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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16370259 times)
BigAdz
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« Reply #53010 on: September 10, 2013, 06:16:45 AM »

N1 hector. Nasal must have been the easiest 2 week sweat ever!
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Good evenink. I wish I had a girlfriend.......
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« Reply #53011 on: September 10, 2013, 10:01:32 AM »

Daily Report

Profit on Month £1037.31

Outstanding Bets £3005.90

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=29


A profit of £9 yesterday.

Nadal won the US Open for a profit of £60 including some of the finest tennis you could ever wish to see. One rally, 54 strokes on a break point in the second set had me sitting there open mouthed. Just could not believe the ferocity of the shots. Anyway, the tap dripped again

It was a mixed night in the two MNF games

Firstly the Redskins never looked like covering the thread against an Eagles side rejuvenated under Oregon's Chip Kelly. The performance had some veteran observers scrambling for Eagles prices for the Superbowl. Lets hope Mr Vick is cryogenically frozen between games. Shady McCoy is a wonderful player though, great to see him in an offense built around his skills

In the late game in San Diego I have taken the Arian Foster under 19.5 carries bet as a profit. He rushed 18 times. I am assuming "carries" refers to runs only, as he also received the ball from 6 passes. So I think i need tikay to check his account for me. Winner or loser?

Foster also ran for less than 84.5 yards to make two bets there winners

In the losers column Ben Tate ran the ball 9 times for 55 yards and looked very sharp. Would start for a lot of teams. No touchdown last night though, not helped by the Texans chasing the game and throwing. Tate tends to get the carries on the goal-line but it really wasn't a mash it up through the middle sort of game

Anyway, not the greatest NFL start to the season for the thread, but we escaped reasonably unscathed and there are certainly plenty of decent judges spotting plenty of situations, which bodes well


In longer term stuff both Baltimore and Cleveland won in the AL wild card race to go only a game and a half back from Tampa Bay for that second spot into the play-offs. The Royals lost, and their hopes fade a little further
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I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
TightEnd
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« Reply #53012 on: September 10, 2013, 10:10:47 AM »

Catch him if you can. The Redskins couldn't. LeSean McCoy



"I need to make sure I stop at 83 yards" Foster checks the stadium scoreboard mid run



Winner winner. The least troublesome 3/1 shot in many months



Your Ottawa Senators. Another sport to follow!

 Click to see full-size image.


With BigAdz's hopes and dreams a heavy weight on young shoulders, no wonder Speith looks pensive. It's ok though, I've put him in touch with Jamie Spencer for a motivational chat.

 Click to see full-size image.


Gumball has the right idea

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Doobs
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« Reply #53013 on: September 10, 2013, 10:21:10 AM »

No mobile offer today from Hills today. Looks like the money train is no longer stopping at this station. 

The spreadsheet controller sits in his nice warm signal box adding some fresh milk freshly delivered in time for his hot tea, hopeful of quieter times ahead.

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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
tikay
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« Reply #53014 on: September 10, 2013, 10:28:05 AM »

Another great report Rich, thank you, I don't know how you find the time.

".....veteran observers......" is how you described Camel. Rather you than me.


In the late game in San Diego I have taken the Arian Foster under 19.5 carries bet as a profit. He rushed 18 times. I am assuming "carries" refers to runs only, as he also received the ball from 6 passes. So I think i need tikay to check his account for me. Winner or loser?

Ladbrokes have confirmed this as a WINNER & paid out. Well done Phil.
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tikay
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« Reply #53015 on: September 10, 2013, 10:32:18 AM »


The Eagles;

To win NFC East, 11/4


http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/nfc-east/winner

To win Superbowl, 33/1 generally, 50/1 with BWin.



http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/superbowl/winner
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Marky147
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« Reply #53016 on: September 10, 2013, 11:19:05 AM »

No worries

£36 @ 5/6 Arian Foster <84.5 yards rushing

£100 @ Evens Washington Redskins -3.5 (If you did the £16 yourself, I'll take it off mine np)




BOOKED, I'll take all that if you don't mind.

Thank you, you are a top bloke.

1 out of 2 normally isn't bad, but unfortunately we won the wrong bet...


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« Reply #53017 on: September 10, 2013, 11:25:41 AM »

No mobile offer today from Hills today. Looks like the money train is no longer stopping at this station. 

The spreadsheet controller sits in his nice warm signal box adding some fresh milk freshly delivered in time for his hot tea, hopeful of quieter times ahead.



Ladbrokes are doing Leicester if anyone is keen
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youthnkzR
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« Reply #53018 on: September 10, 2013, 11:43:16 AM »

Celebrity Big Brother for you all.

