Tips for Tikay

[Ant040689]

Suggest Bromley e/w top 3 places at fifth odds at 6/1 to win the Conference South with Paddy Power.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/non-league/conference-south/winner

They are 4 points clear at the top with a game in hand over second, and 9 points clear of Sutton United in fourth who Bromley have played two games more than.

http://www.footballwebpages.co.uk/confsouth

They have dropped points in 4 games with 3 losses 1 draw and 10 wins. 3 of those losses away to the 3 other teams in the top 4. Of those games, which i saw the extended highlights of, only one of them, the loss to Eastleigh (outright favs for the league) was a fair result, the other two should have fallen to Bromley, or at the least a draw, with a few one on one chances they scuppered, and just generally dominating play but being unlucky. The draw they suffered was a 1-1 where the oppo scored in the dying minutes, and they had dominated that game. At home they have a 100% record in the league, 7 in 7 scoring 26 conceding 5, average nearly 4 goals a game there.

Their goal difference is +22 scoring on average 2.4 goals a game, in comparison the next best is +14 but that is an outlier in itself, and of the successful teams +8 is the standard.

They have Bradley Goldberg up front that is on fire, scored a hat trick in his last game with the first goal being an absolute belter. 16 secs in...



they go onto with 5-0

Goldberg has 10 goals in 14 games and is the league's top goalscorer. They have the other striker in Pierre Joseph-Dubois with 6 too.

They had a poor season of last which is why the bookies are underrating them, plus their finances are tight meaning they had to get rid of a couple of players, but have won their last three despite that.

As I have said their record could easily state 13 wins and 1 loss, but they are still up at 6/1 for the league. I think they have the staying power to make 6/5 for a top 3 finish a legitimately good value bet.

Suggest the max you would want on that would be good for not annoying the bookies, perhaps £20 ew?

[horseplayer]

Shots update

Schelmzer 2 (50's shot!)
Subotic 1 (66's shot!)
Jacob B 2
Henrikh Mkhitaryan 2
Lewandowski
Reus 1

[BigAdz]

Shots update

Schelmzer 2 (50's shot!)
Subotic 1 (66's shot!)
Jacob B 2
Henrikh Mkhitaryan 2
Lewandowski
Reus 1

Ramsey   1

Probably helps you!

[tikay]

Suggest Bromley e/w top 3 places at fifth odds at 6/1 to win the Conference South with Paddy Power.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/non-league/conference-south/winner

They are 4 points clear at the top with a game in hand over second, and 9 points clear of Sutton United in fourth who Bromley have played two games more than.
http://www.footballwebpages.co.uk/confsouth

They have dropped points in 4 games with 3 losses 1 draw and 10 wins. 3 of those losses away to the 3 other teams in the top 4. Of those games, which i saw the extended highlights of, only one of them, the loss to Eastleigh (outright favs for the league) was a fair result, the other two should have fallen to Bromley, or at the least a draw, with a few one on one chances they scuppered, and just generally dominating play but being unlucky. The draw they suffered was a 1-1 where the oppo scored in the dying minutes, and they had dominated that game. At home they have a 100% record in the league, 7 in 7 scoring 26 conceding 5, average nearly 4 goals a game there.

Their goal difference is +22 scoring on average 2.4 goals a game, in comparison the next best is +14 but that is an outlier in itself, and of the successful teams +8 is the standard.

They have Bradley Goldberg up front that is on fire, scored a hat trick in his last game with the first goal being an absolute belter. 16 secs in...



they go onto with 5-0

Goldberg has 10 goals in 14 games and is the league's top goalscorer. They have the other striker in Pierre Joseph-Dubois with 6 too.

They had a poor season of last which is why the bookies are underrating them, plus their finances are tight meaning they had to get rid of a couple of players, but have won their last three despite that.

As I have said their record could easily state 13 wins and 1 loss, but they are still up at 6/1 for the league. I think they have the staying power to make 6/5 for a top 3 finish a legitimately good value bet.

