Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

Brian McHugh piloted Mishaal home

Click to see full-size image.

Musselburgh, races for each way Champions.

Click to see full-size image.

No, No, Yes. Vote Natalie

Click to see full-size image.

Making a good fist of it

Click to see full-size image.

It all kicks off here tomorrow night. In Colorado, at Mile High (Invesco field)...

Click to see full-size image.

So close for Hewitt, who loses in 5 sets. Advised to retire by no fewer than six surgeons after the latest serious injury...he almost made it to the Quarters

Click to see full-size image.

[Doobs]

Ladbrokes and Hills continue their offer at Lingfield today.  There are a load of short priced horses, so may as well put up a few.  £25 on the scnozzle.

2.20 Travis Bickle 2/1
3.20 Radiator 8/11
4.20 Bert The Alert 6/4
4.50 Al Jamal 7/4
5.20 Al Guwair 11/8

And all the horses in the 3.50 are dreadful, so I plumped for
3.50 Moss Hill 9/2. 

FWIW that 3.20 looks like it should have some e/w value, maybe on the Godolphin horse, though Betfair doesn't back me up at the minute.

These are all Hills prices, Ladbrokes doesn't have prices on them all at the minute.  It might be better to spread money around, though Hills seem happy enough at the minute.  I am putting them up now, as got a few things to do.

[doubleup]

FWIW that 3.20 looks like it should have some e/w value, maybe on the Godolphin horse, though Betfair doesn't back me up at the minute.

At the present betfair mid-price of 11.75 win and 2.36 place, it should have an expected return of £2.2 for £2 bet (£1ew at 10-1)?

Though it would be helpful if the thread had someone who was good at analysing horse breeding/form.

[Bad Beat]

 Sorry Tighty. I put you away. Some of the syndicates came out and bet Baltimore last night and the line is now a general 7.5.

 Obviously Denver have a few injuries. A sharp guy I know bet over 48. I thought that might move up now. I think the hurry-up offence is his reasoning. Obviously you should generally bet early when betting over in TV games.

 I guess when I said I wouldn't bet Denver -7.5 then that meant my line was 7.5 and I should have taken the +9. It was Corals which is tricky and 4/5 so I left it.

 Syndicates have now bet Houston -3. That one seems obvious. Can't see the public wanting San Diego and it's the last game of the week. Now it's burst through 3 you could easily see that hitting 4.5 by game time. Live game, last game left, one team very unfashionable, the other one quite popular with the public.

 Tampa are pretty popular. If you fancy the Jets you will probably get 3.5, if you fancy the Buccs take the -3 now.

 I have two teams I'm thinking about betting and a couple of totals I'm watching but I haven't had a bet yet.

[Doobs]

FWIW that 3.20 looks like it should have some e/w value, maybe on the Godolphin horse, though Betfair doesn't back me up at the minute.

At the present betfair mid-price of 11.75 win and 2.36 place, it should have an expected return of £2.2 for £2 bet (£1ew at 10-1)?

Though it would be helpful if the thread had someone who was good at analysing horse breeding/form.

That has definitely come in a bit since I looked on Hills and Betair, thread can't back with Sky or Stans, but taken some of that 10/1 each way on Sky personally.  

Edit now 10/1 on Sky gone, only Stan James left.

[TightEnd]

Sorry Tighty. I put you away. Some of the syndicates came out and bet Baltimore last night and the line is now a general 7.5.

 Obviously Denver have a few injuries. A sharp guy I know bet over 48. I thought that might move up now. I think the hurry-up offence is his reasoning. Obviously you should generally bet early when betting over in TV games.

 I guess when I said I wouldn't bet Denver -7.5 then that meant my line was 7.5 and I should have taken the +9. It was Corals which is tricky and 4/5 so I left it.

 Syndicates have now bet Houston -3. That one seems obvious. Can't see the public wanting San Diego and it's the last game of the week. Now it's burst through 3 you could easily see that hitting 4.5 by game time. Live game, last game left, one team very unfashionable, the other one quite popular with the public.

