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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 16358299 times)
Tal
Hero Member
Online
Posts: 24288
"He's always at it!"
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #50850 on:
August 26, 2013, 10:15:31 PM »
Quote from: The Camel on August 26, 2013, 10:11:24 PM
Quote from: tikay on August 26, 2013, 10:09:15 PM
Quote from: The Camel on August 26, 2013, 10:02:00 PM
Quote from: tikay on August 26, 2013, 09:59:19 PM
Quote from: a.sparrow on August 26, 2013, 09:57:05 PM
grats fred and draw backers.
Did u get the full £50 free on the no goal scorer market marky?
Sadly not - Restricted to £10 @ 10/1. Plus £50 @ 12/5 on the Draw.
Happy days.
The limits on the draw would have been much bigger than first goalscorer in running.
You should have have the no goalscorer bet pre match and draw bet in running.
Aftermining I know - but worth remembering for next time they do this great offer.
You mean use the FIRST £50 bet on a 10/1 shot?
Yes.
Or use both bets on match winner.
Logged
"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
The Camel
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 17074
Under my tree, being a troll.
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #50851 on:
August 26, 2013, 10:16:46 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on August 26, 2013, 10:12:40 PM
Quote from: The Camel on August 26, 2013, 10:02:00 PM
Quote from: tikay on August 26, 2013, 09:59:19 PM
Quote from: a.sparrow on August 26, 2013, 09:57:05 PM
grats fred and draw backers.
Did u get the full £50 free on the no goal scorer market marky?
Sadly not - Restricted to £10 @ 10/1. Plus £50 @ 12/5 on the Draw.
Happy days.
The limits on the draw would have been much bigger than first goalscorer in running.
You should have have the no goalscorer bet pre match and draw bet in running.
Aftermining I know - but worth remembering for next time they do this great offer.
He didn't know he was going to be restricted until the match started.
The no goal scorer bet was a margin below the best Betfair price (I remember looking at the correct score/first goalscorer prices and none looked attractive to me). So I think he loses a tenner or so vs Betfair pre match then could still get restricted to a tenner max win in play.
I think the best strategy from now on for Tikay may well ve the classic donkey free bet strategy. ie just double up on the draw or similar.
He's been restricted by bet365 since about week 3 of the thread so it hardly came as a surprise!
My guess is he's on 1% of the normal limits, which will be huge for match winner on a game like this. He'd probably be able to bet anything to win a monkey pre match and a hundred in running.
«
Last Edit: August 26, 2013, 10:18:54 PM by The Camel
»
Logged
Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists
"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012
"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
Online
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #50852 on:
August 26, 2013, 10:22:38 PM »
The two (Settled) Betslips, for Tighty.
No 1st goal @ 10/1
£10.00 Single
26/08/2013 20:08:53
10.00
110.00
Draw @ 12/5
£50.00 Single
26/08/2013 17:44:20
50.00
170.00
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http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY
(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
Doobs
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 16729
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #50853 on:
August 26, 2013, 10:23:30 PM »
Quote from: The Camel on August 26, 2013, 10:16:46 PM
Quote from: Doobs on August 26, 2013, 10:12:40 PM
Quote from: The Camel on August 26, 2013, 10:02:00 PM
Quote from: tikay on August 26, 2013, 09:59:19 PM
Quote from: a.sparrow on August 26, 2013, 09:57:05 PM
grats fred and draw backers.
Did u get the full £50 free on the no goal scorer market marky?
Sadly not - Restricted to £10 @ 10/1. Plus £50 @ 12/5 on the Draw.
Happy days.
The limits on the draw would have been much bigger than first goalscorer in running.
You should have have the no goalscorer bet pre match and draw bet in running.
Aftermining I know - but worth remembering for next time they do this great offer.
He didn't know he was going to be restricted until the match started.
The no goal scorer bet was a margin below the best Betfair price (I remember looking at the correct score/first goalscorer prices and none looked attractive to me). So I think he loses a tenner or so vs Betfair pre match then could still get restricted to a tenner max win in play.
I think the best strategy from now on for Tikay may well ve the classic donkey free bet strategy. ie just double up on the draw or similar.
He's been restricted by bet365 since about week 3 of the thread!
yeah, but we don't know when and where it applies. Obviously, we have a much better idea now we have seen what happened tonight.
But the draw pre match is still better than the no scorer pre match though.
Logged
Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
Online
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #50854 on:
August 26, 2013, 10:26:14 PM »
Quote from: The Camel on August 26, 2013, 10:16:46 PM
Quote from: Doobs on August 26, 2013, 10:12:40 PM
Quote from: The Camel on August 26, 2013, 10:02:00 PM
Quote from: tikay on August 26, 2013, 09:59:19 PM
Quote from: a.sparrow on August 26, 2013, 09:57:05 PM
grats fred and draw backers.
Did u get the full £50 free on the no goal scorer market marky?
Sadly not - Restricted to £10 @ 10/1. Plus £50 @ 12/5 on the Draw.