Mario - Can back him at 66/1 on bet fair at the minute with the bookies pricing him anywhere between 50/1 and 20/1. I think he's given a really good account of himself and his personality here is in complete contrast to his scripted one on TOWIE. He's pretty entertaining, straight up with people and seems like a geniunally nice guy. Can see him doing real well however may need to do something in the next few days to get a few more people to pick up their phones for him to win it all.

Really don't understand why Lauren Is 2/1 and under. I can see she can be really entertaining sometimes, however I find her pretty annoying and frustrating to watch. I first looked at the prices yesterday I was really shocked to see she was as short as she was.  

Charlotte was who I thought would be favourite and 11/4 best price I can understand. Shes silly, she's funny, she's disgusting, she's naive, to be totally honest I think she's brilliant. I do however understand that there will be some people whose votes she cant win over because as Vicky put it last night 'Shes famous for being a slag in Newcastle getting pissed all the time' - which I guess some people will not be able to overlook.  

Carol is 5/1 best price to be crowned CBB champion. This would have looked massive before however I do feel she's given a pretty poor account of herself over the last few days and to be honest she's starting to become really annoying. I don't even think she'll make the final if she carries on like she has been, whereas before - she would be have been a cert.

Can't stand Louie think he should be much longer than 20/1. He's a really obnoxious guy with a massive ego. Pretty sure everybody sees him as that.

Over the last week or so Vicky has become much more entertaining. This - coupled with her Coro fan base (which im pretty sure will be massive) should help her do well - probably better than she should do. I can see her finishing around 7th and think that 33/1 probably reflects her true chances of winning.

Abz is currently 3/1 best price and this seems massive. Everyone in the house (other than Charlotte) really gets on with him, and he's the nicest guy in there. From the publics point of view he's a bit of a 'loner' but really interesting and entertaining. If he keeps being himself then I can't see him not being the overwhelming favourite come the final. 3/1 is massive!

Finally Courtney. If you take the 80/1 best price for her, and couple it with the boos she got on the last eviction day when her name was said - you'd think she has no chance. However take into account that the crowd on the live CBB evictions are only a really small sample of the public and the telemix poll about the upcoming eviction - which has her as the people's #1 to stay this eviction day (closely followed by mario), it gives hope. Also factor in that she causes a lot controversy - I really would not be surprised to see her stay a while (at least until the final).

Recommend £20 on Abz to win it all @ 3/1 (boyles)
Also £2 each on mario @ 66/1 (betfair) and Courtney @ 80/1 (coral)

Also for the upcoming evictions -

Best prices for the next eviction are:
Courtney 7/4
Vicky 15/8
Mario 10/3
Louie 6/1
Carol 25/1

I would like to recommend £10 on Louie to go next at 6/1 (Sky bet, Boyles, Laddies, Coral, WH). Reasons have been stated above - Obnoxious, egotistical...etc which is all well and good if your entertaining at the same time - however Louie really isn't. Also, the Betfair price is a shade under 5/1 for him to be the 1st gone. Telemix have him dead last in their poll on who people want saved - (Courtney: 26%, Mario: 22%, Carol: 21%, Vicky: 17%, Louie: 14%).


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tikay
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« Reply #53019 on: September 10, 2013, 11:50:19 AM »

No worries

£36 @ 5/6 Arian Foster <84.5 yards rushing

£100 @ Evens Washington Redskins -3.5 (If you did the £16 yourself, I'll take it off mine np)




BOOKED, I'll take all that if you don't mind.

Thank you, you are a top bloke.

1 out of 2 normally isn't bad, but unfortunately we won the wrong bet...




Ugh. I'll PM you later, think I'd better pay off my slate.

Thanks anyway.
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tikay
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« Reply #53020 on: September 10, 2013, 11:52:18 AM »

Celebrity Big Brother for you all.

Mario - Can back him at 66/1 on bet fair at the minute with the bookies pricing him anywhere between 50/1 and 20/1. I think he's given a really good account of himself and his personality here is in complete contrast to his scripted one on TOWIE. He's pretty entertaining, straight up with people and seems like a geniunally nice guy. Can see him doing real well however may need to do something in the next few days to get a few more people to pick up their phones for him to win it all.

Really don't understand why Lauren Is 2/1 and under. I can see she can be really entertaining sometimes, however I find her pretty annoying and frustrating to watch. I first looked at the prices yesterday I was really shocked to see she was as short as she was. 

