Tips for Tikay

[Doobs]

Throwing down currently in Malaysia.  I think that should be ok for the Hamilton bet.  I don't think there is an opportunity for more bets here, as it tends to rain really heavily for not very long then stop in Malaysia.  I'd say it is more likely to be dry than not in the final session.

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Loss on Month £890.47

Outstanding Bets £4166.02

Countdown £9.44

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=22

No bets completed yesterday and no detailed news of bets placed yet

In the T20WC yesterday Badree 2 wickets Santokie 1 wicket and Simmons 26 for the WI in their victory. Fnch 16 and Hodge 35 in Australia's loss. Badree is currently our best hope of a positive bet for those two teams

When the WI turn it on, a dangerous team



The WI celebrations were huge, after the Australians had sledged their team mercilessly



Today we need New Zealand to beat the Netherlands, and for DeVlliers, Buttler and Bopara to perform well in one of the group's key games England v South Africa

There is currently a light shower in Sepang ahead of qualifying. We will need Hamilton on pole as the Mclaren bets look to be in trouble



I am now off to




Enjoy your sporting Saturday

[tikay]

Tighty,

I did the £15 "Drop Goal" bet last night, which lost. Details shortly. Not sure how it lost, the game was perfectly set up for us, 10-10 with 9 minutes remaining. Marv.

[tikay]

Yikes, I'll try & figure out those 8 WH bets via Mobile shortly.

Misclick Alert. 

[Bazzaboy]

There's a bet I really like tonight. Jon-Lewis Dickinson has a 14-2 record with 3 wins by KO (2 defeats were due to injury) yet he is odds on to win by stoppage against Neil Dawson. JLD likes to box at range and doesn't get too involved, with Dawson being a dangerous puncher I don't expect his tactics to be any different tonight.  Dawson has one stoppage defeat on his record but that was against the relatively big punching Matty Askin who JLD has a points win over.  We can get 9/4 on a JLD points win which is way too big. Recommend £60 with 365

Another I like tonight is Stuart Hall to win by KO v Martin Ward. This is The worst ever world title fight between two British boxers. Hall put up a career best performance to win the vacant title and has been given a gift of a first defence against Ward who barely in the top 5 in Britain at the weight. The only time Ward has stepped up in class was against Lee Haskins and he was stopped in 5. He has decent technical ability but I expect Hall to force the pace with his all action style and break him down in the mid to late rounds. Annoyingly missed the best of the price but still worth a bet at Evens. Recommend £40 with Lads.

[Doobs]

Throwing down currently in Malaysia.  I think that should be ok for the Hamilton bet.  I don't think there is an opportunity for more bets here, as it tends to rain really heavily for not very long then stop in Malaysia.  I'd say it is more likely to be dry than not in the final session.

As I said, just likely a brief shower...

[tikay]

There's a bet I really like tonight. Jon-Lewis Dickinson has a 14-2 record with 3 wins by KO (2 defeats were due to injury) yet he is odds on to win by stoppage against Neil Dawson. JLD likes to box at range and doesn't get too involved, with Dawson being a dangerous puncher I don't expect his tactics to be any different tonight.  Dawson has one stoppage defeat on his record but that was against the relatively big punching Matty Askin who JLD has a points win over.  We can get 9/4 on a JLD points win which is way too big. Recommend £60 with 365

Another I like tonight is Stuart Hall to win by KO v Martin Ward. This is The worst ever world title fight between two British boxers. Hall put up a career best performance to win the vacant title and has been given a gift of a first defence against Ward who barely in the top 5 in Britain at the weight. The only time Ward has stepped up in class was against Lee Haskins and he was stopped in 5. He has decent technical ability but I expect Hall to force the pace with his all action style and break him down in the mid to late rounds. Annoyingly missed the best of the price but still worth a bet at Evens. Recommend £40 with Lads.

Thanks Bazza, great stuff, love your boxing stuff.

I cannot get the JLD bet on, only Stan James & 365 offer that price (or even the Market), I'm a no-go with Stan James, & Bet365 will only permit me £2.22, so I've had to leave that.

