Tips for Tikay

[Waz1892]

any french football "experts"?

St Et vs Toulouse.  You could look at this 2 ways.

2nd vs 19th.  Toulouse haven't won any game so far this season (5 games)   St Et won 4 from 5, having only let in 3 goals in those 5 games.  3/4 odds seem good to back

However upon further analysis Toulouse have had an awful fixtures, playing Monaco, Marseille (1st and 4th respectively), in fact the draw with monaco, 0-0 is the only points monaco have dropped, so is the 9/2 that is available inflated?

form/confidence leads me to think St Et are good for a cheeky £20 @ 3/4 (5/6 best with boyes)

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/france/ligue-1/st-etienne-v-toulouse/winner

I am really confused, why are we taking 3/4 if 5/6 is available?

3/4 was on hills, the. Checked odds checker. Wasn't saying take 3/4, just only see hills

[TightEnd]

any french football "experts"?

St Et vs Toulouse.  You could look at this 2 ways.

2nd vs 19th.  Toulouse haven't won any game so far this season (5 games)   St Et won 4 from 5, having only let in 3 goals in those 5 games.  3/4 odds seem good to back

However upon further analysis Toulouse have had an awful fixtures, playing Monaco, Marseille (1st and 4th respectively), in fact the draw with monaco, 0-0 is the only points monaco have dropped, so is the 9/2 that is available inflated?

form/confidence leads me to think St Et are good for a cheeky £20 @ 3/4 (5/6 best with boyes)

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/france/ligue-1/st-etienne-v-toulouse/winner

I am really confused, why are we taking 3/4 if 5/6 is available?

3/4 was on hills, the. Checked odds checker. Wasn't saying take 3/4, just only see hills

I don't understand

5/6 is the price to take, if it is a bet?

the first half of your posts seems to argue that Toulouse are under-rated (only played and lost to top teams)

then the next line switches and says back St Etienne

Yet we probably don't know much about either team, nor have seen them play, any of their players? (unless someone on the thread has)

so we basically know what the bookies know, and with this information they've priced it as you've said

so not sure what mispricing/angle there is to go on.

[BigAdz]

If you rang the Bigadz tipping line today you may well get the discontinued sound!!

GL with the Frank bet!

Just to point out our friend Mr Appleby has two runners at Wolves tonite that we have backed recently.

Khajally, out again quickly with a 5lb claimer on over same C&D, and one that Horsey suggested last week Mr Red Clubs, whom Mr A is very sweet on tonite aparently!

Not a recommend, unless Frank puts me in credit for the day

[Nico29]

Afternoon Mr T.

I would like to endorse the Tighty tip of Wasps to beat Sale tonight, 7/5 is a good price.

Incidentally for the likes of Mr Adz etc who can bet with Sky they have a great price for Adam Swift to score a try anytime for St Helens tonight. They go 7/4 when everyone else is about Evs and he is in the same kind of form as Justin Carney was, he has scored in each of his last 6 games. He is not a 1-4 shot as the Leeds defence is sound but I would have him a wee bit under evens.

What do you think of backing swift each way for first tryscorer with 365 or pads?

The former go first four and the latter the first 3, giving us 9/4 and 5/2 on him scoring a try in either the first 3 or 4 scores. The win part seems neutral enough compared to betfair, however, I know nothing about rugby, is it likely there will be a hatful of tries, meaning the place part won't be such great value?

[hector62]

I may be wrong but I would say that just anytime at the 7/4 price is best, just my gut instinct and not maths based. Of course if only the Evs was available then that would change.

[Nico29]

I may be wrong but I would say that just anytime at the 7/4 price is best, just my gut instinct and not maths based. Of course if only the Evs was available then that would change.

Of course the 7/4 sounds the best bet, unforts that's now gone 13/8 now and sky only lay peanuts-well to me anyway.

So as a value craver who appreciates your knowledge of the game with an egg, would you put me off say the 10/1 first 3 ew bet with pads?

Any feedback as always is appreciated, your bets have won me a pretty penny on here.

Edit-Just re-read your post and you only really like the anytime option.

I may mug along anyway.

[Waz1892]

any french football "experts"?

St Et vs Toulouse.  You could look at this 2 ways.

2nd vs 19th.  Toulouse haven't won any game so far this season (5 games)   St Et won 4 from 5, having only let in 3 goals in those 5 games.  3/4 odds seem good to back

However upon further analysis Toulouse have had an awful fixtures, playing Monaco, Marseille (1st and 4th respectively), in fact the draw with monaco, 0-0 is the only points monaco have dropped, so is the 9/2 that is available inflated?

form/confidence leads me to think St Et are good for a cheeky £20 @ 3/4 (5/6 best with boyes)

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/france/ligue-1/st-etienne-v-toulouse/winner

I am really confused, why are we taking 3/4 if 5/6 is available?

3/4 was on hills, the. Checked odds checker. Wasn't saying take 3/4, just only see hills

I don't understand

5/6 is the price to take, if it is a bet?

the first half of your posts seems to argue that Toulouse are under-rated (only played and lost to top teams)

then the next line switches and says back St Etienne

Yet we probably don't know much about either team, nor have seen them play, any of their players? (unless someone on the thread has)

so we basically know what the bookies know, and with this information they've priced it as you've said

so not sure what mispricing/angle there is to go on.

I sometimes go out of my depth. Ice-cream I believe it's called.

Nothing to see here... Moving along...

