Tips for Tikay

[Bad Beat]

 I quite like those Eagles prices and I agree that the Bengals lost and still had a great week. They are now a 7 point fav over the Steelers this week.

 I thought this piece on not getting carried away by early season stuff was good though...

 http://thebiglead.com/2013/09/09/keith-olbermann-discussing-super-bowl-predictions-finally-makes-super-bowl-predictions-worth-discussing/#

[tikay]

I quite like those Eagles prices and I agree that the Bengals lost and still had a great week. They are now a 7 point fav over the Steelers this week.

 I thought this piece on not getting carried away by early season stuff was good though...

 http://thebiglead.com/2013/09/09/keith-olbermann-discussing-super-bowl-predictions-finally-makes-super-bowl-predictions-worth-discussing/#

Thanks Neil.

Fred is not on, but I took a small interest in the Eagles to win Division, & Superbowl, & hope to get a bit of a sweat.

[tikay]

Dom,

Thanks for the CBB analysis.

I'm totally at sea with that stuff.

[Nico29]

Dom,

Thanks for the CBB analysis.

I'm totally at sea with that stuff.

Wish I was, need to stop watching all this rubbish!

[horseplayer]

It appears even Chompy is bored with it

Must be bad

[tikay]

It appears even Chompy is bored with it

Must be bad

Glory be, we may yet be saved from the nut thread derail of all time.

[Marky147]

Dom,

Thanks for the CBB analysis.

I'm totally at sea with that stuff.

Wish I was, need to stop watching all this rubbish!

I've done a complete about turn with reality tv shows...

I used to watch all of them, but would never bet. Now I watch none of them, and bet them all

[rfgqqabc]

I quite like those Eagles prices and I agree that the Bengals lost and still had a great week. They are now a 7 point fav over the Steelers this week.

 I thought this piece on not getting carried away by early season stuff was good though...

 http://thebiglead.com/2013/09/09/keith-olbermann-discussing-super-bowl-predictions-finally-makes-super-bowl-predictions-worth-discussing/#

Thanks Neil.

Fred is not on, but I took a small interest in the Eagles to win Division, & Superbowl, & hope to get a bit of a sweat.

50/1 with Bwin looks like a price worth taking for Fred.

[Omm]

Celebrity Big Brother for you all.

Mario - Can back him at 66/1 on bet fair at the minute with the bookies pricing him anywhere between 50/1 and 20/1. I think he's given a really good account of himself and his personality here is in complete contrast to his scripted one on TOWIE. He's pretty entertaining, straight up with people and seems like a geniunally nice guy. Can see him doing real well however may need to do something in the next few days to get a few more people to pick up their phones for him to win it all.

Really don't understand why Lauren Is 2/1 and under. I can see she can be really entertaining sometimes, however I find her pretty annoying and frustrating to watch. I first looked at the prices yesterday I was really shocked to see she was as short as she was.  

Charlotte was who I thought would be favourite and 11/4 best price I can understand. Shes silly, she's funny, she's disgusting, she's naive, to be totally honest I think she's brilliant. I do however understand that there will be some people whose votes she cant win over because as Vicky put it last night 'Shes famous for being a slag in Newcastle getting pissed all the time' - which I guess some people will not be able to overlook.  

Carol is 5/1 best price to be crowned CBB champion. This would have looked massive before however I do feel she's given a pretty poor account of herself over the last few days and to be honest she's starting to become really annoying. I don't even think she'll make the final if she carries on like she has been, whereas before - she would be have been a cert.

Can't stand Louie think he should be much longer than 20/1. He's a really obnoxious guy with a massive ego. Pretty sure everybody sees him as that.

Over the last week or so Vicky has become much more entertaining. This - coupled with her Coro fan base (which im pretty sure will be massive) should help her do well - probably better than she should do. I can see her finishing around 7th and think that 33/1 probably reflects her true chances of winning.

Abz is currently 3/1 best price and this seems massive. Everyone in the house (other than Charlotte) really gets on with him, and he's the nicest guy in there. From the publics point of view he's a bit of a 'loner' but really interesting and entertaining. If he keeps being himself then I can't see him not being the overwhelming favourite come the final. 3/1 is massive!