I HAVE got the £40 on with Ladbrokes, Hall by KO.



Stuart Hall - KO or TKO or Disqualification
Stuart Hall v Martin Ward

Singles - How will the fight be won?

1 line @ £40.00 per line
.
Total Stake £40.00

Potential Return £80.00

Receipt No: O/142640973/0000572

BET PLACED

[tikay]

Tikay

2.40 Doncaster Jack Dexter 2/1 £25 WH please

Matches Betfair plus BOG

Thanks Lisa, we are on, details shortly, with all the other WH "Offer" bets suggested.

[tikay]

Channel 4 races for WH offer tomorrow

2.05 Doncaster
2.20 Kempton
2.40 Doncaster
2.55 Kempton
3.15 Doncaster
3.30 Kempton
3.50 Doncaster

also applies to all Meydan races tomorrow. 15 races total.

Anyone know what time WH will put up odds for Meydan please ? Just showing SP at the moment.

All priced up bar opener.
3.03 Shea Shea 6/4, 3.41 Sterling City 11/4, 4.39 The Fugue 7/2, 5.17 Magician 3/1 all look decent to me.

Thanks KP,

We are on all 4.

Details shortly, with all the rest of them.

[tikay]

Channel 4 races for WH offer tomorrow

2.05 Doncaster
2.20 Kempton
2.40 Doncaster
2.55 Kempton
3.15 Doncaster
3.30 Kempton
3.50 Doncaster

also applies to all Meydan races tomorrow. 15 races total.

Anyone know what time WH will put up odds for Meydan please ? Just showing SP at the moment.

All priced up bar opener.
3.03 Shea Shea 6/4, 3.41 Sterling City 11/4, 4.39 The Fugue 7/2, 5.17 Magician 3/1 all look decent to me.

How about

1.45 Cavalryman 5/2 Betfair 3.65
2.25 Long John 2/1 Betfair 3.1

Ta Lisa,

Again, we are on both.

[tikay]

Channel 4 races for WH offer tomorrow

2.05 Doncaster
2.20 Kempton
2.40 Doncaster
2.55 Kempton
3.15 Doncaster
3.30 Kempton
3.50 Doncaster

also applies to all Meydan races tomorrow. 15 races total.

Anyone know what time WH will put up odds for Meydan please ? Just showing SP at the moment.

All priced up bar opener.
3.03 Shea Shea 6/4, 3.41 Sterling City 11/4, 4.39 The Fugue 7/2, 5.17 Magician 3/1 all look decent to me.

How about

1.45 Cavalryman 5/2 Betfair 3.65
2.25 Long John 2/1 Betfair 3.1

All KP's and Sonour's horses are fine, and so is Trumpet Major 7/4 2.20 Kempton.
So that is only the 8 horses for Tikay to get on using his mobile.

FWIW For those that are up now, there is a Hong Kong horse in the Dubai World Cup called Military Attack.   It is near 5/1 on Betfair, which may be the result of a few nutters from Hong Kong going gambling crazy, but the form looks solid.   Hong Kong horses tend to be pretty tough and ready to go. 

Anyway Betdead are 6/1 and paying 4 places for those that can.

Thanks David,

Ditto.

Not looked at Military Attack yet, let me just sort these WH Offers first, then I'll go see if the price is still available.

[rinswun]

Not sure whether or not Fred was on but Louisville lost a thriller to Kentucky last night. A game good enough I grace the final four. All the teams in the Midwest regional got screwed and beating each other up which has to be good news for the Arizona bet. Florida pounded their way to the Elite 8 but really haven't had to play anyone good yet. I think they're a pretty weak favourite and would would suggest a putting up a lay of them but there isn't much liquidity in the market.

[horseplayer]

Reminder we already have two in the World Cup, would not be so keen to add a third at the lowest price it has ever been with nothing really changing.

Would not like to be John Hills cat is Millitary Attack wins the world cup!

