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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 15683817 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #76410 on: May 04, 2014, 12:46:01 PM »

do we really think Selby will get within 4.5 frames of Ronnie and lose (or win) by 18-14 or less?

http://www.oddschecker.com/snooker/world-championship/ronnie-osullivan-v-mark-selby/handicaps

Selby is a granite match-player but his final was beating Robertson, surely?

How on earth is he going to compete for four sessions after that semi?
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« Reply #76411 on: May 04, 2014, 12:51:24 PM »

do we really think Selby will get within 4.5 frames of Ronnie and lose (or win) by 18-14 or less?

http://www.oddschecker.com/snooker/world-championship/ronnie-osullivan-v-mark-selby/handicaps

Selby is a granite match-player but his final was beating Robertson, surely?

How on earth is he going to compete for four sessions after that semi?

That was a magnificent Semi-Final, imo, tremendous character by both players.

I don't think there is a player alive who can get within 5 frames of Ronnie over a 33 frame affair.

I'm not a snooker expert by any means, but I think Ronnie will crush if the real Ronnie turns up.
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« Reply #76412 on: May 04, 2014, 01:07:38 PM »

do we really think Selby will get within 4.5 frames of Ronnie and lose (or win) by 18-14 or less?

http://www.oddschecker.com/snooker/world-championship/ronnie-osullivan-v-mark-selby/handicaps

Selby is a granite match-player but his final was beating Robertson, surely?

How on earth is he going to compete for four sessions after that semi?

That was a magnificent Semi-Final, imo, tremendous character by both players.

I don't think there is a player alive who can get within 5 frames of Ronnie over a 33 frame affair.

I'm not a snooker expert by any means, but I think Ronnie will crush if the real Ronnie turns up.

Hopefully he will treat us all to a maximum on the way Smiley
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« Reply #76413 on: May 04, 2014, 01:15:18 PM »

gotta put one up in the 2.05 at newmarket cus its a monster price and i think its a good 15lbs better than its mark. Miss Marjurie 25/1 general 33/1 at ladbrokes. I did a lot of speed figure work towards the backend of last year. Basicailly i would find a benchmark race over a course and distance and going, then replay the races in tandom with the benchmark to see if they went off too fast or too slow a gallop. I would then take out the anomolys. I.E the one that stuck up with them on a frenetic gallop while the other front runners wilted. Or alternately when a horse is staying on into a place when the rest of the hold up horses never got into it. I had tremendous sucess, as claypole can confirm, last year by following ones i noted down, usually next time out. Ive stopped doing this now as im 100% commited to poker and this analysis is very time consuming. And basically becuase for me, there is more money in poker. Anyhow, some of my noted horses are yet to run since i noted them down and this is one of them.   Miss marjurie had impressed me greatly when winning at lingfield over 10f and even more so when it stuck on gamely over 10f again over todays track when they went an absolute dordle. Came out very highly on my ratings and she has her ground tomorrow. Yes this race is tough and shes not guaranteed to stay on pedigree but at 33/1 im willing to take a decent plunge and luke morris seems a great booking. Not saying lump on but an e/w bet might be a good idea, has run well fresh both times shes tried.

Thanks Rick, you must have been mortified to see Hannon's horse get home in the Guineas without you backing it!

OK, to Miss Marjurie.

I was about to have £10 EW of Fred's finest English pounds, & we can get the recommended price of 33/1 in numerous places.

Howerver, before we get on board, we can get 41/1 on Betfair, & 8.2/1 the place. (The FO Firms are qtr odds, 3 places).

So I need some guidance from the Big Boys - it seems (to me) we just ought to have £10 Win & £10 place with Betfair?

Yes, no, anyone?

The market is here.....

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/newmarket/14:05/winner

We WILL back it in all probability, but I just need to see the best route.

Hi Rick,

There has been no feedback at all to my earlier question, but I've decided to go ahead using the Betfair Exchange route.

Best price with the Firms remains 33/1, qtr odds, 3 places.


http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/newmarket/14:05/winner

I have now taken £10 win @ 36 (35/1), & £10 Place @ 9.13 with Betfair Exchange.

Overall - I think - that is fractionally better, or abooit the same, as the 33/1 EW with the Firms. Shame I dithered & missed the 41/1 though.