Happy days.
The limits on the draw would have been much bigger than first goalscorer in running.
You should have have the no goalscorer bet pre match and draw bet in running.
Aftermining I know - but worth remembering for next time they do this great offer.
He didn't know he was going to be restricted until the match started.
The no goal scorer bet was a margin below the best Betfair price (I remember looking at the correct score/first goalscorer prices and none looked attractive to me). So I think he loses a tenner or so vs Betfair pre match then could still get restricted to a tenner max win in play.
I think the best strategy from now on for Tikay may well ve the classic donkey free bet strategy. ie just double up on the draw or similar.
He's been restricted by bet365 since about week 3 of the thread so it hardly came as a surprise!
My guess is he's on 1% of the normal limits, which will be huge for match winner on a game like this. He'd probably be able to bet anything to win a monkey pre match and a hundred in running.
Well, two points there.
My expectation, given the Advertised Offer, was that if they allowed me X pre-Match, they would/should have allowed the same In-Play. I was wrong, of course.
Also....when I placed the Original £50 Bet (Draw, because Doobs said they were Best Price on that), I checked the Max, & they would have allowed me £85. Quite surprised me. There seems no rhyme or reason to the way they Restrict me. I have to assume, though, that they allow me more on high liquidity Markets, such as Outrights on very big games.
Logged
All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY
(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
Online
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #50855 on:
August 26, 2013, 10:28:31 PM »
In spooky timing, just as the game ended, I busto'd in my last Tourney of the evening.
Boom AND Bust, literally.
Logged
All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY
(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
Online
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #50856 on:
August 26, 2013, 10:29:59 PM »
Quote from: hector62 on August 26, 2013, 10:13:35 PM
Nadal beats Harrison 6-4 6-2 6-2
N1 hector, this was almost lost in the post-match euphoria.
Logged
All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY
(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
The Camel
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 17074
Under my tree, being a troll.
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #50857 on:
August 26, 2013, 10:30:42 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on August 26, 2013, 10:23:30 PM
Quote from: The Camel on August 26, 2013, 10:16:46 PM
Quote from: Doobs on August 26, 2013, 10:12:40 PM
Quote from: The Camel on August 26, 2013, 10:02:00 PM
Quote from: tikay on August 26, 2013, 09:59:19 PM
Quote from: a.sparrow on August 26, 2013, 09:57:05 PM
grats fred and draw backers.
Did u get the full £50 free on the no goal scorer market marky?
Sadly not - Restricted to £10 @ 10/1. Plus £50 @ 12/5 on the Draw.
Happy days.
The limits on the draw would have been much bigger than first goalscorer in running.
You should have have the no goalscorer bet pre match and draw bet in running.
Aftermining I know - but worth remembering for next time they do this great offer.
He didn't know he was going to be restricted until the match started.
The no goal scorer bet was a margin below the best Betfair price (I remember looking at the correct score/first goalscorer prices and none looked attractive to me). So I think he loses a tenner or so vs Betfair pre match then could still get restricted to a tenner max win in play.
I think the best strategy from now on for Tikay may well ve the classic donkey free bet strategy. ie just double up on the draw or similar.
He's been restricted by bet365 since about week 3 of the thread!
yeah, but we don't know when and where it applies. Obviously, we have a much better idea now we have seen what happened tonight.
But the draw pre match is still better than the no scorer pre match though.
It wasn't better to have the draw bet pre match if you can't use the whole of the free £50 free bet in running!
I haven't been keeping up with thread as much as I used to - but "yeah, but we don't know when and where it applies" just doesn't make sense, virtually all bookies don't differentiate between sports. Once you are restricted - you are restricted.
As I said in the earlier post, I think Tony is on 1% of the normal stake as his maximum bet.
If he cares to look now, I reckon his maximum on Man City to beat Hull next weekend will be £600.
This will increase on gameday.
Logged
Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists
"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012
"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
Online
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #50858 on:
August 26, 2013, 10:31:59 PM »
Quote from: The Camel on August 26, 2013, 10:30:42 PM
Quote from: Doobs on August 26, 2013, 10:23:30 PM
Quote from: The Camel on August 26, 2013, 10:16:46 PM
Quote from: Doobs on August 26, 2013, 10:12:40 PM
Quote from: The Camel on August 26, 2013, 10:02:00 PM
Quote from: tikay on August 26, 2013, 09:59:19 PM
Quote from: a.sparrow on August 26, 2013, 09:57:05 PM
grats fred and draw backers.
Did u get the full £50 free on the no goal scorer market marky?
Sadly not - Restricted to £10 @ 10/1. Plus £50 @ 12/5 on the Draw.
Happy days.
The limits on the draw would have been much bigger than first goalscorer in running.
You should have have the no goalscorer bet pre match and draw bet in running.
Aftermining I know - but worth remembering for next time they do this great offer.
He didn't know he was going to be restricted until the match started.