Finally Courtney. If you take the 80/1 best price for her, and couple it with the boos she got on the last eviction day when her name was said - you'd think she has no chance. However take into account that the crowd on the live CBB evictions are only a really small sample of the public and the telemix poll about the upcoming eviction - which has her as the people's #1 to stay this eviction day (closely followed by mario), it gives hope. Also factor in that she causes a lot controversy - I really would not be surprised to see her stay a while (at least until the final).

Recommend £20 on Abz to win it all @ 3/1 (boyles)
Also £2 each on mario @ 66/1 (betfair) and Courtney @ 80/1 (coral)

Also for the upcoming evictions -

Best prices for the next eviction are:
Courtney 7/4
Vicky 15/8
Mario 10/3
Louie 6/1
Carol 25/1

I would like to recommend £10 on Louie to go next at 6/1 (Sky bet, Boyles, Laddies, Coral, WH). Reasons have been stated above - Obnoxious, egotistical...etc which is all well and good if your entertaining at the same time - however Louie really isn't. Also, the Betfair price is a shade under 5/1 for him to be the 1st gone. Telemix have him dead last in their poll on who people want saved - (Courtney: 26%, Mario: 22%, Carol: 21%, Vicky: 17%, Louie: 14%).

Mario has absolutely zero chance.

He'd done ok in this series for a week or two, then started bitching a bit too much, and finally threw away any slim chances he had when he called the public 'stupid' repeatedly over a task where he received some criticism.

He also has been quite dull overall, and bar the courtney 'hand touching' incident from last night has done little to keep viewers intrigued.

I quite like Courtney's chances of making the final three, I backed her each way at 50's top 3 1/5 odds the other day-all about the place part.

Can't see her having quite enough support to win this but 80/1 is fair I guess.

Abz has every chance indeed after some great edits recently, however, the market reflects this and 3/1 shouldn't really be massive-he was 7/1 yesterday.

Think value boat may have sailed a touch there imo.

As for Lauren she is on a 'journey', and big bro loves those contestants. Seems a genuinely fragile person who has endeared themself to the public by perhaps just being not so hard nosed as a louis for example.

However, Louis is very marmite and will always pick up votes, I cannot see him getting the least votes tomorrow, he seems to be cheered as much as he is booed.

Those polls are always over such small samples and I'm not sure how 6/1 is value when he has such a solid fanbase and only needs to finish 4/5 in the phone vote to survive.

At around the 8/1 mark he was yesterday I could have been tempted, 6/1 seems to reflect his chances accurately now.

Vicky made her attempt to shine last night by clashing with Charlotte, but it's prob too late for her and the Geordie herself seems to have thrown a wobbly that could scupper her own chances.

Would defer to Lord Chompster over these matters as always, but feel with 2 of the suggested bets we are just punting on huge rags that surely haven't got the overall support to win, and with the Abz bet we are arriving way after the value party has started.

Out of all your fancies i'd say Louis@6/1 is the closest to a value punt in that it really is an eviction gimme.

Any of 4 could realistically leave with Carol nailed on safe and thus 6/1 in a 4 horse race seems ok.

Agree that the value for Abz has gone, got him at 16 at the start and then I am sure he hit 20 last week so to take him at 3 is crazy and really it's still quite open between the top 3, I would say Lauren is up there because she genuinely wants to win, where as all the others have said they couldn't care. Lauren has a need to be accepted by people and it shows in the editing they have done. My advice would be steer clear the value ship has sailed and the evictions are too close to call.

[the sicilian]

Dom,

Thanks for the CBB analysis.

I'm totally at sea with that stuff.

Wish I was, need to stop watching all this rubbish!

I've done a complete about turn with reality tv shows...

I used to watch all of them, but would never bet. Now I watch none of them, and bet them all

Cant watch this things..they are purile and examples of all that is bad in so called televisual entertainment...cheap to make money spinners filled with desperate performing monkeys for the drooling herd.. there i said it

[Nico29]

I like a small wager for the England match tonight, if only for the free bet concession, which is a decent 9/5 shot to happen.

