Tips for Tikay

[The Camel]

I like Brighton to win at home to Leeds on Tuesday.
Brighton's form is patchy, and their manager is under a bit of pressure, plus losing Bridcutt is a blow.
On the flip side everyone else is now fit, and they have been playing decent/creating chances, without scoring too many goals.

Leeds aren't great, and still have a bit of behind the scenes distraction.
Brighton should be odds-on (imo), and will probably be 10/11 by the off.
Currently 11/10 which is a bit of value (were 6/5 this morning which has gone now).
Recommend £30 @ 11/10 with BetThread or Lads.

Can't say I love this spot Neil.

Brighton simply not scoring enough goals and Leeds seem to have developed a siege mentality in their last two games with McCormack on fire since his infamous SKY interview.

11/10 actually looks a little on the skinny side to me.

Happy to be proved incorrect though.

[Bad Beat]

The horse runs in the Gold Cup at Leopardstown today. I will probably bet it to win this afternoon but I have backed it each-way at 50/1 for the Gold Cup. It is 48-50 on the machine and 9.0-12.5 a place so on that basis it's probably OK.

 taking today's race and thinking about the Gold Cup. I am always a layer of Tidal Bay. You could say that the Welsh National was it's best ever run and it did amazingly well conceding all that weight and only getting beaten a length. Lots of people have removed the squiggle in their minds but it's still there for me. Obviously not improving at 13.

 First Lieutenant is 5/2 today and that seems no value with a question on the ground. I'm sure it won't stay the trip in the Gold Cup and this year the owner will want this to be his main runner. 14/1 against 50/1 of our horse is mad.

 Lord Windermere is a lovely horse but it and it's stable are so out of form. Couldn't back it for today or Cheltenham.

 Roi du Mee is not good enough and ran bad last time.

 Texas Jack will probably not beat Last Instalment and may not see out the trip.

  We are left with two for today and for the Gold Cup.

 The one I like but haven't bet yet (maybe I will actually) is Last Instalment. This one is a course and distance winner that doesn't have heavy milage on the clock and will improve after a comeback following an injury. Big price today and for the Gold Cup. The doubts would be the dreaded "bounce" and it may be going to the Ryan Air rather than the Gold Cup.

 The one I have bet though is Lyreen Legend. It's got Cheltenham form as it was 2nd in the RSA behind Lord Windermere. It's still young and improving, it should come on for it's last run and if it wins here I could see it shortening up massively for the Gold Cup.

 50/1 each-way is still there with UnSportingnobet, Stalling Games, Loserbrokes, Baldfred, Winner etc. Not sure how the Magic Sign and Baldy haven't shortened it as I'm on. If you want to punish Winner then open via BettingEmporium to make Mr Beevers happy.

 Lyreen Legend ew at 50/1 for the TLDR crew.

[Doobs]

The horse runs in the Gold Cup at Leopardstown today. I will probably bet it to win this afternoon but I have backed it each-way at 50/1 for the Gold Cup. It is 48-50 on the machine and 9.0-12.5 a place so on that basis it's probably OK.

 taking today's race and thinking about the Gold Cup. I am always a layer of Tidal Bay. You could say that the Welsh National was it's best ever run and it did amazingly well conceding all that weight and only getting beaten a length. Lots of people have removed the squiggle in their minds but it's still there for me. Obviously not improving at 13.

 First Lieutenant is 5/2 today and that seems no value with a question on the ground. I'm sure it won't stay the trip in the Gold Cup and this year the owner will want this to be his main runner. 14/1 against 50/1 of our horse is mad.

 Lord Windermere is a lovely horse but it and it's stable are so out of form. Couldn't back it for today or Cheltenham.

 Roi du Mee is not good enough and ran bad last time.

 Texas Jack will probably not beat Last Instalment and may not see out the trip.

  We are left with two for today and for the Gold Cup.

 The one I like but haven't bet yet (maybe I will actually) is Last Instalment. This one is a course and distance winner that doesn't have heavy milage on the clock and will improve after a comeback following an injury. Big price today and for the Gold Cup. The doubts would be the dreaded "bounce" and it may be going to the Ryan Air rather than the Gold Cup.

 The one I have bet though is Lyreen Legend. It's got Cheltenham form as it was 2nd in the RSA behind Lord Windermere. It's still young and improving, it should come on for it's last run and if it wins here I could see it shortening up massively for the Gold Cup.

