal.com/premier-league-betting-preview-sunday-18th-august-tottenham-and-chelsea-enter-the-fray

[tikay]

Some huge run ups for the bookies today with Spurs, Chelsea & Barca all winning, & running on to Real Madrid, & then Atl Madrid.

punish

[Tal]

Have only skimmed today's Fredisms but Tikay you seem to have been on fire today: zinger after zinger. Like a gruffer, more authoritiative Groucho Marx.


Coentrao doesn't make the Real squad tonight. Bale transfer speculators sharpen their pencils...

[McGlashan]

Snap! Real also take the lead 2mins in. Hopefully Betis get a shot on target before the 90th minute.

EDIT: no goal

[McGlashan]

Goal Betis!

[henrik777]

I quite fancy Lizette Salas to beat Suzanne Petterson today @ 2/1+(3.2 on BF).

It's half-way down the batting order so the match should be "live" and Petterson has not been in the greatest of form this week and could be a little weary after playing four rounds in two days.

I must add that I am a big fan of Ms Salas and predict a very bright future for her.

3 rounds

Hole in one bet is 99% goosed.

Sandy

100% goosed.

Sandy

[Tal]

Have only skimmed today's Fredisms but Tikay you seem to have been on fire today: zinger after zinger. Like a gruffer, more authoritiative Groucho Marx.


Coentrao doesn't make the Real squad tonight. Bale transfer speculators sharpen their pencils...

"I've had a wonderful evening...

...This wasn't it"


Always cracks me up, that one. Then there's the note familiar "I never forget a face, but in your case I'll be glad to make an exception"

[tikay]

Goal Betis!

So Real have to score TWO now, yes?

We are doing this the hard way!

[Snowball]

Southampton signing Osvaldo tommorow

Class act but an absolute nutjob

Not great for the Rodriquez bet or possibly there dressing room but a great talent

Good player but can be frustrating at times.Where are Southampton getting all this money from?