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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16385783 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #78825 on: May 29, 2014, 11:14:58 AM »

@ Tighty

I see first markets up for ABs v Eng. I expect ABs -19pts @ 10/11 should be to your liking. However, if you have the facility to get on with the NZ Tab (I don't), they offer ABs -16.5pts @ 1.87 which is even better obv. GL.
Links below:
http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/internationals/new-zealand-v-england/handicaps
https://www.tab.co.nz/sport/#4

thank you

Another two props went down just before the journey, so i make that 26 missing or injured and a possible first test team (with no warm up game) for Eden Park, a really rough venue to start at of

Brown; May, Tuilagi, Twelvetrees or Eastmond, Yarde; Burns, Care; Mullan, Webber, Wilson, Attwood, Launchbury, Johnson, Robshaw, Morgan.

Replacements: Ward, Gray, Thomas, Parling, Haskell, B Youngs, Cipriani, Pennell.


i think -15 to -20 is very generous.

tikay is away, and I won't place my own stuff (seems presumptious) but if he pops in and see it he can say yay or nay
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« Reply #78826 on: May 29, 2014, 12:51:48 PM »

David Ferrer had a comfortable straight sets win today to progress to the 3rd round.
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« Reply #78827 on: May 29, 2014, 12:54:47 PM »

David Ferrer had a comfortable straight sets win today to progress to the 3rd round.

tick.

any thoughts on the womens post serena?

must be some value in her half?

schmiedlova and taylor townsend look names to watch
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« Reply #78828 on: May 29, 2014, 01:03:56 PM »

My knowledge of women's tennis is very limited. You need to get Mere " Starsky " Novice's views.
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tikay
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« Reply #78829 on: May 29, 2014, 01:25:03 PM »

@ Tighty

I see first markets up for ABs v Eng. I expect ABs -19pts @ 10/11 should be to your liking. However, if you have the facility to get on with the NZ Tab (I don't), they offer ABs -16.5pts @ 1.87 which is even better obv. GL.
Links below:
http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/internationals/new-zealand-v-england/handicaps
https://www.tab.co.nz/sport/#4

thank you

Another two props went down just before the journey, so i make that 26 missing or injured and a possible first test team (with no warm up game) for Eden Park, a really rough venue to start at of

Brown; May, Tuilagi, Twelvetrees or Eastmond, Yarde; Burns, Care; Mullan, Webber, Wilson, Attwood, Launchbury, Johnson, Robshaw, Morgan.

Replacements: Ward, Gray, Thomas, Parling, Haskell, B Youngs, Cipriani, Pennell.


i think -15 to -20 is very generous.

tikay is away, and I won't place my own stuff (seems presumptious) but if he pops in and see it he can say yay or nay


Yay away, Rich.
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tikay
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« Reply #78830 on: May 29, 2014, 01:29:43 PM »

I have completely unloaded the clip at Laddies. Eeeeek.

Does Fred want another £100? Will happily keep it if not. Punish BMU in the meantime!

Just to be clear, the £100 is at 6,350.5.The market has been pulled from both bookies now. Doesn’t necessarily mean we are right of course, just that they have taken a few hundred quid and panicked. If the feedback from Tikay/elders is that it’s too much then let me know. I am really happy with the bet though.

Everything I could find related to the main event was predicting higher numbers. Some of these guys have a vested interest to say that e.g. Ty Stewart (Executive Director of the WSOP) ‘“If you’re asking me for a bold prediction of Main Event entries,” Stewart said, “I’m putting every cent I have on the over versus 2013.” I don’t think that’s quite so true of the Pokernews guys – they are getting paid regardless of whether it gets 6K or 7K runners and they are the ones who have their finger right on the pulse of what is going on in the market.

I was expecting to see something like 6,750.5 as the line at 5/6 and would still prefer overs on that.


Hi Mark,

Thanks for assisting.

Can you PM me.....

1) Your Bank Details.

2) The total amount I owe you.


I'll ship the payment immediately.

Much appreciated, thank you.

FWIW, as regular poker players, all this "$10 milly" first prize stuff is bullshit, but it is aimed at a wider market, & I think it will have an effect.

