Tips for Tikay

[sonour]

bet365 offer is back (free £50 bet) for Arsenal vs Chelsea, any thoughts on the game?

Bet365 are top price and beat Betfair on Chelsea. Can I suggest we do that for the 1st bet. The 2nd bet needs to be high odds as it is a refund on lose. So maybe a correct score in play .

You can guarantee £35-£40 by backing and then laying on Betfair but I don't think that is in the spirit of Fred is it ?

If it is I'm happy to do the calculations.

You can do the calcs for me Mrs B.

I am quite happy to bang the tiny profit and just watch the game without the side element please

Will do. I won't be able to give you the in-play bet until half time, is that ok ?

This is so nothing can happen between the back and the lay.

I'll assume a 5% commission rate on Betfair. If your rate is much lower and you want the figures running with the lower rate let me know.

Back Chelsea for £50 at 3.25 with Bet365
Lay Chelsea for £49.24 at 3.35 with Betfair
This results in a lose of £3.22.

Stand by for the half time in play bet. It will be at odds of between 7/1 and 15/1 so you will need to have £750 in you betfair account for the lay.

Adz, the Chelsea lay is now 3.3. If you can get 3.3 then the lay is £50 for a lose of £2.50.

[Tal]

Darren McFadden scores a TD for Oakland Raiders against San Diego Chargers. This means the Danny Woodhead first TD bet is dead.

Edit, the Matthews bet, too, of course.

[Tal]

....and that'd the bets on the Lions players dead, too. New York Giants score the first touchdown in that game, so bets on Bell, Bush and Fauria no good.

[Omm]

If anybody has a boyles account. Painter is ool at 9-1 to win quarter 2 in the darts. 9/2 almost everywhere else. He plays Whitlock next who is odds on fav to win but I would have it much closer than that. There figures/stats are very similar and q2 is very close in terms of who could win.

Painter has avg of 94 with a 60% checkout and not lost a set, Whitlock has avg of 96 with a 50% checkout and not lost a set. If Painter beats Whitlock he would then have to beat Burnett or White and has won q2. He was 10-1 before he won today.

[tikay]

....and that'd the bets on the Lions players dead, too. New York Giants score the first touchdown in that game, so bets on Bell, Bush and Fauria no good.

That's bad, right?

[tikay]

If anybody has a boyles account. Painter is ool at 9-1 to win quarter 2 in the darts. 9/2 almost everywhere else. He plays Whitlock next who is odds on fav to win but I would have it much closer than that. There figures/stats are very similar and q2 is very close in terms of who could win.

Painter has avg of 94 with a 60% checkout and not lost a set, Whitlock has avg of 96 with a 50% checkout and not lost a set. If Painter beats Whitlock he would then have to beat Burnett or White and has won q2. He was 10-1 before he won today.

Must have been an error, Painter now 9/2 with boyles

[Tal]

....and that'd the bets on the Lions players dead, too. New York Giants score the first touchdown in that game, so bets on Bell, Bush and Fauria no good.

That's bad, right?

Right.

[tikay]

....and that'd the bets on the Lions players dead, too. New York Giants score the first touchdown in that game, so bets on Bell, Bush and Fauria no good.

That's bad, right?

Right.

I'm getting the hang of this......

[tikay]

How are the three Tighty NFL bets going - all winning?

[sonour]

bet365 offer is back (free £50 bet) for Arsenal vs Chelsea, any thoughts on the game?

Bet365 are top price and beat Betfair on Chelsea. Can I suggest we do that for the 1st bet. The 2nd bet needs to be high odds as it is a refund on lose. So maybe a correct score in play .

You can guarantee £35-£40 by backing and then laying on Betfair but I don't think that is in the spirit of Fred is it ?

If it is I'm happy to do the calculations.

You can do the calcs for me Mrs B.

I am quite happy to bang the tiny profit and just watch the game without the side element please

Will do. I won't be able to give you the in-play bet until half time, is that ok ?

This is so nothing can happen between the back and the lay.

I'll assume a 5% commission rate on Betfair. If your rate is much lower and you want the figures running with the lower rate let me know.

Back Chelsea for £50 at 3.25 with Bet365
Lay Chelsea for £49.24 at 3.35 with Betfair
This results in a lose of £3.22.

Stand by for the half time in play bet. It will be at odds of between 7/1 and 15/1 so you will need to have £750 in you betfair account for the lay.

Adz, the Chelsea lay is now 3.3. If you can get 3.3 then the lay is £50 for a lose of £2.50.

Adz, Then at half time we will be doing something like this.

Back a correct score for £50 at Bet 365 at say 9.0
Lay that correct score for £40.20 at Betfair at say 10.0
If the back bet ( correct score ) wins you have a profit of £38.20 ( £400- £361.80 ) less the loss of £2.50 from the pre match bet (Chelsea ) for an overall profit of £35.70
If the back bet ( correct score ) loses we lose £50 at Bet365 we win our lay of £40.20 at Betfair which after commission is £38.20 for a loss of £11.80 plus the loss on the pre match bet ( Chelsea ) of £2.50 which gives a total loss of £14.30.
But we get an account credit of £50 at Bet365 for a profit of £35.70.

Caveats

The Bet365 site often crashes during this offer. I suggest you do your pre match bet now.
If the site is down it may not be possible to get your in play bet on at half time and maybe not at all in which case you will be £2.50 down from your pre match bet.

Caveat emptor.

[Tal]

How are the three Tighty NFL bets going - all winning?

Raiders and Cardinals are both level (so well within the 10 point wiggle room) and the Giants are actually winning by 10 (so whatever more than wiggle room is - samba room?)

So far so tolerable.

[hector62]

Even better news Mr T is the Ravens losing 17-0 at half time. If they lose then you will be riding the Pension Express tonight, down hill  with the wind behind you. You will be Casey Jones !

[tikay]

Even better news Mr T is the Ravens losing 17-0 at half time. If they lose then you will be riding the Pension Express tonight, down hill  with the wind behind you. You will be Casey Jones !

Really?

That the one where we have £100 @ 23/10?

Happy days! Think bobby gave us that.

We also have £50 @ 16/1 for them to win AFC North, whatever that is.

Think I'd better fire up RedZone.

[TightEnd]

We have £50 at 16-1 for them to win the AFC, the conference

Bobby1 then said a better bet was them to win the division, so we did that too

We are on the cusp of winning the latter


We are in the hunt on all 3 of mine in the fourth quarter, would take 2 out of 3 from here.

The Arizona Cardinals are a quarterback away from being a really top side.

[TightEnd]

Giants and Cardinals bets are up and in

Need a garbage time score from the Raiders for a chance at the lot