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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 16359552 times)
kpnuts
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KP Nuts: All Hat, No Cattle
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #70815 on:
March 12, 2014, 01:23:42 PM »
Quote from: BigAdz on March 12, 2014, 12:24:25 PM
No recommends but FWIW
Many Clouds, trainer seems luke warm. Didn't harm none yesterday, but I just keep piling in. Sometimes you just have to ignore all the experts around you and stick with your gut feel.
A few of us got on Bayan at 20s and looks to be plotted up, quite confident now.
We have 12s on Captain Conan, so lets keep our fingers crossed in the QM
Big Shu has drifted to
on WH and Im going in again.
Laugh all you like, I have been following Vandross ever since he ran with Chris Wall and I hope the strong pace of the FW sees him stay on strongly up the hill. 100-1 lol, you never know.
Both Brooky horses are plotted up today, and thankfully not with Pipe, so we know the trainers fancy them. Time will tell, but money will be on.
Hopefully the Clouds will make the Festival for me.
Pardon my ignorance but which 2 are going for 'Brooky' today? Well done on Western Warhorse!
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@kpnuts134
Doobs
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #70816 on:
March 12, 2014, 01:32:05 PM »
Quote from: arbboy on March 12, 2014, 01:18:04 PM
Is the £50 freebet with victor? if so i would recommend 2 £25 world cup outright bets Italy 28/1 and Chile 50/1 both beat the betfair price and the bigger the price on the free bet the more ev is generated long term.
Not sure if the £50 free bet can be split if so this would seem a great use of them to build up an early world cup portfolio and back large prices which are both under on bf.
I wouldn't try and split it think you'll just end up getting a £25 free bet.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
arbboy
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Posts: 13270
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #70817 on:
March 12, 2014, 01:36:55 PM »
just have £50 on chile then at 50/1.
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Doobs
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Posts: 16730
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #70818 on:
March 12, 2014, 01:39:08 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on March 12, 2014, 01:05:52 PM
Ballycasey, maybe?
we have £2.50 at 7/1 currently
Is 13/2 BMU, just shy of best price. Seems fine.
They seem to be biggest on a few in the 3.20. Bailey Green? Do we have bets on Captain Conan and Sire De Grugy already and we could cover Sizing Europe with Hills.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
TightEnd
Administrator
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #70819 on:
March 12, 2014, 01:41:04 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on March 12, 2014, 01:39:08 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on March 12, 2014, 01:05:52 PM
Ballycasey, maybe?
we have £2.50 at 7/1 currently
Is 13/2 BMU, just shy of best price. Seems fine.
They seem to be biggest on a few in the 3.20. Bailey Green? Do we have bets on Captain Conan and Sire De Grugy already and we could cover Sizing Europe with Hills.
We have
faugheen
sire d g
bigshu
ballycasey (small)
only
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web&pli=1#gid=22
is showing thread horse bets only for the afternoon
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Chompy
Hero Member
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Posts: 11503
Expert
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #70820 on:
March 12, 2014, 01:41:41 PM »
Put the £50 on MK Dons for top six in League One please, 8/1
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
Doobs
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Online
Posts: 16730
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #70821 on:
March 12, 2014, 01:52:53 PM »
Oioi
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
TightEnd
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #70822 on:
March 12, 2014, 01:55:09 PM »
Day Two Race One
Race Result
Faugheen +64.38
Day Result +64.38
Cumulative Cheltenham Result -£139.46
«
Last Edit: March 12, 2014, 01:57:17 PM by TightEnd
»
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
arbboy
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Posts: 13270
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #70823 on:
March 12, 2014, 01:56:53 PM »
there are so many easy spots to convert free bets into cash if u willing to tie up the cash laying them at the same price or slightly under on bf. Fred shouldn't ever be taking under 20/1 really for a free bet. Golfers every week are available to back and lay at the same price on bf as with firms. It convents the free bets into actual cash with 95%+ conversion rate without the worry of variance. Surely the whole point of these free bets is to convert them back to cash and doing it this way imo if far less swingy that actually punting them and actually 'sweating' realising the ev esp on things around the 8/1 -12/1 mark where you are still setting fire to a fair amount of ev compared to backing a 33/1 or 50/1 shot which is the same price on bf.
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tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #70824 on:
March 12, 2014, 02:03:48 PM »
Wow, we are ahead on the day.
Hit & run now, lets get out of here.
Well done lads.
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tikay
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #70825 on:
March 12, 2014, 02:05:22 PM »
This £50 Free Bet with BMU.
Suggestions seem to be.......
Sizing Europe
(recommended first)
Ballycasey
Chile,
World Cup.
I need you guys to make a decision for me.
Sizing E was originally suggested, I believe.
Fingers poised.......
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(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
TightEnd
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #70826 on:
March 12, 2014, 02:07:58 PM »
Quote from: tikay on March 12, 2014, 02:05:22 PM
This £50 Free Bet with BMU.
Suggestions seem to be.......
Sizing Europe
(recommended first)
Ballycasey
Chile,
World Cup.
I need you guys to make a decision for me.
Sizing E was originally suggested, I believe.
Fingers poised.......
Italy and Chile
MK Dons 8/1 Too
Ignore Ballycasey, just suggested because our position is so tiny
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
Online
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #70827 on:
March 12, 2014, 02:13:14 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on March 12, 2014, 01:41:04 PM
Quote from: Doobs on March 12, 2014, 01:39:08 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on March 12, 2014, 01:05:52 PM
Ballycasey, maybe?
we have £2.50 at 7/1 currently
Is 13/2 BMU, just shy of best price. Seems fine.
They seem to be biggest on a few in the 3.20. Bailey Green? Do we have bets on Captain Conan and Sire De Grugy already and we could cover Sizing Europe with Hills.
We have
faugheen
sire d g
bigshu
ballycasey (small)
only
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web&pli=1#gid=22
is showing thread horse bets only for the afternoon
Not sure what that means, Rich, but that list you have typed is not our complete position. We definitely have "Many Clouds" @ 25/1, for example, which we placed back in December.
Apologies if I have misread your Post.
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(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
Online
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #70828 on:
March 12, 2014, 02:15:56 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on March 12, 2014, 02:07:58 PM
Quote from: tikay on March 12, 2014, 02:05:22 PM
This £50 Free Bet with BMU.
Suggestions seem to be.......
Sizing Europe
(recommended first)
Ballycasey
Chile,
World Cup.
I need you guys to make a decision for me.
Sizing E was originally suggested, I believe.
Fingers poised.......
Italy and Chile
MK Dons 8/1 Too
Ignore Ballycasey, just suggested because our position is so tiny
We cannot split the £50 Free Bet, I gather, so if we go "Italy & Chile" it has to be one or the other.
Also, if we do Sizing Europe, what time is that race?
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY
(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #70829 on:
March 12, 2014, 02:16:06 PM »
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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