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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16403598 times)
Tal
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« Reply #72750 on: March 31, 2014, 06:33:16 PM »

Looks like Nike have come up with an April fools belter.



£90, best joke ever.

Thank God I'm Welsh and have a Daughter who has no interest in Sport. I feel for you if your Boy(s) is(are) asking for one of these.

Ninety?! NINETY?!

That's thirty quid a game!

(Let the antibokking commence!)
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« Reply #72751 on: March 31, 2014, 07:22:46 PM »

Bad news on Sam Vokes I am afraid

Tore his Anterior Cruciate Ligament and will be out for six months


7 games to go, we might hold on for a place, but probably won't

Looking for silver linings... does this mean Ings will be back on penalties?

Yes, but he is still injured

Burnley missing Ings, Vokes, Trippier and Marney are not the force of earlier in the season. 9 points ahead of QPR, and possibly catchable 

Burnley 11-1 to make the play-offs with 563. Seems furry muff if you want to oppose.
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« Reply #72752 on: March 31, 2014, 09:22:06 PM »

Had to laugh at this


David Moyes is so sure about his future as Manchester United boss that he predicted he will meet Pep Guardiola "many times". From SL website.


He must love holidaying in Munich, I suppose.
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« Reply #72753 on: March 31, 2014, 10:59:38 PM »

Bad news on Sam Vokes I am afraid

Tore his Anterior Cruciate Ligament and will be out for six months


7 games to go, we might hold on for a place, but probably won't

Looking for silver linings... does this mean Ings will be back on penalties?

Yes, but he is still injured

Burnley missing Ings, Vokes, Trippier and Marney are not the force of earlier in the season. 9 points ahead of QPR, and possibly catchable 

Could we have run any worse with this bet?

McCormack could have left in the window, but ends up doing us out of the win, and now are getting sidelined on the run in!
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« Reply #72754 on: March 31, 2014, 11:06:43 PM »

Neville is different gravy

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MereNovice
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« Reply #72755 on: April 01, 2014, 12:17:27 AM »

March 2014 Figures

Closed bets: 177
Amount wagered: £3,994.32
Profit/loss: -£1,073
ROI: -26.87%

Number of "sports" bet on: 12
Most popular: Horses (86), Football (34),  Cricket (13).
Most (and only) profitable: Tennis (£45.00),  Formula1 (£34.42), Misc. (£3.76)
Least profitable: Horses (-£596.28), Football (-£310.50), RU (-£71.02)

Number of tipsters: 34 including 2 new tipsters.


Overall statistics (since February 2012)

Total closed bets: 3,080
Amount wagered: £96,580.12
Profit/loss: £2,640.30
ROI: 2.73%

Number of "sports" bet on: 30
Most popular:  Horses(786), Football (753), Golf (251), Cricket(211).

Most and least profitable sports (based on aggregate profit/loss) are:
        
Sport               Profit  Amt Bet       ROI   No.
Football   1,726.04   23,200.81   7.44   753
Horses   1,576.55   25,669.40   6.14   786
Misc.   695.81   3,144.82   22.13   81

...
Formula1 -348.58   1,009.58   -34.53   40
Basketball   -994.18   3,048.89   -32.61   75
Golf   -1,131.76   6,775.34   -16.70   251



The complete list is here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=4


Total number of tipsters: 145


Number of different bookies/exchanges/agents: 38

Most and least profitable bookies (based on aggregate profit/loss) are:
        
Bookie          Profit     Amt Bet   ROI     No.
BoyleSports      1,740.40   4,395.45   39.60   111
WilliamHill      1,207.49   16,383.66   7.37   538
Bet365      1,020.95   4,476.40   22.81   193

...
Bwin      -331.90   2,321.14   -14.30   62
BetFred      -558.50   6,526.42   -8.56   224
Betfair      -594.94   10,483.73   -5.67   216



The complete list is here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=7


The archive of all bets prior to 2014 can be found here:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdHVrekx6T0REUXVNOWw5YTVWa0pWZGc#gid=7
« Last Edit: April 01, 2014, 12:23:03 AM by MereNovice » Logged

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« Reply #72756 on: April 01, 2014, 07:38:52 AM »

Anyone any thoughts on the 4:30 at Southwell?  I got an e-mail notification on one I had on my tracker after being impressed by the strog finish on debut.  Granted it never progressed as i would have liked but I still in front with it following landing a place at 50/1 and an 8/1 win.   The horse is Look on By.  I am definitely surprised to see it in at 16/1 with £3.65 and there is 17/1 with betunfair.   Has it lost a leg or something and nobody is saying? 
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« Reply #72757 on: April 01, 2014, 07:47:14 AM »

Anyone any thoughts on the 4:30 at Southwell?  I got an e-mail notification on one I had on my tracker after being impressed by the strog finish on debut.  Granted it never progressed as i would have liked but I still in front with it following landing a place at 50/1 and an 8/1 win.   The horse is Look on By.  I am definitely surprised to see it in at 16/1 with £3.65 and there is 17/1 with betunfair.   Has it lost a leg or something and nobody is saying? 