We could have 10 in the race and that wouldn't affect the value of this bet.  I don't see previous prices as a reason not to veg anything either. 

Having said that, it seems the BetFred offer doesn't mean what it looks like on my phone though.  People can likely arb the win bet at 6.4 if it is that terrible.  It is still useful info for readers, surely?

Yes useful i could not back any of the front three at current prices considering they have never run on the unique Tapeta surface (MA did run on polytrack on debut for John Hills but that was a maiden and he was trained by John Hills then)

Hence why i was happy to risk ROTW and Akeed at bigger prices with the doubt on them just as much.

[tikay]

Below are the 8 (EIGHT) £25 Wm Hill Mobile "OFFER" bets we are on today.

They are ALL £25 Free Bet if 2nd.

They are ALL Guaranteed Price. (Not BOG)

1.45 Meydan, Cavalryman @ 3/1 (Recommended @ 5/2)

2.20 Kempton, Trumpet Major @ 7/4

2.25 Meydan, Long John @ 5/2 (Recommended @ 2/1)

2.40 Doncaster, Jack Dexter @ 2/1

3.03 Meydan, Shea Shea @ 6/4

3.41 Meydan, Sterling City @ 11/4

4.39 Meydan, The Fugue @ 7/2

5.17 Meydan, Magician @ 3/1


29 Mar 14 / 08:55

Stake

2:20 Kempton – Trumpet Major @ Guaranteed Price (7/4)

- £25.00

O/0457483/0000904/F



29 Mar 14 / 08:54

Stake

1:45 Meydan – Cavalryman @ Guaranteed Price (3/1)

- £25.00

O/0457483/0000902/F



29 Mar 14 / 08:54

Stake

2:25 Meydan – Long John @ Guaranteed Price (5/2)

- £25.00

O/0457483/0000903/F



29 Mar 14 / 08:53

Stake

3:03 Meydan – Shea Shea @ Guaranteed Price (6/4)

- £25.00

O/0457483/0000898/F



29 Mar 14 / 08:53

Stake

3:41 Meydan – Sterling City @ Guaranteed Price (11/4)

- £25.00

O/0457483/0000899/F



29 Mar 14 / 08:53

Stake

4:39 Meydan – The Fugue @ Guaranteed Price (7/2)

- £25.00

O/0457483/0000900/F



29 Mar 14 / 08:53

Stake

5:17 Meydan – Magician @ Guaranteed Price (3/1)

- £25.00

O/0457483/0000901/F



29 Mar 14 / 08:50

Stake

2:40 Doncaster – Jack Dexter @ Guaranteed Price (2/1)

- £25.00

O/0457483/0000897/F


EIGHT BETS PLACED

[tikay]

Channel 4 races for WH offer tomorrow

2.05 Doncaster
2.20 Kempton
2.40 Doncaster
2.55 Kempton
3.15 Doncaster
3.30 Kempton
3.50 Doncaster

also applies to all Meydan races tomorrow. 15 races total.

Anyone know what time WH will put up odds for Meydan please ? Just showing SP at the moment.

All priced up bar opener.
3.03 Shea Shea 6/4, 3.41 Sterling City 11/4, 4.39 The Fugue 7/2, 5.17 Magician 3/1 all look decent to me.

How about

1.45 Cavalryman 5/2 Betfair 3.65
2.25 Long John 2/1 Betfair 3.1

All KP's and Sonour's horses are fine, and so is Trumpet Major 7/4 2.20 Kempton.

So that is only the 8 horses for Tikay to get on using his mobile.

FWIW For those that are up now, there is a Hong Kong horse in the Dubai World Cup called Military Attack.   It is near 5/1 on Betfair, which may be the result of a few nutters from Hong Kong going gambling crazy, but the form looks solid.   Hong Kong horses tend to be pretty tough and ready to go. 

Anyway Betdead are 6/1 and paying 4 places for those that can.

Remains available (best Priced) with BetFred & Totesport only, 6/1, qtr odds, THREE places.

Not placed, await clarification. This IS best Price, but it is not 4 places.