Betfair Sportsbook offer refunds of up to £25 (as a free bet) on their first goalscorer market for the first bet you place, (not the Exchange-the Sportsbook)-if England win.

Was listening to some experts discussing the game and they all felt the way to really hurt Ukraine was with pace, a cliche perhaps but they universally felt it was the Ukrainian's potential weakness.

We only have one real offensive weapon there, Walcott.

He's 8/1 to score first with betfair sportsbook which is only slightly less than the machine 10.0, and near the best price on the high street (17/2), he's as low as 13/2 in places.

4 of his 5 international goals have come away from these shores and I just feel he's value to score when we play the counter attack option.

I still can't get his hat-trick away to Croatia in 2008 out of my mind myself, and have even punted a repeat@100's.

But meh back to the serious stuff, think this is a decent bet with a nice concession, and for a small stake a nice sweat.

Recommend-£25 Theo Walcott first goalscorer@8-1 with Betfair Sportsbook.

[tikay]

I quite like those Eagles prices and I agree that the Bengals lost and still had a great week. They are now a 7 point fav over the Steelers this week.

 I thought this piece on not getting carried away by early season stuff was good though...

 http://thebiglead.com/2013/09/09/keith-olbermann-discussing-super-bowl-predictions-finally-makes-super-bowl-predictions-worth-discussing/#

Thanks Neil.

Fred is not on, but I took a small interest in the Eagles to win Division, & Superbowl, & hope to get a bit of a sweat.

50/1 with Bwin looks like a price worth taking for Fred.

Why not. Cant be THAT bad value, can it?

Thanks.

We have £20 @ 50/1, BWin, Philly Eagles to win Superbowl.

ON

Super Bowl XLVIII - Winner
 Super Bowl - Outright winner
Pick: Philadelphia Eagles51.00




 Total stake 20.00 GBP

Possible winnings1020.00 GBP

[tikay]

I like a small wager for the England match tonight, if only for the free bet concession, which is a decent 9/5 shot to happen.

Betfair Sportsbook offer refunds of up to £25 (as a free bet) on their first goalscorer market for the first bet you place, (not the Exchange-the Sportsbook)-if England win.

Was listening to some experts discussing the game and they all felt the way to really hurt Ukraine was with pace, a cliche perhaps but they universally felt it was the Ukrainian's potential weakness.

We only have one real offensive weapon there, Walcott.

He's 8/1 to score first with betfair sportsbook which is only slightly less than the machine 10.0, and near the best price on the high street (17/2), he's as low as 13/2 in places.

4 of his 5 international goals have come away from these shores and I just feel he's value to score when we play the counter attack option.

I still can't get his hat-trick away to Croatia in 2008 out of my mind myself, and have even punted a repeat@100's.

But meh back to the serious stuff, think this is a decent bet with a nice concession, and for a small stake a nice sweat.

Recommend-£25 Theo Walcott first goalscorer@8-1 with Betfair Sportsbook.

Thanks Dom. With the concession, HAS to be value, surely?

We have £25 @ 8/1, Theo Walcott FGS @ 8/1, Betfair Sportsbook, Money Back as a Free Bet if England win. Almost Win Win if I read it right?

ON


Ukraine v England
Theo Walcott8/1  £225.00
Max £313.00 First Goalscorer    Suspended Stake Removed Bet Ref: O/0140260/0000004

[Nico29]

Without the free bet option it's def up for debate if it's value, I love it as a bet- some might not.

However, with the free bet concession it's clearly at least a smidgen of value.

Go Theo!

[Doobs]

Choo Choo, after a short period in the sidings, the money train is back on the tracks.

14.20 Raize your Gaze 100/30
14.50 Talented Kid Evens
15.50 Nautilus 7/4
16.50 Rocky Ground 7/4

£25 each Hills Mobile If you have £100 burning a hole in your pocket.  The 2nd and 3rd can be backed on Ladbrokes for the same price if you want to spread the bets.