Charlotte was who I thought would be favourite and 11/4 best price I can understand. Shes silly, she's funny, she's disgusting, she's naive, to be totally honest I think she's brilliant. I do however understand that there will be some people whose votes she cant win over because as Vicky put it last night 'Shes famous for being a slag in Newcastle getting pissed all the time' - which I guess some people will not be able to overlook. 

Carol is 5/1 best price to be crowned CBB champion. This would have looked massive before however I do feel she's given a pretty poor account of herself over the last few days and to be honest she's starting to become really annoying. I don't even think she'll make the final if she carries on like she has been, whereas before - she would be have been a cert.

Can't stand Louie think he should be much longer than 20/1. He's a really obnoxious guy with a massive ego. Pretty sure everybody sees him as that.

Over the last week or so Vicky has become much more entertaining. This - coupled with her Coro fan base (which im pretty sure will be massive) should help her do well - probably better than she should do. I can see her finishing around 7th and think that 33/1 probably reflects her true chances of winning.

Abz is currently 3/1 best price and this seems massive. Everyone in the house (other than Charlotte) really gets on with him, and he's the nicest guy in there. From the publics point of view he's a bit of a 'loner' but really interesting and entertaining. If he keeps being himself then I can't see him not being the overwhelming favourite come the final. 3/1 is massive!

Finally Courtney. If you take the 80/1 best price for her, and couple it with the boos she got on the last eviction day when her name was said - you'd think she has no chance. However take into account that the crowd on the live CBB evictions are only a really small sample of the public and the telemix poll about the upcoming eviction - which has her as the people's #1 to stay this eviction day (closely followed by mario), it gives hope. Also factor in that she causes a lot controversy - I really would not be surprised to see her stay a while (at least until the final).

Recommend £20 on Abz to win it all @ 3/1 (boyles)
Also £2 each on mario @ 66/1 (betfair) and Courtney @ 80/1 (coral)

Also for the upcoming evictions -

Best prices for the next eviction are:
Courtney 7/4
Vicky 15/8
Mario 10/3
Louie 6/1
Carol 25/1

I would like to recommend £10 on Louie to go next at 6/1 (Sky bet, Boyles, Laddies, Coral, WH). Reasons have been stated above - Obnoxious, egotistical...etc which is all well and good if your entertaining at the same time - however Louie really isn't. Also, the Betfair price is a shade under 5/1 for him to be the 1st gone. Telemix have him dead last in their poll on who people want saved - (Courtney: 26%, Mario: 22%, Carol: 21%, Vicky: 17%, Louie: 14%).




Wow, thanks Tom.

We'll need to consult with our novelty TV Correspondent, Chompy. He lives & breathes all that sort of nonsense, & to be fair, has won absolute fortunes (almost enough to pay for his horse racing losses) punting BB & the like. Think he even has a BB Avatar photo, & "blonde sig". Man's a proper saddo, tbh.
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JoeBeevers
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« Reply #53021 on: September 10, 2013, 11:52:37 AM »

No mobile offer today from Hills today. Looks like the money train is no longer stopping at this station. 

The spreadsheet controller sits in his nice warm signal box adding some fresh milk freshly delivered in time for his hot tea, hopeful of quieter times ahead.



Ladbrokes are doing Leicester if anyone is keen

Hills still offering some punters free bet if 2nd and not others by the looks of things so if you still have it use it.
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« Reply #53022 on: September 10, 2013, 11:54:15 AM »

I imagine he comes across badly on TV, but I've met Louie and he was actually a good guy.
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tikay
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« Reply #53023 on: September 10, 2013, 12:14:27 PM »

No mobile offer today from Hills today. Looks like the money train is no longer stopping at this station. 

The spreadsheet controller sits in his nice warm signal box adding some fresh milk freshly delivered in time for his hot tea, hopeful of quieter times ahead.



Think they just put it up late Doobs - they ARE now offering it at Leicester, but were not doing so earlier.

Mobile ONLY, Money back as Free Bet if 2nd.

The spready controller in his signal box will be chuffed to bits.

I've got no excuses today, either, I'm having a day off, at home.
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Nico29
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« Reply #53024 on: September 10, 2013, 12:38:00 PM »

Celebrity Big Brother for you all.

Mario - Can back him at 66/1 on bet fair at the minute with the bookies pricing him anywhere between 50/1 and 20/1. I think he's given a really good account of himself and his personality here is in complete contrast to his scripted one on TOWIE. He's pretty entertaining, straight up with people and seems like a geniunally nice guy. Can see him doing real well however may need to do something in the next few days to get a few more people to pick up their phones for him to win it all.

Really don't understand why Lauren Is 2/1 and under. I can see she can be really entertaining sometimes, however I find her pretty annoying and frustrating to watch. I first looked at the prices yesterday I was really shocked to see she was as short as she was.  