Suggest the max you would want on that would be good for not annoying the bookies, perhaps £20 ew?

Thanks ant.

Any idea why the price is so big?

[Tal]

Shots update

Schelmzer 2 (50's shot!)
Subotic 1 (66's shot!)
Jacob B 2
Henrikh Mkhitaryan 2
Lewandowski
Reus 1

Ramsey  Arsenal  1

Probably helps you!

Fml

[horseplayer]

Shots update

Schelmzer 3 (50's shot!)
Ramsey 2
Subotic 1 (66's shot!)
Jacob B 2
Henrikh Mkhitaryan 2
Lewandowski 1
Giroud 1
Reus 1

Reus takes an air shot from 5 yards

[BigAdz]

Shots update

Schelmzer 2 (50's shot!)
Subotic 1 (66's shot!)
Jacob B 2
Henrikh Mkhitaryan 2
Lewandowski
Reus 1

Ramsey  Arsenal  1

Probably helps you!

Fml

Its a different level of football in the CL Tal.

If your team keeps progressing you should find out in about 3 years.

[horseplayer]

whoscored.com have

Total Shots      
Borussia DortmundMarcel Schmelzer (DL)   
3
Borussia DortmundMarco Reus (AML)   
3
Borussia DortmundJakub Blaszczykowski (AMR)   
2
Borussia DortmundHenrikh Mkhitaryan (AMC)   
2
ArsenalAaron Ramsey (DMC)   
2

which is pleasing presumably i missed some

[BigAdz]

Must have included that dreadful through ball couple of mins ago.lol

[tikay]

whoscored.com have

Total Shots      
Borussia DortmundMarcel Schmelzer (DL)   
3
Borussia DortmundMarco Reus (AML)   
3
Borussia DortmundJakub Blaszczykowski (AMR)   
2
Borussia DortmundHenrikh Mkhitaryan (AMC)   
2
ArsenalAaron Ramsey (DMC)   
2

which is pleasing presumably i missed some

BETTER

[horseplayer]

reus subbed

[horseplayer]

Total Shots      
Borussia DortmundMarco Reus (AML)   
4
Borussia DortmundMarcel Schmelzer (DL)   
3
Borussia DortmundJakub Blaszczykowski (AMR)   
2
Borussia DortmundHenrikh Mkhitaryan (AMC)   
2
ArsenalAaron Ramsey (DMC)   
2

[horseplayer]

Total Shots      
Borussia DortmundMarco Reus (AML)   
4
Borussia DortmundMarcel Schmelzer (DL)   
3
Borussia DortmundRobert Lewandowski (FW)   
3
Borussia DortmundJakub Blaszczykowski (AMR)   
2
Borussia DortmundHenrikh Mkhitaryan (AMC)   
2


we have a winner

presume the blonde massive got involved started as 2/1 fav from 4/1 when put up

It certainly was not my tenner that moved it

[BigAdz]

Total Shots      
Borussia DortmundMarco Reus (AML)   
4
Borussia DortmundMarcel Schmelzer (DL)   
3
Borussia DortmundJakub Blaszczykowski (AMR)   
2
Borussia DortmundHenrikh Mkhitaryan (AMC)   
2
ArsenalAaron Ramsey (DMC)   
2

Hahahaha. Result

Cant say I would want to rely on them again. Imagine it being clear your guy HAD won the bet and those clowns mucked it up.

Should have gone to specsavers!!

[TightEnd]

Total Shots      
Borussia DortmundMarco Reus (AML)   
4
Borussia DortmundMarcel Schmelzer (DL)   
3
Borussia DortmundRobert Lewandowski (FW)   
3
Borussia DortmundJakub Blaszczykowski (AMR)   
2
Borussia DortmundHenrikh Mkhitaryan (AMC)   
2


we have a winner

presume the blonde massive got involved started as 2/1 fav from 4/1 when put up

It certainly was not my tenner that moved it

V V Good

not sure how it won (Reus was poor), but well done!