 Tampa are pretty popular. If you fancy the Jets you will probably get 3.5, if you fancy the Buccs take the -3 now.

 I have two teams I'm thinking about betting and a couple of totals I'm watching but I haven't had a bet yet.

Baltimore was a bit frustrating. I had to put it up elsewhere at +7.5 this morning on deadline!

I also have a couple of spots I am watching, and a couple of player markets too. The player markets aren't formed yet. I do think the Sunday night Channel 4 game has a couple of big opportunities

[Marky147]

FWIW that 3.20 looks like it should have some e/w value, maybe on the Godolphin horse, though Betfair doesn't back me up at the minute.

At the present betfair mid-price of 11.75 win and 2.36 place, it should have an expected return of £2.2 for £2 bet (£1ew at 10-1)?

Though it would be helpful if the thread had someone who was good at analysing horse breeding/form.

That has definitely come in a bit since I looked on Hills and Betair, thread can't back with Sky or Stans, but taken some of that 10/1 each way on Sky personally.  

Edit now 10/1 on Sky gone, only Stan James left.

I can bet on SJ for Fred if you like, what do you want on?

Too late, now 15/2

[tikay]

Ladbrokes and Hills continue their offer at Lingfield today.  There are a load of short priced horses, so may as well put up a few.  £25 on the scnozzle.

2.20 Travis Bickle 2/1
3.20 Radiator 8/11
4.20 Bert The Alert 6/4
4.50 Al Jamal 7/4
5.20 Al Guwair 11/8

And all the horses in the 3.50 are dreadful, so I plumped for
3.50 Moss Hill 9/2.  

FWIW that 3.20 looks like it should have some e/w value, maybe on the Godolphin horse, though Betfair doesn't back me up at the minute.

These are all Hills prices, Ladbrokes doesn't have prices on them all at the minute.  It might be better to spread money around, though Hills seem happy enough at the minute.  I am putting them up now, as got a few things to do.

Thanks Doobs. The earlier the better for me, so this helps.

Am out and about at mo, so for now....

We are ON those five horses, mixed between WH &  Ladbrokes. Prices varied from recommend.

Details will be confirmed when I get back to London, but they are on.

Have not punted the 3,20 yet though.

[Doobs]

FWIW that 3.20 looks like it should have some e/w value, maybe on the Godolphin horse, though Betfair doesn't back me up at the minute.

At the present betfair mid-price of 11.75 win and 2.36 place, it should have an expected return of £2.2 for £2 bet (£1ew at 10-1)?

Though it would be helpful if the thread had someone who was good at analysing horse breeding/form.

That has definitely come in a bit since I looked on Hills and Betair, thread can't back with Sky or Stans, but taken some of that 10/1 each way on Sky personally.  

Edit now 10/1 on Sky gone, only Stan James left.

I can bet on SJ for Fred if you like, what do you want on?

Too late, now 15/2

This can't be a bad bet.  We get best odds guaranteed, it looks a good each way race, Gofolphin 2 year olds tend to be ready first time, I think the maths is probably stil good.

Suggest thread takes £20 each way Arctic Moon, 3.20 Lingfield.  Boylesports or BetVictor 9/1.

[tikay]

FWIW that 3.20 looks like it should have some e/w value, maybe on the Godolphin horse, though Betfair doesn't back me up at the minute.

At the present betfair mid-price of 11.75 win and 2.36 place, it should have an expected return of £2.2 for £2 bet (£1ew at 10-1)?

Though it would be helpful if the thread had someone who was good at analysing horse breeding/form.

That has definitely come in a bit since I looked on Hills and Betair, thread can't back with Sky or Stans, but taken some of that 10/1 each way on Sky personally.  

Edit now 10/1 on Sky gone, only Stan James left.

I can bet on SJ for Fred if you like, what do you want on?

