Tips for Tikay

[aaron1867]

This is a bet that I'm suggesting as a max & not sure if its been discussed yet.

Hull 4/6 to beat Sheffield United in the FA Cup semi, think that price can only get smaller & the fact they are both on a level playing field at Wembley, should see Hull be good enough to beat them, this also United's best team they have faced could be said was Forest.

Expecting Hull to be full strength & to close to a final to mess it up v a very average league one team. Think 4/6 is huge & be much shorter that week!

[tikay]

Morning.

Cheltenham is here!

I'll work though yesterday's Cheltenham stuff shortly. Think the first one to look at is Adzy's suggestions from yesterday afternoon, then I'll work through the offers, & the WH Mobile stuff, plus the "timetable" of Limited Time Offers this morning (Corals, WH etc).

[tikay]

Aftertming Alert?

Cheltenham Festival Aftertming Twitter Account.......


See ChezaFezaAftertimer

@FezAftertimer

[Teacake]

Can I echo the lay of Rangers for the Scottish Cup if it's still available.    I would have Dundee United as a 2 goal fav in the semi. 

And if they somehow manage to get past the terriers then this Aberdeen team is one of the best they have had in 20 years.   

Its better than having money in the bank. 

x2

Only thing that is in Rangers favour is that the semi is at Ibrox and would most likely be a sell out however the Dundee Utd boys will run the legs off a team that has been playing in the 3rd tier all season.

[tikay]

Afternoon all.

A quick post as knackered. A few handicap snippets.


Cantlow @14s 888 first 5 looks v big, if you can get a bit on. Also amuses me to see Time for Rupert at 16s. Course and distance form and 5th in a Gold Cup, ground coming into his favour, just seems way too big when I look at some of those above him in the handicap and shorter prices.

Not a handicap but I like the 10s 1,2,3 for Doyly Carte w/o Quevega and Cockney Sparrow in the Mares

Finally have been on Manyrivers for a while, but cant resist getting stuck into Close House in the finale. Runs well round Cheltenham and form behind Tarquin de Sueil and Oscar Whiskey looks v good here. At 16s generally I wouldn't put anyone off.

I may have to eat a fair chunk of humble pie tomorrow if things go well, as Choc is on several of my fancies.....Heaven help me!!

Thanks Adzy.

Dealing with this one race at a time.

You did not suggest "how much", so I intended to vary as I see fit.

In the Handicap Chase (2.40) the only Firm I could get 5 places with was Sporting Bet, so I tried for £10 Ew - & was Restricted to £7.14 EW. (!)

Anyway, we have £7.14 EW on both selections.

2.40, Cantlow, £7.14 EW @ 14/1, (qtr odds, 5 places), Sporting Bet, Adzy

2.40, Time for Rupert, £7.14 EW @ 14/1, (qtr odds, 5 places), Sporting Bet, Adzy


Bet Type: Single
Cheltenham [14:40] 3m 1/2f Hcap Chase Cantlow14/1

 
Each Way: 1/4 1 - 5

Possible Payout 139.23 GBP

2 bets @
7.14 GBP


Bet Type: Single
Cheltenham [14:40] 3m 1/2f Hcap Chase Time For Rupert14/1

 
Each Way: 1/4 1 - 5

Possible Payout 139.23 GBP

2 bets @
7.14 GBP

2 BETS PLACED

[tikay]

Afternoon all.

A quick post as knackered. A few handicap snippets.


Cantlow @14s 888 first 5 looks v big, if you can get a bit on. Also amuses me to see Time for Rupert at 16s. Course and distance form and 5th in a Gold Cup, ground coming into his favour, just seems way too big when I look at some of those above him in the handicap and shorter prices.

Not a handicap but I like the 10s 1,2,3 for Doyly Carte w/o Quevega and Cockney Sparrow in the Mares

Finally have been on Manyrivers for a while, but cant resist getting stuck into Close House in the finale. Runs well round Cheltenham and form behind Tarquin de Sueil and Oscar Whiskey looks v good here. At 16s generally I wouldn't put anyone off.

I may have to eat a fair chunk of humble pie tomorrow if things go well, as Choc is on several of my fancies.....Heaven help me!!

