Tips for Tikay

[arbboy]

http://www.oddschecker.com/golf/the-masters/top-scandinavian

Henrik surely a rick with someone?

Just seen a tweet from BF sports book, as of 7pm tonight they are offering industry best prices on certain players. Would explain a few of there genorous prices.

They are laying a lumpy bet as well for a change.  Given i can barely get a copper coin on most things with them they will lay me an outright bet to win £25k.  I think they monitor your exchange business and base your sport by sport limits  in the sportsbook based on your success at sports on the exchange.  Sports i am successful at on the exchange i cant get 1p on at the sportsbook yet sports like golf which i rarely bet on the exchange they will lay me a bet to lose £25k.  Anyone else got any views on bf sportsbooks restriction policy?

[swinebag22]

Are we on any hole in one markets for the masters?

Best price for "yes" is 10/11 on satan james which feels about right and not worth a bet.

However the price for one on the 16th hole is 6/4 with sty bet which may be value.

Given that most aces in the masters have come on the final Sunday on the 16th hole, with its generous pin position, I was surprised to see a final round ace priced up at 2/1 on puppy power.

I can't find the hole in one stats but I would reckon that  since the 16th has had its pin cut in that Sunday spot, there have been much more than 33% of masters that have seen a Sunday ace. Would be good if someone posted them up

I have bet and recommend  on puppy power, £50 @2/1 on round 4 on the "hole in one by round" market

[Karabiner]

http://www.oddschecker.com/golf/the-masters/top-scandinavian

Henrik surely a rick with someone?

He's not quite the Henrik of the latter part of last year.

I've had a dabble on Bjorn @ 9/1 in that market.

[redarmi]

http://www.oddschecker.com/golf/the-masters/top-scandinavian

Henrik surely a rick with someone?

Whoever does the golf at BF sportsbook is clueless imo.  How can Olesen be second in the market to win the tournament and then a rag of five most of whom are double his price to win the tournament?  These sub markets do have a slightly different dynamic but not to that extent.  It is almost as though he has thought, "Olesen, never heard of him, he wasn't in the Ryder Cup so he must be the worst player".  It just fails every logic test although given their general strategy recently it was probably the CEO......

[mondatoo]

What price would Chelsea need to be qualify to make it a bet ? 3/1 looks appealing to me at Moral and BetDictor, Betfair is 3.8.

[tikay]

19-Jan doubleup   BetVictor   April-2014   Golf   US Masters   1st time winner   4/5   100            
19-Mar doubleup   BetVictor   April-2014   Golf   US Masters   1st time winner   8/11   110            
            
7-Apr   doubleup   betvictor   13-Apr   golf   US Masters former winner   3/1   75            
   

can't the one that loses be put down to chompy?  Isn't that a fred tradition?

Most certainly, yes.

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Profit on Month £364.98

Outstanding Bets £4179.78

Free bets to Use ONE WILLIAM HILL BY 10TH APRIL

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=23

no bets completed yesterday

Rodriguez injury confirmed as an ACL. Currently joint 4th with 15 goals, will be booked as an unfortunate loser once someone goes to 16 goals

Paulinho did not score for Spurs. He has 4 league goals this season in 25 appearances. We need over 5.5, and there are 5 games to go....at least he is in the team again!

last night the yankees beat the orioles 4-2, result the wrong way round for us and the royals beat the rays 4-2, a good result against a strong club

PSG play tonight, we have £25 at 10-1 for the CL.

[TightEnd]

Click to see full-size image.

[TightEnd]

Are we on any hole in one markets for the masters?

Best price for "yes" is 10/11 on satan james which feels about right and not worth a bet.

However the price for one on the 16th hole is 6/4 with sty bet which may be value.

Given that most aces in the masters have come on the final Sunday on the 16th hole, with its generous pin position, I was surprised to see a final round ace priced up at 2/1 on puppy power.

I can't find the hole in one stats but I would reckon that  since the 16th has had its pin cut in that Sunday spot, there have been much more than 33% of masters that have seen a Sunday ace. Would be good if someone posted them up

I have bet and recommend  on puppy power, £50 @2/1 on round 4 on the "hole in one by round" market

There have been 24 holes-in-one during Masters play, including three in the last two years. over 77 tournaments

Of the 24 holes-in-one at Augusta, 15 occurred at No. 16.

"The hole has witnessed 15 holes-in-one in Masters history, almost twice as many as the other three par-3s combined. There have been three instances of multiple holes-in-one at No. 16 in one tournament. The inviting pin placement led to two in 2004 when Padraig Harrington and Kirk Triplett aced the hole in consecutive pairings on Sunday, both with a 6-iron from 177 yards.