Too late, now 15/2

This can't be a bad bet.  We get best odds guaranteed, it looks a good each way race, Gofolphin 2 year olds tend to be ready first time, I think the maths is probably stil good.

Suggest thread takes £20 each way Arctic Moon, 3.20 Lingfield.  Boylesports or BetVictor 9/1.

DONE.

Boyles, 9/1, details later.

Tried BMU first, 'YOUR BET CANNOT BE PROCESSED".

Whoops.

[Doobs]

FWIW that 3.20 looks like it should have some e/w value, maybe on the Godolphin horse, though Betfair doesn't back me up at the minute.

At the present betfair mid-price of 11.75 win and 2.36 place, it should have an expected return of £2.2 for £2 bet (£1ew at 10-1)?

Though it would be helpful if the thread had someone who was good at analysing horse breeding/form.

That has definitely come in a bit since I looked on Hills and Betair, thread can't back with Sky or Stans, but taken some of that 10/1 each way on Sky personally.  

Edit now 10/1 on Sky gone, only Stan James left.

I can bet on SJ for Fred if you like, what do you want on?

Too late, now 15/2

This can't be a bad bet.  We get best odds guaranteed, it looks a good each way race, Gofolphin 2 year olds tend to be ready first time, I think the maths is probably stil good.

Suggest thread takes £20 each way Arctic Moon, 3.20 Lingfield.  Boylesports or BetVictor 9/1.

DONE.

Boyles, 9/1, details later.

Tried BMU first, 'YOUR BET CANNOT BE PROCESSED".

Whoops.

Think they may have issues, as I couldn't get on.  Think we are ok here, seem to have stumbled onto a plunge horse here.

[bobby1]

the golden highway near the rail might make that 3.20 an interesting race for sure. Fav is drawn two, the 2nd fav is drawn right on the rail in 9 but been slow away on first two runs, Doobs horse drawn one off the rail so in a nice possie and might get the rail if the 2nd fav is slow away again. Wouldn't be amazed if those two attempt to get out tho and on the rail and try to lead all the way to take advantage of the draw.

[kukushkin88]

the golden highway near the rail might make that 3.20 an interesting race for sure. Fav is drawn two, the 2nd fav is drawn right on the rail in 9 but been slow away on first two runs, Doobs horse drawn one off the rail so in a nice possie and might get the rail if the 2nd fav is slow away again. Wouldn't be amazed if those two attempt to get out tho and on the rail and try to lead all the way to take advantage of the draw.

I've backed Arctic Moon today but a word of caution, the Godolphin newcomers, particularly ridden by Barzalona are very rarely quickly in to stride. There seems to be a clear decision to ride them with restraint. The golden highway is a massive advantage and could still be advantageous but I reckon he'll need some room late on and he might well get it in might be quite a weak race. Much prefer Zawiyah of the front 2 in the betting.

[kukushkin88]

Edit on the weak race. Might well not be a weak race but there'll only be a few in it at the end.

[bobby1]

the golden highway near the rail might make that 3.20 an interesting race for sure. Fav is drawn two, the 2nd fav is drawn right on the rail in 9 but been slow away on first two runs, Doobs horse drawn one off the rail so in a nice possie and might get the rail if the 2nd fav is slow away again. Wouldn't be amazed if those two attempt to get out tho and on the rail and try to lead all the way to take advantage of the draw.

I've backed Arctic Moon today but a word of caution, the Godolphin newcomers, particularly ridden by Barzalona are very rarely quickly in to stride. There seems to be a clear decision to ride them with restraint. The golden highway is a massive advantage and could still be advantageous but I reckon he'll need some room late on and he might well get it in might be quite a weak race. Much prefer Zawiyah of the front 2 in the betting.

Hi Kuku,

Not too long to wait now mate ;o)

I think the 2nd fav deffo looks far more likely and would have bet it but for the slow starts, will be interesting to see how it rides, the fav might even get over from 2 if none of those on the rail go on

How are things with you?