Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

Bugger.

[Doobs]

Looks like Snedeker is certain leader on day 1. 

[Tonji]

Vuelta update.

15 points separating Edet, Ratto and Txurruka in the KOM classification. 2 Cat 3 climbs tomorrow excluding the finish, plus plenty of points available on the way to the iconic Angliru finish on Saturday. Txurruka had a hard day today coming in 7th on the stage. But seems to be up for each mornings fight to get in the breaks. Sweat still on, but a tough ask.

[aaron1867]

Small fields at Doncaster tomorrow in the first 5, seems a lot of value for a bet and the free bet offer. Think best bet is to get bets on early as possible in the morning

Nearly using Doobs' theory of backing the fav

1.40 Wind Fire 7/2

2.10 Shwaiman 11/4

2.40 High Jinx 9/4 (joint favourite, but think ground and distance will suit better)

3.15 Ihtimal 7/4 (FWIW, which doesn't mean much, this is my Nap)

3.50 Be Ready is 6/4, but was 7/4. But I prefer a horse that beat it called Barley Mow at 2/1, seems looking at each run that there isn't as much as the market suggests between them, so prefer 2nd fav.

All £25 on Hills mobile. I wouldn't put this many up, but seems foolish not to when fields are no bigger than 8.

[Doobs]

Small fields at Doncaster tomorrow in the first 5, seems a lot of value for a bet and the free bet offer. Think best bet is to get bets on early as possible in the morning

Nearly using Doobs' theory of backing the fav

1.40 Wind Fire 7/2

2.10 Shwaiman 11/4

2.40 High Jinx 9/4 (joint favourite, but think ground and distance will suit better)

3.15 Ihtimal 7/4 (FWIW, which doesn't mean much, this is my Nap)

3.50 Be Ready is 6/4, but was 7/4. But I prefer a horse that beat it called Barley Mow at 2/1, seems looking at each run that there isn't as much as the market suggests between them, so prefer 2nd fav.

All £25 on Hills mobile. I wouldn't put this many up, but seems foolish not to when fields are no bigger than 8.

I don't think it matters much in the 3.50, but Ladbrokes are 9/4 Barley Mow.  Given that is best price it may be a better bet than the other.  Be Ready started in a different (listed) race.

[aaron1867]

Yeah I've read it wrong. 9/4 does seem big to me at this moment, for me the most interesting race of the card

[tikay]

Small fields at Doncaster tomorrow in the first 5, seems a lot of value for a bet and the free bet offer. Think best bet is to get bets on early as possible in the morning

Nearly using Doobs' theory of backing the fav

1.40 Wind Fire 7/2

2.10 Shwaiman 11/4

2.40 High Jinx 9/4 (joint favourite, but think ground and distance will suit better)

3.15 Ihtimal 7/4 (FWIW, which doesn't mean much, this is my Nap)

3.50 Be Ready is 6/4, but was 7/4. But I prefer a horse that beat it called Barley Mow at 2/1, seems looking at each run that there isn't as much as the market suggests between them, so prefer 2nd fav.

All £25 on Hills mobile. I wouldn't put this many up, but seems foolish not to when fields are no bigger than 8.

I don't think it matters much in the 3.50, but Ladbrokes are 9/4 Barley Mow.  Given that is best price it may be a better bet than the other.  Be Ready started in a different (listed) race.

CURRENT prices are.....

Barley Mow - 9/4 with BOTH Ladbrokes & Wm Hill. Have already got this one on with Ladbrokes, but as yet, not backed the others.

1.40 (Wind Fire ) 3/1 Lads, 7/2 Wm Hill

2.10 (Shwaiman) 5/2 Lads, 2/1 Wm Hill

2.40 (High Jinx) BOTH go 9/4

3.15 (Ihtimal) BOTH go 7/4

3.50, (Barley Mow) BOTH go 9/4, we are on with Ladbrokes.

I think the price disccrepancies between the 2 Firms in the 1.40 & 2.10 means we ought to get on now, so that is 3 of the 5, & I guess we may as well go the whole hog. If anyone disagrees, shout quickly please. I'm lightning fast. 

[tikay]

I've placed ALL those Doncaster "Offer" Bets.