I can only see Bet£3.65 offering this Market, & they will only permit me £0.63, so we've had to leave that.  

However, we can get 40/1 outright, qtr odds ew (3 places), which beats the Betfair place price (6/1) by a long way, so we've had £10 EW @ 40/1 Outright, with Betvictor. Doyly Carte would be a good nap(kin) actually.

4pm, £10 EW @ 40/1, Doyly Carte, BetVictor.

16:00DOYLY CARTE (EW)(Horse Racing Outright)Odds: 40/1 Stake: 20.00Possible Return:  520.00

BET PLACED

[tikay]

Hurricane Fly is 4/1 with Coral 8.15 tomorrow

Am logged in & ready to pounce, crisp green £5 note at the ready.

[tikay]

Hurricane Fly is 4/1 with Coral 8.15 tomorrow

We got on @ 4/1 (beats Betty) , but were Restricted to £10.

3.20, Hurricane Fly, £10 @ 4/1, Corals, Offer


Hurricane Fly4/1Hurricane Fly - Champion Hurdle - 11/03/2014


Stake £10.00

Estimated Return:£50.00

BET PLACED

[claypole]

Afternoon all.

A quick post as knackered. A few handicap snippets.


Cantlow @14s 888 first 5 looks v big, if you can get a bit on. Also amuses me to see Time for Rupert at 16s. Course and distance form and 5th in a Gold Cup, ground coming into his favour, just seems way too big when I look at some of those above him in the handicap and shorter prices.

Not a handicap but I like the 10s 1,2,3 for Doyly Carte w/o Quevega and Cockney Sparrow in the Mares

Finally have been on Manyrivers for a while, but cant resist getting stuck into Close House in the finale. Runs well round Cheltenham and form behind Tarquin de Sueil and Oscar Whiskey looks v good here. At 16s generally I wouldn't put anyone off.

I may have to eat a fair chunk of humble pie tomorrow if things go well, as Choc is on several of my fancies.....Heaven help me!!

Thanks Adzy.

Dealing with this one race at a time.

You did not suggest "how much", so I intended to vary as I see fit.

In the Handicap Chase (2.40) the only Firm I could get 5 places with was Sporting Bet, so I tried for £10 Ew - & was Restricted to £7.14 EW. (!)

Anyway, we have £7.14 EW on both selections.

2.40, Cantlow, £7.14 EW @ 14/1, (qtr odds, 5 places), Sporting Bet, Adzy

2.40, Time for Rupert, £7.14 EW @ 14/1, (qtr odds, 5 places), Sporting Bet, Adzy


Bet Type: Single
Cheltenham [14:40] 3m 1/2f Hcap Chase Cantlow14/1

 
Each Way: 1/4 1 - 5

Possible Payout 139.23 GBP

2 bets @
7.14 GBP


Bet Type: Single
Cheltenham [14:40] 3m 1/2f Hcap Chase Time For Rupert14/1

 
Each Way: 1/4 1 - 5

Possible Payout 139.23 GBP

2 bets @
7.14 GBP

2 BETS PLACED

Can back Doyle ew w/I Quevaga Tikay with paddy at 10s

[exstream]

Our Conor 11/2 with 3 bookies
Beats betfair by a decent bit

[tikay]

Afternoon all.

A quick post as knackered. A few handicap snippets.


Cantlow @14s 888 first 5 looks v big, if you can get a bit on. Also amuses me to see Time for Rupert at 16s. Course and distance form and 5th in a Gold Cup, ground coming into his favour, just seems way too big when I look at some of those above him in the handicap and shorter prices.

Not a handicap but I like the 10s 1,2,3 for Doyly Carte w/o Quevega and Cockney Sparrow in the Mares

Finally have been on Manyrivers for a while, but cant resist getting stuck into Close House in the finale. Runs well round Cheltenham and form behind Tarquin de Sueil and Oscar Whiskey looks v good here. At 16s generally I wouldn't put anyone off.

I may have to eat a fair chunk of humble pie tomorrow if things go well, as Choc is on several of my fancies.....Heaven help me!!

Thanks Adzy.

Dealing with this one race at a time.

You did not suggest "how much", so I intended to vary as I see fit.