 50/1 each-way is still there with UnSportingnobet, Stalling Games, Loserbrokes, Baldfred, Winner etc. Not sure how the Magic Sign and Baldy haven't shortened it as I'm on. If you want to punish Winner then open via BettingEmporium to make Mr Beevers happy.

 Lyreen Legend ew at 50/1 for the TLDR crew.

Cheers Neil, it is available on the nanny, for those that are restricted at betdead.  Obv good computer systems thee.

[tikay]

The horse runs in the Gold Cup at Leopardstown today. I will probably bet it to win this afternoon but I have backed it each-way at 50/1 for the Gold Cup. It is 48-50 on the machine and 9.0-12.5 a place so on that basis it's probably OK.

 taking today's race and thinking about the Gold Cup. I am always a layer of Tidal Bay. You could say that the Welsh National was it's best ever run and it did amazingly well conceding all that weight and only getting beaten a length. Lots of people have removed the squiggle in their minds but it's still there for me. Obviously not improving at 13.

 First Lieutenant is 5/2 today and that seems no value with a question on the ground. I'm sure it won't stay the trip in the Gold Cup and this year the owner will want this to be his main runner. 14/1 against 50/1 of our horse is mad.

 Lord Windermere is a lovely horse but it and it's stable are so out of form. Couldn't back it for today or Cheltenham.

 Roi du Mee is not good enough and ran bad last time.

 Texas Jack will probably not beat Last Instalment and may not see out the trip.

  We are left with two for today and for the Gold Cup.

 The one I like but haven't bet yet (maybe I will actually) is Last Instalment. This one is a course and distance winner that doesn't have heavy milage on the clock and will improve after a comeback following an injury. Big price today and for the Gold Cup. The doubts would be the dreaded "bounce" and it may be going to the Ryan Air rather than the Gold Cup.

 The one I have bet though is Lyreen Legend. It's got Cheltenham form as it was 2nd in the RSA behind Lord Windermere. It's still young and improving, it should come on for it's last run and if it wins here I could see it shortening up massively for the Gold Cup.

 50/1 each-way is still there with UnSportingnobet, Stalling Games, Loserbrokes, Baldfred, Winner etc. Not sure how the Magic Sign and Baldy haven't shortened it as I'm on. If you want to punish Winner then open via BettingEmporium to make Mr Beevers happy.

 Lyreen Legend ew at 50/1 for the TLDR crew.

Thanks Neil.

Fred is ON.

Before I Post the bet, or bets, views on how much, please?

Our position is reserved @ 50/1, in two spots, BetFred (Restricted) & Ladbrokes.

We MUST make the decision "how much" before the race this afternoon though.

I've had £8 EW (Restricted to that) & £20 EW, both at 50/1, but I'll happily keep some for myself if that is too much for Fred.

[Bad Beat]

 I had a pretty decent bet. I would have thought £25 ew is fine.

[nirvana]

We MUST make the decision "how much" before the race this afternoon though.

Can't help with the decision I'm afraid but my prayers are with the people that have to

[Karabiner]

We MUST make the decision "how much" before the race this afternoon though.

Can't help with the decision I'm afraid but my prayers are with the people that have to

I'm not a fan of the beast either so it's probably nailed-on now.

[tikay]

I had a pretty decent bet. I would have thought £25 ew is fine.

Sod the tiddlearsing, we'll have the whole £28 EW then.

£8  EW (Restricted) with Betfred

£20 EW with Ladbrokes

2 BETS PLACED

[ripple11]

Cheers Neil....on today and Cheltenham

[ripple11]

Mitchell wins on the bridle

Thanks!

[Tal]

Man United 1/5 to win? Bananas.

I'm sure they'll win 8-0 now...

[Chompy]

Last Instalment deeply impressive there. Hard pressed to remember one putting in a better round of jumping.

Can we get on with Eh Tate Eight? Snap up that 18-1 for a hundo if so please.

[Chompy]

Actually, are BMU doing NRNB for the Gold Cup? If so, rec £100 win @ 12-1 with them.

[tikay]

Last Instalment deeply impressive there. Hard pressed to remember one putting in a better round of jumping.

Can we get on with Eh Tate Eight? Snap up that 18-1 for a hundo if so please.

10/1 now.......

[tikay]

Actually, are BMU doing NRNB for the Gold Cup? If so, rec £100 win @ 12-1 with them.

@ 10/1?