Looks fairly enough handicapped to me. A few negatives for me would be the trainer usually has a very quiet first few months of the season  (and is again), the trainers horses usually need the comeback run (first run in seven months).

Good luck though never let anyone put you of at that price.
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tikay
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« Reply #72758 on: April 01, 2014, 07:51:23 AM »



Vince,

Thank you for the Monthly Numbers. I need to steel myself before I have a good look at them, but the timely update is much appreciated.
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Tal
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« Reply #72759 on: April 01, 2014, 08:02:08 AM »

March went well...

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« Reply #72760 on: April 01, 2014, 09:01:52 AM »

Numbers as per Vince's eathquake report overnight

One free bet remains to be used, by Saturday 5th, with William Hill

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=23


A loss of £20 to end March as England's "run" in the T20WC came to an end, and Buttler and Bopara did not catch up to Hales' run total for a loss of £10 each

Our free bet on NZ lost, as they capitualted too, to our 6/1 bet Sri Lanka who made the semis

Today is an important day in the T20WC. Finch runs against Bangladesh to win that bet, or lose it and then Pakistan v West Indies. We need Pakistan, and Simmons runs and Badree wickets, especially if this is the West Indies last game in the tournament

The MLB season began last night. The Tigers beat the Royals with a walk off run in the 9th. Only 161 games to go. Baltimore beat the Red Sx by the way.   

NBA Update

Brooklyn nets currently the 5th seed in the Eastern conference, have won 7 of their last 10

Oklahoma City currently second seed in the Western Conference, have qualified for the play offs and have won 8 of their last 10

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TightEnd
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« Reply #72761 on: April 01, 2014, 09:07:35 AM »

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« Last Edit: April 01, 2014, 09:28:37 AM by TightEnd » Logged

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« Reply #72762 on: April 01, 2014, 09:23:00 AM »

Bet Recommend

Arsene Wenger for LMA Manger of the Year @66-1

Reasons to follow.....
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« Reply #72763 on: April 01, 2014, 09:35:09 AM »

Bet Recommend

Arsene Wenger for LMA Manger of the Year @66-1

Reasons to follow.....

I'm on Rogers at 8/1, are these reasons that good!
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tikay
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« Reply #72764 on: April 01, 2014, 09:41:03 AM »

Baseball

we have a free bet to use with Wlliam Hill

I almost backed the Balitmore Orioles in the AL East last year. By posting winning records in 2012 and 2013, the Orioles achieved the feat of back-to-back winning seasons for the first time since 1996 and 1997. I have a soft spot for them because they are competing in one of the two toughest divisions in baseball against huge money and the manager Buck showalter has built them into a contender, slightly moneyball style. a blue collar team in a white collar division, and thats reflected in the markets

thread was on the red sox and the rays last year, and had great runs on both

redarmi has us "short" the yankees this year

I read this guys stuff a lot, very well informed

http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/writer/jon-heyman/24506108/season-predictions-how-the-mlb-division-races-will-shake-out

It stood out like a sore thumb that he had the orioles to win the al east this year, as the consensus is the red sox repeat, the rays contend and the yankees are always supported

http://www.oddschecker.com/baseball/mlb/american-league-east/winner

william hill 9-1, its 9.0 in a tiny betfair market

if chosen, this bet could give you a six month free bet sweat


nerd alert


i also have a soft spot for the quirky ball park, hemmed in on all sides in pitching distance of the port and really nicely modernised with an eye on the past. Its on my MLB ballpark bucketlist

 Click to see full-size image.


 Click to see full-size image.



nerd alert over

What a lovely Stadium, & beautiful brickwork, though I'm not so sure about the square rainwater downpipes, better flow comes from round downpipes. Nice swan-necks though.

Anyway, we have a £25 FREE BET on Baltimore to win AL East. 6 month sweat, for free, perfect.

I may get in trouble here for taking a bad price, but we could get 12/1 for Baltimore with BMU. Worth a little more, with them?



08 Apr 2014 - American League East - Division Winner

Baltimore Orioles @ 9/1

Stake : £25.00


Estimated Returns : £

225.00



Transaction Reference:

O/0457483/0000907/F



Free bet redeemed



FREE BET PLACED
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