It feels a bit wrong, instinctively, backing 5 straight races, I don't want to be Mr Ice Cream in the Ladbrokes shop, pencil behind ear, punting every race, or EsoWalsall, but this card looks tailor made for the "Money Back if 2nd Offers", especially as the prices we have taken are all odds against by some way, so there seems to be exceptional value today.

I wonder how we'll feel after the 5 races? For now, £125 has been invested.

[TightEnd]

Daily Reports

Profit on Month £995.56

Outstanding Bets £3110.90

Free bets to use TWO, Ladbrokes and William Hill

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=29

A profit of £17 yesterday thanks to The Lark's comfortable victory in the Park Hill which produced a profit of £100 with two seperate bets placed

Offsetting this were two horse losers and Huddersfield losing to Wigan in the RL play-offs, a game in which Huddersfield most definitely handled the wet conditions far worse than Wigan and looked like losing from half time onwards

In baseball overnight the Wild card race tightened up again. The Rays got a much needed win over the Red Sox, the Yankees beat the Orioles and the Indians thrashed the White Sox

Rangers 81-64
Rays 79-66
------------
Yankees 79-68
Indians 78-68
Royals 77-69
Orioles 77-69

If you really want to get into scenario analysis, then get your chops around this

http://mlb.si.com/2013/09/12/al-wild-card-race-rays-yankees-orioles-royals-indians-team-entropy/?sct=mlb_wr_a1

When baseball does stats, it does stats.


In golf's BMW we have three Golfers and one, Brandt Snedeker leads after one round after a -8 63. A 50-1 Weekend sweat would be great. Donald -1 T18 and Speith E T29 not yet in contention

In cricket were are in "well you never know" country as Chris Rogers is 67* overnight at Lords on a flat pitch and amazingly after two months out of county cricket in with a slim chance of landing a bet. Big hundreds needed

Katich "only" scored 56 yesterday for Lancs and is currently 4th in the LVCC2 Div 2 Runs bet, but has batted 16 innings compared to 24+ for the three players above him. A shoo-in winner if he'd played the volume of games required on this season's form. C'est la vie

In the middle of the night our time the Patriots bat the Jets 13-10 in a poor game in Foxboro. Most of Tom Brady's offsensive weapons are injured, left for Denver or facing a life sentence in jail and this is the poorest Patriots offense for many years.

The significance of this? Well we have Miami at 9-2 to win one of the poorest divisions in the league the AFC East. The schedulers have so far been kind to the Pats, they've faced one bad QB and one rookie QB on below average teams in the first two weeks

Elsewhere in the division the Bills have a rookie QB, and then there is Miami with no offense, but a very good defense. Miami are at the Colts on Sunday

In a bigger picture the AFC is far weaker in depth than the NFC. Only the Broncos and the Texans are demonstrably top teams and for the AFC itself prices now are

Denver 2-1
Patriots 7-2
Texans 6-1
Bengals 12-1

Buillding up to another busy weekend. Counting up we have 32 positions playing or to be settled before Sunday. Better get the pencil sharpened for note taking!

[tikay]

Tighty, or other NFL-ers.....

The Daily Report said.....


"....In the middle of the night our time the Patriots bat the Jets 13-10 in a poor game in Foxboro. Most of Tom Brady's offsensive weapons are injured, left for Denver or facing a life sentence in jail and this is the poorest Patriots offense for many years.

The significance of this? Well we have Miami at 9-2 to win one of the poorest divisions in the league the AFC East. The schedulers have so far been kind to the Pats, they've faced one bad QB and one rookie QB on below average teams in the first two weeks...."

The current prices for AFC East are 1/4 Patriots, 5/1 Miami. How so?


http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/afc-east/winner

[TightEnd]

The Lark wins the Park Hill

Click to see full-size image.

You wouldn't be happy if you had receivers that can't catch



Sp, you win again, yes you win again.(c, Hot Chocolate)

Click to see full-size image.

Its the hope that kills you....

Click to see full-size image.

A rare shot of Huddersfield holding onto the ball last night

Click to see full-size image.

Ouch

Click to see full-size image.