Walk down the Rio Corridors, or drive round town, "WSOP $10 milly to the winner" is plastered everywhere. Even the wifi Passwords @ the WSOP reflect the $10 milly.

They plan to do a job on this, & I think they'll hit the Overs.
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« Reply #78831 on: May 29, 2014, 01:54:39 PM »

In further good news for the bet, the $1k PLO attracted 1,128 runners (including TK, I believe).
Largest non-holdem field in history of WSOP.
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« Reply #78832 on: May 29, 2014, 02:00:45 PM »

Not suggesting surge in popularity of PLO in any way linked to TK's entry, of course.
I'm sure it's entirely coincidental.
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« Reply #78833 on: May 29, 2014, 02:32:32 PM »

In further good news for the bet, the $1k PLO attracted 1,128 runners (including TK, I believe).
Largest non-holdem field in history of WSOP.

Briefly, yes......
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« Reply #78834 on: May 29, 2014, 02:47:27 PM »

I like a bet in tonight's Britains Got Talent.

Tonight is semi final 4 and there hasn't really been any surprises over the first three nights with all the favs safety going through. The way they have put the acts has meant the second going through each night has been pretty much known beforehand. Tonight however might be a bit different. Favs will probably sale through again as they are Simons golden buzzer act. But it's the "to reach the final" market that is quite interesting

http://www.oddschecker.com/tv/britains-got-talent/britains-got-talent-semi-final-4/to-reach-final

Lettice Rowbotham and Light Balance

This should really be a coin flip, if anything I make Light Balance slight fav and was expecting to see them slightly odds on to qualify. When Ladbrokes went first at Evens I thought ok, acceptable for me, had my bet and thought nothing else of it. However a near full market has been form and you can see the difference of opinion throughout some odds on most odds against,market moving in favour of Lettice Rowbotham, however dear old Fred has priced up a juicy 6/4 for light Balance. Like I said this is probably more of a 50/50 as to who goes through. Of course all of this is my opinion and I would be interested in what others think if they have been watching.

Here are their original auditions

http://youtu.be/ZJpHP2Cv-T8

http://youtu.be/cZZM3bgmXE4

The format goes like this. Nine acts tonight, in the results show Top Three are announced. The one with the most public vote goes straight through and then the judges have one vote each to use on either of the next two acts, whoever gets the most votes goes through if it's a tie 2v2 them it goes back to the public.

Couple of other points, this is probably the toughest semi so far. Ant and Decs golden buzzer act is also in it but I really can't see him having a chance as he is a not very good impressionist. As well as this there is an ok singer but there are better singers already In the final so I cant see her winning or the judges putting her through, remember it's a talent show so they will not want the final full of singers and will need a variety, Lettice and Light Balance give that variety.  None of the other acts will have a chance. Also Light Balance are generally ahead of Lettice in the out rights ranging from 16-1 to 40-1 (33 on bf) whereas Lettice ranges from 28 to 66 (70 on bf)

http://www.digitalspy.co.uk/tv/s107/britains-got-talent/news/a574191/britains-got-talent-who-will-perform-in-tonights-semi-final.html#~oFELXB3SGgZ8ua

The only other thing that could swing this either way will be the running order, I expect Simons golden buzzer act to go last or second last, hopefully Light Balance will go on after Lettice. However I cannot seem to find out this information.

Recommend a modest £20 on Light Balance to reach the final.
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« Reply #78835 on: May 29, 2014, 02:50:28 PM »

Darts Dubai Masters starts in a few Hours, the Tournament thats played outdoors.
19mph winds forecast, last year 7/8 players went under on their averages with only Newton stopping a full house.
Seemingly it's only Bwin offering the averages which are in line with what they would be if played in a Stadium in the UK or Ireland.

I don't know how Freds fixed with Bwin but all 8 Players are value to go under and even if they have no wind it's still going to be nearly 40degrees and humid.
I think last year Fred went for singles when it was better advised to take 4folds, trebles and doubles.
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« Reply #78836 on: May 29, 2014, 02:51:59 PM »

Just to clarify, Bars and Melody, Lettice and Light Balance will be the Top three IMO, Bars and Melody will win and I'm leaning that the judges will go with Light Balance for the next spot, if not and it's a draw I'm hoping more public will vote for Light Balance than Lettice.
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« Reply #78837 on: May 29, 2014, 02:55:37 PM »

I like a bet in tonight's Britains Got Talent.

