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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16425979 times)
Omm
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« Reply #69360 on: February 28, 2014, 09:17:05 PM »

Hills have put on their offer for Cheltenham, same as normal, money back as free bet if horse comes second. Valid from 28th Feb. usual t and c's.

Usually Doobs puts these up on the day of the race. Is it worth getting any in now to capitalise on the prices? Champion Hurdle springs to mind?
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« Reply #69361 on: February 28, 2014, 10:30:47 PM »

WH doing refund if 2nd on all Cheltenham races if you bet by mobile.
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Bazzaboy
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« Reply #69362 on: February 28, 2014, 11:49:08 PM »

John Murray to TKO/KO John Simpson 10/11 with Lads.

Simpson is a career featherweight who was massively outgunned on his only previous fight at lightweight (2 weight divisions higher) against Tommy Coyle. He was down 3 times and although it was stopped prematurely it was clear he didn't have the strength or punching power to deal with the bigger man. Murray is on the comeback trail after two years out and will be desperate to impress to put himself right in the mix of a stacked lightweight division. He is a big lightweight and hits harder than Coyle. I expect Murray to dominate before stopping him in the mid rounds. Recommend £55.
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tikay
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« Reply #69363 on: March 01, 2014, 12:01:45 AM »

John Murray to TKO/KO John Simpson 10/11 with Lads.

Simpson is a career featherweight who was massively outgunned on his only previous fight at lightweight (2 weight divisions higher) against Tommy Coyle. He was down 3 times and although it was stopped prematurely it was clear he didn't have the strength or punching power to deal with the bigger man. Murray is on the comeback trail after two years out and will be desperate to impress to put himself right in the mix of a stacked lightweight division. He is a big lightweight and hits harder than Coyle. I expect Murray to dominate before stopping him in the mid rounds. Recommend £55.

Thanks Bazza, we have exactly that.

BET PLACED
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« Reply #69364 on: March 01, 2014, 12:31:16 AM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-1/crawley-v-peterborough/anytime-goalscorer

365 seem to have Ajose anytime at 21/10 to score anytime in Crawley V Peterborough.

He's in form and scoring and the rest of the prices look accurate around evens.

I'd go for £20 on this if you can get it.
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« Reply #69365 on: March 01, 2014, 12:51:50 AM »

February 2014  Figures

Closed bets: 88
Amount wagered: £2,778.50
Profit/loss: -£435.45
ROI: -16.01%

Number of "sports" bet on: 11
Most popular: Horses (30), Football (15),  RU (9).
Most (and only) profitable:  Misc. (£202.86), Tennis (£202.86), Cricket (£10.00)
Least profitable: RU (-£-129.00), Golf (-£116.50), Football (-£78.98)

Number of tipsters: 26 including 2 new tipsters.


Overall statistics (since February 2012)

Total closed bets: 2,900
Amount wagered: £92,553.8
Profit/loss: £3,745.62
ROI: 4.05%

Number of "sports" bet on: 30
Most popular:  Football (719), Horses(699), Golf (251), Cricket(198).

Most and least profitable sports (based on aggregate profit/loss) are:
        
Sport               Profit  Amt Bet       ROI   No.
Horses   2,174.83   23,559.52   9.23   699
Football   2,036.54   22,481.89   9.06   719
Misc.   692.05   3,028.58   22.85   75

...
[bFormula1   -383.00   824.00   -46.48   31
Basketball   -954.18   3,008.89   -31.71   74
Golf   -1,131.76   6,775.34   -16.70   251[/b]



The complete list is here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=4


Total number of tipsters: 143


Number of different bookies/exchanges/agents: 37

Most and least profitable bookies (based on aggregate profit/loss) are:
        
Bookie          Profit     Amt Bet   ROI     No.
BoyleSports   1,520.40   4,375.45   34.75   110
BetVictor   1,426.16   13,546.50   10.53   434
WilliamHill   1,286.89   15,044.66   8.55   486

...
Bwin   -346.35   2,295.00   -15.09   60
BetFred   -566.91   6,174.00   -9.18   202
Betfair   -691.72   10,403.73   -6.65   213



The complete list is here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=7


As previously posted by tikay I have archived off all the old bets as the spreadsheet was reaching the limits of what can be achieved using Google docs.
The archive can be found here:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdHVrekx6T0REUXVNOWw5YTVWa0pWZGc#gid=7
« Last Edit: March 01, 2014, 12:55:04 AM by MereNovice » Logged

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« Reply #69366 on: March 01, 2014, 01:07:07 AM »

Thanks, Mere.

So, what will Fred be doing for his 3,000th bet?
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« Reply #69367 on: March 01, 2014, 01:09:22 AM »

Thanks, Mere.

So, what will Fred be doing for his 3,000th bet?

Tiddlearsing?
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« Reply #69368 on: March 01, 2014, 01:13:17 AM »

Thanks, Mere.

So, what will Fred be doing for his 3,000th bet?

Tiddlearsing?

Triple max minimum, surely?

Considering we have Chelters and the Oscars, you'd have to think there's a chance of 100 bets this month.
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« Reply #69369 on: March 01, 2014, 01:13:38 AM »

Thanks, Mere.

So, what will Fred be doing for his 3,000th bet?

An antepost Lucky63 for Cheltenham
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MereNovice
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« Reply #69370 on: March 01, 2014, 01:47:00 AM »

Thanks, Mere.

So, what will Fred be doing for his 3,000th bet?

Tiddlearsing?

Triple max minimum, surely?

Considering we have Chelters and the Oscars, you'd have to think there's a chance of 100 bets this month.

Fred has already placed his 3000th bet.

There are 2900 closed bets.

We have 107 outstanding bets.

Bet 3000 was:

25-Feb   JoeBeevers   Coral   Nov 2014   Formula1   F1 Drivers Champion   Hamilton   3/1   30


Bet 3001 was:

25-Feb   Tal   Betfred   Nov 2014   Formula1   F1 Australian Gp   Magnussen   12/1   20

Congratulations on tipping Fred into a new millennium.
I'm very experienced in millennium software compliance and I'm happy to confirm that all software and associated processing is compliant. There will be no Fred meltdown so you can all rest easy.
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« Reply #69371 on: March 01, 2014, 01:54:25 AM »

Whoopsie! Thank you.

Good double use of tipping. Like it.

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« Reply #69372 on: March 01, 2014, 01:55:10 AM »

Whoopsie! Thank you.

Good double use of tipping. Like it.



I try my best. Smiley
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« Reply #69373 on: March 01, 2014, 02:14:48 AM »

Happy St. David's Day to all Fred's readers.
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« Reply #69374 on: March 01, 2014, 04:04:52 AM »

Hello March

Will Hill £25 mobile bets

Doncaster 2.20 Layla Joan 6/4
Newbury 2.05 Brackloon High 5/2
Newbury 2.40 Carruthers 9/4
Newbury 3.15 Tiqris 2/1
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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