Tips for Tikay

[horseplayer]

Suppose it helps when Sri Lanka bowl absolutely garbage after the first over.

Presume you missed the 5th over were Malinga landed 5 out of 6 right on Morgans toes.....

[BorntoBubble]

Least enjoyable quality innings of my life. Last time I sell hales runs

[Snowball]

Least enjoyable quality innings of my life. Last time I sell hales runs

ouch, freak innings from Hales.

[tikay]

Still not interested team?

don't think its a case of that. The Boss has been unavailable much of the week. On balance that has probably saved money!

Yes, afraid so, & yes, it probably saved a bit of dosh.....

Working again tonight, with Miss Fowler, that's how bad I run, but fingers crossed, will get back up to Fred-speed in the morning.

Loved the Wetty Cycling stuff. Done a bit of dough, but worth every penny. 

[arbboy]

Usual darts draw stuff tonight.  Think a better way to attack it tonight is to back 'any game to be drawn' at 4/7 with Boyles.  VC gone 4/9 about this.  For 4/7 to be the correct price that implies the average draw price in each game should be 9/2.

Maths as follows.  Take the inverse price of the match not being a draw which is 2/9 then do this for all 5 games.  2/9 (1.22) to the power of 5 which comes out at 2.7 (effectively 7/4) there isn't a draw so 4/7 there is a draw is the opposite outcome obviously.  I really think tonight's games are a lot closer than they look on paper esp the MVG and Taylor games.  Lewis is also too short given his poor form so far in this current season.

Recommend £70 at 4/7 on this at Boyles.

Individual matches would recommend as follows:

£50 Anderson v Wes Newton draw 9/2 VC
£50 Whitlock v Newton draw 4/1 general
£30 Lewis Chiz draw 4/1 general
£30 Taylor v Barney draw 5/1 Coral

[Marky147]

Still not interested team?

don't think its a case of that. The Boss has been unavailable much of the week. On balance that has probably saved money!

Yes, afraid so, & yes, it probably saved a bit of dosh.....

Working again tonight, with Miss Fowler, that's how bad I run, but fingers crossed, will get back up to Fred-speed in the morning.

Loved the Wetty Cycling stuff. Done a bit of dough, but worth every penny. 

[samj19]

Suppose it helps when Sri Lanka bowl absolutely garbage after the first over.

Presume you missed the 5th over were Malinga landed 5 out of 6 right on Morgans toes.....

2 overs out of 20 is a great return surely no? What about the over that got hit for 24+ iirc?

[Snowball]

9 out of 11 Night time chases have been successful in the T20 World Cup, the dew factor is playing a major role.

[horseplayer]

One for my housemate Tal

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/26715651

[Omm]

Tejay van Garderen won in the fog in Catalunya. Visibility was so bad, that there was no coverage of the final climb ... so a real anti-climax. Unconfirmed reports coming in that Marczynski got lost in the fog, and took a bus back to Poland. He is nowhere to be seen. 

Pretty sure he finished closer than my horse not that it matters a jot.  Its all about the value.

Long way to go before I'm n the red for your writes up CWS. Great to see some fantastic info on specialist areas in the thread. please put up whenever the time is right.

[BigAdz]

Tejay van Garderen won in the fog in Catalunya. Visibility was so bad, that there was no coverage of the final climb ... so a real anti-climax. Unconfirmed reports coming in that Marczynski got lost in the fog, and took a bus back to Poland. He is nowhere to be seen. 

Pretty sure he finished closer than my horse not that it matters a jot.  Its all about the value.

Long way to go before I'm n the red for your writes up CWS. Great to see some fantastic info on specialist areas in the thread. please put up whenever the time is right.

[arbboy]

.

[exstream]

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/top-goalscorer-w-o-suarez

Top goalscorer market without Suarez.

Sturridge is rightfully? a very short 1/6.

The next 2 in the market are what interest me, Toure 8/1, Aguero 10/1.

Each way is top 2, 1/3 odds.

Man City have 9 games remaining, those of which include weak teams such as Arsenal, Sunderland, West Brom, Crystal Palace, Aston Villa, West Ham. Tougher games are Everton, Liverpool and Southampton,

Liverpool have 7 games remaining, they are Tottenham, West Ham, Man City, Norwich, Chelsea, Crystal Palace and Newcastle.

I think it seems ok to take on Sturridge in this spot, maybe betting both Toure and Aguero, or selecting one of them to take advantage of what look generous each way terms.

If selecting one, note that Aguero is injured for this weekends game vs Arsenal.
Toure plays every game, Aguero will possibly have to rotate with Negredo and Dzeko when he is fully fit anyway.

Toure has the big game experience and has done this before, surely he will have some more goals in him.
Liverpool/Sturridge haven't been in this position for a long time/ever, will they crack under the pressure?

If I have worked it out correctly and if you bet both, should either win, very good.
If Sturridge wins and Toure finishes second, you will lose a very small amount.
If Sturridge wins and Aguero finishes second, you will win a small amount.

Thoughts?

[exstream]

Man City obviously going to score 4+ for the rest of their games whilst Suarez scores the remainder of Liverpools goals.

[moonandback]

Arizona won ugly tonight their bigs got in foul trouble and Nick Johnson was held scoreless for 36 mins before scoring 15 of the last 16 points. the Badgers from Wisconsin next.