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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16367749 times)
JoeBeevers
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« Reply #72120 on: March 24, 2014, 12:50:31 PM »

Liverpool v Sunderland home win
Arsenal v Swansea home win
Barcelona v celta Vigo home win
A. Madrid v Grenada home win
Reading v Barnsley home win
Burnley v Doncaster home win
Leicester v Yeovil home win
Rochdale v Portsmouth home win
Chesterfield v morecambe Home win
Partick v Celtic Away win
Wolves v Colchester Home win
York v Torquay home win

Pays 84/1 on paddy power
Take out take out two pays around 40/1
take out three pays c24/1.
perm whichever you wish

the last week of the paddy power accumulator bonus

Earn a bonus of up to 100% on your winnings if you place an accumulator with 3 or more selections on top European and International competitions



I know it doesn't belong on here, and I know its easily derided, but it does look a great set of games for cornetto accas........




(with thanks to moneybags LB44)

I was looking at this to possibly perm 9,10,11 and 12 from 12 (12 is worth 80% bonus) so it might be worth finding a couple more.

BUT

T&C
   Permutation bets don’t count. Only bets placed on single line qualify. For example, only the treble qualifies below as it's the only bet that is placed on a single line (i.e. "(1)").
http://i.ppstatic.com/popup/cond/football-acca-bonus.html

So if you just wanted to do 9 from your 12 you would have to put 220 separate bets on! They are looking for mugs not people who want to 'take advantage' of the offer.

Also a 9 fold gives a bonus of 50%, you need 14+ for the 100% bonus.

If anyone wants to put a few hundred bets on for me for a small share of the bonus PM me. ;-)
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Doobs
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« Reply #72121 on: March 24, 2014, 01:20:11 PM »

Liverpool v Sunderland home win
Arsenal v Swansea home win
Barcelona v celta Vigo home win
A. Madrid v Grenada home win
Reading v Barnsley home win
Burnley v Doncaster home win
Leicester v Yeovil home win
Rochdale v Portsmouth home win
Chesterfield v morecambe Home win
Partick v Celtic Away win
Wolves v Colchester Home win
York v Torquay home win

Pays 84/1 on paddy power
Take out take out two pays around 40/1
take out three pays c24/1.
perm whichever you wish

the last week of the paddy power accumulator bonus

Earn a bonus of up to 100% on your winnings if you place an accumulator with 3 or more selections on top European and International competitions



I know it doesn't belong on here, and I know its easily derided, but it does look a great set of games for cornetto accas........




(with thanks to moneybags LB44)

why doesn't it belong here?  You get +EV of 29% from that bet. 

I just put the bet on and hit max, expecting it to say 10p, and it limited me to £412.   I guess I am not as balla as I thought
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #72122 on: March 24, 2014, 01:40:31 PM »

First ever 14-fold accumulator placed.

Fourteen??!

I can hear the chimes of Greensleeves in the distance
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« Reply #72123 on: March 24, 2014, 01:57:12 PM »

13-Jan   Chompy   Betfred   Sep-2014   Horses   Aidan O’Brien - Number of UK Classic Winners   None   8/1   31.25

With all the hype surrounding Australia, trainer Aidan O'Brien is now 8/13 to train the winner of the 2000 Guineas

 Click to see full-size image.
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« Reply #72124 on: March 24, 2014, 02:05:08 PM »

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/26708895

Good article for a possible home for a fee bet, Chile in WC2014, per horseplayer

Tough group, but I feel like opposing one of Spain and Netherlands to get out of it
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« Reply #72125 on: March 24, 2014, 02:36:11 PM »

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/26708895

Good article for a possible home for a fee bet, Chile in WC2014, per horseplayer

Tough group, but I feel like opposing one of Spain and Netherlands to get out of it


Tough group, but when push comes to shove isn't the WC all about teams that have been there, done that, won big continental stuff etc? Chilie have looked mighty impressive, but string of results in competitive environment is not their bag thus far. Don't even recall them winning the Copa America yet?
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« Reply #72126 on: March 24, 2014, 02:44:12 PM »

I think Chile have a great chance of escaping the group

However the 2nd round game against the hosts worries me a lot more tbh

http://theworldgame.sbs.com.au/tim-vickery/blog/1184836/Chile-transformation-is-a-real-coup

This article is even better Tighty, also by the superb Tim Vickery. They have something no other national team has (other than Spain) in that despite  Bielsa leaving Sampaoli plays exactly the same style and is a disciple of Bielsa like so many from South America are now.

This team is nearly seven years in the making and the majority of the squad are hitting there peak, if they are ever going to challenge it will be this year in South America but that group and path to the final dampens my enthusiasm a bit.



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« Reply #72127 on: March 24, 2014, 02:54:40 PM »

Think we should be adding Lousiville to the NCAA profile.  Redarmi was very bullish about backing them at 4/1 last night privately due to their easier draw opening up.  I was very surprised to wake up this morning and see you can now get 5/1 with 365 bwin and paddy and it looks worth a decent interest.
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« Reply #72128 on: March 24, 2014, 02:56:31 PM »

Netherlands may fairly be described as inconsistent.

After chasing a million in five overs the other day, they appear to have been bowled out for 38, albeit against a somewhat better bowling attack.