Charlotte was who I thought would be favourite and 11/4 best price I can understand. Shes silly, she's funny, she's disgusting, she's naive, to be totally honest I think she's brilliant. I do however understand that there will be some people whose votes she cant win over because as Vicky put it last night 'Shes famous for being a slag in Newcastle getting pissed all the time' - which I guess some people will not be able to overlook.  

Carol is 5/1 best price to be crowned CBB champion. This would have looked massive before however I do feel she's given a pretty poor account of herself over the last few days and to be honest she's starting to become really annoying. I don't even think she'll make the final if she carries on like she has been, whereas before - she would be have been a cert.

Can't stand Louie think he should be much longer than 20/1. He's a really obnoxious guy with a massive ego. Pretty sure everybody sees him as that.

Over the last week or so Vicky has become much more entertaining. This - coupled with her Coro fan base (which im pretty sure will be massive) should help her do well - probably better than she should do. I can see her finishing around 7th and think that 33/1 probably reflects her true chances of winning.

Abz is currently 3/1 best price and this seems massive. Everyone in the house (other than Charlotte) really gets on with him, and he's the nicest guy in there. From the publics point of view he's a bit of a 'loner' but really interesting and entertaining. If he keeps being himself then I can't see him not being the overwhelming favourite come the final. 3/1 is massive!

Finally Courtney. If you take the 80/1 best price for her, and couple it with the boos she got on the last eviction day when her name was said - you'd think she has no chance. However take into account that the crowd on the live CBB evictions are only a really small sample of the public and the telemix poll about the upcoming eviction - which has her as the people's #1 to stay this eviction day (closely followed by mario), it gives hope. Also factor in that she causes a lot controversy - I really would not be surprised to see her stay a while (at least until the final).

Recommend £20 on Abz to win it all @ 3/1 (boyles)
Also £2 each on mario @ 66/1 (betfair) and Courtney @ 80/1 (coral)

Also for the upcoming evictions -

Best prices for the next eviction are:
Courtney 7/4
Vicky 15/8
Mario 10/3
Louie 6/1
Carol 25/1

I would like to recommend £10 on Louie to go next at 6/1 (Sky bet, Boyles, Laddies, Coral, WH). Reasons have been stated above - Obnoxious, egotistical...etc which is all well and good if your entertaining at the same time - however Louie really isn't. Also, the Betfair price is a shade under 5/1 for him to be the 1st gone. Telemix have him dead last in their poll on who people want saved - (Courtney: 26%, Mario: 22%, Carol: 21%, Vicky: 17%, Louie: 14%).




Mario has absolutely zero chance.

He'd done ok in this series for a week or two, then started bitching a bit too much, and finally threw away any slim chances he had when he called the public 'stupid' repeatedly over a task where he received some criticism.

He also has been quite dull overall, and bar the courtney 'hand touching' incident from last night has done little to keep viewers intrigued.

I quite like Courtney's chances of making the final three, I backed her each way at 50's top 3 1/5 odds the other day-all about the place part.

Can't see her having quite enough support to win this but 80/1 is fair I guess.

Abz has every chance indeed after some great edits recently, however, the market reflects this and 3/1 shouldn't really be massive-he was 7/1 yesterday.

Think value boat may have sailed a touch there imo.

As for Lauren she is on a 'journey', and big bro loves those contestants. Seems a genuinely fragile person who has endeared themself to the public by perhaps just being not so hard nosed as a louis for example.

However, Louis is very marmite and will always pick up votes, I cannot see him getting the least votes tomorrow, he seems to be cheered as much as he is booed.

Those polls are always over such small samples and I'm not sure how 6/1 is value when he has such a solid fanbase and only needs to finish 4/5 in the phone vote to survive.

At around the 8/1 mark he was yesterday I could have been tempted, 6/1 seems to reflect his chances accurately now.

Vicky made her attempt to shine last night by clashing with Charlotte, but it's prob too late for her and the Geordie herself seems to have thrown a wobbly that could scupper her own chances.

Would defer to Lord Chompster over these matters as always, but feel with 2 of the suggested bets we are just punting on huge rags that surely haven't got the overall support to win, and with the Abz bet we are arriving way after the value party has started.

Out of all your fancies i'd say Louis@6/1 is the closest to a value punt in that it really is an eviction gimme.

Any of 4 could realistically leave with Carol nailed on safe and thus 6/1 in a 4 horse race seems ok.



« Last Edit: September 10, 2013, 12:44:36 PM by Nico29 » Logged
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