The no goal scorer bet was a margin below the best Betfair price (I remember looking at the correct score/first goalscorer prices and none looked attractive to me). So I think he loses a tenner or so vs Betfair pre match then could still get restricted to a tenner max win in play.
I think the best strategy from now on for Tikay may well ve the classic donkey free bet strategy. ie just double up on the draw or similar.
He's been restricted by bet365 since about week 3 of the thread!
yeah, but we don't know when and where it applies. Obviously, we have a much better idea now we have seen what happened tonight.
But the draw pre match is still better than the no scorer pre match though.
It wasn't better to have the draw bet pre match if you can't use the whole of the free £50 free bet in running!
I haven't been keeping up with thread as much as I used to - but "yeah, but we don't know when and where it applies" just doesn't make sense, virtually all bookies don't differentiate between sports. Once you are restricted - you are restricted.
As I said in the earlier post, I think Tony is on 1% of the normal stake as his maximum bet.
If he cares to look now, I reckon his maximum on Man City to beat Hull next weekend will be £600.
This will increase on gameday.
What? No chance!
I'm off to look.
Be right back.
Logged
All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY
(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
The Camel
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 17074
Under my tree, being a troll.
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #50859 on:
August 26, 2013, 10:32:59 PM »
Quote from: tikay on August 26, 2013, 10:26:14 PM
Quote from: The Camel on August 26, 2013, 10:16:46 PM
Quote from: Doobs on August 26, 2013, 10:12:40 PM
Quote from: The Camel on August 26, 2013, 10:02:00 PM
Quote from: tikay on August 26, 2013, 09:59:19 PM
Quote from: a.sparrow on August 26, 2013, 09:57:05 PM
grats fred and draw backers.
Did u get the full £50 free on the no goal scorer market marky?
Sadly not - Restricted to £10 @ 10/1. Plus £50 @ 12/5 on the Draw.
Happy days.
The limits on the draw would have been much bigger than first goalscorer in running.
You should have have the no goalscorer bet pre match and draw bet in running.
Aftermining I know - but worth remembering for next time they do this great offer.
He didn't know he was going to be restricted until the match started.
The no goal scorer bet was a margin below the best Betfair price (I remember looking at the correct score/first goalscorer prices and none looked attractive to me). So I think he loses a tenner or so vs Betfair pre match then could still get restricted to a tenner max win in play.
I think the best strategy from now on for Tikay may well ve the classic donkey free bet strategy. ie just double up on the draw or similar.
He's been restricted by bet365 since about week 3 of the thread so it hardly came as a surprise!
My guess is he's on 1% of the normal limits, which will be huge for match winner on a game like this. He'd probably be able to bet anything to win a monkey pre match and a hundred in running.
Well, two points there.
My expectation, given the Advertised Offer, was that if they allowed me X pre-Match, they would/should have allowed the same In-Play. I was wrong, of course.
Also....when I placed the Original £50 Bet (Draw, because Doobs said they were Best Price on that), I checked the Max, & they would have allowed me £85. Quite surprised me. There seems no rhyme or reason to the way they Restrict me. I have to assume, though, that they allow me more on high liquidity Markets, such as Outrights on very big games.
There is absolute rhyme and reason to the way they restrict you.
It's a % of the normal bet. Either 1% or maybe 0.5% of usual limits.
Obviously they are going to take much bigger bets on match winner than first goalscorer - hence Tony should always have his bets in running on this market.
Logged
Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists
"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012
"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
Online
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #50860 on:
August 26, 2013, 10:35:01 PM »
Unbebloodylievable.
I just clicked the Man City v Hull Game on Bet 365.
Man C are 1/6.
I clicked "BET MAX" & it would permit me precisely, to the very penny.............
£600
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY
(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
Online
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #50861 on:
August 26, 2013, 10:36:09 PM »
I think Camel's spider got lucky there.
Give me another example, on a lesser traded market.
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY
(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
The Camel
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 17074
Under my tree, being a troll.
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #50862 on:
August 26, 2013, 10:37:51 PM »
Quote from: tikay on August 26, 2013, 10:36:09 PM
I think Camel's spider got lucky there.
Give me another example, on a lesser traded market.
Hahaha
Ok
Man City to beat Hull 6-1
Your max bet will be:
£5
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists
"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012
"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
Tal
Hero Member
Online
Posts: 24288
"He's always at it!"
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #50863 on:
August 26, 2013, 10:39:22 PM »
Logged
"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
Online
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #50864 on:
August 26, 2013, 10:40:27 PM »
I just tested it on the SAME game.
On Man City to BEAT Hull @ 1/6, I can get £600.
On Hull to beat Man City @ 16/1 I can get £6.25
On the Draw, @ 6/1, I can get £16.67.
So what is the algorithm there?
It LOOKS like max win liability of £100, but they allowed me £50 @ 12/5 on the Man U-Chelsea game earlier, which is a £120 liability.
Logged
All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY
(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
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