Don't think to the level of most on here, and look at it from a simplistic view.  Shall think before I post

[hector62]

I certainly wouldn't put you off that bet as it shouldn't be a huge try fest tonight. I certainly would chose Swift over any other player for my money, even Ryan Hall of Leeds. I will be rooting for him for the first 3 then.

[tikay]

any french football "experts"?

St Et vs Toulouse.  You could look at this 2 ways.

2nd vs 19th.  Toulouse haven't won any game so far this season (5 games)   St Et won 4 from 5, having only let in 3 goals in those 5 games.  3/4 odds seem good to back

However upon further analysis Toulouse have had an awful fixtures, playing Monaco, Marseille (1st and 4th respectively), in fact the draw with monaco, 0-0 is the only points monaco have dropped, so is the 9/2 that is available inflated?

form/confidence leads me to think St Et are good for a cheeky £20 @ 3/4 (5/6 best with boyes)

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/france/ligue-1/st-etienne-v-toulouse/winner

I am really confused, why are we taking 3/4 if 5/6 is available?

3/4 was on hills, the. Checked odds checker. Wasn't saying take 3/4, just only see hills

I don't understand

5/6 is the price to take, if it is a bet?

the first half of your posts seems to argue that Toulouse are under-rated (only played and lost to top teams)

then the next line switches and says back St Etienne

Yet we probably don't know much about either team, nor have seen them play, any of their players? (unless someone on the thread has)

so we basically know what the bookies know, and with this information they've priced it as you've said

so not sure what mispricing/angle there is to go on.

I sometimes go out of my depth. Ice-cream I believe it's called.

Nothing to see here... Moving along...

Don't think to the level of most on here, and look at it from a simplistic view.  Shall think before I post

Don't worry man, keep putting them up, it is good to discuss these things.

PS - I had sort of ignored it, as I know you are a Liverpool fan, and I think we need to be realistic.

[tikay]

Just received a message from the BigAdz tipping line.

He tells me we can't possibly miss backing Thankyou Very Much, Jamie Spencer in the 5.10 at Ayr.  It could only be more appropriate if Luca Cumani trained it.  With the free bet and the best odds guarantee with Hills Mobile, you could even make a very weak case for value, though we should probably wait for 9/2.

We should only back it on one condition, and that is that it goes down to BigAdz.  

That came in mid-nap so I missed it. My timing is improving.

I have put it down to Adz anyway.

 

[tikay]

Afternoon Mr T.

I would like to endorse the Tighty tip of Wasps to beat Sale tonight, 7/5 is a good price.

Incidentally for the likes of Mr Adz etc who can bet with Sky they have a great price for Adam Swift to score a try anytime for St Helens tonight. They go 7/4 when everyone else is about Evs and he is in the same kind of form as Justin Carney was, he has scored in each of his last 6 games. He is not a 1-4 shot as the Leeds defence is sound but I would have him a wee bit under evens.

Afternoon hector, & thanks.

Suggested by Tighty, backed up by the Milkman. How can we lose?

I'll look at that Adam Swift thing shortly. Doubt I'll get on with PP though.

We have £20 @ 11/8, BetFred, Wasps over Sale.

ON

Bet placed, its reference is 178/191
 
Bet ref: 178/191 £20.00 Single

Sale Sharks v London Wasps
80 Minute Betting
London Wasps

11/8

 Total stake

£ 20.00

Estimated return

£ 47.50

Full stake

£ 20.00

Full estimated return

£ 47.50

[Omm]

I meant to ask earlier, did anyone get any of the 5 places on the Tour Championship golf with Sky.  I know it wasn't there the day after.

I also managed to get some of that 5/1 with Paddy Power Tiger Woods with money back if 2nd.  That didn't go so well, though he is a respectable 29th...

They certainly took it off quick, got on Scott, Stenson and Furyk as they were best prices, might work out nicely.

[doubleup]

I meant to ask earlier, did anyone get any of the 5 places on the Tour Championship golf with Sky.  I know it wasn't there the day after.

I also managed to get some of that 5/1 with Paddy Power Tiger Woods with money back if 2nd.  That didn't go so well, though he is a respectable 29th...

They certainly took it off quick, got on Scott, Stenson and Furyk as they were best prices, might work out nicely.

Baldfred also went top 5 - or so their spam email said.  In the header "5 places" - in the text the rather odd "up to 5 places" and on their site?  Quite clearly 4 places....

[tikay]

I meant to ask earlier, did anyone get any of the 5 places on the Tour Championship golf with Sky.  I know it wasn't there the day after.

I also managed to get some of that 5/1 with Paddy Power Tiger Woods with money back if 2nd.  That didn't go so well, though he is a respectable 29th...

They certainly took it off quick, got on Scott, Stenson and Furyk as they were best prices, might work out nicely.

Baldfred also went top 5 - or so their spam email said.  In the header "5 places" - in the text the rather odd "up to 5 places" and on their site?  Quite clearly 4 places....

Ooh, very good.

[Tal]

I meant to ask earlier, did anyone get any of the 5 places on the Tour Championship golf with Sky.  I know it wasn't there the day after.

I also managed to get some of that 5/1 with Paddy Power Tiger Woods with money back if 2nd.  That didn't go so well, though he is a respectable 29th...

They certainly took it off quick, got on Scott, Stenson and Furyk as they were best prices, might work out nicely.

Baldfred also went top 5 - or so their spam email said.  In the header "5 places" - in the text the rather odd "up to 5 places" and on their site?  Quite clearly 4 places....

Ooh, very good.

Just pick the winner