 GB / Newm 4th May / 14:05 1m4f Hcap Stks  Miss Marjurie Back 36994139194  04-May-14
12:53    36 10.00  36 04-May-14 12:53   
 
 GB / Newm 4th May / 14:05 To Be Placed  Miss Marjurie Back 36994131127  04-May-14
12:53    9 10.00  9.13 04-May-14 12:53 



2 BETS PLACED
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« Reply #76414 on: May 04, 2014, 01:21:36 PM »

do we really think Selby will get within 4.5 frames of Ronnie and lose (or win) by 18-14 or less?

http://www.oddschecker.com/snooker/world-championship/ronnie-osullivan-v-mark-selby/handicaps

Selby is a granite match-player but his final was beating Robertson, surely?

How on earth is he going to compete for four sessions after that semi?

That was a magnificent Semi-Final, imo, tremendous character by both players.

I don't think there is a player alive who can get within 5 frames of Ronnie over a 33 frame affair.

I'm not a snooker expert by any means, but I think Ronnie will crush if the real Ronnie turns up.

did you not want the evens -4.5 ronnie ladbrokes or betfred?

i like it, for the reasons you do
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« Reply #76415 on: May 04, 2014, 01:23:47 PM »

do we really think Selby will get within 4.5 frames of Ronnie and lose (or win) by 18-14 or less?

http://www.oddschecker.com/snooker/world-championship/ronnie-osullivan-v-mark-selby/handicaps

Selby is a granite match-player but his final was beating Robertson, surely?

How on earth is he going to compete for four sessions after that semi?

That was a magnificent Semi-Final, imo, tremendous character by both players.

I don't think there is a player alive who can get within 5 frames of Ronnie over a 33 frame affair.

I'm not a snooker expert by any means, but I think Ronnie will crush if the real Ronnie turns up.

did you not want the evens -4.5 ronnie ladbrokes or betfred?

i like it, for the reasons you do

Me?

Yes please, can you place that bet?
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« Reply #76416 on: May 04, 2014, 01:35:13 PM »

do we really think Selby will get within 4.5 frames of Ronnie and lose (or win) by 18-14 or less?

http://www.oddschecker.com/snooker/world-championship/ronnie-osullivan-v-mark-selby/handicaps

Selby is a granite match-player but his final was beating Robertson, surely?

How on earth is he going to compete for four sessions after that semi?

That was a magnificent Semi-Final, imo, tremendous character by both players.

I don't think there is a player alive who can get within 5 frames of Ronnie over a 33 frame affair.

I'm not a snooker expert by any means, but I think Ronnie will crush if the real Ronnie turns up.

did you not want the evens -4.5 ronnie ladbrokes or betfred?

i like it, for the reasons you do

Me?

Yes please, can you place that bet?

O'Sullivan, R v Selby, M
Handicap Result +4.5
   O'Sullivan, R    EVS    -4.5
Total stake   £ 50.00
Estimated return   £ 100.00
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« Reply #76417 on: May 04, 2014, 01:53:06 PM »

Just been looking around for some bets today and noticed betfair sportsbook are a standout 8/5 (2.6) on Torino to win, the exchange is currently 2.44 and much closer to the rest of the bookies.  Potential arb for any of you guys that are into that, i've just backed them to win outright as I fancied them anyway.  I don't know anything the bookies don't, so i'm not suggesting a bet for fred on any other principle than the standout price...or if fred doesn't want to back it, someone who likes a freeroll might!
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« Reply #76418 on: May 04, 2014, 01:55:28 PM »

Claudia Winkleman to co-host Strictly with Tess Daly... http://bit.ly/RheoDL
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« Reply #76419 on: May 04, 2014, 01:58:18 PM »





Overall - I think - that is fractionally better, or abooit the same or a little bit worse   Cheesy, as the 33/1 EW with the Firms. Shame I dithered & missed the 41/1 though.

 

there was only £2 at 41 anyway...
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« Reply #76420 on: May 04, 2014, 02:26:30 PM »

FUCKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK
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« Reply #76421 on: May 04, 2014, 02:27:02 PM »


top class tip tyvm
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« Reply #76422 on: May 04, 2014, 02:27:42 PM »

FUCKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK

 

Great tippage Rick Sad
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« Reply #76423 on: May 04, 2014, 02:27:52 PM »

FUCKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK

So sick mate. 1.4 i-r I think.

Great tip regardless again.
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« Reply #76424 on: May 04, 2014, 02:28:06 PM »

FUCKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK

Great effort, unlucky Mr T, thought we had that, always going well but we found one just too good.

Still, a nice profit, thank you.
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