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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16365965 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #72210 on: March 25, 2014, 03:28:16 PM »

No Manchester derby isn't a good spot for the EW FGS.  You need a big favourite and very high goals expectancy ie very high goal expectancy for one team.  4/6 over 2.5 isn't close to high enough and MC aren't short enough.  Really you want a game with a total in Asia of 4 or higher.

Callum, fyi

Leicester v Yeovil

Nugent 7/2
Vardy 15/4
Mahrez 8/1
Knockaert 8/1

1/3 odds unlimited places

Asia has it at 3.5 goals, home team 2/7, over 2.5 1/2

is a better sort of match for it
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TightEnd
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« Reply #72211 on: March 25, 2014, 03:34:36 PM »

the west indies innings had the third ever recorded diamond duck in an international T20. All three of them are by West Indian batsmen

Stumped off a wide first ball, so out without facing a legal ball having faced





In utterly tremendous news, the victim was Mr Lendl Smmons

Yet again the West Indies batted like several sandwiches short of a hamper.
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Marky147
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« Reply #72212 on: March 25, 2014, 03:39:53 PM »

Surely Pearce, if he wants and he is said to, is an absolute steal at 7/2.  I normally wouldn't bet anyone at under double figures in a manager market but that is sorely tempting.

Would pain me taking 7/2 about something that was 33/1 yesterday, and 12/1 this morning.

Especially when there is possibly a fair few runners, and the owners might pull some random out of left field.

Kind of agree but isn't it a bit like backing a Barney Curley horse after it has shortened a bit.  Would much rather be on a trier at a short price than one with no chance at a price......I think that is why caretakers at a big price are almost always worth a punt because 99% of the time they want it.

In these markets it feels more like backing an Ann Stokell trained Stephen Arnold horse Cheesy

Definitely agree with getting on the caretakers, but with Forest going for the playoffs I guess the owners will be looking to get someone in the chair quick.

I'll probably just watch it out, although I see that Pearce is now available at 6/1 in a couple spots.

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« Reply #72213 on: March 25, 2014, 03:46:56 PM »

I don't like that a diamond duck can be either being out at any time in the innings without having faced a ball or being out on the first ball of the innings. Two different things and the same phrase.

I was once told being out at the start of an innings without a legitimate ball being bowled was a titanium duck. Worse than golf for this stuff.
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« Reply #72214 on: March 25, 2014, 04:25:45 PM »

Hard to say which aspect of this Bangladesh performance is most embarrassing!
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« Reply #72215 on: March 25, 2014, 04:37:10 PM »

re the NCAA i would disagree that the draw has opened up for them, Kentucky while an 8 seed was everyones preseason #1 and while they have been very up and down they looked really good in beating Wichita. Louisville and Kentucky hate each other  and i would expect a very emotional hard fought match with the victor then coming out flat and losing to a really good Michigan team in the last 8. in fact if i was going to have a bet Michigan @ 12's would be my choice

It is pretty hard to argue that playing an 8 seed is equivalent of playing a 1 seed at this point.  Furthermore they also won't have to play Duke now and have like a 45% chance of playing an 11 seed in Tennesse.  Of course they could lose in either game and certainly could lose in the final four but we are getting a good price which is all that matters really.
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« Reply #72216 on: March 25, 2014, 04:56:00 PM »

BET SUGGESTION

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/man-utd-v-man-city/first-team-booking

Man City 5/6 Bwin £30

Man United received first booking at home this season 20% of the time.

Man City received first booking away from home first 77%of the time.

Derby factor e.t.c lessens the previous stats but even so looks worthy of a small bet.
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sonour
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« Reply #72217 on: March 25, 2014, 05:25:09 PM »

BET SUGGESTION

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/man-utd-v-man-city/first-team-booking

Man City 5/6 Bwin £30

Man United received first booking at home this season 20% of the time.

Man City received first booking away from home first 77%of the time.

Derby factor e.t.c lessens the previous stats but even so looks worthy of a small bet.

Nice stats Horsey.

You have a pm
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Doobs
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« Reply #72218 on: March 25, 2014, 05:28:49 PM »

Hard to say which aspect of this Bangladesh performance is most embarrassing!

Badree 4 wickets tho.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #72219 on: March 25, 2014, 05:33:00 PM »

BET SUGGESTION

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/man-utd-v-man-city/first-team-booking

Man City 5/6 Bwin £30

Man United received first booking at home this season 20% of the time.

Man City received first booking away from home first 77%of the time.

Derby factor e.t.c lessens the previous stats but even so looks worthy of a small bet.

Thanks John.

We are ON, but BWin Restricted us to £22.14.


BET PLACED
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« Reply #72220 on: March 25, 2014, 05:33:32 PM »

Hard to say which aspect of this Bangladesh performance is most embarrassing!

Badree 4 wickets tho.

 thumbs up
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« Reply #72221 on: March 25, 2014, 06:02:18 PM »

Man City at 5/4 seems big to me with BV and WH, I have no info that bookies don't, I just think the price is wrong, not by much but wrong all the same. 6/5 on betfair, my thoughts pre seeing prices was I wouldn't want to lay City at evens.

Confirmed ice cream though Smiley
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« Reply #72222 on: March 25, 2014, 06:05:55 PM »

Man City at 5/4 seems big to me with BV and WH, I have no info that bookies don't, I just think the price is wrong, not by much but wrong all the same. 6/5 on betfair, my thoughts pre seeing prices was I wouldn't want to lay City at evens.

Confirmed ice cream though Smiley

Would you think 2/5 Man city at home to Man U tonight was a big price if the game was played at the other ground?
« Last Edit: March 25, 2014, 06:11:13 PM by arbboy » Logged
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« Reply #72223 on: March 25, 2014, 06:10:01 PM »

views on laying Leics tonight at 3/10 v yeovil.  I just can't have any side in that league being 3/10 to any other side whatever the situation.
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« Reply #72224 on: March 25, 2014, 06:18:30 PM »

2/5 at City would be slightly less appealing I'll be honest Smiley

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