 
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« Reply #72129 on: March 24, 2014, 02:58:41 PM »

Think we should be adding Lousiville to the NCAA profile.  Redarmi was very bullish about backing them at 4/1 last night privately due to their easier draw opening up.  I was very surprised to wake up this morning and see you can now get 5/1 with 365 bwin and paddy and it looks worth a decent interest.

I have been trying to learn fast about march madness and ncaa etc

A comment that struck me yesterday was that the espn "expert" was espousing the view that due to their talent and experience Louisville would be a match for several nba teams. Only Alabama in college football were seen as their collegiate rival, in a different sport, for producing professional ready talent

 
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« Reply #72130 on: March 24, 2014, 03:00:43 PM »

Netherlands bowled out for 39! £48,160 matched on Netherlands to score 40 or more at 1.01



Decent news for the Sri Lanka bet if NRR comes into qualification
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« Reply #72131 on: March 24, 2014, 03:02:12 PM »

Think we should be adding Lousiville to the NCAA profile.  Redarmi was very bullish about backing them at 4/1 last night privately due to their easier draw opening up.  I was very surprised to wake up this morning and see you can now get 5/1 with 365 bwin and paddy and it looks worth a decent interest.

I have been trying to learn fast about march madness and ncaa etc

A comment that struck me yesterday was that the espn "expert" was espousing the view that due to their talent and experience Louisville would be a match for several nba teams. Only Alabama in college football were seen as their collegiate rival, in a different sport, for producing professional ready talent

 

There are some pretty shocking nba teams at the minute looking to lose on purpose to benefit from the loaded 2014 draft (as an example the best team in the league plays the worst team tonight and are as short as 1/200 to win tonight in places (http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/philadelphia-76ers-at-san-antonio-spurs/winner) but i don't buy this fact at all.  The gulf in sheer physical strength and bench strength would make any nba team a decent fav in a game against even the best college teams.  The vast majority of college teams reserve's are raw 18/19 year olds whose bodies simply wouldn't cope against fully grown alpha males of the NBA.

My brother was an assistant coach on the most successful UK team in history the London Towers in the late 1990's and early 2000's who played in the euro league (bball equiv of the champions league for football) and they were easily the worse team in the competition as their whole player wages budget was 1/2 that of real madrid's worse player's salary on the team.  They lost most games by 20-30 points.  During the pre season Towers played Duke who at the time were one of the best NCAA teams during their pre season tour of Europe and beat London Towers by similar scores.  Therefore i would suggest a top college team in the USA would give an average Euroleague team a decent game.  An average NBA team would pretty much destroy an average euroleague side.

However the espn guy's view is worth taking on board regarding the bet recommended i would suggest.
« Last Edit: March 24, 2014, 03:31:02 PM by arbboy » Logged
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« Reply #72132 on: March 24, 2014, 03:36:24 PM »

13-Jan   Chompy   Betfred   Sep-2014   Horses   Aidan O’Brien - Number of UK Classic Winners   None   8/1   31.25

With all the hype surrounding Australia, trainer Aidan O'Brien is now 8/13 to train the winner of the 2000 Guineas

 Click to see full-size image.


Such a lol price. If they want to lay me 6/5 about 'Listen' O'Brien not training the winner, I'm all in.
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« Reply #72133 on: March 24, 2014, 03:37:26 PM »

Think we should be adding Lousiville to the NCAA profile.  Redarmi was very bullish about backing them at 4/1 last night privately due to their easier draw opening up.  I was very surprised to wake up this morning and see you can now get 5/1 with 365 bwin and paddy and it looks worth a decent interest.

I have been trying to learn fast about march madness and ncaa etc

A comment that struck me yesterday was that the espn "expert" was espousing the view that due to their talent and experience Louisville would be a match for several nba teams. Only Alabama in college football were seen as their collegiate rival, in a different sport, for producing professional ready talent

 

There are some pretty shocking nba teams at the minute looking to lose on purpose to benefit from the loaded 2014 draft (as an example the best team in the league plays the worst team tonight and are as short as 1/200 to win tonight in places (http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/philadelphia-76ers-at-san-antonio-spurs/winner) but i don't buy this fact at all.  The gulf in sheer physical strength and bench strength would make any nba team a decent fav in a game against even the best college teams.  The vast majority of college teams reserve's are raw 18/19 year olds whose bodies simply wouldn't cope against fully grown alpha males of the NBA.

My brother was an assistant coach on the most successful UK team in history the London Towers in the late 1990's and early 2000's who played in the euro league (bball equiv of the champions league for football) and they were easily the worse team in the competition as their whole player wages budget was 1/2 that of real madrid's worse player's salary on the team.  They lost most games by 20-30 points.  During the pre season Towers played Duke who at the time were one of the best NCAA teams during their pre season tour of Europe and beat London Towers by similar scores.  Therefore i would suggest a top college team in the USA would give an average Euroleague team a decent game.  An average NBA team would pretty much destroy an average euroleague side.

However the espn guy's view is worth taking on board regarding the bet recommended i would suggest.

To be fair that Duke team was probably also better than most college teams in most seasons too.  They were like a 6/4 favourite for the tourney in 1999 which I don't think I have seen since.  I think it is pretty hard for a college team to be even close.
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« Reply #72134 on: March 24, 2014, 03:39:27 PM »

Netherlands bowled out for 39! £48,160 matched on Netherlands to score 40 or more at 1.01



Decent news for the Sri Lanka bet if NRR comes into qualification

Looks like they've nurdled their way to the total in five overs
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