Nathan Green and Ryan Moore made holes-in-one in 2010, and Bo Van Pelt and Adam Scott aced it in 2012.

After 1968, no one aced the hole again until 1992, when Corey Pavin ended the drought with an 8-iron from 140 yards."


six of the last seven holes on one have been on the sunday


thoughts on 6/4 hole in one at 16th?

2/1 hole in one on Sunday?

please.

[Doobs]

Are we on any hole in one markets for the masters?

Best price for "yes" is 10/11 on satan james which feels about right and not worth a bet.

However the price for one on the 16th hole is 6/4 with sty bet which may be value.

Given that most aces in the masters have come on the final Sunday on the 16th hole, with its generous pin position, I was surprised to see a final round ace priced up at 2/1 on puppy power.

I can't find the hole in one stats but I would reckon that  since the 16th has had its pin cut in that Sunday spot, there have been much more than 33% of masters that have seen a Sunday ace. Would be good if someone posted them up

I have bet and recommend  on puppy power, £50 @2/1 on round 4 on the "hole in one by round" market

There have been 24 holes-in-one during Masters play, including three in the last two years. over 77 tournaments

Of the 24 holes-in-one at Augusta, 15 occurred at No. 16.

"The hole has witnessed 15 holes-in-one in Masters history, almost twice as many as the other three par-3s combined. There have been three instances of multiple holes-in-one at No. 16 in one tournament. The inviting pin placement led to two in 2004 when Padraig Harrington and Kirk Triplett aced the hole in consecutive pairings on Sunday, both with a 6-iron from 177 yards.

Nathan Green and Ryan Moore made holes-in-one in 2010, and Bo Van Pelt and Adam Scott aced it in 2012.

After 1968, no one aced the hole again until 1992, when Corey Pavin ended the drought with an 8-iron from 140 yards."


six of the last seven holes on one have been on the sunday


thoughts on 6/4 hole in one at 16th?

2/1 hole in one on Sunday?

please.

Seems like a pair of bad bets on the stats.  I know the game has got easier over the years, but even then.

[Chompy]

Is 1/2 Claudia Winkleman to replace Brucie on SCD buying money please?

[Tal]

Is 1/2 Claudia Winkleman to replace Brucie on SCD buying money please?

I assume that's off the back of the tabloid natter this morning?

She'd be odds on anyway, wouldn't she?

[Chompy]

Yuh, it's a done deal according to The Sun

Can we get on with racebets?

[horseplayer]

BET SUGGESTION

£30 WIN http://www.oddschecker.com/football/champions-league/dortmund-v-real-madrid/total-corners-home-team-over-under-5-5 OVER 5.5 AT EVENS WITH THE ONLY FIRM QUOTING THIS BET WHO LIKE YOU TO WIN.

Four BD home european games this season number of corners awarded to BD have been.

8
5
6
9

This fits the pattern of Klopp ever since he joined Dortmund. Yes they have lots of injuries but they have most of the season the style of play does not change. Throw in the fact they have no choice but to attack even more.

Downside game may well die out with an early RM goal or no early BD goal.

[TightEnd]

Recommendation

Sunrisers Hyderabad £15 e/w 2014 IPL at 13/2 Sportingbet

background

- we had the winner last year, mumbai at 5-1
- we've just cleared £300 on the T20WC
- lowish bet because its the IPL. Not 100% trustworthy.

8 teams

14 games, 7 home and 7 away

First part of tournament played in the UAE

Odds

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/indian-premier-league/winner

there might be some sub market bets later


Why Sunrisers?

in their first year last year they made the playoffs, and had the strongest bowling attack of the four qualifiers last year but also the least effective batting
they retain the bowling, dale steyn and amit mishra notably
and have recruited warner, finch, and sammy to provide the batting pop
Hyderabad. slow, low wickets. scores of 130 par. won 7 of 8 at home last year
now with batting to clear the ropes they are a more rounded team

strongest other teams

chennai (there always used to be the suspicion that the IPL was run for chennai's benefit0. undoubtedly a strong team and can play jadeja, ashwin and badree. priced as favourites

bangalore. superstar batting line up...gayle, kohli, de villiers. spin options are weak. might score big totals and struggle to defend them

mumbai..malinga, rohit, hussey, corey anderson etc. another decent team, not the squad depth of some others though

http://betting.betfair.com/cricket/indian-premier-league---ipl/ipl-betting-team-by-team-guide-beware-overrated-bangalore-070414-194.html features all of the teams

i like sunrisers balance, and they should be competitive on all surfaces. they don't have the range of spin options that chennai have but at nearly double the price (13/2 versus 4/1) they are better value for a competition sweat