Tonight is semi final 4 and there hasn't really been any surprises over the first three nights with all the favs safety going through. The way they have put the acts has meant the second going through each night has been pretty much known beforehand. Tonight however might be a bit different. Favs will probably sale through again as they are Simons golden buzzer act. But it's the "to reach the final" market that is quite interesting

http://www.oddschecker.com/tv/britains-got-talent/britains-got-talent-semi-final-4/to-reach-final

Lettice Rowbotham and Light Balance

This should really be a coin flip, if anything I make Light Balance slight fav and was expecting to see them slightly odds on to qualify. When Ladbrokes went first at Evens I thought ok, acceptable for me, had my bet and thought nothing else of it. However a near full market has been form and you can see the difference of opinion throughout some odds on most odds against,market moving in favour of Lettice Rowbotham, however dear old Fred has priced up a juicy 6/4 for light Balance. Like I said this is probably more of a 50/50 as to who goes through. Of course all of this is my opinion and I would be interested in what others think if they have been watching.

Here are their original auditions

http://youtu.be/ZJpHP2Cv-T8

http://youtu.be/cZZM3bgmXE4

The format goes like this. Nine acts tonight, in the results show Top Three are announced. The one with the most public vote goes straight through and then the judges have one vote each to use on either of the next two acts, whoever gets the most votes goes through if it's a tie 2v2 them it goes back to the public.

Couple of other points, this is probably the toughest semi so far. Ant and Decs golden buzzer act is also in it but I really can't see him having a chance as he is a not very good impressionist. As well as this there is an ok singer but there are better singers already In the final so I cant see her winning or the judges putting her through, remember it's a talent show so they will not want the final full of singers and will need a variety, Lettice and Light Balance give that variety.  None of the other acts will have a chance. Also Light Balance are generally ahead of Lettice in the out rights ranging from 16-1 to 40-1 (33 on bf) whereas Lettice ranges from 28 to 66 (70 on bf)

http://www.digitalspy.co.uk/tv/s107/britains-got-talent/news/a574191/britains-got-talent-who-will-perform-in-tonights-semi-final.html#~oFELXB3SGgZ8ua

The only other thing that could swing this either way will be the running order, I expect Simons golden buzzer act to go last or second last, hopefully Light Balance will go on after Lettice. However I cannot seem to find out this information.

Recommend a modest £20 on Light Balance to reach the final.


The running order thing does my head in, should 100% be random. Going in the first couple and just being good isn't enough.

Lettice might not appeal to the masses as she comes across a little 'up herself' slash snobby. Which I guess boosts your opinion.
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« Reply #78838 on: May 29, 2014, 03:10:42 PM »

@ Tighty

I see first markets up for ABs v Eng. I expect ABs -19pts @ 10/11 should be to your liking. However, if you have the facility to get on with the NZ Tab (I don't), they offer ABs -16.5pts @ 1.87 which is even better obv. GL.
Links below:
http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/internationals/new-zealand-v-england/handicaps
https://www.tab.co.nz/sport/#4

thank you

Another two props went down just before the journey, so i make that 26 missing or injured and a possible first test team (with no warm up game) for Eden Park, a really rough venue to start at of

Brown; May, Tuilagi, Twelvetrees or Eastmond, Yarde; Burns, Care; Mullan, Webber, Wilson, Attwood, Launchbury, Johnson, Robshaw, Morgan.

Replacements: Ward, Gray, Thomas, Parling, Haskell, B Youngs, Cipriani, Pennell.


i think -15 to -20 is very generous.

tikay is away, and I won't place my own stuff (seems presumptious) but if he pops in and see it he can say yay or nay


Yay away, Rich.

How about £110 @ 10/11 Rich ?

We have been waiting for this bet for some time and when the cats away ...............
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« Reply #78839 on: May 29, 2014, 03:17:48 PM »

Sure someone tossed lettuce out there before cos I made a few puns IIRC.

Think tikay is recording it all while he's away, so careful what you write ITT about the results.

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