In the Handicap Chase (2.40) the only Firm I could get 5 places with was Sporting Bet, so I tried for £10 Ew - & was Restricted to £7.14 EW. (!)

Anyway, we have £7.14 EW on both selections.

2.40, Cantlow, £7.14 EW @ 14/1, (qtr odds, 5 places), Sporting Bet, Adzy

2.40, Time for Rupert, £7.14 EW @ 14/1, (qtr odds, 5 places), Sporting Bet, Adzy


Bet Type: Single
Cheltenham [14:40] 3m 1/2f Hcap Chase Cantlow14/1

 
Each Way: 1/4 1 - 5

Possible Payout 139.23 GBP

2 bets @
7.14 GBP


Bet Type: Single
Cheltenham [14:40] 3m 1/2f Hcap Chase Time For Rupert14/1

 
Each Way: 1/4 1 - 5

Possible Payout 139.23 GBP

2 bets @
7.14 GBP

2 BETS PLACED

Can back Doyle ew w/I Quevaga Tikay with paddy at 10s

I'm probably looking at the wrong market, but W/O Quevega (but WITH Cockney Sparrow), Doyle Carte is 20/1 with PP, & we could have £5 EW if we wished.

[Doobs]

Hills Mobile etc for Cheltenham

I think we should give the 13.30 a miss for now, as Hills are rumoured to be 4/1 Irving tomorrow.  Should definitely hold our Hills powder dry for that.

14.05 I am going to be a bit contradictory here.  Hills are 3/1 Champagne Fever.  He has one twice at the festival, but has had a ropey prep.  But 3/1 is the Betfair price and we get free bet for 2nd, so we should hold our nose and bet regardless.  
I have been a fan of Dodging Bullets for a while and have an ante-post voucher.  I think the ground is coming in his favour.  Paddy Power are 6/1 and quarter first 3, both win and place beat Betfair, and definitely think we should take the max we can with Paddy Power on this.  I got maxed at £20 e/w.  I have listened to a couple of Neil's podcasts and he seems a fan of this too.  I don't think much of Grandouet or Rock and Ruby either in this race, so a 1-2 seems inevitable.

15.20  I think this race favours The New One and Hurricane Fly more than My Tent or Yours.  I can see why Neil likes Our Conor, but 3/1 Hurricane Fly or The New One is mathematically better than 5/1 Our Conor under the offer.  Unfortunately Hills are shorter than 3/1 on Hurricane Fly, so think we have to go 3/1 The New One under the offer and try and get some of the 4/1 The Fly elsewhere (for disclosure, I have backed all 3 of these ante post already).

16.00 5/6 Que Vega is a must for the offer at 5/6.

Summary

Hills Mobile
14.05 Champagne Fever 3/1
15.20 The New One 3/1
16.00 Que Vega 5/6

Paddy Power
14.05 Max we can on Dodging Bullets each way.

  

13.30 £25 Irving at 4/1, just beats Betfair and you get 2nd place free bet.

Edit.  This should be e/w Hills paying 5 places

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Loss on Month £159.97

Outstanding Bets £3967.07

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web&pli=1#gid=22


the calm before the storm...

A loss of £5 on Monday

Nadal lost in three sets in Indian Wells to Dolgopolov 6-3, 3-6, 7-6 in an unwelcome stunner for -£20

Good to soft £40 just beat Good ground -£25 for the opener at Cheltenham. No offers on the ground being changed to good before the middle of the the card today


Gallery Celtenham preview special....

[pleno1]

This is a bet that I'm suggesting as a max & not sure if its been discussed yet.

Hull 4/6 to beat Sheffield United in the FA Cup semi, think that price can only get smaller & the fact they are both on a level playing field at Wembley, should see Hull be good enough to beat them, this also United's best team they have faced could be said was Forest.

Expecting Hull to be full strength & to close to a final to mess it up v a very average league one team. Think 4/6 is huge & be much shorter that week!

Is long and jelavic cup tied?

[rfgqqabc]

The market with bet365 was right Tikay. I'm not sure about the other one but it looks a fair price to the uneducated.

Hills paying 5 places in the Supreme, I make it 15 horses under 100/1, top price on 3 out of the top 4 too. Time to get stuck in?