[the sicilian]

Daily Reports

Profit on Month £995.56

Outstanding Bets £3110.90

Free bets to use TWO, Ladbrokes and William Hill

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=29

A profit of £17 yesterday thanks to The Lark's comfortable victory in the Park Hill which produced a profit of £100 with two seperate bets placed

Offsetting this were two horse losers and Huddersfield losing to Wigan in the RL play-offs, a game in which Huddersfield most definitely handled the wet conditions far worse than Wigan and looked like losing from half time onwards

In baseball overnight the Wild card race tightened up again. The Rays got a much needed win over the Red Sox, the Yankees beat the Orioles and the Indians thrashed the White Sox

Rangers 81-64
Rays 79-66
------------
Yankees 79-68
Indians 78-68
Royals 77-69
Orioles 77-69

If you really want to get into scenario analysis, then get your chops around this

http://mlb.si.com/2013/09/12/al-wild-card-race-rays-yankees-orioles-royals-indians-team-entropy/?sct=mlb_wr_a1

When baseball does stats, it does stats.


In golf's BMW we have three Golfers and one, Brandt Snedeker leads after one round after a -8 63. A 50-1 Weekend sweat would be great. Donald -1 T18 and Speith E T29 not yet in contention

In cricket were are in "well you never know" country as Chris Rogers is 67* overnight at Lords on a flat pitch and amazingly after two months out of county cricket in with a slim chance of landing a bet. Big hundreds needed

Katich "only" scored 56 yesterday for Lancs and is currently 4th in the LVCC2 Div 2 Runs bet, but has batted 16 innings compared to 24+ for the three players above him. A shoo-in winner if he'd played the volume of games required on this season's form. C'est la vie

In the middle of the night our time the Patriots bat the Jets 13-10 in a poor game in Foxboro. Most of Tom Brady's offsensive weapons are injured, left for Denver or facing a life sentence in jail and this is the poorest Patriots offense for many years.

The significance of this? Well we have Miami at 9-2 to win one of the poorest divisions in the league the AFC East. The schedulers have so far been kind to the Pats, they've faced one bad QB and one rookie QB on below average teams in the first two weeks

Elsewhere in the division the Bills have a rookie QB, and then there is Miami with no offense, but a very good defense. Miami are at the Colts on Sunday

In a bigger picture the AFC is far weaker in depth than the NFC. Only the Broncos and the Texans are demonstrably top teams and for the AFC itself prices now are

Denver 2-1
Patriots 7-2
Texans 6-1
Bengals 12-1

Buillding up to another busy weekend. Counting up we have 32 positions playing or to be settled before Sunday. Better get the pencil sharpened for note taking!

watched the game last...had the Jets +12 and +15.5 in running....right about the patriots and I wonder if the bookies will still be deluded they are a 35 point a game offense..be interesting on the spreads and over and under in the next couple of games..jets rookie qb was holding the ball far too long and with a deese defence i like the unders in games there involved in

[TightEnd]

Tighty, or other NFL-ers.....

The Daily Report said.....


"....In the middle of the night our time the Patriots bat the Jets 13-10 in a poor game in Foxboro. Most of Tom Brady's offsensive weapons are injured, left for Denver or facing a life sentence in jail and this is the poorest Patriots offense for many years.

The significance of this? Well we have Miami at 9-2 to win one of the poorest divisions in the league the AFC East. The schedulers have so far been kind to the Pats, they've faced one bad QB and one rookie QB on below average teams in the first two weeks...."

The current prices for AFC East are 1/4 Patriots, 5/1 Miami. How so?


http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/afc-east/winner

because there is no faith in Miami. Looks a poor division but I think we have a sweat.

The Pats will get some players back (Amendola, Gronkowski) but the schedule will get harder. Very forutnate to be playing the Bills and Jets the first two weeks

[TightEnd]

1.40 (Wind Fire ) 3/1 Lads, 7/2 Wm Hill

2.10 (Shwaiman) 5/2 Lads, 2/1 Wm Hill

2.40 (High Jinx) BOTH go 9/4

3.15 (Ihtimal) BOTH go 7/4


All on with William Hill?

what prices for the first two please?

[tikay]

1.40 (Wind Fire ) 3/1 Lads, 7/2 Wm Hill

2.10 (Shwaiman) 5/2 Lads, 2/1 Wm Hill

2.40 (High Jinx) BOTH go 9/4

3.15 (Ihtimal) BOTH go 7/4


All on with William Hill?

what prices for the first two please?

Gimme 5 minutes & I'll confirm everything.